Gottesman, Rebecca

Abstract Introduction Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is a potentially modifiable risk factor for the prevention of dementia, of which Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is the most common cause. However, there is a lack of longitudinal evidence relating SDB to AD pathology >20 years later. We examined the association between late-midlife SDB and late-life brain β-amyloid (Aβ) deposition—a hallmark of AD—assessed approximately 23 years later. Methods The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study is an ongoing prospective cohort study initiated in 1987. Participants at two ARIC sites (Washington County, Maryland; Minneapolis, Minnesota) with primarily White participants also completed polysomnography (PSG) in the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) in 1995-98. SDB measures included apnea-hypopnea index (AHI; number of apneas + hypopneas with ≥3% oxygen desaturation/hour of sleep), arousal index, and percentage of total sleep time in apnea, in hypopnea, and with oxygen saturation < 90%. A subset of participants completed florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET) scans through several ARIC ancillary studies (2011-2025 including the ARIC Sleep-PET study). We defined Aβ deposition as a global standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) >1.2 (vs. SUVR ≤1.2). We used Poisson regression with robust standard errors to estimate relative risk (RR) of Aβ deposition by SDB, adjusting for demographics and vascular risk factors, and applied inverse probability attrition weighting to account for selective drop-out. Results Among 186 dementia-free participants (mean age=59 years at PSG and 82 years at PET scan, 58% female, 98% White), every 10% increase in total sleep time in hypopnea was associated with higher risk of Aβ deposition (RR=1.40, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03, 1.91). When compared to no SDB (AHI < 5), moderate to severe SDB (AHI ≥15) was associated with elevated Aβ deposition (RR=2.36, 95% CI: 1.22, 4.57); mild SDB (AHI 5 to < 15) was not (RR=1.05, 95% CI: 0.53, 2.07). Conclusion SDB in late midlife was associated with greater risk of Aβ deposition approximately 23 years later. SDB may play a role in the early stages of AD pathogenesis. Future longitudinal studies are needed to optimize strategies for screening and treating SDB for dementia prevention. Support (if any) Supported in part by RF1AG050745.

Introduction: Diabetes, a modifiable risk factor for dementia, is thought to impart increased risk of dementia through cerebral small vessel disease. While the importance of diabetes in midlife is well-documented, the influence of different glycemic levels, duration of diabetes, and Alzheimer’s disease genetic risk (apolipoprotein [ APOE ] ε4 genotype) in late-life on dementia risk remains uncertain. This could have implications for individualized prevention strategies. In this study, we investigated whether a higher glycemic level and longer duration of diabetes in late-life is associated with a higher risk of dementia, and whether associations vary by APOE ε4 genotype. Methods: We performed a prospective cohort analysis with the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study using up to 11 years of follow-up (baseline, 2011-2013). We defined diabetes as glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA 1c ) ≥6.5%, self-reported physician diagnosis, or use of any diabetes medication. Among those with diabetes, we categorized participants as having a lower glycemic level (HbA 1c <7%) or higher level (HbA 1c ≥7%), and duration as short (<5 years) or long (≥5 years). We estimated hazard ratios (HR) for incident dementia by HbA 1c levels and by diabetes duration in separate multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. We tested for statistical multiplicative interaction on the relative risk of dementia by fitting interaction terms between diabetes measures and APOE ε4 genotype in separate regression models. Results: In 5030 participants without dementia (mean age, 75.4 years; 58.6% female; 21% Black; 28% with diabetes), there were 1167 (23.2%) incident dementia cases over a median follow-up of 9.0 years. Compared to no diabetes, a lower glycemic level and higher level were both associated with elevated dementia risk ( P -trend <.0001; Table). A higher glycemic level was associated with an elevated risk of dementia relative to a lower level (HR=1.47 [95% CI: 1.22-1.77]; Table). Compared to no diabetes, both shorter duration and longer duration were associated with an increase in dementia risk ( P -trend <.0001; Table). Longer duration was associated with an increased risk of dementia relative to shorter duration (HR=1.57 [95% CI: 1.24-1.98]; Table). Associations for glycemic level and diabetes duration did not significantly differ by APOE ε4 genotype (all P >.05). Conclusions: Diabetes management in older adults that includes lower glycemic goals may help reduce dementia risk.

