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Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death and burden globally, warranting the need to explore novel predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) using new technologies. Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG) algorithms can provide information on cardiovascular health of individuals, independent of conventional risk factors. Purpose The current study aimed to understand whether a previously described AI-ECG sex estimation algorithm could be applied for risk stratification of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), with a focus on a population without previous history of MACE. Methods Patients having 12-lead ECGs between 2018-2019 were included and followed up until August 2023. Exclusion criterion was a prior history of MACE. AI-ECG sex estimation was determined using a previously described algorithm predicting sex based on 12-lead ECGs. The algorithm generates outputs ranging from 0 to 1, representing the estimated probability of being male. Outputs above 0.5 were considered as AI-ECG-estimated male, and below as AI-ECG-estimated female. This was compared with biological sex to determine whether the two matched. Inconsistency between AI-ECG estimated sex and biological sex was defined as discordance. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, non-fatal stroke, and all-cause death. Results Among 80,578 subjects (mean age 59.1 ± 16.1 years, 52.4% female), 9.7% exhibited sex discordance in AI-ECG estimation. Discordance was associated with a 56% higher risk of MACE (HR, 1.56, 95% CI 1.46-1.65, p <0.001), and remained significant in multivariable analysis with traditional risk factors (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.27-1.43, p <0.001) (Figure 1). Sex-specific analysis showed increased MACE risk in both discordant males and females (Figure 2). Conclusion In patients with no history of MACE, discordance in AI-ECG sex estimation is associated with increased risk of MACE. These findings suggest the potential of AI-ECG sex estimation algorithm for risk assessment, especially in patients with no history of MACE.Figure 1.Cox proportional hazard modelFigure 2.Kaplan-Meier of MACE by sex

Abstract Background Existing clinical preoperative risk assessment tools such as the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) have been used extensively to predict perioperative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis using Deep Learning can identify hidden features that human eyes cannot identify and might help further risk stratify patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Objective We aimed to develop a Deep Learning model that predicts perioperative MACE in patients undergoing elective noncardiac surgeries. Methods We included patients ≥ 18-year-old who underwent elective non-cardiac surgery between 2000-2021. MACE was validated in duplicate and were defined as a composite of in-hospital myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest or mortality. A convolutional neural network was developed using ECGs within 30 days before surgery. We randomly split subjects into training, internal validation, and testing datasets in a 7:1:2 ratio. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) values on the testing dataset. Models trained included AI-ECG models to predict in-hospital MACE and to predict in-hospital mortality, and AI-ECG+RCRI models to predict in-hospital MACE and to predict in-hospital mortality. All models were validated using 30-day validated outcomes (MACE or all-cause mortality) in a community-based cohort and were compared with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) score using AUC values. Findings: We included 195,214 patients who underwent a total of 241,999 surgeries. 169,214 ECGs were used in the training dataset, 24,234 in the internal validation dataset, and 48,551 in the testing dataset. In the test cohort, the AI-ECG algorithm discriminated risk for in-hospital MACE with an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.85). The algorithm similarly discriminated 30-day MACE with an AUC value of 0.79 (95% CI 0.77-0.81) surpassing the discrimination of the RCRI score AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.72). All models’ performances are shown in Figure1A. The AI-ECG model to predict in-hospital mortality had an AUC of 0.83 (95% CI 0.80-0.86) and predicted 30-day mortality with an AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.82). Other models’ performances are shown Figure1B. Training the AI-ECG models including RCRI data did not improve the AI-ECG models’ performance. Conclusion AI-ECG models with no additional clinical data can improve perioperative risk prediction in non-cardiac surgery, outperforming a conventional and widely used risk stratification tool such as the RCRI.

