Wells, J Michael

Abstract Rationale Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) continues to be underdiagnosed. The estimated prevalence of the most common severe deficient genotype, PI*ZZ, is ∼1:3500 or 100,000 Americans but only ∼10,000 such individuals have been recognized. Diagnostic delays persist and these delays are associated with worse disease. High-resolution CT (HRCT) imaging may contain latent phenotypic AATD signatures that are not visibly apparent to clinicians. We hypothesized a deep learning model could identify imaging patterns predictive of AATD from inspiratory HRCT scans. Methods Confirmed genotypes and HRCT scans were pooled from COPDGene, SPIROMICS, and GRADS, yielding 350 MM, 102 MZ, and 69 ZZ participants. Only scans reconstructed with smooth kernels (GE STANDARD, Philips B, Siemens B31f/B35f) and slice thickness < =1.25mm were used. The cohort was selected to have similar distributions of quantitative emphysema, sex, and age by matching five MZ and two MM subjects to each ZZ subject (<10-year age difference, same sex, and <3% difference in %LAA). Tobacco smoke-exposure was more prevalent among the MM/MZ groups given these were predominantly from the tobacco smoke-enriched COPDGene and SPIROMICS cohorts. A DenseNet121 convolutional neural network (CNN) was trained using the MONAI platform to predict genotype by outputting probabilities for MM, MZ, and ZZ. Input to the CNN was a three-channel LAA-910, LAA-950, and LAA-970 map downsampled to 2.0mm3 resolution to remove bias due to differences in scanner and image reconstruction parameters. Five-fold cross-validation was performed. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for classification of ZZ vs other genotypes (MM/MZ) and MZ vs MM, with statistical significance assessed at p < 0.05. Results The three groups were similar across age (mean±SD years: MM 57.9±8.8, MZ: 57.5±8.9, ZZ: 55.0±10.7), sex (% female: MM: 48.2%, MZ: 46.7%, ZZ: 47.6), and emphysema (LAA-950%: MM: 13.0±12.2, MZ: 12.4±11.8, ZZ: 13.1±11.9). There was a higher prevalence of ever smokers among MM (100%) and MZ (91.7%), compared to ZZ (47.6%). The model achieved an AUC of 0.806 (p < 0.001) for classification of ZZ vs other genotypes, demonstrating robust discriminatory ability for homozygous AATD. Classification of MZ vs other genotypes did not achieve an AUC significantly greater than 0.5. Conclusions This proof-of-concept study demonstrates that deep learning applied to routine inspiratory HRCT can accurately identify homozygous AATD. These findings support the potential role of imaging-based machine learning as a non-invasive screening tool for undiagnosed ZZ individuals. Future work will focus on cohort enrichment, integration with clinical parameters, and explainability of model-derived imaging features. This abstract is funded by: NIH NHLBI K23HL173570

Abstract Rationale Chronic lower respiratory diseases (CLRD), including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), were the third-leading causes of death globally in 2019. Quantitative computed tomography (CT) measures of airway wall and lumen areas are associated with greater respiratory symptoms, reduced FEV1, accelerated lung function decline, and higher risk of incident COPD. Even in individuals without COPD, greater airway wall thickness—corresponding to smaller absolute wall and lumen areas—predicts incident COPD and CLRD-related hospitalizations and mortality. Aims To identify protein signatures and biological pathways underlying airway lumen and wall areas using cross-sectional plasma protein associations with CT measures. Methods SPIROMICS is a multicenter longitudinal case-control study that recruited 2,983 adults with COPD and a 20+ packyear smoking history and controls aged 40-80 years between 2010-2015. Standardized chest CT scans were labeled with airway measures. A total of 1,255 plasma proteins measured by SomaScan were included. Linear regression models adjusted for demographic, clinical, and imaging covariates. Significance was defined by a False Discovery Rate (FDR) p-value (q-value) <0.05 using the Benjamini-Hochberg method. Replication was performed in two external cohorts with inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis. Proteins meeting nominal replication underwent elastic net regression and pathway enrichment (Gene Ontology [GO] and Reactome). Results Among 2,065 participants with CT and proteomic data (mean age 63.2 years, 46.3% women, 61.6% with COPD), proteins meeting replication were significantly associated with lumen