Butler, Javed

At a time when there was no unifying hypothesis and no broadly effective treatments for heart failure with a preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), it was proposed that HFpEF represented a multitude of different disorders. Accordingly, characterization of phenotypic heterogeneity was envisioned as a means of identifying novel causal pathways that could lead to new treatments while simultaneously discerning patients who would selectively benefit from a specific therapy. However, efforts over the past decade to characterize phenotypic diversity in diverse and complex ways have not achieved these goals. Subgroup analyses of neutral HFpEF trials have failed to reliably identify responders to treatments. Neither proteomics nor unsupervised cluster analysis across multiple phenotypic domains has yielded reproducible results (even in the same dataset), elucidated novel mechanistic pathways for new drug development, or identified patients most likely to benefit from treatment. In marked contrast to these efforts to characterize phenotypic heterogeneity, large-scale trials in HFpEF enrolled patients using broad eligibility criteria, and they established the benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists without evidence for subgroup effects. However, it is noteworthy that patients enrolled in recent large-scale HFpEF trials were characterized by general uniformity with respect to the presence of excess adiposity, with central obesity being a feature of the vast majority of enrolled participants. Of note, patients with obesity showed particularly large benefits when treated with effective drugs for HFpEF. These observations raise the possibility that, if these trials had permitted the participation of patients with class III obesity or with lower natriuretic peptide levels, the magnitude of the observed treatment effects might have been greater than originally reported. These findings are consistent with a central role for visceral adiposity (and the secretion of an altered suite of adipokines) in the pathogenesis of HFpEF. Therefore, because the field of HFpEF has a unifying hypothesis (applicable to the large majority of patients), enrolled a broad population of patients in large-scale trials without subgroup interactions, and has several broadly applicable effective treatments (as is true for heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction), the motivation to characterize phenotypic heterogeneity in HFpEF in complex ways may no longer be supported or needed.

Abstract Background Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a heterogeneous syndrome comprising multiple pathophysiological phenotypes. HFpEF trials have largely enrolled diverse populations and reported average treatment effects, consistently yielding neutral results that may obscure drug-specific benefits within distinct subgroups. To address this issue, we employ an interaction-based that incorporates treatment-by-variable interactions to uncover drug-specific responses. Methods We leveraged four HFpEF clinical trials (TOPCAT, RELAX, NEAT-HFpEF, INDIE-HFpEF) and developed a framework comprising two complementary approaches. The first employed a prognostic responder model to evaluate whether conventional responder definitions reflect treatment-specific benefit or instead capture favorable clinical trajectories common to both treatment and placebo groups. The second used an interaction-based individual treatment effect (ITE) modeling to identify baseline variables that modify therapy effect, distinguishing drug-specific response from prognostic phenotypes. Results Although the prognostic responder model demonstrated good discrimination, further analisys suggested it primarily captured a prognostic signal associated with favorable clinical trajectories common to both treatment and placebo arms. In contrast, the ITE model identified distinct, drug-specific effect modifiers across trials (cardiorenal-inflammatory for spironolactone (TOPCAT), NO-mediated anti-inflammatory for isosorbide mononitrate (NEAT-HFpEF), afterload-reducing for inorganic nitrite (INDIE-HFpEF), and anti–volume-overload for sildenafil (RELAX). Each ITE model demonstrated significance only within its own trial suggesting drug-specific signal. Conclusions The proposed method identifies mechanism-specific effect modifiers, and uncovers clinically meaningful heterogeneity in treatment response, which is not captured by conventional MCID-based approaches. Although exploratory, these findings support phenotype-guided therapy in HFpEF and argue for phenotype-informed trial design to enhance treatment-effect detection and therapy targeting. Graphical Abstract

