Does Characterization of Phenotypic Heterogeneity Provide Mechanistic Insights or Influence the Response to Treatment? Experience in Positive and Neutral Trials in Patients With Heart Failure and a Preserved Ejection Fraction
At a time when there was no unifying hypothesis and no broadly effective treatments for heart failure with a preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), it was proposed that HFpEF represented a multitude of different disorders. Accordingly, characterization of phenotypic heterogeneity was envisioned as a means of identifying novel causal pathways that could lead to new treatments while simultaneously discerning patients who would selectively benefit from a specific therapy. However, efforts over the past decade to characterize phenotypic diversity in diverse and complex ways have not achieved these goals. Subgroup analyses of neutral HFpEF trials have failed to reliably identify responders to treatments. Neither proteomics nor unsupervised cluster analysis across multiple phenotypic domains has yielded reproducible results (even in the same dataset), elucidated novel mechanistic pathways for new drug development, or identified patients most likely to benefit from treatment. In marked contrast to these efforts to characterize phenotypic heterogeneity, large-scale trials in HFpEF enrolled patients using broad eligibility criteria, and they established the benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists without evidence for subgroup effects. However, it is noteworthy that patients enrolled in recent large-scale HFpEF trials were characterized by general uniformity with respect to the presence of excess adiposity, with central obesity being a feature of the vast majority of enrolled participants. Of note, patients with obesity showed particularly large benefits when treated with effective drugs for HFpEF. These observations raise the possibility that, if these trials had permitted the participation of patients with class III obesity or with lower natriuretic peptide levels, the magnitude of the observed treatment effects might have been greater than originally reported. These findings are consistent with a central role for visceral adiposity (and the secretion of an altered suite of adipokines) in the pathogenesis of HFpEF. Therefore, because the field of HFpEF has a unifying hypothesis (applicable to the large majority of patients), enrolled a broad population of patients in large-scale trials without subgroup interactions, and has several broadly applicable effective treatments (as is true for heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction), the motivation to characterize phenotypic heterogeneity in HFpEF in complex ways may no longer be supported or needed.
Ziltivekimab in heart failure with preserved and mildly reduced ejection fraction: rationale and design of the ATHENA and HERMES trials
Abstract Background Cardiovascular inflammation is thought to play a central role in the pathogenesis of heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF), but no therapies specifically targeting inflammation in this setting are currently available. Purpose Here we describe the rationale and design of two clinical trials (ATHENA and HERMES) investigating ziltivekimab, a human monoclonal antibody directed against the IL-6 ligand, in patients with HFpEF/HFmrEF and cardiovascular inflammation. Methods ATHENA and HERMES are international, multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials randomizing adults with HFpEF/HFmrEF and cardiovascular inflammation to ziltivekimab 15 mg or placebo, both administered subcutaneously once-monthly on top of standard of care. Eligible participants have a left ventricular ejection fraction >40%, elevated NTproBNP and serum high sensitivity C reactive protein ≥2 mg/L. The primary endpoint in ATHENA (n=680) is the change in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire–Clinical Summary Score at 12 months. The primary endpoint in HERMES (n=4900) is the composite of CV death, hospitalization for HF or urgent HF visit. The study is event-driven and will target 845 primary events (Figure 1). Conclusions ATHENA and HERMES will investigate the effect of ziltivekimab in HFpEF/HFmrEF and cardiovascular inflammation. ATHENA will determine the effect of ziltivekimab on health status. HERMES will determine the efficacy and safety of ziltivekimab on morbidity and mortality.Fig 1.ATHENA and HERMES trial designsFor image description, please refer to the figure legend and surrounding text.
