Conant, Emily F

Three-dimensional radiomic analysis of digital breast tomosynthesis outperformed two-dimensional measures in breast cancer risk assessment.

Radiomic parenchymal phenotypes on mammograms were used to predict breast cancer risk among both Black and White women, notably for false-negative findings and symptomatic interval cancer.

PURPOSE Breast density is a widely established independent breast cancer risk factor. With the increasing utilization of digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) in breast cancer screening, there is an opportunity to estimate volumetric breast density (VBD) routinely. However, current available methods extrapolate VBD from two-dimensional (2D) images acquired using DBT and/or depend on the existence of raw DBT data, which is rarely archived by clinical centers because of storage constraints. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 1,080 nonactionable three-dimensional (3D) reconstructed DBT screening examinations acquired between 2011 and 2016. Reference tissue segmentations were generated using previously validated software that uses 3D reconstructed slices and raw 2D DBT data. We developed a deep learning (DL) model that segments dense and fatty breast tissue from background. We then applied this model to estimate %VBD and absolute dense volume (ADV) in cm 3 in a separate case-control sample (180 cases and 654 controls). We created two conditional logistic regression models, relating each model-derived density measurement to likelihood of contralateral breast cancer diagnosis, adjusted for age, BMI, family history, and menopausal status. RESULTS The DL model achieved unweighted and weighted Dice scores of 0.88 (standard deviation [SD] = 0.08) and 0.76 (SD = 0.15), respectively, on the held-out test set, demonstrating good agreement between the model and 3D reference segmentations. There was a significant association between the odds of breast cancer diagnosis and model-derived VBD (odds ratio [OR], 1.41 [95 % CI, 1.13 to 1.77]; P = .002), with an AUC of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.69). ADV was also significantly associated with breast cancer diagnosis (OR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.22 to 1.73]; P < .001) with an AUC of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.71). CONCLUSION DL-derived density measures derived from 3D reconstructed DBT images are associated with breast cancer diagnosis.

PURPOSE Image-derived artificial intelligence–based short-term risk models for breast cancer have shown high discriminatory performance compared with traditional lifestyle/familial-based risk models. The long-term performance of image-derived risk models has not been investigated. METHODS We performed a case-cohort study of 8,604 randomly selected women within a mammography screening cohort initiated in 2010 in Sweden for women age 40-74 years. Mammograms, age, lifestyle, and familial risk factors were collected at study entry. In all, 2,028 incident breast cancers were identified through register matching in May 2022 (206 incident breast cancers were found in the subcohort). The image-based model extracted mammographic features (density, microcalcifications, masses, and left-right breast asymmetries of these features) and age from study entry mammograms. The Tyrer-Cuzick v8 risk model incorporates self-reported lifestyle and familial risk factors and mammographic density to estimate risk. Absolute risks were estimated, and age-adjusted AUC model performances (aAUCs) were compared across the 10-year period. RESULTS The aAUCs of the image-based risk model ranged from 0.74 (95% CI, 0.70 to 0.78) to 0.65 (95% CI, 0.63 to 0.66) for breast cancers developed 1-10 years after study entry; the corresponding Tyrer-Cuzick aAUCs were 0.62 (95% CI, 0.56 to 0.67) to 0.60 (95% CI, 0.58 to 0.61). For symptomatic cancers, the aAUCs for the image-based model were ≥0.75 during the first 3 years. Women with high and low mammographic density showed similar aAUCs. Throughout the 10-year follow-up, 20% of all women with breast cancers were deemed high-risk at study entry by the image-based risk model compared with 7.1% using the lifestyle familial-based model ( P < .01). CONCLUSION The image-based risk model outperformed the Tyrer-Cuzick v8 model for both short-term and long-term risk assessment and could be used to identify women who may benefit from supplemental screening and risk reduction strategies.