Sharma, Kavita

Abstract Background Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a heterogeneous syndrome comprising multiple pathophysiological phenotypes. HFpEF trials have largely enrolled diverse populations and reported average treatment effects, consistently yielding neutral results that may obscure drug-specific benefits within distinct subgroups. To address this issue, we employ an interaction-based that incorporates treatment-by-variable interactions to uncover drug-specific responses. Methods We leveraged four HFpEF clinical trials (TOPCAT, RELAX, NEAT-HFpEF, INDIE-HFpEF) and developed a framework comprising two complementary approaches. The first employed a prognostic responder model to evaluate whether conventional responder definitions reflect treatment-specific benefit or instead capture favorable clinical trajectories common to both treatment and placebo groups. The second used an interaction-based individual treatment effect (ITE) modeling to identify baseline variables that modify therapy effect, distinguishing drug-specific response from prognostic phenotypes. Results Although the prognostic responder model demonstrated good discrimination, further analisys suggested it primarily captured a prognostic signal associated with favorable clinical trajectories common to both treatment and placebo arms. In contrast, the ITE model identified distinct, drug-specific effect modifiers across trials (cardiorenal-inflammatory for spironolactone (TOPCAT), NO-mediated anti-inflammatory for isosorbide mononitrate (NEAT-HFpEF), afterload-reducing for inorganic nitrite (INDIE-HFpEF), and anti–volume-overload for sildenafil (RELAX). Each ITE model demonstrated significance only within its own trial suggesting drug-specific signal. Conclusions The proposed method identifies mechanism-specific effect modifiers, and uncovers clinically meaningful heterogeneity in treatment response, which is not captured by conventional MCID-based approaches. Although exploratory, these findings support phenotype-guided therapy in HFpEF and argue for phenotype-informed trial design to enhance treatment-effect detection and therapy targeting. Graphical Abstract

BACKGROUND: Plasma NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) is commonly used to diagnose heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), but its diagnostic performance in the ambulatory/outpatient setting is unknown because previous studies lacked objective reference standards. METHODS: Among patients with chronic dyspnea, diagnosis of HFpEF or noncardiac dyspnea was determined conclusively by exercise catheterization in a derivation cohort (n=414), multicenter validation cohort 1 (n=560), validation cohort 2 (n=207), and a nonobese Japanese validation cohort 3 (n=77). Optimal NT-proBNP cut points for HFpEF rule out (optimizing sensitivity) and rule in (optimizing specificity) were derived and tested, stratified by obesity and atrial fibrillation. Derived cut points were tested in 3 additional validation cohorts (cohorts 4–6) in whom HFpEF was diagnosed by resting catheterization only (n=260), previous hospitalization for heart failure (n=447), or exercise echocardiography (n=517), respectively. RESULTS: Current recommended rule-out NT-proBNP threshold <125 pg/mL had 82% sensitivity (95% CI, 77%–88%) with a body mass index (BMI) <35 kg/m 2 , decreasing to 67% (95% CI, 58%–77%) with a BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 . A lower rule-out NT-proBNP threshold <50 pg/mL displayed good sensitivity with a BMI <35 kg/m 2 (97% [95% CI, 95%–99%]), with a modest decline in sensitivity with a BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 (86% [95% CI, 79%–93%]); diagnostic thresholds were confirmed in validation cohorts 1 and 2 (91% [95% CI, 88%–95%] and 86% [95% CI, 80%–93%] with a BMI <35 kg/m 2 ; 80% [95% CI, 74%–87%] and 84% [95% CI, 74%–93%] with a BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 ). Current consensus age- and BMI-stratified rule-in thresholds demonstrated only 65% specificity (95% CI, 57%–72%). Rule-in NT-proBNP threshold ≥500 pg/mL had 85% specificity (95% CI, 78%–91%) with a BMI <35 kg/m 2 (87% [95% CI, 80%–94%] and 90% [95% CI, 81%–99%] in validation cohorts), with 100% specificity at a BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 (93% [95% CI, 81%–100%] and 100% in validation cohorts). With a BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 , lower rule-in thresholds (≥220 pg/mL) provided good specificity (88% [95% CI, 73%–100%]; 93% [95% CI, 81%–100%] and 100% in validation cohorts). Findings were consistent in validation cohorts 3 through 6 (sensitivity of <50 pg/mL, 93%–98%; specificity of ≥500 pg/mL, 82%–89%). NT-proBNP provided no incremental discrimination among patients with history of AF; ≥98% of patients with AF and dyspnea were found to have HFpEF in our cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic unexplained dyspnea, current rule-in and rule-out NT-proBNP diagnostic thresholds lead to unacceptably high error rates, with important interactions by obesity and AF status. In our study, NT-proBNP provided little value in those with AF and dyspnea because the presence of AF is by itself a robust biomarker of HFpEF. Use of separate rule-in and rule-out diagnostic thresholds stratified by BMI reduces miscategorization and can guide more appropriate use of exercise testing for possible HFpEF.