Abstract Background The concept of ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) was developed by the American Heart Association (AHA) as a composite of seven health factors and behaviors labeled as the Life’s Simple 7 (LS7). Ideal CVH has been associated with complex measures of cardiovascular aging. We hypothesized that physiologic aging, as determined by a simple, routinely used tool such as the electrocardiogram (ECG) enabled by an artificial intelligence algorithm to predict an individual’s physiologic age (ECG age), will be associated with poor CVH as defined by an adapted version of the AHA LS7. Methods We conducted an observational retrospective study of consecutive patients aged ≥18 years who sought care between June 2019 and March 2022, self-reported behavioral history through a validated intake questionnaire in clinical outpatient visits, had a clinically indicated ECG within one year, and provided research authorization. We applied a previously developed AI-ECG convolutional neural network to derive the ECG-Age. We excluded patients with missing data, those with body mass index (BMI) <18.5 kg/m2, previous history of left-bundle branch block, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and non-skin cancer. An adapted version of the LS7 was used to define CVH, which includes anthropometrics (e.g., BMI), behavioral history (e.g., smoking, physical activity, and diet), vital signs (e.g., blood pressure), and laboratory values (e.g., total cholesterol, and fasting glucose). CVH was stratified as ideal, intermediate, and poor if the LS7 score had values of 9-14, 7-8, and 0-6, respectively, constructed by adding 2,1 or 0 points to each metric that met each category criteria, respectively. Accelerated aging was defined as having a Delta-Age ≥1SD above the mean, whereas Delta-age was defined as ECG minus chronological age. Logistic regression models tested the association between CVH categories and positive Delta-Age while adjusting for chronological age and sex. Results We included 114,214 individuals (53.3% females, 86.9% Caucasian). Mean chronological age was 57.7±14 years and mean AI-ECG- Age was 58 ± 12.44 years (R2 0.80, p-value <0.001). Mean Delta-Age was 0.28 ±8.8 years. LS7 average score was 8.3 ± 2.23; 46.8% had ideal, 31.5% intermediate, and 21.7% had poor CVH (Figure A). Compared to those with ideal CVH, those with poor CVH were more than 50% more likely to have Delta-Age ≥1SD (OR 1.61, CI 95% 1.54-1.69, p-value: <0.001), independent of chronological age and sex. (Figure B). Conclusion Poor CVH, defined by the AHA LS7, is linked with biological aging as determined by AI-enabled ECG, highlighting the importance of promoting CVH in adults as a strategy to decelerate biological aging and reduce its associated mortality.

Abstract Background The determination of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) and filling pressure in patients with significant (>moderate) mitral regurgitation (MR) poses a complex challenge. We recently validated an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm to detect LVDD and estimate LV filling pressures. Methods This retrospective study sought to examine the risk of all-cause mortality across AI-ECG LVDD grades. Patients from the AI-ECG LVDD study test cohort who underwent transthoracic echocardiography confirming significant MR and an ECG within fourteen days of each other at Mayo Clinic between 09/2001 and 06/2022 were included. LVDD status was determined based on the index ECG, and patients were categorized into groups representing normal diastolic function (NDF) or LVDD grades 1 (G1), 2 (G2), or 3 (G3). Results Of 4,019 patients with significant MR (mean age 69.8, 49.0% women), 1,175 (29.2%), 1,881 (46.8%), and 963 (24.0%) were classified by AI-ECG as NDF/G1-LVDD, G2-LVDD, and G3-LVDD, respectively. The median mitral effective regurgitant orifice area was 26 mm² (interquartile range 20-36 mm²). Over a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 1,636 (40.7%) patients died. In multivariable survival analysis adjusted for multiple risk factors, a worse AI-ECG LVDD grade was independently associated with an increased death risk [G2DD: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.98 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.63-2.40), G3DD: aHR 2.59 (95% CI 2.09-3.20)]. These findings were consistent when accounting for mitral valve intervention and among patients with >moderate MR or after mitral valve intervention. Conclusion In patients with significant MR, the grading of LVDD by AI-ECG is independently associated with all-cause mortality.

Abstract Aims Gender-affirming hormone therapy (GAHT) is used by some transgender individuals (TG), who comprise 1.4% of US population. However, the effects of GAHT on electrocardiogram (ECG) remain unknown. The objective is to assess the effects of GAHT on ECG changes in TG. Methods and results Twelve-lead ECGs of TG on GAHT at the Mayo Clinic were inspected using a validated artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm. The algorithm assigns a patient’s ECG male pattern probability on a scale of 0 (female) to 1 (male). In the primary analysis, done separately for transgender women (TGW) and transgender men (TGM), 12-lead ECGs were used to estimate the male pattern probability before and after GAHT. In a subanalysis, only patients with both pre- and post-GAHT EGCs were included. Further, the autopopulated PR, QRS, and QTc intervals were compared before and after GAHT. Among TGW (n = 86), the probability (mean ± SD) of an ECG male pattern was 0.84 ± 0.25 in the pre-GAHT group, and it was lowered to 0.59 ± 0.36 in the post-GAHT group (n = 173, P < 7.8 × 10−10). Conversely, among TGM, male pattern probability was 0.16 ± 0.28 (n = 47) in the pre-GAHT group, and it was higher at 0.41 ± 0.38 in the post-GAHT group (n = 53, P < 2.4×10−4). The trend persisted in the subanalysis. Furthermore, both the PR (P = 5.68 × 10−4) and QTc intervals (P = 6.65×10−6) prolonged among TGW. Among TGM, the QTc interval shortened (P = 4.8 × 10−2). Conclusion Among TG, GAHT is associated with ECG changes trending towards gender congruence, as determined by the AI algorithm and ECG intervals. Prospective studies are warranted to understand GAHT effects on cardiac structure and function.

