Köbel, Martin

This cohort study evaluates the reduction in risk of high-grade serous carcinoma among women undergoing opportunistic bilateral salpingectomy in Canada.

Abstract BRCA-associated homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) is present in ~ 50% of high-grade serous carcinomas (HGSC) and predicts sensitivity to platinum-based therapy. However, there is little understanding of why some patients with BRCA-deficient tumors experience unexpectedly poor outcomes. We profiled 154 tumors, enriched for patients with BRCA-deficient tumors that experienced short overall survival (≤ 3 years, n = 42), using whole-genome, transcriptome, and methylation analyses. All but one BRCA-deficient tumor exceeded an accepted HRD genomic scarring threshold. However, patients with BRCA1-deficient HGSC with a more elevated HRD score survived significantly longer. Patients with BRCA2-deficient HGSC and loss of NF1 survived twice as long as those without NF1 loss, whereas PIK3CA or RAD21 amplification defined BRCA2-deficient HGSC with exceptionally short survival. BRCA1-deficient tumors in short survivors had evidence of immunosuppressive c-kit signaling and EMT. In a large HGSC cohort (n = 1,389) including 282 individuals with pathogenic germline BRCA variants (gBRCApv), the location of the mutation within functional domains stratified clinical outcomes. Notably, residual disease after primary surgery had limited prognostic effect in gBRCApv-carriers compared to non-carriers. Our findings indicate that tumor HR proficiency in the context of therapy response and survival is not a binary property, and highlight genomic and immune modifiers of outcomes in BRCA-deficient HGSC.

Abstract Despite homologous recombination (HR) deficiency being an important predictor of survival in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSC), its status is rarely considered in large-scale studies of prognostic signatures and biomarkers. We sought to develop a gene expression-based classifier of HR deficient (HRD) HGSCs, suitable for archival FFPE tumor samples, to determine whether established prognostic markers were dependent on HR status. Using 361 HGSCs from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) where HR status was defined by the genomic gold standard, a HRD score, we trained and tested a ridge penalized logistic regression model. This 218-gene mRNA expression signature was then applied in 6002 HGSCs from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis (OTTA) consortium to predict the probability of a sample being HRD. In this large cohort of FFPE samples, we sought to understand the relationship between HR and overall survival. Applying Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression modelling, adjusting for age and stratified by stage and study, we examined the relationship between HR status and the PrOTYPE subtype, SPOT prognostic score and other known prognostic markers in HGSC. Our machine learning model was 84% accurate in a held-out subset of the TCGA (n=73). Of the 6002 OTTA HGSCs, 40.4% were predicted to be HRD. These cases were significantly younger, were enriched for early stage (FIGO I/II) and had improved outcomes when compared to HR proficient (HRP) cases (hazard ratio [HZR]=0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.66-0.76, p<2x10-16). A linear increase in survival time was observed as the probability of a sample being HRD increased. HGSCs with >75% likelihood of being HRD had a median 5-year survival of 49.3% (95%CI=46.2-52.6%) which was a 17.7% increase from those with <25% likelihood. Both PrOTYPE and SPOT were significantly associated with survival, independent of HR status (p<2x10-16 and p<2x10-16 respectively). Notably the probability of being HRD was negatively correlated with an unfavorable SPOT score (R=-0.32, p<2x10-16), suggesting that SPOT partially captures the survival advantage of HR deficiency. Several individual biomarkers, assessed in 1248 to 2858 cases, showed HR dependent survival associations. HRD HGSCs with high GMNN expression had significantly improved, long-term outcomes (4-10years, HZR=0.39, 95%CI=0.20-0.78, p=0.01), and may be a marker of exceptional survival, while AR negative HRD cases had poorer outcomes, earlier in disease progression (0-4years, HZR=1.43, 95%CI=1.03-1.98, p=0.03). Significantly poorer prognoses were observed in HRP cases expressing PTEN (HZR=1.39, 95%CI=1.04-1.87, p=0.03), and in HRD cases with high expression of MyD88 (HZR=1.21, 95%CI=1.01-1.45, p=0.04). RB1 and FOXJ1 protein expression, and CD8+ T cell abundance were prognostic irrespective of HR status. Our study contributes to understanding the association between HR and HGSC survival in a statistically powered cohort and demonstrates heterogeneity in outcomes through clinically relevant prognostic signatures and biomarkers. Citation Format: Ashley L. Weir, Derek Chiu, Aline Talhouk, Mike S. Anglesio, Dale W. Garsed, Anna DeFazio, Holly H. Harris, Joellen M. Schildkraut, Andrew Berchuck, Ellen L. Goode, Paul D.P. Pharoah, David Huntsman, David Bowtell, Jen A. Doherty, Nadia M. Davidson, Martin Köbel, Susan J. Ramus. Homologous recombination DNA repair dependent survival associations in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma: an Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Advances in Ovarian Cancer Research; 2025 Sep 19-21; Denver, CO. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(18_Suppl):Abstract nr B046.