Introduction: Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) have a high burden of comorbidities. To recognize the complex interplay of obesity, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with cardiovascular disease, the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome was recently defined, but data on the burden of CKM in HFpEF is limited. Aim: We sought to describe the prevalence of CKM components in HFpEF leveraging data from control participants in clinical trials and NHANES. Methods: We analyzed data presented in publications from four randomized clinical trials that enrolled participants with HFpEF (all of which are available via NHLBI BioLINCC and will be included in the extant HeartShare dataset): TOPCAT, RELAX, NEAT-HFpEF, and INDIE. We abstracted baseline demographic and clinical variables from study publications to define CKM components (e.g., body mass index [BMI], diabetes status, hypertension, CKD status). We compared prevalence of CKM in these trials with a representative sample of US adults with self-reported history of heart failure (HF) from NHANES 2011-2018. Results: We included 1937 patients with HFpEF from four trials with enrollment between 2006-2016 and 715 adults representing 5.6 million adults aged ≥40 years with a self-report of HF between 2011-2018 from NHANES ( Table ). Mean age was similar among enrolled trial participants with HFpEF and those with HF in NHANES (~68-69 years). Mean BMI was in the obesity range and was similar among trial participants with HFpEF and HF in NHANES (31-35 kg/m 2 ). A significant proportion of individuals had hypertension in HFpEF trials (>80%) and in the NHANES sample with HF (89%). The proportion of stage ≥ 3 CKD in HFpEF trials (≥ 37%) was similar to the NHANES sample with HF (37%). Results are shown in Table . Conclusions: Patients with HFpEF enrolled in clinical trials and those with HF in general population are significantly enriched with CKM components that may contribute to morbidity and mortality. Similar prevalence estimates were observed despite variability in trial inclusion criteria and heterogeneity in defining HFpEF and highlight CKM as a central target for HFpEF management.

BACKGROUND: Mechanisms of benefit with SGLT2is (sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors) in heart failure (HF) remain incompletely characterized. Dapagliflozin alters ketone and fatty acid metabolism in HF with reduced ejection fraction though similar effects have not been observed in HF with preserved ejection fraction. We explore whether metabolic effects of SGLT2is vary across the left ventricular ejection fraction spectrum and their relationship with cardiometabolic end points in 2 randomized trials of dapagliflozin in HF. METHODS: Metabolomic profiling of 61 metabolites was performed in 527 participants from DEFINE-HF (Dapagliflozin Effects on Biomarkers, Symptoms and Functional Status in Patients With HF With Reduced Ejection Fraction) and PRESERVED-HF (Dapagliflozin in PRESERVED Ejection Fraction HF; 12-week, placebo-controlled trials of dapagliflozin in HF with reduced ejection fraction and HF with preserved ejection fraction, respectively). Linear regression was used to assess changes in principal components analysis–defined metabolite factors with treatment from baseline to 12 weeks, as well as the relationship between changes in metabolite clusters and HF-related end points. RESULTS: The mean age was 66±11 years, 43% were female, and 33% were self-identified as Black. Two principal components analysis–derived metabolite factors (which were comprised of ketone and short-/medium-chain acylcarnitines) increased with dapagliflozin compared with placebo. Ketosis (defined as 3-hydroxybutyrate >500 μM) was achieved in 4.5% with dapagliflozin versus 1.2% with placebo ( P =0.03). There were no appreciable treatment effects on amino acids, including branched-chain amino acids. Increases in several acylcarnitines were consistent across LVEF ( P interaction >0.10), whereas the ketogenic effect diminished at higher LVEF ( P interaction =0.01 for 3-hydroxybutyrate). Increases in metabolites reflecting mitochondrial dysfunction (particularly long-chain acylcarnitines) and aromatic amino acids and decreases in branched-chain amino acids were associated with worse HF-related outcomes in the overall cohort, with consistency across treatment and LVEF. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2is demonstrate common (fatty acid) and distinct (ketogenic) metabolic signatures across the LVEF spectrum. Changes in key pathways related to fatty acid and amino acid metabolism are associated with HF-related end points and may serve as therapeutic targets across HF subtypes. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique Identifiers: NCT03030235 and NCT02653482.