Abstract Aims We aim to determine if our previously validated, diagnostic artificial intelligence (AI) electrocardiogram (ECG) model is prognostic for survival among patients with cardiac amyloidosis (CA). Methods A total of 2533 patients with CA (1834 with light chain amyloidosis (AL), 530 with wild-type transthyretin amyloid protein (ATTRwt) and 169 with hereditary transthyretin amyloid (ATTRv)] were included. An amyloid AI ECG (A2E) score was calculated for each patient reflecting the likelihood of CA. CA stage was calculated using the European modification of the Mayo 2004 criteria for AL and Mayo stage for transthyretin amyloid (ATTR). Risk of death was modelled using Cox proportional hazards, and Kaplan–Meier was used to estimate survival. Results Median age of the cohort was 67 [inter-quartile ratio (IQR) 59, 74], and 71.6% were male. The median overall survival for the cohort was 35.6 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 32.3, 39.5]. For AL, ATTRwt and ATTRv, respectively, median survival was 22.9 (95% CI 19.2, 28.2), 47.2 (95% CI 43.4, 52.3) and 61.4 (95% CI 48.7, 75.9) months. On univariate analysis, an increasing A2E score was associated with more than a two-fold risk of all-cause death. On multivariable analysis, the A2E score retained its importance with a risk ratio of 2.0 (95% CI 1.58, 2.55) in the AL group and 2.7 (95% CI 1.81, 4.24) in the ATTR group. Conclusions Among patients with AL and ATTR amyloidosis, the A2E model helps to stratify risk of CA and adds another dimension of prognostication.

Abstract Artificial intelligence (AI)–enabled interpretation of electrocardiogram (ECG) images (AI-ECGs) can identify patterns predictive of future adverse cardiac events. We hypothesized that such an approach would provide prognostic information for the risk of cardiac complications and mortality in patients undergoing hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We retrospectively subjected ECGs obtained before HCT to an externally trained, deep-learning model designed to predict the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Included were 1377 patients (849 autologous [auto] HCT and 528 allogeneic [allo] HCT recipients). The median follow-up was 2.9 years. The 3-year cumulative incidence of AF was 9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 7-12) in patients who underwent auto HCT and 13% (10%-16%) in patients who underwent allo HCT. In the entire cohort, pre-HCT AI-ECG estimate of AF risk correlated highly with the development of clinical AF (hazard ratio [HR], 7.37; 95% CI, 3.53-15.4; P < .001), inferior survival (HR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.3-4.5; P = .004), and greater risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM; HR, 95% CI, 3.36; 1.39-8.13; P = .007), without increased risk of relapse. Association with mortality was only noted in allo HCT recipients, where the risk of NRM was greater. The use of cyclophosphamide after transplantation resulted in greater 90-day incidence of AF (13% vs 5%; P = .01) compared to calcineurin inhibitor–based graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis, corresponding to temporal changes in AI-ECG AF prediction after HCT. In summary, AI-ECG can inform risk of posttransplant cardiac outcomes and survival in HCT patients and represents a novel strategy for personalized risk assessment.

