Winham, Stacey J

Breast cancer incidence rises with age and peaks across the menopausal transition, yet why some postmenopausal lobules persist, and why that persistence predicts cancer risk, remains unresolved. Incomplete age-related lobular involution is one of the strongest tissue-level predictors of subsequent breast cancer, but it is still commonly viewed as passive failure of hormonally driven regression. This Review proposes a different framework: persistent lobules are maintained by an active reserve niche that outlasts its reproductive function. By integrating breast epidemiology, mammary stromal biology, cellular senescence, immune surveillance, and comparative reserve systems in skeletal muscle, hematopoiesis, and postmenopausal endometrium, we argue that menopause is a biological control point at which tissue fate diverges. Efficient clearance of senescent cells permits lobular regression to complete, whereas impaired immune surveillance may allow inflammatory paracrine signaling, macrophage reprogramming, and immune evasion to create a self-sustaining senescent-immune niche lock. This framework explains why persistent lobules are biologically active, shifts attention from epithelial quantity to microenvironmental state, and identifies the perimenopausal window as a promising interval for biomarker-guided risk stratification and prevention.

Breast cancer incidence rises with age and peaks across the menopausal transition, yet why some postmenopausal lobules persist, and why that persistence predicts cancer risk, remains unresolved. Incomplete age-related lobular involution is one of the strongest tissue-level predictors of subsequent breast cancer, but it is still commonly viewed as passive failure of hormonally driven regression. This Review proposes a different framework: persistent lobules are maintained by an active reserve niche that outlasts its reproductive function. By integrating breast epidemiology, mammary stromal biology, cellular senescence, immune surveillance, and comparative reserve systems in skeletal muscle, hematopoiesis, and postmenopausal endometrium, we argue that menopause is a biological control point at which tissue fate diverges. Efficient clearance of senescent cells permits lobular regression to complete, whereas impaired immune surveillance may allow inflammatory paracrine signaling, macrophage reprogramming, and immune evasion to create a self-sustaining senescent-immune niche lock. This framework explains why persistent lobules are biologically active, shifts attention from epithelial quantity to microenvironmental state, and identifies the perimenopausal window as a promising interval for biomarker-guided risk stratification and prevention.

ABSTRACT Objective This study assessed the impact of sex and age on weight loss outcomes in patients receiving tirzepatide in real‐world clinical practice. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with overweight or obesity who initiated tirzepatide at Mayo Clinic between June 2022 and May 2024 and completed ≥ 12 months of continuous therapy. Primary outcome was total body weight loss percentage (TBWL%) at 15 months, stratified by sex and age groups (≤ 45, 46–59, ≥ 60 years). Results Among 1039 patients (57% women; mean age 56 ± 11 years), women achieved significantly greater TBWL% than men after 15 months of treatment (15.1% vs. 10.7%, p < 0.001). Patients aged ≤ 45 years had greater weight loss than those ≥ 60 years (15.1% vs. 12.3%, p = 0.024). In multivariable analyses, greater weight loss was independently associated with female sex, absence of type 2 diabetes, no prior obesity medication use, no concomitant weight gain‐promoting medications, and higher tirzepatide dosage. Age was not an independent predictor. Conclusions Sex, but not age, predicted weight loss with tirzepatide among individuals using the medication continuously for ≥ 12 months. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating sex‐specific considerations into personalized obesity treatment strategies.

Abstract Background Artificial intelligence (AI)–based, mammography breast cancer risk prediction models show improved discriminatory accuracy relative to clinical risk models. However, data on their calibration are limited. This study compared model performance of 3 clinical breast cancer risk models: Gail, Tyrer–Cuzick v8, and Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium v3 with the MIRAI AI-risk model. Methods Digital mammograms were ascertained from a screening mammography cohort of 12 308 women within the Mayo Clinic Biobank with 250 incident breast cancers (176 invasive) within 5 years. We predicted 5-year breast cancer risk, estimated discriminatory accuracy (C-index), and calibration (observed-to-expected ratio) of both overall and invasive breast cancer and compared estimates using bootstrapping approaches. Results MIRAI demonstrated similar or improved discriminatory accuracy of overall breast cancer (C-index = 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.68 to 0.74) and invasive breast cancer (C-index = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.67 to 0.75) compared with clinical models (overall breast cancer: C-index = 0.59-0.68; invasive breast cancer: C-index = 0.60-0.68). MIRAI’s calibration for risk of overall breast cancer (observed-to-expected ratio = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.85 to 1.08) was improved compared with Gail (observed-to-expected ratio = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.07 to 1.38) and Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (observed-to-expected ratio = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.22 to 1.56) but similar to TC with volumetric percent density and polygenic risk score (observed-to-expected ratio = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.13). However, for low-risk women (approximately 50%), MIRAI overestimated risk of overall breast cancer. MIRAI also overestimated risk of invasive breast cancer across the risk spectrum (observed-to-expected ratio = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.58 to 0.78), whereas clinical models had good calibration (observed-to-expected ratio = 0.86–0.99). Conclusion MIRAI demonstrated stronger discriminatory accuracy than clinical models for 5-year overall and invasive breast cancer risk prediction but overestimated risk for both breast cancer endpoints. AI-based risk models should consider discriminatory accuracy and calibration for invasive cancer before implementation.