Abstract Background and Aims In the STEP-HFpEF trial programme, treatment with semaglutide resulted in multiple beneficial effects in patients with obesity-related heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Efficacy may vary according to baseline diuretic use, and semaglutide treatment could modify diuretic dose. Methods In this pre-specified analysis of pooled data from the STEP-HFpEF and STEP-HFpEF-DM trials (n = 1145), which randomized participants with HFpEF and body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2 to once weekly semaglutide 2.4 mg or placebo for 52 weeks, we examined whether efficacy and safety endpoints differed by baseline diuretic use, as well as the effect of semaglutide on loop diuretic use and dose changes over the 52-week treatment period. Results At baseline, across no diuretic (n = 220), non-loop diuretic only (n = 223), and loop diuretic [&lt;40 (n = 219), 40 (n = 309), and &gt;40 (n = 174) mg/day furosemide equivalents] groups, there was progressively higher prevalence of hypertension and atrial fibrillation; and greater severity of obesity and heart failure. Over 52 weeks of treatment, semaglutide had a consistent beneficial effect on change in body weight across diuretic use categories (adjusted mean difference vs. placebo ranged from −8.8% [95% confidence interval (CI) −10.3, −6.3] to −6.9% [95% CI −9.1, −4.7] from no diuretics to the highest loop diuretic dose category; interaction P = .39). Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire clinical summary score improvement was greater in patients on loop diuretics compared to those not on loop diuretics (adjusted mean difference vs. placebo: +9.3 [6.5; 12.1] vs. +4.7 points [1.3, 8.2]; P = .042). Semaglutide had consistent beneficial effects on all secondary efficacy endpoints (including 6 min walk distance) across diuretic subgroups (interaction P = .24–.92). Safety also favoured semaglutide vs. placebo across the diuretic subgroups. From baseline to 52 weeks, loop diuretic dose decreased by 17% in the semaglutide group vs. a 2.4% increase in the placebo group (P &lt; .0001). Semaglutide (vs. placebo) was more likely to result in loop diuretic dose reduction (odds ratio [OR] 2.67 [95% CI 1.70, 4.18]) and less likely dose increase (OR 0.35 [95% CI 0.23, 0.53]; P &lt; .001 for both) from baseline to 52 weeks. Conclusions In patients with obesity-related HFpEF, semaglutide improved heart failure-related symptoms and physical limitations across diuretic use subgroups, with more pronounced benefits among patients receiving loop diuretics at baseline. Reductions in weight and improvements in exercise function with semaglutide vs. placebo were consistent in all diuretic use categories. Semaglutide also led to a reduction in loop diuretic use and dose between baseline and 52 weeks. Clinical Trial Registration NCT04788511 and NCT04916470.

Background: Sodium-glucose co-transport-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have been shown to reduce clinical events and improve health status (symptoms, function, and quality of life) in patients with HF across the range of EF. Baseline kidney dysfunction is common in HF, complicates HF management, and is strongly linked to worse health status. Aim: The study objective was to assess whether the treatment effects of dapagliflozin on health status vary based on baseline eGFR. Methods: Patient-level data were pooled from the DEFINE-HF (N = 263 participants with EF < 40%) and PRESERVED-HF trials (N = 324 participants with EF > 45%). Both were double-blind, randomized trials of dapagliflozin vs. placebo, enrolling participants with NYHA class II or higher and elevated natriuretic peptides. The primary endpoint for this analysis was Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score (KCCQ-CCS) at 12 weeks. Interaction of dapagliflozin effects on KCCQ-CCS by baseline eGFR (mL/min/1.73m 2 ) was assessed as categorical (i.e., eGFR <60 vs. > 60) and continuous variables. Results: Across both trials there were 583 (99.3%) participants with available baseline eGFR. The median (25 th , 75 th ) eGFR was 59 (46,77). Dapagliflozin improved KCCQ-CSS at 12 weeks (placebo-adjusted difference, +5.0 points, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 2.6-7.5; p-value <0.001), and this was consistent in participants with an eGFR > 60 (+6.0 points, 95% CI 2.4-9.7; p=0.001) and <60 (+4.1 points, 95% CI 0.5-7.7; p=0.025) (p-interaction = 0.46). The benefits of dapagliflozin on KCCQ-CSS were robust across eGFR when modeled continuously (p-interaction = 0.46) ( Figure ). There was no heterogeneity of treatment effects when analyzing other KCCQ domains based on eGFR categorically or continuously (all p-interaction = NS). Conclusion: Treatment with dapagliflozin for 12 weeks led to significant and consistent improvements in health-related quality of life in patients with HF across a wide range of eGFRs.