Budoff, Matthew J.

Abstract Aims Alcohol and its relationship with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain contentious. Several observational studies have found cardioprotective associations, while Mendelian randomization studies have found null or harmful effects of moderate drinking. Biases, including abstainer misclassification and sick-quitter effects, may obscure true associations. It is widely understood that former drinkers are often sick quitters. However, removal of former drinkers from analyses addresses bias in the abstainer group but fails to account for induced survivorship among current drinkers. This study sought to determine whether adjusting for biases altered the association between alcohol and CVD by comparing conventional models with those using (i) occasional drinkers as the reference group instead of lifetime abstainers and (ii) ‘intention-to-treat’ reallocation of former drinkers based on past drinking patterns. Methods and results The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis is a prospective cohort study of 6814 participants aged 45–84 years between 2000 and 2002 without baseline CVD. A total of 6755 participants were included after excluding those with missing data. Alcohol consumption was self-reported and classified as lifetime abstainer, former, or current drinker [occasional (≤1 drink/week), light (2–7 drinks/week), moderate (8–14 drinks/week), heavy (>14 drinks/week)]. Outcomes included coronary artery calcium (CAC; 0, 1–100, 101–300, and >300) and clinical events [myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, cardiovascular mortality, composite major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), and heart failure]. Of 6755 participants, 20.6% were lifetime abstainers, 24.1% former drinkers, and 55.3% current drinkers. Adjusting for biases altered the observed relationship between alcohol and CVD, showing increased harm with light drinking, decreased protection with moderate drinking, and a dose–response relationship between alcohol and CAC, particularly CAC >300 in adjusted models. Protective associations between moderate drinking and MI [hazard ratio (HR): 0.64, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.38–1.06] and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.53–1.25) were attenuated and became non-significant. Light drinking shifted from null to increased risk for MI (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.11–1.92), stroke (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.17–2.03), MACE (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.12–1.57), and heart failure (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.10–1.84). Conclusion Associations between alcohol and CVD in observational studies are sensitive to methodologic variation. Results from models correcting for abstainer/sick-quitter biases may help explain discrepant results from previous studies.

Abstract Background Alcohol consumption and its relationship with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains controversial. Observational studies have reported J-shaped associations suggesting cardioprotective effects of moderate drinking, while other observational and Mendelian Randomization studies have found dose-response harm. Biases such as abstainer misclassification, sick quitter effects, and residual confounding may obscure true associations. This study aimed to reassess alcohol’s impact on CVD using novel methods to minimize bias. Purpose We evaluated the relationship between alcohol and subclinical (coronary artery calcium [CAC]) and clinical (myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, cardiovascular death, major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE], and heart failure) outcomes in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We compared conventional models with those using (1) occasional drinkers as the reference group instead of lifetime abstainers and (2) intention-to-treat (ITT) reallocation of former drinkers based on past drinking patterns. Methods MESA is a prospective cohort study of 6,814 participants aged 45-84 years without baseline CVD. Alcohol use was classified as lifetime abstainer, former drinker, or current drinker (occasional [≤1 drink/week], light [2-7 drinks/week], moderate [8-14 drinks/week], heavy [>14 drinks/week]). We used multinomial logistic regression for CAC and Cox proportional hazards models for clinical outcomes across four models: (1) non-drinker reference, (2) lifetime abstainer reference, (3) occasional drinker reference, and (4) occasional drinker reference with ITT reallocation of former drinkers to their previous drinking levels. Results Increasing alcohol consumption correlated with a dose-response increase in CAC. Heavy drinking was consistently associated with severe CAC (>300). In fully adjusted models, light (OR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.02-1.48), moderate (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.04-1.55), and heavy drinking (OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.12-1.78) were associated with higher CAC scores compared to occasional drinkers. Traditional models replicated protective effects of moderate drinking for MI and cardiovascular mortality. However, these associations attenuated in adjusted models. Moderate drinking showed an attenuated, non-significant benefit for MI (HR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.38-1.06) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.53-1.25) in fully adjusted models. Light drinking shifted from null to increased risk for MI (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.11-1.92), stroke (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.17-2.03), MACE (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.12-1.57), and heart failure (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.10-1.84). Conclusion Adjusting for abstainer and sick quitter biases altered the observed relationship between alcohol and CVD, showing increased harm with light drinking, attenuated protective effects of moderate drinking, and a dose-response relationship for CAC in bias-adjusted models. These findings illustrate the importance of methodology in alcohol-CVD relationships.

