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Abstract Accurate prediction of risk of progression from smoldering (SMM) to active multiple myeloma (MM) is paramount to individualized early therapeutic strategies with minimum risk of overtreatment. Current risk stratification models do not account for evolving biomarker trajectories. We assembled the largest cohort to date of 2,270 SMM patients from six international centers with longitudinal clinical and biological data to train and validate the PANGEA 2.0 risk models. Four evolving biomarkers were significantly associated with shorter time-to-progression: M-protein increase ≥0.2g/dL, involved:uninvolved serum free light chain ratio increase ≥20, creatinine increase >25%, and hemoglobin decrease ≥1.5g/dL. PANGEA 2.0 outperforms established models including the 20/2/20 and IMWG models by more accurately predicting progression (C-statistics=0.69–0.84), even without biomarker history (C-statistics=0.69–0.83) or recent bone marrow biopsy. PANGEA 2.0 is an easy-to-use, open-access tool (https://ghobrial.shinyapps.io/pangea_2_calculator) to improve and individualize SMM risk stratification. Validation tools are available to compare PANGEA 2.0 to established models (https://ghobrial.shinyapps.io/pangea_validation).

PURPOSE Chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy is a potentially debilitating adverse effect of cancer therapy that can lead to delay, reduction, or discontinuation of cancer treatment. Population-based data on peripheral neuropathy incidence among young cancer survivors are lacking. METHODS Using a linkage between Medicaid, the California Cancer Registry, and hospitalization and emergency department data, we identified 6,028 adolescents and young adults (15-39 years) with Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), breast cancer, colorectal cancer, or testicular cancer and 418 children (<15 years) with HL or NHL during 2005-2017. We determined the cumulative incidence of peripheral neuropathy and its association with neurotoxic chemotherapy identified from Medicaid claims, using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS Of 6,446 patients, 1,007 were diagnosed with peripheral neuropathy. Across each cancer type, incidence was higher among patients receiving neurotoxic drugs. For example, compared with non-neurotoxic agents, 5-year cumulative incidence was higher with oxaliplatin for colorectal cancer (24.0% v 6.2%) and paclitaxel for breast cancer (22.6% v 5.1%). In multivariable analysis, the agents most strongly associated with peripheral neuropathy were brentuximab (±other neurotoxic drugs) for HL (hazard ratio [HR], 9.53 [95% CI, 5.95 to 15.26]); brentuximab (±vinca alkaloids; HR, 7.00 [95% CI, 4.13 to 11.87]) for NHL, paclitaxel for breast cancer (HR, 4.03 [95% CI, 3.05 to 5.31]); oxaliplatin for colorectal cancer (HR, 3.46 [95% CI, 2.23 to 5.36]); and cisplatin and etoposide for testicular cancer (HR, 2.06 [95% CI, 1.37 to 3.11]). CONCLUSION The high incidence of peripheral neuropathy highlights the need for frequent monitoring, new supportive care approaches, and development of novel therapeutic agents to minimize toxicity while maintaining treatment efficacy.

ABSTRACT Background Patients at high risk for cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HCT) should receive CMV prophylaxis. Historically, ganciclovir has been the preferred agent. However, its side effect profile, particularly myelosuppression, is undesirable. Letermovir is a newer agent that is not myelosuppressive and has replaced ganciclovir as the preferred agent for CMV prophylaxis in high‐risk adult patients. Methods The primary objective was to compare the incidence of dose modifications or discontinuation of CMV prophylaxis between pediatric patients who received ganciclovir versus letermovir. Secondary objectives included comparing the use of granulocyte colony‐stimulating factor (G‐CSF) support and the incidence of CMV DNAemia. We reviewed records of all pediatric patients who received an HCT at our institution between 2000 and 2024 and received either ganciclovir/valganciclovir or letermovir for CMV prophylaxis. Results Between 2000 and 2024, 65 pediatric patients receiving prophylactic ganciclovir, valganciclovir, or letermovir were evaluated. The median age at transplant was 12.2 years. No patients receiving letermovir required dose modification or discontinuation as opposed to 14 (29.2%) patients receiving ganciclovir ( p = 0.014). After engraftment, 12 (25%) patients receiving ganciclovir required G‐CSF support compared to seven (41.2%) patients receiving letermovir ( p = 0.23). In the ganciclovir group, 10 (20.8%) patients experienced CMV infection versus one (5.9%) patient receiving letermovir ( p = 0.26). Conclusion Compared with those receiving letermovir, a significantly higher proportion of patients in the ganciclovir/valganciclovir group experienced dose modifications or discontinuation of CMV prophylaxis due to adverse effects. Letermovir shows great promise as a CMV prophylactic agent in pediatric HCT patients due to its favorable side effect profile.