Introduction: Plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), including amyloid-β (Aβ42/Aβ40), phosphorylated tau (p-tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) have shown strong reliability in predicting dementia risk. White matter hyperintensities (WMH) represent a major vascular contributor to dementia. We investigated how plasma biomarkers of AD interact with WMH on MRI to influence incident dementia risk. Methods: We included dementia-free participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study who underwent MRI and plasma biomarker assessment at Visit 5 (2011–2013). WMH was quantified and considered continuously (log-transformed and standardized), and in tertiles. Plasma biomarkers were log-base-2-transformed. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate dementia risk over 10 years associated with plasma biomarkers and WMH, independently and multiplicatively. Models were adjusted for demographic variables (age, sex, race, and education), vascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, smoking status, body mass index, and estimated glomerular filtration rate), and APOE ε4 status. Results: Among 1,538 participants (aged 67- 90 years, 29% Black), 30% ( N = 462) developed dementia over the 10-year follow-up period. For every doubling of plasma Aβ42/Aβ40 , indicating lower amyloid burden, dementia risk decreased, while doubling of p-tau 181 , NfL, and GFAP were each associated with increased dementia risk, in separate models; each of these associations was independent of WMH (Table 1). Additionally, dementia risk increased per SD increase in WMH, independent of each plasma biomarker. Although no multiplicative interaction terms reached statistical significance (p<0.05), there was suggestive evidence that Aβ42/Aβ40 and GFAP have smaller effect sizes on dementia risk in subgroups at the highest WMH tertile (p-interactions<0.10; see Table 2). Discussion: Plasma biomarkers and WMH independently predict dementia risk over 10 years, though there remained limited evidence of multiplicative effects. Plasma biomarkers may be less important for dementia risk in individuals who also have extensive WMH. These findings emphasize the importance of incorporating both AD-specific plasma markers as well as indicators of cerebral small vessel disease, such as WMH, into dementia risk profiling.

Objective: Epidemiological data have suggested that late-life depression (LLD) occurs as a consequence of cerebrovascular and neurodegenerative disorders, but there is also some evidence suggesting that the relationship may occur in the other direction, namely that LLD may be a risk factor for cerebrovascular and neurodegenerative disorders. However, the neurobiological basis of these associations remain unclear. This study investigated the associations of LLD with markers of cerebrovascular pathology, brain volumes, and cortical thickness from 3-Tesla brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Methods: Participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study received brain MRI scans in late-life (ages 67-90). The following neuroimaging outcomes were assessed: cortical infarcts, lacunar infarcts, any microhemorrhages, lobar microhemorrhages, subcortical microhemorrhages, white matter hyperintensity volume, total and regional brain volumes (z-scores), and total average and regional cortical thickness (z-scores). At the same visit, LLD was evaluated with the 11-item Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D) and defined as CES-D score≥9. Associations between LLD and neuroimaging outcomes were examined using logistic and linear regression models, and were adjusted for age, race-center, sex, education level, vascular risk factors, stroke, cognitive status, APOE e4 carrier status, and total intracranial volume when assessing volumes. Results: Among 1,857 participants, the median age was 76 years, 59.5% were female, 28.3% were Black, and 6.8% had LLD. LLD was not associated with infarcts or microhemorrhages. There was no evidence of an association between LLD and total white matter hyperintensity volume or total average cortical thickness. However, LLD was independently associated with smaller volume (SD) of the rostral anterior cingulate (b 1 : -0.18; 95% CI: -0.33, -0.04) and greater cortical thickness (SD) in the medial orbitofrontal cortex (b 1 : 0.19; 95% CI: 0.01, 0.38), though effect sizes were small and did not survive correction for multiple comparisons. Conclusion: Findings from this study suggest LLD is not cross-sectionally associated with neuroimaging markers of cerebrovascular disease. While LLD may be linked to subtle volume and cortical thickness changes in specific regions of interest, future longitudinal research is warranted to validate and clarify these associations and explore their potentially bidirectional relationship.

Background: Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability despite advances in risk factor management. Many risk factors for stroke have also been implicated as risk factors for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. Given these shared risk factors, cognitive impairment (CI) may represent an accumulation of neurological injury that is associated with an elevated risk of stroke. In ARIC-NCS, we aimed to 1) understand the independent relationship between pre-stroke CI (MCI or Dementia) and incident stroke; 2) explore mortality differences in stroke patients with vs without pre-stroke CI; and 3) evaluate modifiers of these relationships. Methods: 5434 stroke-free participants were evaluated for cognitive status at an in-person visit in 2011-13 (visit 5; ages 66-90), based on cognitive testing and informant interviews. Incident definite or probable strokes (ischemic or hemorrhagic) from visit 5 through 2022 were identified via ongoing surveillance (semi-annual telephone calls, with expert classification). Using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for demographics and vascular risk factors, we evaluated associations between CI (MCI or dementia) and incident stroke, and between CI and death among individuals with stroke. Finally, we tested effect modification by age at visit 5, sex, education, and race, via stratified models and formal interaction terms. Results: Compared to those without CI, individuals with CI (23%) were older (77 vs 75 years, p<0.001), and more frequently male (48% vs 40%). Over 10+ years, CI was independently associated with an increased risk of incident stroke (HR:1.52, 95% CI:1.18-1.96). Among individuals with stroke, risk of death was also higher in CI vs non-CI patients (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.27-2.50). In stratified analysis, we found a significant interaction by sex (p-interaction=0.04): in males, CI was associated with elevated stroke risk (HR:2.01, 95% CI:1.39-2.91) without a similar risk in females (HR:1.22, 95% CI:0.85-1.75). Interactions by race, age, and educational level were not statistically significant, but effect sizes were qualitatively larger in White participants and individuals with more education. Conclusion: CI is associated with incident stroke independent of shared risk factors, especially in men. This work adds to our understanding of populations at risk for stroke, thus aiding efforts to optimize stroke prevention in at-risk populations.