BACKGROUND: Acoramidis achieves near-complete (≥90%) transthyretin stabilization and is approved to reduce cardiovascular-related mortality and hospitalization in transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy. Its effects on kidney function are not well characterized. METHODS: Data from randomized phase 2 (N=49) and phase 3 (N=632) studies in transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy were included. The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope was generated using a linear spline mixed-effects model. The urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio was measured longitudinally. Relationships between changes in kidney function and clinical outcomes were explored using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Acoramidis initiation resulted in a modest acute dip in eGFR that was dose-dependent, reversible, and not associated with adverse kidney-related events. At Day 28, the mean (±SE) dip in eGFR from baseline with acoramidis was 8.5±0.48 mL/min per 1.73 m 2 ; the placebo-corrected reduction in the urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio was 15.5% (95% CI, 0.4%–28.4%; P =0.044). The rate of decline in kidney function (chronic eGFR slope) was significantly improved with acoramidis versus placebo (−1.01 versus −3.48 mL/min per 1.73 m 2 per year; P <0.001), and the reduction in the urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio was sustained (13.7% [95% CI, 1.7%–24.2%]; P =0.026) over time. Concomitant tafamidis use did not influence the chronic eGFR slope in either arm. Comparing acoramidis versus placebo subgroups with acute eGFR dips ≥ the median (4.89 mL/min per 1.73 m 2 ) favored acoramidis for all-cause mortality or cardiovascular-related hospitalization (hazard ratio, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.22–0.78]; P =0.006; P interaction=0.043) and cardiovascular-related hospitalization (hazard ratio, 0.34 [95% CI, 0.17–0.66]; P =0.002, P interaction=0.025). Within the placebo arm, eGFR dips portended worse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Acoramidis initiation resulted in an acute dip in eGFR and reductions in both the chronic eGFR slope and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio versus placebo without adverse kidney-related events. Acoramidis effects on kidney function may be mediated through direct kidney-protective hemodynamic effects. Importantly, the acute dip in eGFR was associated with a reduced risk of adverse clinical outcomes within the first year. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifiers: NCT03458130, NCT03536767, NCT03860935, NCT04988386.

Abstract Background and Aims Whether hemodynamic and symptomatic benefits of the APTURE left atrial-to-coronary sinus shunt translate into clinical outcome benefit in heart failure with left ventricular ejection fraction &gt;40% remains unknown. Methods In this post hoc analysis of ALT-FLOW EFS patients undergoing APTURE implantation, Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score-predicted 1-year all-cause mortality was compared with observed mortality by Kaplan-Meier analysis of adjudicated events. Heart failure hospitalization (HFH) rates were compared for the 12 months before vs after implantation. Additional analyses included stratification by baseline sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) use and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), recurrent HFH cumulative hazard estimation (Nelson-Aalen), and H2FPEF score calculation. Results Among 95 patients (mean age 70.9 ± 8.5 years; 50% women; 93% New York Heart Association Class III; 85.9% with H2FPEF score &gt;3), MAGGIC-predicted 1-year mortality was 13.0%. Observed 1-year survival was significantly higher than predicted (94.7% vs 87.0%; P=0.04), consistent across SGLT2i subgroups (log-rank P=0.59). The proportion of patients with HFH declined from 37.9% pre implantation to 9.6% post implantation (P&lt;0.0001), with event rates falling from 0.61 to 0.21 per patient-year (P&lt;0.001) and a 1-year cumulative hazard of recurrent HFH of 0.19 (95% confidence interval, 0.12-0.31). HFHs were evenly distributed across NT-proBNP strata. Conclusions In ALT-FLOW EFS, observed 1-year mortality was lower than MAGGIC-predicted mortality, and post implantation HFH rates were lower than pre implantation rates. These hypothesis-generating findings will require confirmation in the randomized, sham-controlled ALT-FLOW II trial.