ImportanceUnderstanding the relationship between patients’ clinical characteristics and outcomes is fundamental to medicine. When critically ill patients die after withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy (WLST), the inability to observe the potential for recovery with continued aggressive care could bias future clinical decisions and research.ObjectiveTo quantify the frequency with which experts consider patients who died after WLST following resuscitated cardiac arrest to have had recovery potential if life-sustaining therapy had been continued.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis prospective cohort study included comatose adult patients (aged ≥18 years) treated following resuscitation from cardiac arrest at a single academic medical center between January 1, 2010, and July 31, 2022. Patients with advanced directives limiting critical care or who experienced cardiac arrest of traumatic or neurologic etiology were excluded. An international cohort of experts in post-arrest care based on clinical experience and academic productivity was identified. Experts reviewed the cases between August 24, 2022, and February 11, 2024.ExposurePatients who died after WLST.Main Outcome and MeasuresThree or more experts independently estimated recovery potential for each patient had life-sustaining treatment been continued, using a 7-point numerical ordinal scale. In the primary analysis, which involved the patient cases with death after WLST, a 1% or greater estimated recovery potential was considered to be clinically meaningful. In secondary analyses, thresholds of 5% and 10% estimated recovery probability were explored.ResultsA total of 2391 patients (median [IQR] age, 59 [48-69] years; 1455 men [60.9%]) were included, of whom 714 (29.9%) survived to discharge. Cases of uncertain outcome (1431 patients [59.8%]) in which WLST preceded death were reviewed by 38 experts who rendered 4381 estimates of recovery potential. In 518 cases (36.2%; 95% CI, 33.7%-38.7%), all experts believed that recovery potential was less than 1% if life-sustaining therapies had been continued. In the remaining 913 cases (63.8%; 95% CI, 61.3%-66.3%), at least 1 expert believed that recovery potential was at least 1%. In 227 cases (15.9%; 95% CI, 14.0%-17.9%), all experts agreed that recovery potential was at least 1%, and in 686 cases (47.9%; 95% CI, 45.3%-50.6%), expert estimates differed at this threshold.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cohort study of comatose patients resuscitated from cardiac arrest, most who died after WLST were considered by experts to have had recovery potential. These findings suggest that novel solutions to avoiding deaths based on biased prognostication or incomplete information are needed.

Importance High-quality evidence regarding suppressive valacyclovir treatment in herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO) is necessary to guide care. Objective To determine whether suppressive valacyclovir compared with placebo delays the occurrence of new or worsening stromal keratitis (SK), endothelial keratitis (EK), iritis, or dendriform epithelial keratitis (DEK) during 12 months of treatment and if treatment benefit persisted at 18 months (secondary end point). Design, Setting, and Participants The Zoster Eye Disease Study (ZEDS) was a randomized clinical trial conducted in 95 sites from November 2017 to June 2024. Immunocompetent, nonpregnant adults with a history of an HZO rash, documented active keratitis or iritis within 1 year, and an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 or greater were eligible. After determined to be eligible, participants were randomized in 4 strata: age at onset (&amp;lt;60 years vs ≥60 years) and disease duration (&amp;lt;6 months vs ≥6 months). Interventions A total of 12 months of double-masked daily valacyclovir, 1000 mg, or placebo. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was time to first occurrence within 12 months of new or worsening SK, EK, iritis, or DEK. Results A total of 527 participants (median [IQR] age, 60 [50-68] years; 266 female [50.5%]; 266 in the valacyclovir group; 261 in the placebo group) were randomized in 4 strata; 481 completed 12 months, and 460 completed 18 months. Data were analyzed by intention to treat. At 12 months, primary end points occurred in 86 participants (33%) assigned to placebo and 74 (28%) assigned to valacyclovir, and at 18 months in 104 participants (40%) assigned to placebo and 86 (32%) assigned to valacyclovir. The hazard ratio (HR) of the primary end point at 12 months was 0.77 for participants taking valacyclovir vs placebo (HR, 0.77; adjusted 95% CI, 0.56-1.05; P = .09) and 0.73 at the secondary end point at 18 months (HR, 0.73; adjusted 95% CI, 0.55-0.97; P = .03). There was a reduction of multiple other secondary end points at 12 months (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.52-0.95; P = .02) and 18 months (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.55-0.95; P = .02). Conclusions and Relevance Although the primary outcome did not show a benefit of suppressive valacyclovir treatment, secondary study outcomes showed treatment superiority at the 18-month end point and reduced number of multiple episodes of keratitis or iritis at both 12 and 18 months. These results support consideration of 1 year of suppressive valacyclovir treatment for HZO. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03134196