BACKGROUND: Although chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction often coexist with overlapping clinical features, they are usually studied separately. The SPIROMICS HF (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD and Heart Failure Study) is testing hypotheses that new computed tomography emphysema subtypes are associated with specific cardiovascular phenotypes (eg, cor pulmonale , cor pulmonale parvus ), common airway branch variants are associated with right heart dysfunction, and symptomatic tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry have signs of increased left ventricular afterload. METHODS: SPIROMICS is a multicenter observational study of COPD with extensive pulmonary phenotyping of participants with ≥20 pack-years smoking and nonsmoking controls. COPD and COPD severity were defined by standard spirometric criteria and symptomatic tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry by ≥20 pack-years, normal spirometry, and COPD Assessment Test score >10. SPIROMICS HF selected all participants in SPIROMICS visit 5 at major sites. Its comprehensive speckle-tracking echocardiography, which included physiological perturbations of leg raise and low-intensity exercise, was harmonized prospectively with the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Early Heart Failure and HeartSHARE (Combining Omics, Deep Phenotyping, and Electronic Health Records for Heart Failure Subtypes and Treatment Targets) studies. The cardiopulmonary magnetic resonance imaging protocol with gadolinium administration included myocardial fibrosis sequences, pulmonary angiography, time-resolved 3-dimensional cine magnetic resonance imaging (4-dimensional flow) of venous return, and metronome-paced tachypnea to induce dynamic hyperinflation. Coronary artery calcium was assessed on computed tomography scans. The Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire was administered. RESULTS: Of the final sample of 753 participants, 57% had COPD (15% mild, 27% moderate, and 15% severe), 18% had symptomatic tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry, 16% were smoking controls, and 8% were nonsmoking controls. Reproducibility of the main measures from speckle-tracking echocardiography (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.83–0.99), exercise echocardiography (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.71–0.99) and magnetic resonance imaging (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.57–0.99) were good-to-excellent, including in severe COPD. CONCLUSIONS: SPIROMICS HF aims to characterize and understand cardiopulmonary interactions in COPD and COPD-related phenotypes to inform targeted treatments for combined cardiopulmonary failure.

Abstract RATIONALE: Susceptibility to severe COVID-19 and long COVID may be influenced by pre-existing lung structure. ECG-gated, non-contrast cardiac CT scans, originally acquired for assessing coronary artery calcium, are available in multiple longitudinal cohort studies and have been previously validated against lung CT scans for densitometry; however, protocol variation across cohorts may hinder direct comparison. To address this, we developed a quality control (QC) rubric to grade cardiac CT scans for standardized quantitative lung measures across cohorts. METHODS: C4R assessed SARS-CoV-2 infection and outcomes in 14 NHLBI cohorts, of which 10 (six community-based and four longitudinal case-control studies) included CT scans (12,459 participants with lung and 13,752 with cardiac CTs). Logic rules were applied to categorize scans (Table): Grade “A-B” scans had 2-3.5mm slice thickness, at least 20 axial slices, no lung cropping in axial view and lung and airway volumes greater than the cohort-specific 1st percentile. “C-D” scans had one lung obscured by cropping around the heart, so quantitative measures were restricted to the lung in complete view. “F-H” scans were deemed unusable, suffering from low slice count (<20), severe image cropping, low lung or airway volumes (< 1st%ile). Visual inspection was performed on a sample from each category to ensure accuracy. Percent of lung voxels in low attenuation areas < -950 HU (LAA950), high attenuation areas (-600 to -250 HU, HAA) and 15th percentile HU value (perc15) were measured. Within-participant variability was quantified using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). RESULTS: We performed QC on cardiac CT scans from an initial sample of 6,275 participants from three C4R cohorts (ARIC, CARDIA, MASALA), imaged with GE or Siemens scanners. Of these, 5,125 (81.7%) were graded “A-B”, 496 (7.9%) were “C-D” and 654 (10.4%) were “F-H”. The percentage of “F-H” scans varied widely across cohorts [<1% to 26%] due to image cropping. Among the 5,621 cardiac CT scans graded A-D, the mean±SD for LAA950, HAA and perc15 respectively were 1.1±2.1%, 7.2±4.7% and -887±33 HU. Repeated imaging was available for 107 participants (time interval 5.1±0.7y). For paired scans in grades A-B (n=101/107), the within-participant correlation for LAA950, HAA and perc15 were 0.91, 0.38 and 0.74 respectively. CONCLUSION: Initial application of QC to cardiac CT scans identified scans with high reproducibility, with the aim to provide valid quantitative lung metrics on over 20,000 highly characterized participants in C4R.