Ziltivekimab in heart failure with preserved and mildly reduced ejection fraction: rationale and design of the ATHENA and HERMES trials
Abstract Aims We hypothesized that targeting interleukin-6—a cytokine central to NOD-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome activation that is associated with both the onset and progression of heart failure (HF)—may be beneficial in patients with HF and circulating evidence of cardiovascular inflammation but without overtly reduced ejection fraction (EF). We describe the rationale and design of two clinical trials (ATHENA and HERMES) investigating ziltivekimab, a human monoclonal antibody directed against the interleukin-6 ligand, in patients with HF and mildly reduced or preserved EF (HFmrEF/HFpEF) and cardiovascular inflammation. Methods ATHENA (n = 673) and HERMES (n = 4900) are international, multi-centre, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials randomizing adults with HFpEF/HFmrEF and cardiovascular inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥2 mg/l) to ziltivekimab 15 mg or placebo, administered subcutaneously once monthly on top of standard of care. Eligible participants have a left ventricular EF >40%, elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥2 mg/l. The primary endpoint in ATHENA is the change in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire—Clinical Summary Score at 12 months. The primary endpoint in HERMES is time to first composite of cardiovascular death, hospitalization for HF, or urgent HF visit. ATHENA has a fixed duration of 12 months, whereas the HERMES trial is event driven (∼845 adjudicated primary events) with a minimum exposure of 6 months from randomization to the last treatment visit. Conclusion ATHENA and HERMES will investigate the effect of ziltivekimab in HFpEF/HFmrEF and cardiovascular inflammation. ATHENA will determine the effect of ziltivekimab on health status. HERMES will determine the efficacy and safety of ziltivekimab on morbidity and mortality.
Blood Pressure, Safety and Clinical Efficacy of Vericiguat in Chronic Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction: Insights from the VICTOR Trial
Abstract Aims The efficacy and safety of vericiguat in patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) on contemporary heart failure (HF) therapies and without recent worsening was investigated in the VICTOR trial, yet some subgroups may be more susceptible to symptomatic hypotension. Methods and results Among VICTOR trial participants that received at least one dose of study drug or placebo, we describe the systolic blood pressure (SBP) trajectories over time (mean change from baseline), symptomatic hypotension events and efficacy of vericiguat in potentially vulnerable patient subgroups: lower baseline blood pressure (SBP ≤110 mmHg), older patients (>75 years) and those taking angiotensin receptor–neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI) or sodium–glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) at baseline. The efficacy outcomes of cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death alone across baseline SBP were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. Overall SBP trajectories showed a small initial decline from baseline in vericiguat-treated patients compared with placebo (placebo-corrected differences of −1.17 [−1.84, −0.50], p = 0.0007) that was relatively stable throughout follow-up. This trajectory was similar in those >75 years (vs. younger) as well as those receiving ARNI or SGLT2i (as compared with those not receiving these) or those with SBP ≤110 mmHg at baseline (compared with >110 mmHg). Symptomatic hypotension occurred in 11.3% of vericiguat-treated patients compared with 9.2% of placebo-treated patients with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.24 (95% confidence interval 1.06–1.46), which was similar across age, SBP, SGLT2i and ARNI groups (all interaction p >0.05). The treatment effect of vericiguat compared with placebo on the efficacy outcomes was similar across the spectrum of baseline SBP (both interaction p >0.15). Conclusions Vericiguat showed a slight adjusted decrease in SBP and resulted in more symptomatic hypotension compared with placebo but was overall well-tolerated in a broad population with HFrEF on contemporary therapy even among those predisposed to hypotension. Treatment effects on efficacy outcomes were consistent regardless of baseline SBP.
Vericiguat and mortality in heart failure and reduced ejection fraction: the VICTOR trial
Abstract Background and Aims In the VICTOR trial (NCT05093933), vericiguat was neutral for the primary composite endpoint of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure (HF). VICTOR was powered to independently assess cardiovascular death. This study reports detailed analysis on the effects of vericiguat on mortality. Methods VICTOR, a double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial, enrolled 6105 ambulatory patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) without recent worsening and randomized them to vericiguat or placebo. The main outcome for this analysis was the pre-specified secondary endpoint of cardiovascular death. All-cause death, sudden cardiac death, and death related to HF were also assessed. Results Over a median of 19.7 months (inter-quartile range 14.6–25.4), cardiovascular deaths occurred in 292 patients (5.7 deaths per 100 patient-years) and 346 patients (6.8 deaths per 100 patient-years) in the vericiguat and placebo groups, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71–0.97; P = .020). Risk of death from any cause was lower with vericiguat vs placebo (377 [7.3 deaths per 100 patient-years] vs 440 [8.6 deaths per 100 patient-years]; HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74–0.97; P = .015). Sudden cardiac death and HF-related deaths were lower with vericiguat vs placebo (1.6 vs 2.2 events per 100 patient-years; HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.56–0.99; P = .042 and 1.7 vs 2.4 events per 100 patient-years; HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.54–0.94; P = .016, respectively). Lower mortality rates were consistent across subgroups including baseline therapy. Consistent cardiovascular and all-cause mortality benefit was seen across baseline N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels. Conclusions In ambulatory well-treated participants with HFrEF, vericiguat was associated with clinically meaningful reductions in the key secondary outcome of cardiovascular death, as well as all-cause mortality.
