Liu, Kan

INTRODUCTION: Building on prior results, we hypothesized that an electrocardiogram (ECG)-enabled machine learning (ML) model could be used to detect advanced chronic liver disease (CLD). METHODS: A cohort with CLD and 12-lead ECGs was matched with controls from electronic health records. A ML model was trained as a binary classifier. RESULTS: There are 12,930 patients with CLD and 64,577 controls in the cohort. The model's discriminative ability to classify CLD showed an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve 0.858 (95% confidence interval: 0.850–0.866), and at the chosen threshold, CLD ECGs had 12 times higher odds of being classified as CLD (diagnostic odds ratio 12.33, 95% confidence interval: 11.16–13.63). DISCUSSION: An ECG-enabled ML model affords great promise in identifying advanced CLD in low resource areas.

Key Points Measuring blood potassium has always required access to blood. The surface electrocardiogram, analyzed using an artificial intelligence algorithm, can detect hyperkalemia bloodlessly. The artificial intelligence-analyzed electrocardiogram exhibited a high negative predictive value but substantially lower positive predictive value. Background Artificial intelligence (AI) electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis can enable detection of hyperkalemia. In this validation, we assessed the algorithm's performance in two high acuity settings. Methods An emergency department (ED) cohort (February to August 2021) and a mixed intensive care unit (ICU) cohort (August 2017 to February 2018) were identified and analyzed separately. For each group, pairs of laboratory-collected potassium and 12 lead ECGs obtained within 4 hours of each other were identified. The previously developed AI ECG algorithm was subsequently applied to leads 1 and 2 of the 12 lead ECGs to screen for hyperkalemia (potassium >6.0 mEq/L). Results The ED cohort ( N =40,128) had a mean age of 60 years, 48% were male, and 1% ( N =351) had hyperkalemia. The area under the curve (AUC) of the AI-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG) to detect hyperkalemia was 0.88, with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 80%, 80%, 3%, 99.8%, and 4.0, respectively, in the ED cohort. Low-eGFR (<30 ml/min) subanalysis yielded AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 0.83, 86%, 60%, 15%, 98%, and 2.2, respectively, in the ED cohort. The ICU cohort ( N =2636) had a mean age of 65 years, 60% were male, and 3% ( N =87) had hyperkalemia. The AUC for the AI-ECG was 0.88 and yielded sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 82%, 82%, 14%, 99%, and 4.6, respectively in the ICU cohort. Low-eGFR subanalysis yielded AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 0.85, 88%, 67%, 29%, 97%, and 2.7, respectively in the ICU cohort. Conclusions The AI-ECG algorithm demonstrated a high NPV, suggesting that it is useful for ruling out hyperkalemia, but a low PPV, suggesting that it is insufficient for treating hyperkalemia.