Abstract Faster gait speed and better endurance have been cross-sectionally and jointly associated with a lower likelihood of dementia. However, gait speed associations plateau above 1m/s, suggesting gait speed may be less predictive at near normal speeds. This study examined prospective associations of gait speed, endurance, and moderating effects of endurance on gait speed associations with incident dementia among ARIC participants without dementia at Visit 6 (2016-2017) who completed assessments of endurance ( 2- Minute Walk (2MW), meters) and usual-pace 4-meter gait speed (m/s) (n = 2767, mean age 78+/- 4.3 years, 43% male, 18% Black). Dementia was adjudicated using neuropsychological tests, functional assessments, informant interviews, and medical/vital record surveillance over a median of 3.3 years follow-up. Cox regression models estimated the hazard ratio (HR, 95% CI) for dementia, incorporating gait speed, 2MW, gait speed-by-2MW interaction, demographic, and cardiovascular factors. In separate models, each standard deviation higher 2MW [HR = 0.62, (0.50,0.76)] and faster gait speed [HR = 0.63, (0.50,0.81)] were associated with lower incident dementia risk. However, when jointly adjusting for 2MW and gait speed, higher 2MW was associated with a 32% lower incident dementia risk [HR = 0.68,(0.51, 0.90)], but faster gait speed was not statistically associated with incident dementia [HR = 0.85, (0.62,1.16)]. Moderating effects were not supported (gait speed-x-2MW interaction, p = 0.14). Although both endurance and gait speed predict dementia, endurance may be more informative across the gait speed spectrum, whereas gait speed may be more feasible for clinical settings. Longer follow-up and more dementia events may better inform differential utilities of gait speed and endurance measures.

Abstract Blood-based biomarkers show promise as a noninvasive method for measuring Alzheimer’s disease pathology and neurodegeneration throughout the lifecourse. However, the relationship between longitudinal changes in these biomarkers and late-life brain morphology in community-dwelling populations requires further investigation. Between 2011 and 2013, 1,977 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study received underwent 3 Tesla magnetic resonance imaging scans. Whole-brain cortical thickness was quantified by Freesurfer. Stored plasma samples collected in midlife (1993-95, mean age 59.0 years) and late-life (2011-13, mean age 76.8 years) from a subsample of 1,515 participants (60.7% female, 25.5% Black adults) were assayed in 2022 using Quanterix SiMoA. The assay quantified amyloid-β (Aβ)42/40, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 (p-Tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). Linear regression models estimated the association of blood-based biomarkers from midlife, late-life, and the change from midlife to late-life with cortical thickness in late-life. In models adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors, cardiovascular factors, and the presence of APOE ε4 alleles, higher midlife measures of p-Tau181 and increases from midlife to late-life in NfL and GFAP were associated with lower cortical thickness in late-life. Concurrent measures of p-Tau181, NfL, and GFAP were associated with lower cortical thickness in late-life and exhibited a stronger association among participants ≥75 years old compared to participants &lt;75 years old. Additional longitudinal research is needed to determine whether blood-based biomarkers predict cortical thinning over time and may serve as an early indicator of accelerated brain atrophy.