Application of a Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy Score to Heart Failure with Mildly Reduced or Preserved Ejection Fraction
Abstract Aims To describe the baseline characteristics of the participants in the VICTOR (Vericiguat Global Study in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure; NCT05093933) trial and compare them to recent trials in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods and results Baseline characteristics were evaluated in 6105 patients randomized to vericiguat or placebo. The mean age of the participants was 67 ± 11 years, 23.6% were women, 64.4% were White, and 10.7% were self-identified Black. Overall, 29.1% of participants were enrolled in Latin and South America, 27.8% and 18.5% in Eastern and Western Europe, 14.0% in Asia-Pacific and 10.6% in North America. The mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 30 ± 7% and 79% had New York Heart Association class II symptoms. Mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 70.9 ± 24.0 ml/min/1.73 m2. Median N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level was 1476 (970–2495) pg/ml and 47.5% of participants had no prior hospitalization for heart failure. Baseline therapy included 94.4% beta-blockers, 94.3% renin–angiotensin system modulation (including 56.0% on an angiotensin receptor–neprilysin inhibitor), 77.7% mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, 59.1% sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors, and 32.9% implantable cardioverter-defibrillators. Overall characteristics were relatively similar to other recent HFrEF trials but the VICTOR trial enrolled a higher proportion of participants receiving contemporary drug and device therapy. Conclusion The VICTOR trial enrolled the most optimally treated population in a phase III heart failure trial. These features will facilitate assessment of the benefit of vericiguat and elucidate the outcomes of patients on up-to-date medical therapy.
Multiparametric Assessment of Right Ventricular Dysfunction in Heart Failure: An Analysis From PARAGON‐HF
Background This study aims to characterize right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) in heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction and understand the cumulative prognostic value of abnormal RV echocardiographic parameters in HF with preserved ejection fraction. Methods and Results Data from 809 patients in the PARAGON‐HF (Prospective Comparison of Angiotensin Receptor–Neprilysin Inhibitor With Angiotensin‐Receptor Blocker Global Outcomes in HF With Preserved Ejection Fraction) echocardiographic substudy (55% women, mean age 74±8 years) were analyzed. Correlates of RVD (defined as tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion <1.7 cm, fractional area change <35% or absolute RV free wall longitudinal strain <20%) were identified using multivariable logistic regression models. We further assessed the prognostic value of the number of abnormal RV parameters (0, 1, ≥2) on total HF hospitalizations (HFH) and cardiovascular death, total HFH, first HFH or cardiovascular death, all‐cause death, and cardiovascular death. RVD was identified in 461 (57%) patients. Correlates of RVD included older age, higher heart rate, atrial fibrillation/flutter, greater left ventricle wall thickness, higher N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide levels, lower systolic blood pressure, and lower left ventricle absolute global longitudinal strain. These results were consistent across sexes, except atrial fibrillation/flutter and LV wall thickness, which were associated with a higher risk of RVD in men but not in women. Participants with ≥2 abnormal RV parameters had a significantly higher adjusted risk of total HFH and cardiovascular death (rate ratio, 2.13 [95% CI, 1.13–4.01]), first HFH or cardiovascular death, all‐cause death, and cardiovascular death. Conversely, an isolated abnormal RV parameter was not associated with a worse outcome. Conclusions RV measures may underestimate the burden of RVD in HF with preserved ejection fraction when considered in isolation. Clinicians should consider multiple dimensions to comprehensively assess RV function in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction.