Abstract Background The incidence of early onset breast cancers (BCs) has increased, paralleling rising trends in delayed childbearing. We hypothesize that a distinct postpartum BC (PPBC) subtype, identifiable by time since last birth (TSLB) and biomarker expression, contributes to this trend. Methods We applied GeoMx Digital Spatial Profiling (DSP) to measure associations between TSLB and 71 proteins in 640 BCs from women aged ≤40 years included in the Young Women’s Breast Cancer Study. We analyzed data using univariable linear regression and multivariable sliced inverse regression to account for higher order interactions among biomarkers. Results In keratin-rich segments, progesterone receptor (PR) (P = 1.00 × 10−4) and PTEN (P = 1.00 × 10−3) were associated with longer TSLB; multivariable analyses revealed positive associations for GZMB (P = 4.00 × 10−4), SMA (P = 1.00 × 10−4), and NF-1 (P = 1.00 × 10−3). In keratin-poor segments, univariable significant positive associations were found for PR (P = 2.00 × 10−4) and PTEN (P = 1.00 × 10−3), whereas CD20 (P = 3.00 × 10−4) and CTLA4 (P = 4.00 × 10−5) were negatively associated; multivariable significant associations were found for fibronectin (P = 3.00 × 10−5) and pan-Akt (P = 1.00 × 10−3). Associations persisted after adjustment for multiple comparisons and BC molecular subtypes. Associations including for PR, PTEN, and CD20 were strongest among women with the shortest TSLB. OPAL multiplex immunofluorescence assays for PR, PTEN, CD20, SMA, and CTLA4 replicated several DSP findings, particularly when stratified by subtype and with compartment matching. In TCGA, RNA species linked to proteins associated with TSLB correlated strongly with a T-cell exhaustion signature previously linked to poor prognosis among premenopausal women. Conclusion These data support PPBC as a biologically coherent phenotype defined by TSLB and biomarker profile, with potential implications for prevention and therapy.

Abstract BRCA-associated homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) is present in ~ 50% of high-grade serous carcinomas (HGSC) and predicts sensitivity to platinum-based therapy. However, there is little understanding of why some patients with BRCA-deficient tumors experience unexpectedly poor outcomes. We profiled 154 tumors, enriched for patients with BRCA-deficient tumors that experienced short overall survival (≤ 3 years, n = 42), using whole-genome, transcriptome, and methylation analyses. All but one BRCA-deficient tumor exceeded an accepted HRD genomic scarring threshold. However, patients with BRCA1-deficient HGSC with a more elevated HRD score survived significantly longer. Patients with BRCA2-deficient HGSC and loss of NF1 survived twice as long as those without NF1 loss, whereas PIK3CA or RAD21 amplification defined BRCA2-deficient HGSC with exceptionally short survival. BRCA1-deficient tumors in short survivors had evidence of immunosuppressive c-kit signaling and EMT. In a large HGSC cohort (n = 1,389) including 282 individuals with pathogenic germline BRCA variants (gBRCApv), the location of the mutation within functional domains stratified clinical outcomes. Notably, residual disease after primary surgery had limited prognostic effect in gBRCApv-carriers compared to non-carriers. Our findings indicate that tumor HR proficiency in the context of therapy response and survival is not a binary property, and highlight genomic and immune modifiers of outcomes in BRCA-deficient HGSC.

Three-dimensional radiomic analysis of digital breast tomosynthesis outperformed two-dimensional measures in breast cancer risk assessment.

Radiomic parenchymal phenotypes on mammograms were used to predict breast cancer risk among both Black and White women, notably for false-negative findings and symptomatic interval cancer.

Abstract Multiplexed Immunofluorescence (MxIF) enables detailed immune cell phenotyping, providing critical insights into cell behavior within the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME). However, signal integrity can be compromised due to the complex cyclic staining processes inherent to MxIF. Hematoxylin and Eosin (H&E) staining, on the other hand, offers complementary information through its depiction of cell morphology and texture patterns and is often visually cross-referenced with MxIF in clinical settings. In this study, we proposed a novel framework to align H&E and MxIF images for precise cross-modal cell feature validation. Using cell detection outputs from each modality as anchors, we formulated the multimodal image registration problem as point set alignment. Coherent Point Drift (CPD) is employed for initial alignment, followed by Graph Matching (GM) for refinement. Evaluations on ovarian cancer tissue microarrays (TMAs) demonstrate that our method achieves high alignment accuracy, enabling reliable validation of cell-level features across modalities for both restained and serial sections. Our results indicate that restained H&E enhances confidence in findings derived from MxIF. Additionally, we demonstrated the feasibility of generating high-quality virtual H&E images from MxIF data when restained H&E is unavailable, offering a viable alternative for integrated multimodal analysis.

Abstract Background Benign breast disease (BBD) increases breast cancer (BC) risk progressively for women diagnosed with nonproliferative change, proliferative disease without atypia (PDWA), and atypical hyperplasia (AH). Leveraging data from 18 704 women in the Mayo BBD Cohort (1967-2013), we evaluated temporal trends in BBD diagnoses and how they have influenced associated BC risk over 4 decades. Methods BC risk trends associated with BBD were evaluated using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and age–period–cohort modeling across 4 eras—premammogram (1967-1981), precore needle biopsy (CNB) (1982-1992), transition to CNB (1993-2001), and CNB era (2002-2013). Results With a median follow-up of 15.8 years, 9.9% of women were diagnosed with BC (invasive and/or DCIS). From the premammogram era to the CNB era, we observed a significant increase in BC risk, rising from an SIR of 1.61 to 1.99. The proportion of proliferative BBD diagnoses (PDWA or AH) increased markedly over time (28.1%-49.7%), as did the proportion of DCIS events (11%-28%; χ2 P &lt; .001). Within specific BBD categories, the risk of invasive BC increased modestly. Conclusions Absolute risk of BC within BBD categories remained stable, but the relative risk of BC after BBD increased over time due to notable increases in higher risk BBD lesions, specifically PDWA and AH. These findings illustrate how evolving screening practices have changed the risk profile of BBD and should inform management strategies for patients with BBD in modern clinical settings.