Importance Evidence regarding suppressive valacyclovir treatment on postherpetic neuralgia is necessary to guide care. Objective To test the hypothesis that suppressive treatment with 1000 mg/d of oral valacyclovir for 12 months reduces the prevalence, severity, and duration of postherpetic neuralgia compared with placebo at 12 and 18 months in participants with herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO). Design, Setting, and Participants Multicenter, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial including 527 immunocompetent, nonpregnant adults with history of HZO rash, documented keratitis, or iritis within 1 year and an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 45 mL/min/1.73 m 2 or greater. The study was conducted at 95 participating sites (in Canada, New Zealand, and the US) from November 2017 to June 2024 and participant visits occurred every 3 months. Intervention Treatment with 1000 mg/d of valacyclovir or placebo for 12 months. Main Outcomes and Measures Prevalence of postherpetic neuralgia, severity as determined by pain score (a score of ≥3 on a scale of 1-10), pain duration (≥3 months after HZO onset), and total daily dose of pain medication. Results Of the 527 participants (490 completed 12 months of treatment and 460 completed 18 months), 73 (14%) had postherpetic neuralgia and were analyzed by age at HZO onset (&amp;lt;60 years or ≥60 years) and disease duration (recent [&amp;lt;6 months] or chronic [≥6 months]). Of the 73 participants with postherpetic neuralgia (34 in the valacyclovir group and 39 in the placebo group), the mean age was 62.4 years (SD, 13.6 years), 59% were female, 5% were Black or African American, and 10% were Hispanic. The prevalence of postherpetic neuralgia at 12 months was not reduced by valacyclovir (12/32 [38%]) compared with placebo (14/35 [40%]) (between-group difference, 2.5% [95% CI, −20.8% to 25.8%]; P &amp;gt;.99). The participants who were younger than 60 years at HZO onset and had a chronic disease duration had lower pain scores in the valacyclovir group (mean score, 0.3 [SD, 0.9]) vs the placebo group (mean score, 0.8 [SD, 1.9]) at 12 months ( P = .045) and at 18 months (mean score, 0.2 [SD, 0.9] vs 1.0 [SD, 2.3], respectively; P = .02). There was a decrease in pain duration in the valacyclovir group at 18 months (mean, 13.6 [SD, 11.4] months) vs the placebo group (mean, 18.7 [SD, 29.5] months) (linear mixed-effects model between-group difference, −3.39 months [95% CI, −6.73 to −0.04 months]; P = .046). The total daily dose of neuropathic pain medication was lower in the valacyclovir group (mean, 271.4 [SD, 593.8] mg/d) vs the placebo group (mean, 363.4 [SD, 592.2] mg/d) at 12 months (linear mixed-effects model P = .006) and at 18 months (mean, 209.0 [SD, 412.8] mg/d vs 286.2 [SD, 577.9] mg/d, respectively; linear mixed-effects model P = .01). Conclusions and Relevance One year of suppressive treatment with valacyclovir was associated with a lower dosage of neuropathic pain medication. Participants in the valacyclovir group, who were younger at HZO onset and had a chronic disease duration, had lower pain scores. These secondary outcomes support consideration of 1 year of suppressive treatment with valacyclovir to reduce dosage of pain medications and pain due to HZO. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03134196