area (2 proteins; top hit a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs 5, q = 0.016), wall area (3 proteins; top hit leptin, q = 0.011), and percent wall area (16 proteins; top hit roundabout homolog 2, q = 0.002). Elastic net selected 2 proteins for lumen area, 3 for wall area, and 12 for percent wall area. Pathway enrichment revealed FDR-significant pathways only for percent wall area via GO (50 pathways; top hit axogenesis) and Reactome (1 pathway; diseases of glycosylation). Conclusions This study identified distinct proteins, signatures, and biological pathways associated with CT airway measures of lumen area, wall area, and percent wall area. Proteins linked to airway lumen and wall area are involved in metabolic and vasoactive processes, while those for percent wall area are involved in vascular remodeling, cell adhesion, and extracellular matrix organization—highlighting structural pathophysiologic features of COPD. These findings may inform biomarker discovery and prediction of disease onset and progression. This abstract is funded by: Funding: Daniel E. Guzman, MD, MSE was funded by T32-HL144442. SPIROMICS was supported by contracts from the NIH/NHLBI (HHSN268200900013C, HHSN268200900014C, HHSN268200900015C, HHSN268200900016C, HHSN268200900017C, HHSN268200900018C, HHSN268200900019C, HHSN268200900020C, 75N92024D00012), grants from the NIH/NHLBI (U01HL137880, U24HL141762, R01HL182622, R01HL144718, and R01HL093081), and supplemented by contributions made through the Foundation for the NIH and the COPD Foundation from Amgen; AstraZeneca/MedImmune; Bayer; Bellerophon Therapeutics; Boehringer-Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Bristol Myers Squibb; Chiesi Farmaceutici S.p.A.; Forest Research Institute, Inc.; Genentech; GlaxoSmithKline; Grifols Therapeutics, Inc.; Ikaria, Inc.; MGC Diagnostics; Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Nycomed GmbH; Polarean; ProterixBio; Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Sanofi; Sunovion; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company; Theravance Biopharma; Verona; and Mylan/Viatris.

Abstract Background Muscle loss in COPD results from both disuse atrophy and systemic inflammation. We sought to identify inflammatory biomarkers associated with loss of pectoralis muscle area in COPD using serial CT scans and peripheral blood proteomics. Design We analyzed five-year longitudinal data from COPDGene, an ongoing observational cohort of current and former tobacco smokers with or without airflow obstruction. We quantified pectoralis major muscle (PMM) area on chest CT scans using a 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) trained on CT volumes and annotations provided by the TotalSegmentator project. We compared participants with CT PMM data and plasma proteins by SOMAScan (1K platform) from Phase 2 and 3 (paired n = 1,191). The correlation coefficient (r) between longitudinal changes in protein and in PMM area was plotted against the false discovery rate (FDR)-adjusted p-values. Proteins significantly associated with muscle loss (blue) or gain (red) were visualized using volcano plots. We then analyzed a subset (paired n = 500) of individuals with BMI>25 in Phase 2 whose BMI declined in Phase 3. Proteomic models were adjusted for age and clinical center. Pathway analysis utilized G:Profiler. Results Of the participants with paired proteomic and PMM data, mean PMM area was 21.7 ± 17.3 cm² at Phase 2 and 21.3 ± 17.9 cm² at Phase 3, with an annual change in PMM area of -0.31 + 0.99 cm². Multiple proteins were associated with muscle loss from Phase 2 to 3 (including leptin, FABP, and growth hormone receptor) and muscle gain (including F172A, GMEB2, and RNF41) (Fig 1a). Significant pathways were related to cancer, growth factor receptor dysregulation, and PI3K/AKT signaling. When restricting to those with BMI>25 who experienced BMI decline at Phase 3, muscle loss was associated with increased leptin and PACAP, versus association of gain with increased GDF118, EF1β, and FJF6 (Fig 1b). In the entire group, leptin declined between Phase 2 to Phase 3 in n = 571 participants and increased or was unchanged in n = 620. Compared with leptin decline, unchanged or increased leptin was associated with significantly greater interval PMM loss (−2.25 ± 9.75 cm² vs + 0.98 ± 9.43 cm²; p < 0.001) (Fig 1c). Conclusion Loss of PMM over five years was associated with several plasma proteins, including FABP and growth hormone receptor. The top biomarker, leptin, is a pleiotropic adipokine that regulates energy balance and inflammation. Integrating imaging and proteomics may identify future therapeutic targets to mitigate skeletal muscle loss in COPD. This abstract is funded by: This work was supported by NHLBI grants U01 HL089897 and U01 HL089856 and by NIH contract 75N92023D00011