Abstract Introduction Left atrial-to-coronary sinus (LA-to-CS) shunting through the APTURE transcatheter shunt system aims to unload the LA while preserving the interatrial septum. This article aims to examine the 3-year health status, functional capacity, and clinical outcomes of the ALT-FLOW Early Feasibility Study (EFS). Methods Device safety, patency, and echocardiographic parameters, but also symptoms, health status, and exercise capacity were assessed in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) &gt; 40% (n & 95). Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score predicted 3-year all-cause mortality was compared with observed mortality assessed by Kaplan–Meier analysis using adjudicated events. Predicted and observed HF hospitalization (HFH)-free survival rates were also compared. Results At 3 years, the safety profile remained stable with no new safety signals, and all implanted shunts remained patent. 76.3% of patients improved by at least one NYHA class, and mean KCCQ Overall Summary Scores increased by 25 points from baseline (P &lt; .0001). The 6-min walk distance improved by an average of 39 m (P & .002). These benefits were consistent regardless of baseline pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR). Right heart echocardiographic parameters after 3 years were stable, though a reduction in TAPSE was observed, primarily in the high PVR subgroup. The observed 3-year survival was significantly higher than the MAGGIC-predicted survival (84.4% vs 70.2, respectively; P & .009), as well as the HFH-free survival (68.0% vs 24.0%, respectively; P &lt; 0001). Conclusion In patients with HF and LVEF &gt;40%, the APTURE LA-to-CS shunting confirmed an acceptable safety profile with stable right heart parameters and sustained improvements in symptoms, quality of life, and functional capacity at 3 years. Observed survival and HFH were superior to MAGGIC predictions.

Abstract Aims Heart failure (HF) with preserved (HFpEF) and mildly reduced (HFmrEF) ejection fraction are prevalent, yet frequently underdiagnosed syndromes associated with high morbidity and mortality, impaired quality of life, and escalating healthcare expenditures. Although guideline-directed medications like SGLT2 inhibitors have been shown to reduce the risk of hospitalization and cardiovascular death, their use remains limited and substantial residual risk persists. This trial aims to evaluate the safety and performance of a novel left-atrium-to-coronary-sinus shunt (Edwards APTURE transcatheter shunt system) in HFpEF and HFmrEF patients. Methods ALT-FLOW II is a prospective multi-centre, randomized, sham-controlled, double-blinded (patient and assessor) trial. Approximately 100 symptomatic HF patients aged ≥18 years with left ventricular ejection fraction &gt;40% and exercise pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) ≥25 mm Hg with a PCWP to right atrial pressure gradient ≥8 mm Hg will be randomized 1:1 to the APTURE shunt vs sham control. Key exclusion criteria include severe HF, significant valvular disease, and more than mild right ventricular dysfunction. The primary endpoints are the safety of the APTURE device at 30 days and change in workload-corrected PCWP normalized to bodyweight at 6 months. Secondary endpoints include changes in patient-reported outcomes, and hemodynamic and echocardiographic parameters through 5 years. The trial will also explore the impact of the device on short-term cardiac remodelling and intra-cardiac flow patterns using multi-modality imaging. Conclusions The ALT-FLOW II trial will evaluate the safety and performance of the APTURE system in symptomatic HFpEF and HFmrEF patients with elevated left atrial pressure.

Abstract Background The prevalence of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) increases with age, and older adults with HFpEF have worse physical function, quality of life, and clinical outcomes. Semaglutide demonstrated efficacy in the treatment of obesity-related HFpEF in the STEP-HFpEF trials. Some have speculated that older patients may have less to gain from incretin therapies (and perhaps more to lose) than younger patients. Aims In this pre-specified pooled subanalysis of the STEP-HFpEF trials, we evaluated the efficacy of semaglutide across the age spectrum. Methods The STEP-HFpEF and STEP-HFpEF DM trials enrolled participants with obesity-related HFpEF and randomized them to semaglutide 2.4 mg once weekly (n = 573) or placebo (n = 572) for 52 weeks. Dual primary outcomes (change in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire clinical summary score [KCCQ-CSS] and change in body weight) and secondary outcome measures (6-minute walk distance [6MWD], C-reactive protein, hierarchical composite endpoint containing all-cause death, heart failure events, changes in KCCQ-CSS and 6MWD) were compared across specific age groups; &lt;55 years, 55–64 years, 65–74 years and ≥75 years. Results Among 1145 randomized participants, 8.8% (N = 101) were &lt;55, 23.3% (N = 267) were aged between 55–64, 42.4% (N = 485) were between 65–74, and 25.5% (N = 292) were 75 years or over. The efficacy of semaglutide on the dual primary endpoints was consistent across the age spectrum, KCCQ-CSS (p-interaction = 0.80), and body weight (p-interaction = 0.41). Similar benefits were observed for the key secondary endpoints, with no treatment effect heterogeneity across age groups. Moreover, the safety of semaglutide was consistent across age groups. Conclusion In patients with HFpEF enrolled across the STEP-HFpEF and STEP-HFpEF DM trials, treatment with semaglutide improved disease-specific symptoms, physical function and reduced body weight across the age spectrum. The safety profile of semaglutide was consistent in older and younger patients.