Iodixanol is an iso-osmolar non-ionic dimeric hydrophilic contrast agent with a higher viscosity than the monomeric agents. It is the only Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved iso-osmolar agent in the United States, and it is the only contrast agent with an FDA-approved indication for use in cardiac computed tomographic angiography (CCTA), to assist in the diagnostic evaluation of patients with suspected coronary artery disease. In clinical studies, it has been noted to have fewer side effects and similar image quality when compared to low-osmolar contrast media. This can be attributed to the pharmacological properties of iodixanol. These contrast agents are used for coronary computed tomography angiography and cardiac catheterization. In this article, the use, tolerability, and efficacy of iodixanol are reviewed, specifically evaluating the use of CCTA and coronary angiography, including outcome studies, randomized trials, and comparisons to other contrast agents.

Abstract Aims To investigate the impact of statins on plaque progression according to high-risk coronary atherosclerotic plaque (HRP) features and to identify predictive factors for rapid plaque progression in mild coronary artery disease (CAD) using serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Methods and results We analyzed mild stenosis (25–49%) CAD, totaling 1432 lesions from 613 patients (mean age, 62.2 years, 63.9% male) and who underwent serial CCTA at a ≥2 year inter-scan interval using the Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography Imaging (NCT02803411) registry. The median inter-scan period was 3.5 ± 1.4 years; plaques were quantitatively assessed for annualized percent atheroma volume (PAV) and compositional plaque volume changes according to HRP features, and the rapid plaque progression was defined by the ≥90th percentile annual PAV. In mild stenotic lesions with ≥2 HRPs, statin therapy showed a 37% reduction in annual PAV (0.97 ± 2.02 vs. 1.55 ± 2.22, P = 0.038) with decreased necrotic core volume and increased dense calcium volume compared to non-statin recipient mild lesions. The key factors for rapid plaque progression were ≥2 HRPs [hazard ratio (HR), 1.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02–3.49; P = 0.042], current smoking (HR, 1.69; 95% CI 1.09–2.57; P = 0.017), and diabetes (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.07–2.22; P = 0.020). Conclusion In mild CAD, statin treatment reduced plaque progression, particularly in lesions with a higher number of HRP features, which was also a strong predictor of rapid plaque progression. Therefore, aggressive statin therapy might be needed even in mild CAD with higher HRPs. Clinical trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02803411

Abstract Background Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring improves event prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD) and can be used to guide initiation or deferral of statin therapy in asymptomatic individuals at low-to-intermediate risk. However, there is substantial variation of CAC scores acquired with different CT scanners. Therefore, CAC scoring discrepancies may lead to suboptimal patients' treatment and harmonization is needed. Purpose The aim of our study was twofold. Our first aim was to develop a calibration tool resulting in vendor neutral Agatston Score (vnAS). Second, we aimed to assess the effect of using this calibration tool in the existing Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) study cohort on both risk prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD), and initiation of statin therapy. Methods Two static anthropomorphic phantoms containing multiple CAC inserts were imaged on seven different CT systems and one EBT system. For each CT system, the vnAS calculator parameters were derived using regression analysis based on Agatston scores from EBT and CT. To validate our vnAS, we used CAC scoring information and clinical data of participants from MESA study. All included participants (Cohort I, n=3181) were assigned to one out of four calcium groups, which were defined as zero-calcium (AS and vnAS of 0), low-calcium (AS and vnAS of 1–99) high-calcium (AS and vnAS ≥100), and reclassified individuals (AS <100 and vnAS ≥100). The occurrence of CHD events in each group was assessed and multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the added value of the vnAS in the prediction of CHD events For a sub-cohort of 890 participants at intermediate cardiovascular risk, the potential benefit from statin therapy was estimated based on the number needed to treat (NNT). NNT were determined for patients with vnAS ≥100 and vnAS ≥300 with original AS below 100 (group I) or 300 (group II), respectively. Results For all CT systems, a high degree of correlation with EBT Agatston scores was shown (R2 >0.932). Using the vnAS, 85 individuals (2.7%) were reclassified from a lower to a higher risk category. For the reclassified participants, CHD event rates increased significantly from 7% to 15% (p=0.008) with a CHD hazard ratio of 3.39 (95% CI 1.82–6.35, p=0.001) (Figure 1). In intermediate risk cohort, the NNT was smaller for reclassified individuals as compared to their original (low) calcium group, at 7 vs 12 for group I and 2 vs 15 for group II, respectively. The summary of vnAS applicability is depicted in Figure 2. Conclusions We developed a calibration tool, which enables to calculate vendor neutral AS (vnAS). Based on vnAS, 85 individuals from MESA study, who were reclassified from a lower to a higher calcium category, did indeed have a higher CHD event rate. Consequently, the potential benefit from statin therapy, based on vnAS, was also increased for reclassified participants at intermediate cardiovascular risk. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.