Abstract Introduction: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of opportunistic salpingectomy (OS), a procedure that aims to remove only the fallopian tubes of general population risk women, for the prevention of epithelial ovarian cancer. Currently, the method of prevention for individuals at high risk of ovarian cancer involves a bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (BSO), a procedure that removes both the fallopian tubes and ovaries. However, this procedure is not recommended for individuals of the general population, who make up about 80% of ovarian cancers, due to negative health implications to the cardiovascular and skeletal systems because of surgically induced menopause. The effectiveness of the OS in preventing ovarian cancers and how the procedure impacts the histotype distribution of ovarian cancers remains unknown. Study Methods: This study uses a population-based approach and a case-based approach to determine the effectiveness of OS and its impact on histotype distribution, respectively. For the population-based analysis, we will search through clinical databases to acquire cases of individuals who have had an OS and a tumor. A control population who have their fallopian tubes in-tact will also be acquired. A cox-proportional hazard analysis will be performed to determine the effectiveness of the procedure. Using pathological records, the case-based ascertainment of tumors from individuals who have had an OS will be selected and reviewed for histotype confirmation. Fallopian tubes of these patients will also be reviewed for precursor lesions. This cohort will be compared to a historical histotype distribution of ovarian cancers. Results: For the population-based approach, we have to date, identified less than five serous ovarian cancers in individuals who have had an OS (n=40, 477). A comparator surgery was used as a control and showed 21 cancers. For the case-based approach, we have partnered with 23 collaborating institutions from around the world to identify tumors in individuals who have had an OS. We have identified 26 epithelial ovarian cancers, with the most lethal gynecological histotype, high grade serous carcinoma (HGSC), accounting for 23.1% of the total proportion of epithelial ovarian cancer cases (n=6/26). This is significantly less than the historical histotype distribution of HGSC, which is 69.3% (Fisher’s exact test, p<0.0001). One HGSC case had a precursor lesion called a serous tubal intraepithelial carcinoma (STIC) while reviewing fallopian tubes of this individual. TP53 mutation analysis on one HGSC tumor sample showed a frameshift mutation in TP53 (c229fs) with the tumor and the corresponding STIC staining negative for p53 protein expression by immunohistochemistry. Conclusion: This evidence demonstrates the effectiveness of opportunistic salpingectomy for the prevention of ovarian cancer and shows a histotype distribution shift, with the most lethal gynecological malignancy having a significant reduction in cases following the procedure. Citation Format: Ramlogan Sowamber, Alice J. Mei, Paramdeep Kaur, Julianne McLeod, Emily McKay, Alex Lukey, Jamie Bakkum-Gamez, Natalia Buza, Paul Cohen, Kyle Devins, Rhonda Farrell, Christine Garcia, Blake Gilks, Ellen Goode, Anjelica Hodgson, Brooke Howitt, Pei Hui, Jutta Huvila, Anthony Karnezis, Kianoosh Keyhanian, Mary Kinloch, Martin Köbel, Felix KF. Kommoss, Lawrence Kushi, Janice S. Kwon, Kara Long-Roche, Anais Malpica, Jessica N. McAlpine, Dianne Miller, Esther Oliva, Andrea Palicelli, Aleksandra Paliga, Carlos Parra-Herran, Celeste Leigh Pearce, Sharnel Perera, Jurgen M. Piek, Haiyan Qiu, Joseph Rabban, Robert Rome, Miranda Steenbeek, Rebecca Stone, Aline Talhouk, Kristin M. Tischer, Britton Trabert, Penelope M. Webb, John R. Zalcberg, Gillian E. Hanley, David G. Huntsman. Evaluating the effectiveness of opportunistic salpingectomy (OS) for the prevention of epithelial ovarian cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Advances in Ovarian Cancer Research; 2025 Sep 19-21; Denver, CO. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(18_Suppl):Abstract nr B045.

