Schwartz, Ann G.

Abstract Background Lung adenocarcinoma in never-smokers is a major public health burden, especially among East Asian women. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising for risk stratification but are primarily developed in European-ancestry populations. We aimed to develop and validate single- and multi-ancestry PRSs for East Asian never-smokers to improve lung adenocarcinoma risk prediction. Methods PRSs were developed using genome-wide association study summary statistics from East Asian (8002 cases; 20 782 controls) and European (2058 cases; 5575 controls) populations. Single-ancestry models included a PRS with 25 single nucleotide variants (PRS-25), PRS clumping and thresholding (CT), and LDpred2; multi-ancestry models included LDpred2 plus European PRS-128, PRS-CSx, and clumping and thresholding, super learning, empirical Bayes (CT-SLEB). Performance was evaluated in independent East Asian data from the Female Lung Cancer Consortium and externally validated in the Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort. We assessed predictive accuracy via area under the curve operating procedure (AUC), with 10-year and (ages 30-80 years) absolute risks estimates. Results The best multi-ancestry PRS, using East Asian and European data via CT-SLEB, outperformed the best East Asian-only (LDpred2; AUC = 0.629, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.618 to 0.641), achieving an AUC of 0.640 (95% CI = 0.629 to 0.653) and odds ratio of 1.71 (95% CI = 1.61 to 1.82) per standard deviation increase. Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort validation confirmed robust performance (AUC = 0.649, 95% CI = 0.623 to 0.676). The top 20% PRS group had a 3.92-fold higher lung adenocarcinoma risk than the bottom 20%. Further, the top 5% PRS group reached a 6.69% lifetime absolute risk. Notably, this group reached the average population 10-year lung adenocarcinoma risk at age 50 years (0.42%) by age 41 years, 9 years earlier. Conclusions Multi-ancestry PRS approaches enhance lung adenocarcinoma risk stratification in East Asian never-smokers, with consistent external validation, suggesting future clinical utility.