Abstract Rationale Mucus plugs occur in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but little is known about their size and airway location or whether these mucus plug features change as emphysema worsens. Methods Computed tomographic lung scans from 31 participants with COPD from the SubPopulations and InteRmediate Outcomes In COPD Study (SPIROMICS) cohort were analyzed to quantify mucus plug size and airway location and extent of emphysema. Radiologist annotations of mucus plugs were incorporated in an image processing pipeline to generate size and location information. Emphysema was quantified as the percentage of voxels less than -950 Hounsfield units. Measurements and Main Results The length distribution of 563 annotated mucus plugs varied from 2 to 50 mm. The distribution was multimodal, and an 11-mm length defined short (“stubby,” ≤11 mm) and long (“stringy,” >11 mm) plug phenotypes, with stubby plugs being most common (64%). Mucus plugs localized predominantly to airway generations 6 to 9, and their prevalence was highest in lower lobes. On a lobar basis, the mucus plug number decreased as emphysema percentage increased, whereas average mucus plug volume tended to increase. Conclusion COPD is characterized by mucus plugs of varying size and shape, and emphysematous lung regions may be differentially susceptible to formation of these plugs. The location of mucus plugs in segmental and subsegmental airways in COPD makes them amenable to treatment with inhaled medications or bronchoscopy.

BACKGROUND: Although chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction often coexist with overlapping clinical features, they are usually studied separately. The SPIROMICS HF (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD and Heart Failure Study) is testing hypotheses that new computed tomography emphysema subtypes are associated with specific cardiovascular phenotypes (eg, cor pulmonale , cor pulmonale parvus ), common airway branch variants are associated with right heart dysfunction, and symptomatic tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry have signs of increased left ventricular afterload. METHODS: SPIROMICS is a multicenter observational study of COPD with extensive pulmonary phenotyping of participants with ≥20 pack-years smoking and nonsmoking controls. COPD and COPD severity were defined by standard spirometric criteria and symptomatic tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry by ≥20 pack-years, normal spirometry, and COPD Assessment Test score >10. SPIROMICS HF selected all participants in SPIROMICS visit 5 at major sites. Its comprehensive speckle-tracking echocardiography, which included physiological perturbations of leg raise and low-intensity exercise, was harmonized prospectively with the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Early Heart Failure and HeartSHARE (Combining Omics, Deep Phenotyping, and Electronic Health Records for Heart Failure Subtypes and Treatment Targets) studies. The cardiopulmonary magnetic resonance imaging protocol with gadolinium administration included myocardial fibrosis sequences, pulmonary angiography, time-resolved 3-dimensional cine magnetic resonance imaging (4-dimensional flow) of venous return, and metronome-paced tachypnea to induce dynamic hyperinflation. Coronary artery calcium was assessed on computed tomography scans. The Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire was administered. RESULTS: Of the final sample of 753 participants, 57% had COPD (15% mild, 27% moderate, and 15% severe), 18% had symptomatic tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry, 16% were smoking controls, and 8% were nonsmoking controls. Reproducibility of the main measures from speckle-tracking echocardiography (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.83–0.99), exercise echocardiography (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.71–0.99) and magnetic resonance imaging (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.57–0.99) were good-to-excellent, including in severe COPD. CONCLUSIONS: SPIROMICS HF aims to characterize and understand cardiopulmonary interactions in COPD and COPD-related phenotypes to inform targeted treatments for combined cardiopulmonary failure.