BACKGROUND Despite an overall poor prognosis, about 15% of patients with advanced-stage tubo-ovarian high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC) survive 10 or more years after standard treatment. METHODS We evaluated the tumor microenvironment of this exceptional, understudied group using a large international cohort enriched for long-term survivors (LTS; 10+ years; n = 374) compared with mid-term (MTS; 5–7.99 years; n = 433) and short-term survivors (STS; 2–4.99 years; n = 416). Primary tumor samples were immunostained and scored for intraepithelial and intrastromal densities of 10 immune-cell subsets (including T cells, B cells, plasma cells, myeloid cells, PD-1 + cells, and PD-L1 + cells) and epithelial content. RESULTS Positive associations with LTS compared with STS were seen for 9 of 10 immune-cell subsets. In particular, the combination of intraepithelial CD8 + T cells and intrastromal B cells showed near 5-fold increased odds of LTS compared with STS. All of these associations were stronger in tumors with high epithelial content and/or the C4/Differentiated molecular subtype, despite immune-cell densities generally being higher in tumors with low epithelial content and/or the C2/Immunoreactive molecular subtype. CONCLUSION The tumor microenvironment of HGSC LTS is distinguished by the intersection of T and B cell coinfiltration, high epithelial content, and C4/differentiated molecular subtype, features which may inspire new approaches to immunotherapy. FUNDING Ovarian Cancer Research Program (OCRP) of the Congressionally Directed Medical Research Program (CDMRP), U.S. Department of Defense (DOD); American Cancer Society; BC Cancer Foundation; Canada’s Networks of Centres of Excellence; Canadian Cancer Society; Canadian Institutes of Health Research; Cancer Councils of New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia, and Tasmania, Cancer Foundation of Western Australia; Cancer Institute NSW; Cancer Research UK; Deutsche Forschungsgesellschaft; ELAN Funds of the University of Erlangen-Nuremberg; Fred C. and Katherine B. Andersen Foundation; Genome BC; German Cancer Research Center; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Programme of Clinical Biomedical Research; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Mayo Foundation; Minnesota Ovarian Cancer Alliance; Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad; Medical Research Council (MRC); National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences; National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (NHMRC); Ovarian Cancer Australia; Peter MacCallum Foundation; Sydney West Translational Cancer Research Centre; Terry Fox Research Institute; The Eve Appeal (The Oak Foundation); UK National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centres at the University of Cambridge; University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine; U.S. National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health; VGH & UBC Hospital Foundation; Victorian Cancer Agency.

