Fawzy, Ashraf

Abstract Rationale Inflammation is central to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) pathogenesis but incompletely represented in COPD prognostic models. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a readily available inflammatory biomarker. Objectives To explore the associations of NLR with smoking status, clinical features of COPD, and future adverse outcomes. Methods We analyzed NLR calculated from the complete blood count of participants who currently or formerly smoked (n = 2,624) and tobacco-naive control subjects (n = 187) in the SPIROMICS multicenter observational cohort study. We assessed the stability of NLR at 6 weeks and 1 year, the association with select blood biomarkers, and the impact of smoking on NLR and cell counts. We stratified participants by NLR quartiles to compare cross-sectional clinical features at enrollment, prospectively observed exacerbations at 1 year, and mortality during longitudinal follow up. Results Higher NLR quartiles were broadly associated with more severe clinical features of COPD. NLR values were repeatable at 6 weeks (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.74) and 1 year (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.62). The impact of smoking on NLR varied with the severity of airflow limitation, mediated by an interaction between smoking, forced expiratory volume in 1 second percent predicted, and neutrophil counts but not lymphocyte counts. The highest NLR quartile (>3.11) was associated with an increased risk of exacerbation over 1 year (adjusted odds ratio, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.18, 1.92) and increased risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.20, 1.66) compared with quartiles 1–3. Conclusions Elevated NLR in stable COPD is a widely available biomarker associated with increased risk for exacerbation and death. The impact of cigarette smoking on NLR varies with disease severity.

Abstract Rationale: Adverse social determinants of health (SDOH) are common in COPD and associated with increased mortality. However, cause-specific mortality is understudied. We evaluated associations of neighborhood-level SDOH with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with or at-risk for COPD. Methods: SPIROMICS is an ongoing, multi-center, longitudinal observational study of individuals across the US with current or former personal smoking histories (≥20 pack-years), with or without spirometrically-defined COPD. We established geocoded neighborhood-level SDOH at baseline using 2010 census tract data, including specifically, area deprivation index (ADI) (range 0-100, 100 = most disadvantaged), poverty level (percentage of households below the poverty line), poor food access (>1/3 of residents with no access to fresh food stores within 1 mile in urban areas and 10 miles in rural areas), and food desert (low income plus poor food access). We ascertained all-cause and cause-specific mortality through 12/31/2021 using the National Death Index. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we evaluated the risk of all-cause mortality for each SDOH. We utilized competing-risk regression models to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular, respiratory, COPD (a subset of respiratory), and neoplastic causes of death individually with each SDOH. Models were adjusted for demographics, smoking status, pack-years, BMI categories, coronary heart disease, FEV1% predicted and study site. Effect modification by lung function was assessed using multiplicative interactions between SDOH and FEV1% predicted. Results: Among 2977 participants, mean ADI was 40.1±27.8. Within a participant's neighborhood, on average 10.4±10.4% of households were below the poverty line, 933 (31.3%) had poor food access, and 220 (7.4%) resided in a food desert. During a median follow-up of 7.8 years (IQR 5.6-9.2), 744 (25.0%) participants died, most commonly from respiratory causes including COPD. Neither ADI nor neighborhood poverty level were associated with all-cause mortality or any specific cause of death (Table). Despite lack of associations between food access and mortality (Table), individuals residing in a food desert had elevated risks of all-cause (HR: 1.36 [95%CI: 1.03-1.79]) and cardiovascular (HR: 2.62 [95%CI: 1.5-4.35]) deaths. There was no significant effect modification by lung function. Conclusions: In a large cohort of individuals with personal smoking histories, with or without COPD, living in a food desert was associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. However, neighborhood poverty level and food access, the two components of food desert, were not independently associated with mortality, suggesting the association of multimodal SDOH variables with mortality in this population.