Barr, R. Graham

Abstract Rationale Inflammation is central to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) pathogenesis but incompletely represented in COPD prognostic models. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a readily available inflammatory biomarker. Objectives To explore the associations of NLR with smoking status, clinical features of COPD, and future adverse outcomes. Methods We analyzed NLR calculated from the complete blood count of participants who currently or formerly smoked (n = 2,624) and tobacco-naive control subjects (n = 187) in the SPIROMICS multicenter observational cohort study. We assessed the stability of NLR at 6 weeks and 1 year, the association with select blood biomarkers, and the impact of smoking on NLR and cell counts. We stratified participants by NLR quartiles to compare cross-sectional clinical features at enrollment, prospectively observed exacerbations at 1 year, and mortality during longitudinal follow up. Results Higher NLR quartiles were broadly associated with more severe clinical features of COPD. NLR values were repeatable at 6 weeks (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.74) and 1 year (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.62). The impact of smoking on NLR varied with the severity of airflow limitation, mediated by an interaction between smoking, forced expiratory volume in 1 second percent predicted, and neutrophil counts but not lymphocyte counts. The highest NLR quartile (>3.11) was associated with an increased risk of exacerbation over 1 year (adjusted odds ratio, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.18, 1.92) and increased risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.20, 1.66) compared with quartiles 1–3. Conclusions Elevated NLR in stable COPD is a widely available biomarker associated with increased risk for exacerbation and death. The impact of cigarette smoking on NLR varies with disease severity.

Abstract Emphysema’s significant morbidity and mortality underscore the need for reliable outcome metrics in clinical trials. However, commonly accepted chronic obstructive pulmonary disease outcome measures do not adequately capture emphysema severity or progression. Computed tomography (CT) metrics have been validated as accurate indicators of pathological emphysema and predictors of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease progression, exacerbations, and mortality. This position paper reviews the evidence supporting CT densitometry as a biomarker for emphysema, establishes implementation standards, and highlights areas for future research. A systematic literature review addressed three key questions: whether CT densitometry can be used as a diagnostic biomarker of emphysema, whether CT densitometry can be used as a prognostic biomarker, and whether longitudinal change in densitometry can be used as a disease progression monitoring biomarker. Emphysema metrics, such as the percentage of low attenuation areas below −950 Hounsfield units, are validated, highly reproducible diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. Volume-adjusted lung density is recommended for disease monitoring. Both metrics demonstrate a scan–rescan intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.99 with proper technique. The paper also discusses relevant CT physics, techniques, and sources of variation, including technical factors, physiological changes, and software analysis. Key recommendations for clinical trials include using standardized CT techniques, proper subject selection, and longitudinal evaluation with volume-adjusted lung density.

Abstract Rationale Reliable data about the natural history of lung function decline in alpha-1 antitrypsin (AAT)-deficient Pi*MZ heterozygotes is largely missing. Objectives We hypothesized that, in adults with a tobacco smoking history, lung function deteriorates faster in Pi*MZ compared with the Pi*MM genotype. Methods We identified 1,856 Pi*MM and 79 Pi*MZ participants with ⩾20 pack-years tobacco smoking history from the SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcomes Measures in COPD Study) cohort by DNA sequencing and followed them over a median of 4.8 years, comparing radiographic and clinical characteristics between the two groups over time using regression models. Results Adjusted for age, sex, race, smoking pack-year history, and smoking status, Pi*MZ participants had a lower baseline percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) (65.4% vs. 75.1%; difference 95% confidence interval [CI], −15.4% to −3.9%), more radiographic emphysema (<−950 Hounsfield units%, 12.9% vs. 7.8%; difference 95% CI, 2.8% to 7.5%), and nonsignificantly lower lung density. In the longitudinal analysis, the FEV1 annual rate of decline was similar in both groups over the course of the study (−34.5 ml/yr vs. −34.6 ml/yr for Pi*MZ and Pi*MM; difference 95% CI, −16.9 to 17.1 ml/yr). There were no significant differences between Pi*MZ and Pi*MM individuals in the annualized change in lung density, emphysema, patient-reported outcomes, exacerbations, or survival. The proportion with faster FEV1 decline (annual loss ⩾40 ml) was similar in Pi*MZ and Pi*MM groups. In both groups, faster FEV1 decline was associated with more air trapping and small airway disease at baseline. In Pi*MZ only, faster decline was associated with higher blood eosinophil counts (310 vs. 220 cells/μl; difference 95% CI, 30 to 140 cells/μl). In the subgroup analysis limited to a small number of currently smoking participants, no significant differences in longitudinal outcomes were found. Conclusions Despite a lower FEV1 and more emphysema at enrollment, the longitudinal analysis did not demonstrate significantly greater lung function decline or lung density loss in Pi*MZ compared with Pi*MM participants with tobacco smoking history. Limited sample size and duration of longitudinal follow-up constrain generalizability of our findings, thus prohibiting the conclusion that longitudinal trajectories did not differ between these groups. However, our results may suggest that earlier life events could be responsible for more extensive lung disease at enrollment in Pi*MZ compared with Pi*MM tobacco-exposed individuals.