Abstract Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate RB1 expression and survival across ovarian carcinoma histotypes and how co-occurrence of BRCA1 or BRCA2 (BRCA) alterations and RB1 loss influences survival in tubo-ovarian high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC). Experimental Design: RB1 protein expression was classified by immunohistochemistry in ovarian carcinomas of 7,436 patients from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium. We examined RB1 expression and germline BRCA status in a subset of 1,134 HGSC, and related genotype to overall survival (OS), tumor-infiltrating CD8+ lymphocytes, and transcriptomic subtypes. Using CRISPR-Cas9, we deleted RB1 in HGSC cells with and without BRCA1 alterations to model co-loss with treatment response. We performed whole-genome and transcriptome data analyses on 126 patients with primary HGSC to characterize tumors with concurrent BRCA deficiency and RB1 loss. Results: RB1 loss was associated with longer OS in HGSC but with poorer prognosis in endometrioid ovarian carcinoma. Patients with HGSC harboring both RB1 loss and pathogenic germline BRCA variants had superior OS compared with patients with either alteration alone, and their median OS was three times longer than those without pathogenic BRCA variants and retained RB1 expression (9.3 vs. 3.1 years). Enhanced sensitivity to cisplatin and paclitaxel was seen in BRCA1-altered cells with RB1 knockout. Combined RB1 loss and BRCA deficiency correlated with transcriptional markers of enhanced IFN response, cell-cycle deregulation, and reduced epithelial–mesenchymal transition. CD8+ lymphocytes were most prevalent in BRCA-deficient HGSC with co-loss of RB1. Conclusions: Co-occurrence of RB1 loss and BRCA deficiency was associated with exceptionally long survival in patients with HGSC, potentially due to better treatment response and immune stimulation.

Abstract Purpose: Endometrioid ovarian carcinoma (ENOC) is the second most-common type of ovarian carcinoma, comprising 10%–20% of cases. Recently, the study of ENOC has benefitted from comparisons to endometrial carcinomas including defining ENOC with four prognostic molecular subtypes. Each subtype suggests differential mechanisms of progression, although tumor-initiating events remain elusive. There is evidence that the ovarian microenvironment may be critical to early lesion establishment and progression. However, while immune infiltrates have been well studied in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma, studies in ENOC are limited. Experimental Design: We report on 210 ENOC, with clinical follow-up and molecular subtype annotation. Using multiplex IHC and immunofluorescence, we examine the prevalence of T-cell lineage, B-cell lineage, macrophages, and populations with programmed cell death protein 1 or programmed death-ligand 1 across subtypes of ENOC. Results: Immune cell infiltrates in tumor epithelium and stroma showed higher densities in ENOC subtypes with known high mutation burden (POLEmut and MMRd). While molecular subtypes were prognostically significant, immune infiltrates were not (overall survival P > 0.2). Analysis by molecular subtype revealed that immune cell density was prognostically significant in only the no specific molecular profile (NSMP) subtype, where immune infiltrates lacking B cells (TILB minus) had inferior outcome (disease-specific survival: HR, 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.1–14.7; P < 0.05). Similar to endometrial carcinomas, molecular subtype stratification was generally superior to immune response in predicting outcomes. Conclusions: Subtype stratification is critical for better understanding of ENOC, in particular the distribution and prognostic significance of immune cell infiltrates. The role of B cells in the immune response within NSMP tumors warrants further study.

AbstractOur objective was to test whether p53 expression status is associated with survival for women diagnosed with the most common ovarian carcinoma histotypes (high‐grade serous carcinoma [HGSC], endometrioid carcinoma [EC], and clear cell carcinoma [CCC]) using a large multi‐institutional cohort from the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis (OTTA) consortium. p53 expression was assessed on 6,678 cases represented on tissue microarrays from 25 participating OTTA study sites using a previously validated immunohistochemical (IHC) assay as a surrogate for the presence and functional effect of TP53 mutations. Three abnormal expression patterns (overexpression, complete absence, and cytoplasmic) and the normal (wild type) pattern were recorded. Survival analyses were performed by histotype. The frequency of abnormal p53 expression was 93.4% (4,630/4,957) in HGSC compared to 11.9% (116/973) in EC and 11.5% (86/748) in CCC. In HGSC, there were no differences in overall survival across the abnormal p53 expression patterns. However, in EC and CCC, abnormal p53 expression was associated with an increased risk of death for women diagnosed with EC in multivariate analysis compared to normal p53 as the reference (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.36–3.47, p = 0.0011) and with CCC (HR = 1.57, 95% CI 1.11–2.22, p = 0.012). Abnormal p53 was also associated with shorter overall survival in The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage I/II EC and CCC. Our study provides further evidence that functional groups of TP53 mutations assessed by abnormal surrogate p53 IHC patterns are not associated with survival in HGSC. In contrast, we validate that abnormal p53 IHC is a strong independent prognostic marker for EC and demonstrate for the first time an independent prognostic association of abnormal p53 IHC with overall survival in patients with CCC.