Abstract Rationale Inflammation is central to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) pathogenesis but incompletely represented in COPD prognostic models. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a readily available inflammatory biomarker. Objectives To explore the associations of NLR with smoking status, clinical features of COPD, and future adverse outcomes. Methods We analyzed NLR calculated from the complete blood count of participants who currently or formerly smoked (n = 2,624) and tobacco-naive control subjects (n = 187) in the SPIROMICS multicenter observational cohort study. We assessed the stability of NLR at 6 weeks and 1 year, the association with select blood biomarkers, and the impact of smoking on NLR and cell counts. We stratified participants by NLR quartiles to compare cross-sectional clinical features at enrollment, prospectively observed exacerbations at 1 year, and mortality during longitudinal follow up. Results Higher NLR quartiles were broadly associated with more severe clinical features of COPD. NLR values were repeatable at 6 weeks (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.74) and 1 year (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.62). The impact of smoking on NLR varied with the severity of airflow limitation, mediated by an interaction between smoking, forced expiratory volume in 1 second percent predicted, and neutrophil counts but not lymphocyte counts. The highest NLR quartile (>3.11) was associated with an increased risk of exacerbation over 1 year (adjusted odds ratio, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.18, 1.92) and increased risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.20, 1.66) compared with quartiles 1–3. Conclusions Elevated NLR in stable COPD is a widely available biomarker associated with increased risk for exacerbation and death. The impact of cigarette smoking on NLR varies with disease severity.

Abstract Rationale Reliable data about the natural history of lung function decline in alpha-1 antitrypsin (AAT)-deficient Pi*MZ heterozygotes is largely missing. Objectives We hypothesized that, in adults with a tobacco smoking history, lung function deteriorates faster in Pi*MZ compared with the Pi*MM genotype. Methods We identified 1,856 Pi*MM and 79 Pi*MZ participants with ⩾20 pack-years tobacco smoking history from the SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcomes Measures in COPD Study) cohort by DNA sequencing and followed them over a median of 4.8 years, comparing radiographic and clinical characteristics between the two groups over time using regression models. Results Adjusted for age, sex, race, smoking pack-year history, and smoking status, Pi*MZ participants had a lower baseline percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) (65.4% vs. 75.1%; difference 95% confidence interval [CI], −15.4% to −3.9%), more radiographic emphysema (<−950 Hounsfield units%, 12.9% vs. 7.8%; difference 95% CI, 2.8% to 7.5%), and nonsignificantly lower lung density. In the longitudinal analysis, the FEV1 annual rate of decline was similar in both groups over the course of the study (−34.5 ml/yr vs. −34.6 ml/yr for Pi*MZ and Pi*MM; difference 95% CI, −16.9 to 17.1 ml/yr). There were no significant differences between Pi*MZ and Pi*MM individuals in the annualized change in lung density, emphysema, patient-reported outcomes, exacerbations, or survival. The proportion with faster FEV1 decline (annual loss ⩾40 ml) was similar in Pi*MZ and Pi*MM groups. In both groups, faster FEV1 decline was associated with more air trapping and small airway disease at baseline. In Pi*MZ only, faster decline was associated with higher blood eosinophil counts (310 vs. 220 cells/μl; difference 95% CI, 30 to 140 cells/μl). In the subgroup analysis limited to a small number of currently smoking participants, no significant differences in longitudinal outcomes were found. Conclusions Despite a lower FEV1 and more emphysema at enrollment, the longitudinal analysis did not demonstrate significantly greater lung function decline or lung density loss in Pi*MZ compared with Pi*MM participants with tobacco smoking history. Limited sample size and duration of longitudinal follow-up constrain generalizability of our findings, thus prohibiting the conclusion that longitudinal trajectories did not differ between these groups. However, our results may suggest that earlier life events could be responsible for more extensive lung disease at enrollment in Pi*MZ compared with Pi*MM tobacco-exposed individuals.