Abstract Aims The efficacy and safety of vericiguat in patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) on contemporary heart failure (HF) therapies and without recent worsening was investigated in the VICTOR trial, yet some subgroups may be more susceptible to symptomatic hypotension. Methods and results Among VICTOR trial participants that received at least one dose of study drug or placebo, we describe the systolic blood pressure (SBP) trajectories over time (mean change from baseline), symptomatic hypotension events and efficacy of vericiguat in potentially vulnerable patient subgroups: lower baseline blood pressure (SBP ≤110 mmHg), older patients (&gt;75 years) and those taking angiotensin receptor–neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI) or sodium–glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) at baseline. The efficacy outcomes of cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death alone across baseline SBP were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. Overall SBP trajectories showed a small initial decline from baseline in vericiguat-treated patients compared with placebo (placebo-corrected differences of −1.17 [−1.84, −0.50], p = 0.0007) that was relatively stable throughout follow-up. This trajectory was similar in those &gt;75 years (vs. younger) as well as those receiving ARNI or SGLT2i (as compared with those not receiving these) or those with SBP ≤110 mmHg at baseline (compared with &gt;110 mmHg). Symptomatic hypotension occurred in 11.3% of vericiguat-treated patients compared with 9.2% of placebo-treated patients with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.24 (95% confidence interval 1.06–1.46), which was similar across age, SBP, SGLT2i and ARNI groups (all interaction p &gt;0.05). The treatment effect of vericiguat compared with placebo on the efficacy outcomes was similar across the spectrum of baseline SBP (both interaction p &gt;0.15). Conclusions Vericiguat showed a slight adjusted decrease in SBP and resulted in more symptomatic hypotension compared with placebo but was overall well-tolerated in a broad population with HFrEF on contemporary therapy even among those predisposed to hypotension. Treatment effects on efficacy outcomes were consistent regardless of baseline SBP.

Abstract Background and Aims In the VICTOR trial (NCT05093933), vericiguat was neutral for the primary composite endpoint of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure (HF). VICTOR was powered to independently assess cardiovascular death. This study reports detailed analysis on the effects of vericiguat on mortality. Methods VICTOR, a double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial, enrolled 6105 ambulatory patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) without recent worsening and randomized them to vericiguat or placebo. The main outcome for this analysis was the pre-specified secondary endpoint of cardiovascular death. All-cause death, sudden cardiac death, and death related to HF were also assessed. Results Over a median of 19.7 months (inter-quartile range 14.6–25.4), cardiovascular deaths occurred in 292 patients (5.7 deaths per 100 patient-years) and 346 patients (6.8 deaths per 100 patient-years) in the vericiguat and placebo groups, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71–0.97; P = .020). Risk of death from any cause was lower with vericiguat vs placebo (377 [7.3 deaths per 100 patient-years] vs 440 [8.6 deaths per 100 patient-years]; HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74–0.97; P = .015). Sudden cardiac death and HF-related deaths were lower with vericiguat vs placebo (1.6 vs 2.2 events per 100 patient-years; HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.56–0.99; P = .042 and 1.7 vs 2.4 events per 100 patient-years; HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.54–0.94; P = .016, respectively). Lower mortality rates were consistent across subgroups including baseline therapy. Consistent cardiovascular and all-cause mortality benefit was seen across baseline N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels. Conclusions In ambulatory well-treated participants with HFrEF, vericiguat was associated with clinically meaningful reductions in the key secondary outcome of cardiovascular death, as well as all-cause mortality.