Background: Rare, functionally deleterious genetic variants have been implicated as having substantially larger effect sizes than common variants, potentially accounting for much of the missing heritability in lung cancer (LC). Over 25 years, the Genetic Epidemiology of LC Consortium (GELCC) has curated an invaluable resource of specimens and data from individuals with a strong family history of LC. Methods: Whole-genome and exome sequencing data were analyzed in 129 high-risk familial LC (FLC) families, defined as having two first-degree relatives or three or more second-degree relatives affected by LC (177 affected FLC and 309 unaffected relatives). The discovery focused on rare (allele frequency < 1% in gnomAD global population) and deleterious variations (missense, stop-gained, frameshift) enriched in FLC. Promising candidates were further external validated in 2,408 sporadic lung cancer (SLC) cases and 885 population controls from the International Lung Cancer Consortium. Results: We identified 168 variants with moderate-to-large effects on FLC risk, 100 of which were validated for SLC risk (Table 1 Table 1. Top 20 candidates Gene Rare (MAF < 1%), deleterious variants No. of variant carrier counts Odds Ratio, LC vs Control FLC | Relative | SLC | Control FLC+SLC SLC Oncogene ERBB3 / HER3 p.A1131T 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 35 15 JAK p.V651M 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 62 51 NOTCH3 p.R1560P 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 48 29 ROS1 p.N785X 6 | 4 | 10 | 0 110 74 USP6 p.R522 fs del 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 62 45 Tumor suppressor gene ATM p.L2332P 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 76 59 LZTS2 p.K458R 4 | 4 | 18 | 0 152 133 NPIPB13 p.V270 fs del 13 | 14 | 10 | 0 159 74 PARK2 / PRKN p.P153R 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 76 59 RB1 p.A525G 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 62 45 SLX4 p.S1716T 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 83 66 SYNE1 p.M6566I 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 62 52 TGFBRAP1 p.T301R 5 | 0 | 11 | 0 110 82 WNK1 p.K583 fs del 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 187 171 Other cancer-associated gene CFTR p.R74W 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 55 30 FLG p.R3404 fs del 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 69 30 LTN1 p.R349H 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 110 74 MLNR p.Q334 fs del 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 152 134 SLC39A11 p.R38Q 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 117 96 TTYH2 p.R493C 5 | 4 | 14 | 0 131 104 Dose effect of the top candidates No. candidates 0 variant allele 67 | 194 | 1911 | 834 reference reference 1 variant allele 50 | 66 | 363 | 50 3.5 (2.6 - 4.7) 3.2 (2.3 - 4.3) 2 variant alleles 15 | 18 | 62 | 1 32 (4.5 - 230) 27 (3.8 - 195) 3+ variant alleles 45 | 31 | 72 | 0 98 (6 - 1506) 62 (3.9 -1012) lists 20 top hits). Among these, 15 variants mapped to our previously identified lung cancer linkage locus at 6q23-25 (ROS1, PARK2, SYNE1). Others were enriched in oncogenes (ERBB3, JAK1, MET), tumor suppressor genes (ATM, BRCA2, RB1), and genes involved in the extracellular matrix (COL6A3, FLG, MUC5B). Importantly, individuals carrying more than two combinations of these variants exhibited exceptionally strong dose effects, with odds ratios (OR) exceeding 27. Conclusion: Our findings underscore the significant role of rare, high-penetrance variants in FLC etiology and highlight promising targets for early detection and personalized treatment. Future in-depth mechanistic studies are planned to evaluate the pathogenic effects of these specific alleles. Citation Format: Yanhong Liu, Claudio Pikielny, Xiangjun Xiao, Bo Peng, Yafang Li, Jinyoung Byun, Chao Cheng, Dakai Zhu, Spiridon Tsavachidis, Colette Gaba, Elena Kupert, Ellen L. Goode, Erin L. Crawford, Kristen Purrington, Marshall Anderson, Michael Cole, Paul Brennan, Geoffrey Liu, James McKay, John K. Field, Rayjean J. Hung, David C. Christiani, Diptasri Mandal, James C. Willey, Ann Schwartz, Joan Bailey-Wilson, Susan M. Pinney, Christopher I. Amos. High-penetrance rare variants underlying familial lung cancer risk: Insights from the Genetic Epidemiology of Lung Cancer Consortium [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 3815.

Abstract Background: Clinical, molecular, and genetic epidemiology studies displayed remarkable differences between ever- and never-smoking lung cancer. Methods: We conducted a stratified multi-population (European, East Asian, and African descent) association study on 44,823 ever-smokers and 20,074 never-smokers to identify novel variants that were missed in the non-stratified analysis. Functional analysis including expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) colocalization and DNA damage assays, and annotation studies were conducted to evaluate the functional roles of the variants. We further evaluated the impact of smoking quantity on lung cancer risk for the variants associated with ever-smoking lung cancer. Results: Five novel independent loci, GABRA4, intergenic region 12q24.33, LRRC4C, LINC01088, and LCNL1 were identified with the association at two or three populations (P < 5 × 10−8). Further functional analysis provided multiple lines of evidence suggesting the variants affect lung cancer risk through excessive DNA damage (GABRA4) or cis-regulation of gene expression (LCNL1). The risk of variants from 12 independent regions, including the well-known CHRNA5, associated with ever-smoking lung cancer was evaluated for never-smokers, light-smokers (packyear ≤ 20), and moderate-to-heavy-smokers (packyear > 20). Different risk patterns were observed for the variants among the different groups by smoking behavior. Conclusions: We identified novel variants associated with lung cancer in only ever- or never-smoking groups that were missed by prior main-effect association studies. Impact: Our study highlights the genetic heterogeneity between ever- and never-smoking lung cancer and provides etiologic insights into the complicated genetic architecture of this deadly cancer.