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is associated with significant functional limitations, yet treatments for improving exercise performance have been elusive. We sought to explore the association between prespecified patient characteristics and changes in 6-minute walk distance that constitute a clinically significant response to dapagliflozin. METHODS: We performed a responder analysis to understand patient characteristics associated with clinically meaningful improvement in 6-minute walk test (6MWT) distance ≥15 m among patients randomized to 12 weeks of dapagliflozin versus placebo in the double-blind PRESERVED-HF trial (Effects of Dapagliflozin on Biomarkers, Symptoms and Functional Status in Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure). RESULTS: A total of 289 randomized patients had 6MWT distance completed at baseline and 12 weeks. Patients randomized to dapagliflozin improved walking distance by ≥15 m more frequently than those on placebo (n=64, 44% versus n=48, 34%). After adjusting for baseline covariates, patients randomized to dapagliflozin were more likely to experience a clinically meaningful improvement in 6MWT distance compared with those that received placebo (adjusted odds ratio, 1.66 [95% CI, 1.00–2.75]; P =0.05). Dapagliflozin-treated patients were also less likely to have a ≥15 m reduction in 6MWT distance compared with placebo-treated patients (adjusted odds ratio, 0.56 [95% CI, 0.33–0.94]; P =0.03). These results were consistent across all prespecified subgroups (all P values for interaction were not significant). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with those on placebo, patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction randomized to dapagliflozin were more likely to experience a clinically meaningful improvement and less likely to experience a deterioration in physical function over 12 weeks as measured by 6MWT distance. Beneficial response to dapagliflozin was consistent across prespecified subgroups. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT03030235.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure (HF) have a high burden of symptoms and physical limitations, regardless of ejection fraction (EF). Whether the benefits of SGLT2 (sodium-glucose cotransporter-2) inhibitors on these outcomes vary across the full range of EF remains unclear. METHODS: Patient-level data were pooled from the DEFINE-HF trial (Dapagliflozin Effects on Biomarkers, Symptoms, and Functional Status in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction) of 263 participants with reduced EF (≤40%), and PRESERVED-HF trial (Effects of Dapagliflozin on Biomarkers, Symptoms and Functional Status in Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure) of 324 participants with preserved EF (≥45%). Both were randomized, double-blind 12-week trials of dapagliflozin versus placebo, recruiting participants with New York Heart Association class II or higher and elevated natriuretic peptides. The effect of dapagliflozin on the change in the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) Clinical Summary Score (CSS) at 12 weeks was tested with ANCOVA adjusted for sex, baseline KCCQ, EF, atrial fibrillation, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and type 2 diabetes. Interaction of dapagliflozin effects on KCCQ-CSS by EF was assessed using EF both categorically and continuously with restricted cubic spline. Responder analyses, examining proportions of patients with deterioration, and clinically meaningful improvements in KCCQ-CSS were conducted using logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 587 patients randomized (293 dapagliflozin, 294 placebo), EF was ≤40, >40-≤60, and >60% in 262 (45%), 199 (34%), and 126 (21%), respectively. Dapagliflozin improved KCCQ-CSS at 12 weeks (placebo-adjusted difference 5.0 points [95% CI, 2.6–7.5]; P <0.001). This was consistent in participants with EF≤40 (4.6 points [95% CI, 1.0–8.1]; P =0.01), >40 to ≤60 (4.9 points [95% CI, 0.8–9.0]; P =0.02) and >60% (6.8 points [95% CI, 1.5–12.1]; P =0.01; P interaction =0.79). Benefits of dapagliflozin on KCCQ-CSS were also consistent when analyzing EF continuously ( P interaction =0.94). In responder analyses, fewer dapagliflozin-treated patients had deterioration and more had small, moderate, and large KCCQ-CSS improvements versus placebo; these results were also consistent regardless of EF (all P interaction values nonsignificant). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HF, dapagliflozin significantly improves symptoms and physical limitations after 12 weeks of treatment, with consistent and clinically meaningful benefits across the full range of EF. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifiers: NCT02653482 and NCT03030235.