Jensen, Matt R.

Abstract Background Benign breast disease (BBD) increases breast cancer (BC) risk progressively for women diagnosed with nonproliferative change, proliferative disease without atypia (PDWA), and atypical hyperplasia (AH). Leveraging data from 18 704 women in the Mayo BBD Cohort (1967-2013), we evaluated temporal trends in BBD diagnoses and how they have influenced associated BC risk over 4 decades. Methods BC risk trends associated with BBD were evaluated using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and age–period–cohort modeling across 4 eras—premammogram (1967-1981), precore needle biopsy (CNB) (1982-1992), transition to CNB (1993-2001), and CNB era (2002-2013). Results With a median follow-up of 15.8 years, 9.9% of women were diagnosed with BC (invasive and/or DCIS). From the premammogram era to the CNB era, we observed a significant increase in BC risk, rising from an SIR of 1.61 to 1.99. The proportion of proliferative BBD diagnoses (PDWA or AH) increased markedly over time (28.1%-49.7%), as did the proportion of DCIS events (11%-28%; χ2 P < .001). Within specific BBD categories, the risk of invasive BC increased modestly. Conclusions Absolute risk of BC within BBD categories remained stable, but the relative risk of BC after BBD increased over time due to notable increases in higher risk BBD lesions, specifically PDWA and AH. These findings illustrate how evolving screening practices have changed the risk profile of BBD and should inform management strategies for patients with BBD in modern clinical settings.

Abstract Over 1 million women in the U.S. undergo radiologically guided percutaneous biopsies annually. Of these, 75% reveal benign breast disease (BBD), typically surrounded by normal breast lobules, which are proposed to reflect the biology of the breast parenchyma diffusely. With aging, normal lobules undergo involution, and delays in this process are linked to increased breast cancer (BC) risk. Because BBD patients are at increased risk of developing BC, and pathologic classification only stratifies risks among groups of patients, novel methods for individual BC risk prediction are needed to guide precision management. Prior literature has shown that most proliferating epithelial cells in normal lobules do not express estrogen receptor (i.e., ER-/Ki67+), whereas co-expression is frequent in BC precursors and in BCs (i.e., ER+/Ki67+). Thus we developed and applied a novel quantitative dual ER/Ki67 stain to BBD biopsies from the well-characterized contemporary Mayo Clinic BBD cohort (2002-2013) to assess differences by levels of lobular involution and tissue type (BBD vs. normal), as well as associations with BC risk. We identified 100 BBD biopsies preceding BC (cases) and 100 biopsies from cancer-free women (controls), frequency-matched on age and length of follow-up. A multiplex immunofluorescence assay was developed to detect ER/Ki67 coexpression in cytokeratin positive epithelial cells in normal lobules or BBD lesions in FFPE tissue sections. An inverse normal transformation was applied to cell counts and proportions and associations were assessed for levels of lobular involution, tissue type (normal lobule vs. BBD), and case status using t-tests and linear regression models. The final data set included 1152 normal lobules or BBD lesions in biopsies of 177 subjects (88 cases and 89 controls). In univariate analyses, normal lobules showing delayed age related involution included higher counts of ER-/Ki67+, ER+/Ki67- and ER+/Ki67+ cells, and the lowest proportion of ER+/Ki67- cells (p<0.03; all). In separate analyses comparing presence vs. absence, detection of any ER+/Ki67+ cells was suggestively more common in non-involuted vs. involuted lobules. Compared with normal lobules, BBD showed higher counts and proportions of ER+/Ki67- and ER+/Ki67+ cells and lower values for ER-/Ki67+ (all p<0.001). In these preliminary results, marker expression in normal lobules and in BBD did not differ by case-control status. Preliminarily, we find that ER+/Ki67+ cells are increased in normal lobules with delayed age-related involution and in BBD lesions, consistent with their associations with increased BC risk. These findings are consistent with the risk reducing effects of endocrine chemoprevention and may serve as useful biomarkers in prevention therapy. In this analysis, limited to only a few lobules and BBD lesions per biopsy, ER+/Ki67+ cell counts and proportions did not vary significantly by case-control status. Citation Format: Melody L. Stallings-Mann, Robert A. Vierkant, Stacey J. Winham, Bryan McCauley, Matt R. Jensen, Sophie Noel, Laura Pacheco-Spann, Celine M. Vachon, Amy C. Degnim, Derek C. Radisky, Mark E. Sherman. Measurement of ER and Ki67 coexpression in cytokeratin positive epithelial cells in benign breast disease (BBD) percutaneous biopsies [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 2 (Late-Breaking, Clinical Trial, and Invited Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(7_Suppl):Abstract nr LB328.