Abstract Lung cancer (LC) is the most common cause of cancer mortality and the third most common cancer by incidence in the United States. While environmental factors play an important role in its development, LC risk also exhibits a high degree of heritability. Linkage analyses and genome-wide association studies have identified multiple loci associated with increased LC risk; however, much of the heritability has yet to be explained by these loci. Structural mutations, including copy number variations (CNVs), contribute to phenotypic diversity through dosage and/or cis-regulatory effects. Unbiased CNV mapping is only possible with the use of high-depth, short-read sequencing and remains much more complicated and prone to false positives than SNP detection. As the tools necessary for CNV detection have improved, both somatic and germline CNVs have been shown to play an important role in disease, especially cancer, and often they account for a significant proportion of pathogenic variants. Little has been done to understand the role of germline CNVs in the biological pathways of hereditary lung cancer (HLC). The goal of the current project is to utilize the whole exome sequencing (WES) data in identifying the CNVs in the HLC families (≥3 LC/family) recruited by the Genetic Epidemiology of Lung Cancer Consortium (GELCC). This work uses germline WES data from 203 individuals (60 with a LC diagnosis) from 25 HLC families (≥3 LC affected/family). We limited our investigation to CNVs called by two independent tools using read depth to infer copy number changes and genomic breakpoints: GATK 4 (https://gatk.broadinstitute.org) and XHMM (https://atgu.mgh.harvard.edu/xhmm/). We have identified CNVs (deletions) in the following protein coding genes: KIR2DL1 (19q13.42; OR=1.77), DMBT1 (10q26.13; OR=1.56), SIBPB1 (20p13; OR=1.53), LILRA6 (20p13; OR=1.53), and HLA-DRB5 (6p21.32; OR=1.64) in ≥3 families in at least two individuals/family. All of these genes with the exception of HLA-DRB5 were previously reported in LC studies; HLA-DRB5 was reported in other cancer studies. DMBT1 was reported to be a candidate tumor suppressor gene and frequent loss of heterozygosity (LOH) was observed in several human tumors. It is highly expressed in lung and loss of expression was reported in LC cell lines. All CNVs identified in our study are consistent with Mendelian expectations and appear to be uncommon in the general population. CNVs in these genes may contribute to the lung cancer risk in the HLC families. Further validation of the identified variants is ongoing. We will consider overall CNV burden and disease association with identified deletions and duplications. The enrichment of rare variants in oncogenically associated genes that co-segregate with LC provides specific mutations for future work and improves our understanding of the inheritance and pathogenesis of LC. Citation Format: John Waldron, Kirsten W. Termine, Anthony M. Musolf, Mariza de Andrade, Colette Gaba, Ramaswamy Govindan, Ping Yang, Ming You, Ellen Jaeger, Angelle F. Bencaz, Marshall W. Anderson, Ann G. Schwartz, Susan M. Pinney, Christopher I. Amos, Joan E. Bailey-Wilson, Diptasri M. Mandal. Analyses of whole exome sequencing (WES) data of hereditary lung cancer families identify germline copy number variations (CNVs) in multiple genes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 1452.

Abstract Differences by sex in lung cancer incidence and mortality have been reported which cannot be fully explained by sex differences in smoking behavior, implying existence of genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development. However, the information about sex dimorphism in lung cancer risk is quite limited despite the great success in lung cancer association studies. By adopting a stringent two-stage analysis strategy, we performed a genome-wide gene–sex interaction analysis using genotypes from a lung cancer cohort including ~ 47 000 individuals with European ancestry. Three low-frequency variants (minor allele frequency < 0.05), rs17662871 [odds ratio (OR) = 0.71, P = 4.29×10−8); rs79942605 (OR = 2.17, P = 2.81×10−8) and rs208908 (OR = 0.70, P = 4.54×10−8) were identified with different risk effect of lung cancer between men and women. Further expression quantitative trait loci and functional annotation analysis suggested rs208908 affects lung cancer risk through differential regulation of Coxsackie virus and adenovirus receptor gene expression in lung tissues between men and women. Our study is one of the first studies to provide novel insights about the genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development.