Nicotine from cigarette smoke is a biologically active molecule that has pleiotropic effects in the airway, which could play a role in smoking-induced lung disease. However, whether nicotine and its metabolites reach sustained, physiologically relevant concentrations on airway surfaces of smokers is not well defined. To address these issues, concentrations of nicotine, cotinine, and hydroxycotinine were measured by mass spectrometry (MS) in supernatants of induced sputum obtained from participants in the subpopulations and intermediate outcome measures in COPD study (SPIROMICS), an ongoing observational study that included never smokers, former smokers, and current smokers with and without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). A total of 980 sputum supernatants were analyzed from 77 healthy never smokers, 494 former smokers (233 with COPD), and 396 active smokers (151 with COPD). Sputum nicotine, cotinine, and hydroxycotinine concentrations corresponded to self-reported smoking status and were strongly correlated to urine measures. A cutoff of ∼8–10 ng/mL of sputum cotinine distinguished never smokers from active smokers. Accounting for sample dilution during processing, active smokers had airway nicotine concentrations in the 70–850 ng/mL (∼0.5–5 µM) range, and concentrations remained elevated even in current smokers who had not smoked within 24 h. This study demonstrates that airway nicotine and its metabolites are readily measured in sputum supernatants and can serve as biological markers of smoke exposure. In current smokers, nicotine is present at physiologically relevant concentrations for prolonged periods, supporting a contribution to cigarette-induced airway disease.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a disease with marked metabolic disturbance. Previous studies have shown the association between single metabolites and lung function for COPD, but whether a combination of metabolites could predict phenotype is unknown. We developed metabolomic severity scores using plasma metabolomics from the Metabolon platform from two US cohorts of ever-smokers: the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) (n = 648; training/testing cohort; 72% non-Hispanic, white; average age 63 years) and the COPDGene Study (n = 1120; validation cohort; 92% non-Hispanic, white; average age 67 years). Separate adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) models were used to model forced expiratory volume at one second (FEV1) and MESA-adjusted lung density using 762 metabolites common between studies. Metabolite coefficients selected by the adaLASSO procedure were used to create a metabolomic severity score (metSS) for each outcome. A total of 132 metabolites were selected to create a metSS for FEV1. The metSS-only models explained 64.8% and 31.7% of the variability in FEV1 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. For MESA-adjusted lung density, 129 metabolites were selected, and metSS-only models explained 59.0% of the variability in the training cohort and 17.4% in the validation cohort. Regression models including both clinical covariates and the metSS explained more variability than either the clinical covariate or metSS-only models (53.4% vs. 46.4% and 31.6%) in the validation dataset. The metabolomic pathways for arginine biosynthesis; aminoacyl-tRNA biosynthesis; and glycine, serine, and threonine pathway were enriched by adaLASSO metabolites for FEV1. This is the first demonstration of a respiratory metabolomic severity score, which shows how a metSS can add explanation of variance to clinical predictors of FEV1 and MESA-adjusted lung density. The advantage of a comprehensive metSS is that it explains more disease than individual metabolites and can account for substantial collinearity among classes of metabolites. Future studies should be performed to determine whether metSSs are similar in younger, and more racially and ethnically diverse populations as well as whether a metabolomic severity score can predict disease development in individuals who do not yet have COPD.