Hypertension is among the most important risk factors for cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and dementia. The artificial intelligence (AI) field is advancing quickly, and there has been little discussion on how AI could be leveraged for improving the diagnosis and management of hypertension. AI technologies, including machine learning tools, could alter the way we diagnose and manage hypertension, with potential impacts for improving individual and population health. The development of successful AI tools in public health and health care systems requires diverse types of expertise with collaborative relationships between clinicians, engineers, and data scientists. Unbiased data sources, management, and analyses remain a foundational challenge. From a diagnostic standpoint, machine learning tools may improve the measurement of blood pressure and be useful in the prediction of incident hypertension. To advance the management of hypertension, machine learning tools may be useful to find personalized treatments for patients using analytics to predict response to antihypertension medications and the risk for hypertension-related complications. However, there are real-world implementation challenges to using AI tools in hypertension. Herein, we summarize key findings from a diverse group of stakeholders who participated in a workshop held by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute in March 2023. Workshop participants presented information on communication gaps between clinical medicine, data science, and engineering in health care; novel approaches to estimating BP, hypertension risk, and BP control; and real-world implementation challenges and issues.

Key Points Measuring blood potassium has always required access to blood. The surface electrocardiogram, analyzed using an artificial intelligence algorithm, can detect hyperkalemia bloodlessly. The artificial intelligence-analyzed electrocardiogram exhibited a high negative predictive value but substantially lower positive predictive value. Background Artificial intelligence (AI) electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis can enable detection of hyperkalemia. In this validation, we assessed the algorithm's performance in two high acuity settings. Methods An emergency department (ED) cohort (February to August 2021) and a mixed intensive care unit (ICU) cohort (August 2017 to February 2018) were identified and analyzed separately. For each group, pairs of laboratory-collected potassium and 12 lead ECGs obtained within 4 hours of each other were identified. The previously developed AI ECG algorithm was subsequently applied to leads 1 and 2 of the 12 lead ECGs to screen for hyperkalemia (potassium >6.0 mEq/L). Results The ED cohort ( N =40,128) had a mean age of 60 years, 48% were male, and 1% ( N =351) had hyperkalemia. The area under the curve (AUC) of the AI-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG) to detect hyperkalemia was 0.88, with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 80%, 80%, 3%, 99.8%, and 4.0, respectively, in the ED cohort. Low-eGFR (<30 ml/min) subanalysis yielded AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 0.83, 86%, 60%, 15%, 98%, and 2.2, respectively, in the ED cohort. The ICU cohort ( N =2636) had a mean age of 65 years, 60% were male, and 3% ( N =87) had hyperkalemia. The AUC for the AI-ECG was 0.88 and yielded sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 82%, 82%, 14%, 99%, and 4.6, respectively in the ICU cohort. Low-eGFR subanalysis yielded AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 0.85, 88%, 67%, 29%, 97%, and 2.7, respectively in the ICU cohort. Conclusions The AI-ECG algorithm demonstrated a high NPV, suggesting that it is useful for ruling out hyperkalemia, but a low PPV, suggesting that it is insufficient for treating hyperkalemia.

Introduction: Graves’ disease (GD) is known to cause menstrual changes and has been linked to infertility in women. This can be due to the increased production of androstenedione and testosterone induced by the excess thyroid hormone. However, screening for sex hormone levels in all women diagnosed with GD to identify patients more likely to have infertility is not cost-effective and not clinically indicated. AI-augmented ECG can identify the signature of female with an AUC of 0.97. In this model, AI- ECG gives a probability number between 0-100% of being female, with higher numbers indicating high probability of being female. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that this inexpensive AI ECG tool is reflective of hormonal levels and the resulting changes in menstrual cycle and fertility associated with GD in women. Methods: Patients diagnosed with GD (2009-2019) at our institution were included. Three intervals were identified: 1) Before GD: >2 months before GD diagnosis 2) During GD: within 2 months before GD and before attaining euthyroidism 3) After GD: after attaining euthyroidism. The matched-pairs t-test was used to compare probability of being a female; patients acted as their own controls. A subset analysis was done on females <45 years at GD diagnosis to study the association between female probability during GD and menstrual changes (defined as shorter, lighter, or newly irregular menstrual cycles). Results: 154 females with ECGs both before and during GD were identified. AI ECG female probability decreased with GD diagnosis (85% vs. 77%, P<.001). On the other hand, 137 females with GD had ECGs during and after GD. Female probability increased after attaining euthyroidism (76% vs 83%, P=.005). Moreover, 72 females <45 years were identified; 30 (42%) developed menstrual changes and had significantly lower AI-ECG female probability [77 (58-94)% vs 98 (92-100)%, P<.001] Conclusions: AI-enabled ECG signature of female gender in women was altered by GD and was associated with menstrual changes, likely reflecting changes in sex hormone levels. Future studies to confirm its role in screening for infertility in women with GD are needed.