Abstract Background: Somatic EGFR mutations define a subset of non–small cell lung cancers (NSCLC) that have clinical impact on NSCLC risk and outcome. However, EGFR-mutation-status is often missing in epidemiologic datasets. We developed and tested pragmatic approaches to account for EGFR-mutation-status based on variables commonly included in epidemiologic datasets and evaluated the clinical utility of these approaches. Methods: Through analysis of the International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO) epidemiologic datasets, we developed a regression model for EGFR-status; we then applied a clinical-restriction approach using the optimal cut-point, and a second epidemiologic, multiple imputation approach to ILCCO survival analyses that did and did not account for EGFR-status. Results: Of 35,356 ILCCO patients with NSCLC, EGFR-mutation-status was available in 4,231 patients. A model regressing known EGFR-mutation-status on clinical and demographic variables achieved a concordance index of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74–0.77) in the training and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.74–0.79) in the testing dataset. At an optimal cut-point of probability-score = 0.335, sensitivity = 69% and specificity = 72.5% for determining EGFR-wildtype status. In both restriction-based and imputation-based regression analyses of the individual roles of BMI on overall survival of patients with NSCLC, similar results were observed between overall and EGFR-mutation-negative cohort analyses of patients of all ancestries. However, our approach identified some differences: EGFR-mutated Asian patients did not incur a survival benefit from being obese, as observed in EGFR-wildtype Asian patients. Conclusions: We introduce a pragmatic method to evaluate the potential impact of EGFR-status on epidemiological analyses of NSCLC. Impact: The proposed method is generalizable in the common occurrence in which EGFR-status data are missing.

Abstract There is growing evidence showing that sex disparity in lung cancer risk cannot be fully explained by sex differences in smoking behavior, implying existence of genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development. However, the information about sex dimorphism in lung cancer risk is quite limited despite the great success in lung cancer association studies. By adopting a stringent two-stage analysis strategy, we performed a genome-wide gene-sex interaction analysis using genotype from a lung cancer cohort including ~ 47,000 individuals with European ancestry. Three low-frequency variants (minor allele frequency < 0.05), rs17662871 (OR=0.71, p=4.29x10-8); rs79942605 (OR=2.17, p=2.81x10-8); and rs208908 (OR=0.70, p=4.54x10-8), were identified with different risk effect of lung cancer between men and women. Further eQTL and functional annotation analysis suggested rs208908 affect lung cancer risk through differential regulation of CXADR (Coxsackie Virus And Adenovirus Receptor) gene expression in lung tissues between men and women. Our study is one of the first studies to provide novel insights about the genetic and molecular basis for sex disparity in lung cancer development.

Abstract Introduction: Identifying families with an underlying inherited cancer predisposition is a major goal of cancer prevention efforts. Mendelian risk models have been developed to better predict the risk associated with a pathogenic variant of developing breast/ovarian cancer (with BRCAPRO), and the risk of developing pancreatic cancer (PANCPRO). Given that pathogenic variants involving BRCA2 and BRCA1 predispose to all three of these cancers, we developed a joint risk model to capture shared susceptibility. Methods: We expanded the existing framework for PANCPRO and BRCAPRO to model underlying risk of pancreatic, breast, and ovarian cancer. We then validated this model on three datasets each reflecting the target populations for these models, including patients referred to a high-risk genetics clinic, patients with multiple family members with pancreatic cancer who underwent genetic testing for BRCA1/2, as well as a prospective registry of pancreatic cancer families. The new model is designated BRCAPANCPRO. Results: BRCAPANCPRO yielded good discrimination for differentiating BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers from non-carriers (AUC = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.78, 0.87) and was reasonably well-calibrated for predicting future risk of pancreatic cancer (observed-to-expected (O/E) ratio = 0.82 [0.69, 0.94]). In these families, BRCAPANCPRO outperformed both the prior BRCAPRO and PANCPRO models. Discussion: The BRCAPANCPRO model improves the identification of families with a pathogenic variant in BRCA2 or BRCA1, particularly for families where there is the co-occurrence of pancreatic cancer in addition to breast and/or ovarian cancer. The model also improves the prediction of pancreatic cancer among families with a pancreatic cancer family history, with or without breast and/or ovarian cancer. Citation Format: Amanda L. Blackford, Erica J. Childs, Nancy Porter, Gloria Petersen, Kari Rabe, Steven Gallinger, Ayelet Borgida, Sapna Syngal, Ann Schwartz, Michele Cote, Ralph Hruban, Michael Goggins, Alison P. Klein, Giovanni Parmigiani. A risk prediction tool for individuals with a family history of breast, ovarian, or pancreatic cancer: BRCAPANCPRO [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 885.