Importance Alzheimer disease (AD) predominates in females at almost twice the rate relative to males. Mounting evidence in adults without AD indicates that females exhibit higher tau deposition than age-matched males, particularly in the setting of elevated β-amyloid (Aβ), but the evidence for sex differences in tau accumulation rates is inconclusive. Objective To examine whether female sex is associated with faster tau accumulation in the setting of high Aβ (as measured with positron emission tomography [PET]) and the moderating influence of sex on the association between APOE ε4 carrier status and tau accumulation. Data Sources This meta-analysis used data from 6 longitudinal aging and AD studies, including the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, Berkeley Aging Cohort Study, BioFINDER 1, Harvard Aging Brain Study, Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, and Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer Prevention. Longitudinal data were collected between November 2004 and May 2022. Study Selection Included studies required available longitudinal [ 18 F]flortaucipir or [ 18 F]-MK-6240 tau-PET scans, as well as baseline [ 11 C] Pittsburgh Compound B, [ 18 F]flutemetamol or [ 18 F]florbetapir Aβ-PET scans. Recruitment criteria varied across studies. Analyses began on August 7, 2023, and were completed on February 5, 2024. Data Extraction and Synthesis In each study, primary analyses extracted estimates for the sex (female or male) and the sex by baseline Aβ-PET status (high or low) association with longitudinal tau-PET using a series of mixed-effects models. Secondary mixed-effects models extracted the interaction estimate for the association of sex by APOE ε4 carrier status with longitudinal tau-PET. Study-specific estimates for each mixed-effects model were then pooled in a meta-analysis, and the global fixed effect (β) and total heterogeneity ( I 2 ) across studies were estimated. This study is reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline. Main Outcomes and Measures Seven tau-PET outcomes that showed cross-sectional sex differences were examined across temporal, parietal, and occipital lobes. Results Among 6 studies assessed, there were 1376 participants (761 [55%] female; mean [range] age at first tau scan, 71.9 [46-93] years; 401 participants [29%] with high baseline Aβ; 412 APOE ε4 carriers [30%]). Among individuals with high baseline Aβ, female sex was associated with faster tau accumulation localized to inferior temporal (β = −0.14; 95% CI, −0.22 to −0.06; P = .009) temporal fusiform (β = −0.13; 95% CI, −0.23 to −0.04; P = .02), and lateral occipital regions (β = −0.15; 95% CI, −0.24 to −0.06; P = .009) compared with male sex. Among APOE ε4 carriers, female sex was associated with faster inferior-temporal tau accumulation (β = −0.10; 95% CI, −0.16 to −0.03; P = .01). Conclusions and Relevance These findings suggest that sex differences in the pathological progression of AD call for sex-specific timing considerations when administrating anti-Aβ and anti-tau treatments.

ABSTRACTIntroductionLung transplantation has been evolving since its inception in 1963. Over recent years, literature has suggested a shift in the perioperative strategy of mechanical support toward extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) as the preferred modality of extracorporeal life support (ECLS) in lung transplantation. The Survey of ECLS Application in Lung transplantation (SEAL) was designed to elucidate the current practice patterns of perioperative ECLS within the United States.MethodsIn this cross‐sectional study, a physician from 62 adult lung transplantation centers across the United States of America (USA) was surveyed on their institutional practices regarding the perioperative management of lung transplantation patients, with a focus on mechanical support.ResultsThe survey completion rate was 74% (46/62 eligible institutions). Most transplant centers utilize venoarterial (VA) ECMO (78%, 36/46) and/or venovenous (VV) ECMO (93%, 29/43) as a bridge to lung transplantation. When ECLS is used intraoperatively, 61% of (28/46) responding programs use VA ECMO as their preferred support. All programs use transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) intraoperatively, 85% (33/39) cannulate for ECMO centrally, and 74% (29/39) use a combination of inhaled and intravenous anesthesia while using ECMO intraoperatively. Most programs do not use antifibrinolytic during VA ECMO (62%, 28/45). Anticoagulation management and VA ECMO flows throughout the procedure showed considerable variation.ConclusionData from SEAL illustrates that though there are some practice commonalities within the United States, there is also quite a bit of variability in practice. Multiple dominant practices within the USA are consistent with a recently published International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation consensus.