Lash, James P.

Abstract RATIONALE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common in the general population and is associated with inflammation and compromised immune function. Since these mechanisms are hypothesized to promote severe COVID-19, we tested associations of pre-pandemic CKD with incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death in a large, multi-ethnic, US general population-based meta-cohort of adults. METHODS: Data were harmonized and pooled from 9 NIH-funded longitudinal cohorts participating in the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R). CKD was classified by KDIGO 2024 CKD guideline (Low Risk, Moderately Increased Risk, High Risk, Very High Risk) using pre-pandemic urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate using creatinine (eGFRcr). Incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death was ascertained over 2020−2023 via self-report and active surveillance, with medical record adjudication in a subset. In our primary analysis, we assessed associations between CKD stages and incident COVID-19 hospitalization or death. A secondary analysis examined joint association of CKD stages and the number of comorbidities (obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease) with the severe COVID-19. Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by cause-specific Cox regression, adjusting for socio-demographics and smoking. RESULTS: Among 26,039 multi-ethnic adult participants (mean age 66.1±14.8, 60.6 % female, 28.6% Whites, 3.2% Asians, 20.6% Blacks, 41.3% Hispanics, 6.3% American Indians) with a median follow-up of 550 days since the onset of the pandemic (baseline: March 1, 2020), there were 734 incident COVID-19 hospitalizations or deaths. The mean time since CKD markers were measured before the baseline was 6.5 years. The cumulative incidence of severe COVID-19 was 2.3, 3.5, 6.5, and 7.3% across CKD risk stages, and similar patterns were observed within variant types (Figure 1). Compared to participants with Low Risk of CKD, there was a graded increased hazards of severe COVID-19 across CKD stages, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.27 (1.03−1.55) for Moderately Increased Risk, 2.33 (1.77−3.06) for High Risk, and 2.72 (1.89−3.92) for Very High Risk. In a joint analysis, both increased CKD risk and a higher number of comorbidities were associated with a higher risk of severe COVID-19, showing the highest HR of 12.29 (5.75−26.27) in Very High Risk individuals with four comorbidities compared to Low Risk individuals with none. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CKD stages were associated with a greater risk of COVID-19 hospitalization or death and the risk is substantially heightened with additional comorbidities. These results suggest that adults with CKD and related comorbidities may merit enhanced COVID-19 risk mitigation.

Key Points Identifying ways to prevent AKI may reduce mortality further in the setting of intensive BP control. Creatinine-based ascertainment of AKI, enabled by electronic health record data, may be more sensitive and less biased than traditional serious adverse event adjudication. Background Adjudication of inpatient AKI in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) was based on billing codes and admission and discharge notes. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of intensive versus standard BP control on creatinine-based inpatient and outpatient AKI, and whether AKI was associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. Methods We linked electronic health record (EHR) data from 47 clinic sites with trial data to enable creatinine-based adjudication of AKI. Cox regression was used to evaluate the effect of intensive BP control on the incidence of AKI, and the relationship between incident AKI and CVD and all-cause mortality. Results A total of 3644 participants had linked EHR data. A greater number of inpatient AKI events were identified using EHR data (187 on intensive versus 155 on standard treatment) as compared with serious adverse event (SAE) adjudication in the trial (95 on intensive versus 61 on standard treatment). Intensive treatment increased risk for SPRINT-adjudicated inpatient AKI (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.09 to 2.08) and for creatinine-based outpatient AKI (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.70), but not for creatinine-based inpatient AKI (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.48). Irrespective of the definition (SAE or creatinine based), AKI was associated with increased risk for all-cause mortality, but only creatinine-based inpatient AKI was associated with increased risk for CVD. Conclusions Creatinine-based ascertainment of AKI, enabled by EHR data, may be more sensitive and less biased than traditional SAE adjudication. Identifying ways to prevent AKI may reduce mortality further in the setting of intensive BP control.

Background: In individuals with a low diastolic blood pressure (DBP), the potential benefits or risks of intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering are unclear. Methods: SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) was a randomized controlled trial that compared the effects of intensive (target <120 mm Hg) and standard (target <140 mm Hg) SBP control in 9361 older adults with high blood pressure at increased risk of cardiovascular disease. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular disease events. All-cause death and incident chronic kidney disease were secondary outcomes. This post hoc analysis examined whether the effects of the SBP intervention differed by baseline DBP. Results: Mean baseline SBP and DBP were 139.7±15.6 and 78.1±11.9 mm Hg, respectively. Regardless of the randomized treatment, baseline DBP had a U-shaped association with the hazard of the primary cardiovascular disease outcome. However, the effects of the intensive SBP intervention on the primary outcome were not influenced by baseline DBP level ( P for interaction=0.83). The primary outcome hazard ratio for intensive versus standard treatment was 0.78 (95% confidence interval, 0.57–1.07) in the lowest DBP quintile (mean baseline DBP, 61±5 mm Hg) and 0.74 (95% confidence interval, 0.61–0.90) in the upper 4 DBP quintiles (mean baseline DBP, 82±9 mm Hg), with an interaction P value of 0.78. Results were similar for all-cause death and kidney events. Conclusions: Low baseline DBP was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease events, but there was no evidence that the benefit of the intensive SBP lowering differed by baseline DBP. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01206062.