Abstract Although lung cancer is known to be caused by environmental factors, it has also been shown to have genetic components, and the genetic etiology of lung cancer remains understudied. We previously identified a lung cancer risk locus on 6q23-25 using microsatellite data in families with a history of lung cancer. To further elucidate that signal, we performed targeted sequencing on nine of our most strongly linked families. Two-point linkage analysis of the sequencing data revealed that the signal was heterogeneous and that different families likely had different risk variants. Three specific haplotypes were shared by some of the families: 6q25.3-26 in families 42 and 44, 6q25.2-25.3 in families 47 and 59, and 6q24.2-25.1 in families 30, 33, and 35. Region-based logarithm of the odds scores and expression data identified the likely candidate genes for each haplotype overlap: ARID1B at 6q25.3, MAP3K4 at 6q26, and UTRN (6q24.1) and PHACTR2 (6q24.2). Further annotation was used to zero in on potential risk variants in those genes. All four genes are good candidate genes for lung cancer risk, having been linked to either lung cancer specifically or other cancers. However, this is the first time any of these genes has been implicated in germline risk. Functional analysis of these four genes is planned for future work. Significance: This study identifies four genes associated with lung cancer risk, which could help guide future lung cancer prevention and treatment approaches.

Abstract More Americans die every year of lung cancer than any other cancer. While the environmental risks for lung cancer are well understood, the genetic risk factors for this disease are not, even though it has been shown that lung cancer risk aggregates in families. Segregation analyses have confirmed the likelihood of rare, highly penetrant variants affecting lung cancer. Family studies offer a unique opportunity to identify such rare risk variants. We have previously identified a genome-wide significant risk locus for lung cancer using multipoint linkage analysis in highly aggregated lung cancer families. In this study, we performed targeted sequencing on this 6q23-6q27 region on 75 individuals from the 9 most strongly linked families. Parametric two-point linkage analysis using an autosomal dominant model with 10% penetrance for carriers and a 1% phenocopy rate and disease allele frequency of 1% was performed for each family. While we did not find any genome-wide significant results in any of the individual families, we did observe several interesting potential rare risk variants. First, we observed that the significant signal previously observed on 6q is recapitulated in these data but the location of the peak LOD is highly heterogeneous across families and it is likely that each family has a different risk gene. While most of the highest LOD scores were in noncoding variants, we did observe exonic variants with the highest LOD scores in two families (44 and 42). Both variants were rare, with a minor allele frequency (MAF) of approximately 1% and were in LPA and GPR126 respectively. Both these genes have been implicated somatically in lung cancer, however this is the first time that they have been implicated in the germline. While the other families have their highest LOD scores in noncoding variants, some of these genes are also good potential candidate genes including PARK2 (family 30), GRM1 (family 47), and PDE10A (family 102). All three genes have been implicated in lung cancer in some capacity, and this is the first time that GRM1 and PDE10A have been implicated as germline mutations. Again, all these variants are rare (MAF ⇐ 0.01) in the general population, which makes sense for a potential highly penetrant risk variant. In this study, we have elucidated that a previously identified risk locus on 6q25 is heterogeneous in the nine most strongly linked families, with different families appearing to be carrying different risk variants. Many of the top variants in each family are rare variants that are in good potential causal genes that have been identified for the first time here as germline risk variants for lung cancer. Further functional annotation is underway for these variants and some additional linkage analyses using other penetrance matrices may also be performed. Citation Format: Anthony M. Musolf, Claire L. Simpson, Bilal A. Moiz, Mariza de Andrade, Diptasri Mandal, Colette Gaba, Ping Yang, Ming You, Elena Y. Kupert, Marshall W. Anderson, Ann G. Schwartz, Susan M. Pinney, Christopher I. Amos, Joan E. Bailey-Wilson. Highly aggregated lung cancer families reveal a heterogeneous cause for a previous linkage signal on 6q [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research 2020; 2020 Apr 27-28 and Jun 22-24. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(16 Suppl):Abstract nr 37.