Abstract Background: Better understanding of prognostic factors in tubo-ovarian high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC) is critical, as diagnosis confers an aggressive disease course. Variation in tumor DNA methylation shows promise predicting outcome, yet prior studies were largely platform-specific and unable to evaluate multiple molecular features. Methods: We analyzed genome-wide DNA methylation in 1,040 frozen HGSC, including 325 previously reported upon, seeking a multi-platform quantitative methylation signature that we evaluated in relation to clinical features, tumor characteristics, time to recurrence/death, extent of CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), gene expression molecular subtypes, and gene expression of the ATP-binding cassette transporter TAP1. Results: Methylation signature was associated with shorter time to recurrence, independent of clinical factors (N = 715 new set, hazard ratio (HR), 1.65; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10–2.46; P = 0.015; N = 325 published set HR, 2.87; 95% CI, 2.17–3.81; P = 2.2 × 10−13) and remained prognostic after adjustment for gene expression molecular subtype and TAP1 expression (N = 599; HR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.66–2.95; P = 4.1 × 10−8). Methylation signature was inversely related to CD8+ TIL levels (P = 2.4 × 10−7) and TAP1 expression (P = 0.0011) and was associated with gene expression molecular subtype (P = 5.9 × 10−4) in covariate-adjusted analysis. Conclusions: Multi-center analysis identified a novel quantitative tumor methylation signature of HGSC applicable to numerous commercially available platforms indicative of shorter time to recurrence/death, adjusting for other factors. Along with immune cell composition analysis, these results suggest a role for DNA methylation in the immunosuppressive microenvironment. Impact: This work aids in identification of targetable epigenome processes and stratification of patients for whom tailored treatment may be most beneficial.

Abstract Background The role of ovulation in epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is supported by the consistent protective effects of parity and oral contraceptive use. Whether these factors protect through anovulation alone remains unclear. We explored the association between lifetime ovulatory years (LOY) and EOC. Methods LOY was calculated using 12 algorithms. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) estimated the association between LOY or LOY components and EOC among 26 204 control participants and 21 267 case patients from 25 studies. To assess whether LOY components act through ovulation suppression alone, we compared beta coefficients obtained from regression models with expected estimates assuming 1 year of ovulation suppression has the same effect regardless of source. Results LOY was associated with increased EOC risk (OR per year increase = 1.014, 95% CI = 1.009 to 1.020 to OR per year increase = 1.044, 95% CI = 1.041 to 1.048). Individual LOY components, except age at menarche, also associated with EOC. The estimated model coefficient for oral contraceptive use and pregnancies were 4.45 times and 12- to 15-fold greater than expected, respectively. LOY was associated with high-grade serous, low-grade serous, endometrioid, and clear cell histotypes (ORs per year increase = 1.054, 1.040, 1.065, and 1.098, respectively) but not mucinous tumors. Estimated coefficients of LOY components were close to expected estimates for high-grade serous but larger than expected for low-grade serous, endometrioid, and clear cell histotypes. Conclusions LOY is positively associated with nonmucinous EOC. Differences between estimated and expected model coefficients for LOY components suggest factors beyond ovulation underlie the associations between LOY components and EOC in general and for non-HGSOC.