Parmigiani, Giovanni

Background: Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PC) is a highly lethal malignancy with a survival rate of only 12%. Surveillance is recommended for high-risk individuals (HRIs), but it is not widely adopted. To address this unmet clinical need and drive early diagnosis research, we established the Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection (PRECEDE) Consortium. Methods: PRECEDE is a multi-institutional international collaboration that has undertaken an observational prospective cohort study. Individuals (aged 18–90 years) are enrolled into 1 of 7 cohorts based on family history and pathogenic germline variant (PGV) status. From April 1, 2020, to November 21, 2022, a total of 3,402 participants were enrolled in 1 of 7 study cohorts, with 1,759 (51.7%) meeting criteria for the highest-risk cohort (Cohort 1). Cohort 1 HRIs underwent germline testing and pancreas imaging by MRI/MR-cholangiopancreatography or endoscopic ultrasound. Results: A total of 1,400 participants in Cohort 1 (79.6%) had completed baseline imaging and were subclassified into 3 groups based on familial PC (FPC; n=670), a PGV and FPC (PGV+/FPC+; n=115), and a PGV with a pedigree that does not meet FPC criteria (PGV+/FPC–; n=615). One HRI was diagnosed with stage IIB PC on study entry, and 35.1% of HRIs harbored pancreatic cysts. Increasing age (odds ratio, 1.05; P <.001) and FPC group assignment (odds ratio, 1.57; P <.001; relative to PGV+/FPC–) were independent predictors of harboring a pancreatic cyst. Conclusions: PRECEDE provides infrastructure support to increase access to clinical surveillance for HRIs worldwide, while aiming to drive early PC detection advancements through longitudinal standardized clinical data, imaging, and biospecimen captures. Increased cyst prevalence in HRIs with FPC suggests that FPC may infer distinct biological processes. To enable the development of PC surveillance approaches better tailored to risk category, we recommend adoption of subclassification of HRIs into FPC, PGV+/FPC+, and PGV+/FPC– risk groups by surveillance protocols.

689 Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a highly lethal cancer typically discovered at incurable stages. The PRECEDE Consortium was established to accelerate early detection by using a large-scale, collaborative, innovative model, predicated on standardized collection of demographic, clinical, and imaging data from high-risk individuals (HRI). Here we report the initial pancreas imaging findings in Cohort 1, representing HRI with familial pancreatic cancer (FPC) or pathogenic germline variants (PGV) in PDAC susceptibility genes with a 1 st or 2 nd degree relative with PDAC. Methods: The PRECEDE Consortium (NCT04970056) began enrollment in 5/2020. HRI enrolled prospectively at centers worldwide into one of 7 cohorts based on personal and/or family history of PDAC and PGV status. PRECEDE’s planned enrollment is 10,000 patients. Data sharing is required to join PRECEDE, facilitated by a standardized data collection system and central database (PRECEDELink). Imaging (MRI/MRCP and EUS) is performed using standardized image acquisition and reporting templates. Imaging and clinical sequencing data are stored and analyzed in the PRECEDE data cloud. Results: By 9/16/2022, 26 sites enrolled 3156 patients in 7 cohorts, with 1716 in Cohort 1. Cohort 1 was 60% female, 80% white; 48% met FPC criteria, and 52% were PGV carriers. Within Cohort 1, 658 FPC and 965 PGV (1353 total, 79%) underwent imaging (68% MRI; 32% EUS). Overall, 573/1353 (42%) had pancreas abnormalities: 320/573 (49%) FPC, and 253/573 (36%) PGV (OR [95% CI] 1.65 [1.32–2.06], P < 0.001). Cysts were the most common abnormality, present in 549/1353 (41%) and accounting for 310/320 (97%) FPC and 239/253 (94%) PGV HRI abnormalities. Of 549 HRI with cysts, 262 (48%) had 1 cyst, including 137/310 (44%) FPC and 125/239 (52%) PGV HRI (OR 1.43 [1.07–1.92], P = .012) The remaining 287/549 (52%) had ≥2 cysts, including 173/310 (56%) FPC and 114/239 (48%) PGV HRI (OR 1.98 [1.49–2.64], P < 0.001). Worrisome features occurred in 83/1353 (6.1%) including: 14 (1%) cyst > 2 cm, 7 (0.5%) cyst ≥3 cm, 35 (2.6%) main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter ≥5 mm; 2 (0.15%) duct strictures; and 25 (1.8%) solid masses. Solid masses included 1 (0.07%) PDAC, 9 (0.7%) neuroendocrine tumors, and 15 (1.1%) benign lesions (e.g. lipoma, splenule). Conclusions: Pancreatic abnormalities are common in a cohort of 1353 HRI enrolled in PRECEDE; 6.1% of HRI had findings with worrisome features and clinical implications. Multiple cysts were significantly more common in FPC HRI (OR 1.98); worrisome findings did not differ between FPC and PGV groups. The longitudinal study of this growing HRI cohort with standardized imaging and matched comprehensive epidemiological, clinical, and laboratory data, along with germline testing, will provide critical information and understanding of PDAC risk, and augment existing clinical decision-making models governing surveillance and treatment.

Abstract Introduction: Identifying families with an underlying inherited cancer predisposition is a major goal of cancer prevention efforts. Mendelian risk models have been developed to better predict the risk associated with a pathogenic variant of developing breast/ovarian cancer (with BRCAPRO), and the risk of developing pancreatic cancer (PANCPRO). Given that pathogenic variants involving BRCA2 and BRCA1 predispose to all three of these cancers, we developed a joint risk model to capture shared susceptibility. Methods: We expanded the existing framework for PANCPRO and BRCAPRO to model underlying risk of pancreatic, breast, and ovarian cancer. We then validated this model on three datasets each reflecting the target populations for these models, including patients referred to a high-risk genetics clinic, patients with multiple family members with pancreatic cancer who underwent genetic testing for BRCA1/2, as well as a prospective registry of pancreatic cancer families. The new model is designated BRCAPANCPRO. Results: BRCAPANCPRO yielded good discrimination for differentiating BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers from non-carriers (AUC = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.78, 0.87) and was reasonably well-calibrated for predicting future risk of pancreatic cancer (observed-to-expected (O/E) ratio = 0.82 [0.69, 0.94]). In these families, BRCAPANCPRO outperformed both the prior BRCAPRO and PANCPRO models. Discussion: The BRCAPANCPRO model improves the identification of families with a pathogenic variant in BRCA2 or BRCA1, particularly for families where there is the co-occurrence of pancreatic cancer in addition to breast and/or ovarian cancer. The model also improves the prediction of pancreatic cancer among families with a pancreatic cancer family history, with or without breast and/or ovarian cancer. Citation Format: Amanda L. Blackford, Erica J. Childs, Nancy Porter, Gloria Petersen, Kari Rabe, Steven Gallinger, Ayelet Borgida, Sapna Syngal, Ann Schwartz, Michele Cote, Ralph Hruban, Michael Goggins, Alison P. Klein, Giovanni Parmigiani. A risk prediction tool for individuals with a family history of breast, ovarian, or pancreatic cancer: BRCAPANCPRO [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 885.