Introduction: Physical activity (PA) has been identified as a modifiable factor inversely associated with cognitive decline and dementia risk. However, most longitudinal studies to date have short follow-up and report inconsistent results on the benefit of PA to support brain health among older adults. In this study, we hypothesized that higher levels of PA measured in late life would be associated with slower rates of global and domain-specific cognitive decline and a lower risk of dementia over ~10 years in late life. Methods: Dementia-free participants (n=5,982; mean age: 76 years; 42% male, 23% Black) who completed the interviewer-administered Modified Baecke PA Questionnaire at ARIC visit 5 (2011-2013) were included. Using the PA component of the American Heart Association’s Life’s Simple 7, participants’ PA levels were categorized as ideal, intermediate, or poor. Cognitive tests were administered at ARIC visits 5 (2011-13), 6 (2016-17), 7 (2018-19), 8 (2020), and 9 (2021-22), and were used to calculate factor scores for global cognitive function and the domains of memory, language, and executive function. Linear mixed models estimated the association of PA with change in cognitive function. Dementia cases were defined by adjudicated review, telephone interviews, informant interviews, hospitalization records, and death certificates. Dementia risk was estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. All models adjusted for age, sex, race-center, education, APOE-ε4 allele, smoking, hypertension, body mass index, and diabetes. Results: Participants with ideal or intermediate PA, compared to poor PA, had slower rates of decline in global cognition, but no significant differences in rates of decline across individual cognitive domains. Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, participants with ideal (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.67) or intermediate (adjusted HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.91) PA had a reduced risk of dementia compared to participants with poor PA. Conclusions: Higher PA levels in late life demonstrated a protective association with long-term global cognitive decline and incident dementia. Although further research with more frequent and objective measures of PA is needed to determine the duration, frequency, and intensity of PA recommended to promote brain health in older adults, our findings suggest that promoting PA among aging populations offers a non-invasive and accessible approach to support brain health.

Abstract Brain imaging-based biomarkers of neuropathology are associated with mobility in older adults, but the relation of regional microstructural integrity to gait speed in the context of a broader neuropathological profile is less understood. We examined cross-sectional associations of microstructural integrity with 4-meter usual-pace gait speed (cm/s) in a subsample of ARIC study participants who completed 3T MRI brain scans with diffusion tensor imaging(2011-13; n=1785; mean age=76.2±5.3, 60% Female, 28% Black). We considered total brain and six regional averages of fractional anisotropy (FA; lower=worse microstructural integrity) and mean diffusivity (MD; higher=worse microstructural integrity): frontal, temporal, parietal, occipital, anterior and posterior corpus callosum. Associations were tested in multivariable linear regression models adjusted for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, and with and without additional neuropathological indices: total brain volume, white matter hyperintensities, infarcts, and microhemorrhages. When modeled separately, all neuropathology indices were associated with slower gait speed. Every standard deviation(SD) higher total brain FA was associated with +2.56 cm/s gait speed (95%CI: 1.64,3.48) and every SD higher MD was associated with -4.27 cm/s gait speed (-5.34,-3.20). All regional estimates were comparable. When adjusted for all other neuropathology indices, only posterior corpus callosum FA (β=1.72; 0.67,2.77), total MD (β=-1.63; -3.02,-0.25), frontal lobe MD (β=-1.76; -3.03,-0.48), and temporal lobe MD (β=-1.40; -2.78,-0.02) remained significantly associated with gait speed. Microstructural integrity is an informative measure of brain pathology in relation to mobility, with regional measures tied to executive, memory, and somatosensory function being more informative when a broader neuropathological profile is considered.

Introduction: Recent reports have linked visit-to-visit blood pressure (BP) variability to risk of mortality and stroke, independent of the effect of mean BP level. We sought to confirm these findings in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a cohort study of cardiovascular risk factors. Hypothesis: Variability in visit-to-visit SBP, defined as intraindividual SBP SD, is directly associated with risk of mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke, independent of intraindividual SBP mean and trend over time. Methods: Participants from CHS were eligible if they attended their first five annual clinic visits and did not have stroke, MI, or death by the 5th visit (N=3513). Follow-up started at the 5th visit and extended through June 2008. Analyses were further restricted to subjects who used no antihypertensive medications during the entire 5-year baseline period (non-users, n=1570) and subjects who used the same antihypertensive regimen during that time (users, n=978). Intraindividual SBP variables were defined using each subject’s 5-visit BPs. Cox proportional hazards models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HR) per standard deviation (SD) increase in intraindividual SD (iSD) SBP or intraindividual mean (iMean) SBP. Results were stratified on medication use or non-use. Results: Participants’ mean age was 71 years, 42% were men, and 95% were white. Mean(SD) of iSD SBP was 9.8(4.6) mmHg for anti-hypertensive medications non-users and 12.0(6.0) mmHg for users. iMean SBP was significantly associated with all 3 outcomes among non-users and with stroke among users (table). iSD SBP was significantly associated with mortality in all participants and with MI among non-users; associations for stroke were not significant. Conclusion: Long-term visit-to-visit SBP variability may be an important determinant of MI and mortality risk in the elderly. Results for stroke are not consistent with other, previous reports. More research is needed to determine the clinical implications.