Effect of Sacubitril/Valsartan in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction Across the Age Spectrum in PARAGON-HF
Abstract Aims To evaluate clinical outcomes, echocardiographic features, and the efficacy and safety of sacubitril/valsartan compared to valsartan across age groups in the PARAGON-HF trial. Methods and results A total of 4796 participants ≥50 years of age with chronic heart failure (HF) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥45% were divided into three age groups: <65 years (n = 825), 65–74 years (n = 1772), and ≥75 years (n = 2199). Echocardiograms of 1097 patients were analysed in a standardized fashion at a core imaging laboratory. The primary composite outcome was total HF hospitalizations and cardiovascular (CV) death. Older patients were more likely to experience primary composite outcomes (compared to patients <65 years, adjusted rate ratio [aRR] for ≥75 years: 1.39, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21–1.61), total HF hospitalization (aRR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09–1.49), and CV death (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.04, 95% CI 1.44–2.87). Age did not modify the effect of sacubitril/valsartan compared to valsartan on primary composite endpoint (pinteraction = 0.79) in the overall population or in those with LVEF ≤57%. Older adults randomized to sacubitril/valsartan were more likely to develop hypotension compared to those receiving valsartan (pinteraction = 0.026). Older patients had smaller left ventricular chamber sizes, higher LVEF, and were more likely to have abnormal measures of diastolic function. Conclusion Older patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction had higher event rates than younger patients, more adverse events overall, and more hypotension when treated with sacubitril/valsartan; however, the treatment benefits of sacubitril/valsartan were retained in older patients.
Outcomes and effects of sacubitril/valsartan according to NT-proBNP level in patients with heart failure: a patient-level pooled analysis of the PARADIGM-HF and PARAGON-HF trials
Abstract Background NT-proBNP levels are associated with disease severity and outcomes in patients with HF across the spectrum of LVEF. Recently, it has been suggested that the effectiveness of certain treatments may vary by NT-proBNP level with greater benefit from omecamtiv mecarbil, and smaller benefit from vericiguat, in patients with higher NT-proBNP levels. We examined the benefit of sacubitril/valsartan on outcomes across the range of NT-proBNP levels in patients with HFrEF/HFmrEF/HFpEF. Purpose To evaluate clinical outcomes, and the efficacy of sacubitril/valsartan, according to NT-proBNP levels, in patients with HFrEF/HFmrEF/HFpEF, using the pooled dataset of participants in the PARADIGM-HF and PARAGON-HF trials. Methods The PARADIGM-HF (n=8399) and PARAGON-HF (n=4822) trials enrolled patients with HF, functional limitation, and elevated NT-proBNP levels. Patients with LVEF ≤40% were randomized to sacubitril/valsartan 200 mg twice daily or enalapril 10mg twice daily in PARADIGM-HF, and those with LVEF ≥45% to sacubitril/valsartan 200 mg twice daily or valsartan 160mg twice daily in PARAGON-HF. Patients were categorized by quintiles of NT-proBNP level and using NT-proBNP as a continuous variable, analysed using restricted cubic splines. The primary outcome in the present study was the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization. Results Among the 13195 patients in the pooled PARADIGM-HF and PARAGON-HF dataset, 13142 (99.6%) patients with baseline NT-proBNP were analysed. Patients with higher NT-proBNP levels were more often male, had lower body mass index and LVEF, worse New York Heart Association functional class, worse kidney function, and more atrial fibrillation, while age was similar across NT-proBNP levels. The rate of the primary outcome (per 100 person-years) increased with NT-proBNP level: quintile 1, 5.9 (95%CI 5.3-6.5); quintile 2, 7.5 (95%CI 6.9-8.2); quintile 3, 9.0 (95%CI 8.2-9.7); quintile 4, 12.0 (95%CI 11.1-12.9); and quintile 5, 20.8 (95%CI 19.6-22.2) (Figure 1). Similar trends were observed for other outcomes. The benefit of sacubitril/valsartan was consistent across NT-proBNP levels: the hazard ratio for the primary outcome in NT-proBNP quintile 1 was 0.79 (95%CI 0.65-0.96); quintile 2, 0.87 (95%CI 0.72-1.04); quintile 3, 0.79 (95%CI 0.66-0.93); quintile 4, 0.85 (95%CI 0.73-0.99); and quintile 5, 0.86 (95%CI 0.76-0.97), P-interaction=0.86. The consistent benefit of sacubitril/valsartan was also seen when NT-proBNP was analysed as a continuous variable (Figure 2). The absolute benefit was greatest in quintile 5 of NT-proBNP; the number needed to treat for quintile 5 was 16 versus 37 for the quintile 1 for the primary endpoint. Conclusions Patients with higher NT-proBNP had worse outcomes, but the benefits of sacubitril valsartan were consistent across the range of NT-proBNP levels of participants in PARADIGM-HF and PARAGON-HF.Kaplan-Meier curvesEffect of sac/val across NT-proBNP range