Adjunctive Statistical Standardization of Adjuvant Estrogen Receptor and Progesterone Receptor in Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.27 Postmenopausal Breast Cancer Trial of Exemestane Versus Anastrozole
PURPOSE ASCO/College of American Pathologists guidelines recommend reporting estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) as positive with (1%-100%) staining. Statistically standardized quantitated positivity could indicate differential associations of positivity with breast cancer outcomes. METHODS MA.27 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00066573 ) was a phase III adjuvant trial of exemestane versus anastrozole in postmenopausal women with early-stage breast cancer. Immunochemistry ER and PgR HSCORE and % positivity (%+) were centrally assessed by machine image quantitation and statistically standardized to mean 0 and standard deviation (SD) 1 after Box-Cox variance stabilization transformations of square for ER; for PgR, (1) natural logarithm (0.1 added to 0 HSCOREs and 0%+) and (2) square root. Our primary end point was MA.27 distant disease-free survival (DDFS) at a median 4.1-year follow-up, and secondary end point was event-free survival (EFS). Univariate survival with cut points at SDs about a mean of 0 (≤–1; (–1, 0]; (0, 1]; >1) was described with Kaplan-Meier plots and examined with Wilcoxon (Peto-Prentice) test statistic. Adjusted Cox multivariable regressions had two-sided Wald tests and nominal significance P < .05. RESULTS Of 7,576 women accrued, 3,048 women's tumors had machine-quantitated image analysis results: 2,900 (95%) for ER, 2,726 (89%) for PgR, and 2,582 (85% of 3,048) with both ER and PgR. Higher statistically standardized ER and PgR HSCORE and %+ were associated with better univariate DDFS and EFS ( P < .001). In multivariable assessments, ER HSCORE and %+ were not significantly associated ( P = .52-.88) with DDFS in models with PgR, whereas higher PgR HSCORE and %+ were significantly associated with better DDFS ( P = .001) in models with ER. CONCLUSION Adjunctive statistical standardization differentiated quantitated levels of ER and PgR. Patients with higher ER- and PgR-standardized units had superior DDFS compared with those with HSCOREs and %+ ≤–1.
Competing causes of death in NCIC CTG MA.17, a placebo-controlled trial of letrozole as extended adjuvant therapy for breast cancer patients
540 Background: Risk of death from other malignancies (OM) and other causes (OC) than breast cancer (BC) increases with age. Effects of baseline factors on type of death were assessed with competing risks analyses. Methods: In NCIC CTG MA.17, 5,187 women free of recurrent breast cancer after 5 years of tamoxifen were randomized to letrozole (L, 2,593 women) or placebo (P, 2,594 women). The primary endpoint was disease free survival (DFS), and secondary, overall survival (OS). Follow-up was to October 9, 2005: median 3.9 years, range <0.1 to 7.0 years. Effects of competing risks were examined for endpoints of BC, OM, and OC for 11 baseline trial factors: treatment, age, menopausal status, duration of prior tamoxifen, adjuvant radiotherapy, bone fracture, osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease, hormone receptor status, nodal status, adjuvant chemotherapy. Lagakos’ hierarchical method (Lagakos, Appl. Statist. 1978; 27:235–241) was used to test for differential effects of baseline factors on type of death (BC, OM, OC). Results: Rate of censoring was 97.8%, with 256 deaths (BC, 102; OM, 50; OC, 100; unknown, 4). Non-breast cancer deaths accounted for 60% of known deaths; 72%, for those ≥70 years; and 48%, for those <70 years. Two baseline factors differentially affected type of death. Women with cardiovascular disease were more likely to die from OC (p=0.02), while those with osteoporosis were more likely to die of OM (p=0.03). Age and nodal status had directionally similar effects. Older women had shorter survival from all 3 causes of death (p=0.01). Lymph node positivity was associated with worse survival (p=0.003). Conclusions: Extended L provides similar proportional benefit in improving DFS for all ages of women (Muss ref abstract SABCS 2006). However, the magnitude of competing non-breast cancer, and non-treatment related, causes of death needs to be considered more frequently, since with early detection and improved therapies, breast cancer patients may increasingly be expected to survive their disease to die from another cause. The novel association between baseline osteoporosis and other malignancies is being explored quantitatively. No significant financial relationships to disclose.
Effects of Celecoxib and Low-dose Aspirin on Outcomes in Adjuvant Aromatase Inhibitor–Treated Patients: CCTG MA.27
Abstract Background Celecoxib and low-dose aspirin might decrease risk of breast cancer recurrence. Methods In the Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.27, postmenopausal hormone receptor–positive breast cancer patients were randomly assigned (2 × 2) to adjuvant exemestane or anastrozole, and celecoxib or placebo. Low-dose aspirin of 81 mg or less was a stratification factor. Due to concerns about cardiac toxicity, celecoxib use was stopped in December 2004, while stratification by aspirin use was removed through protocol amendment. We examined the effects of celecoxib and low-dose aspirin on event-free survival (EFS), defined as time from random assignment to time of locoregional or distant disease recurrence, new primary breast cancer, or death from any cause; distant disease–free survival (DDFS); and overall survival (OS). All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Random assignment to celecoxib (n = 811, 50.0%) or placebo (n = 811, 50.0%) was discontinued after 18 months (n = 1622). At a median of 4.1 years’ follow-up, among 1622 patients, 186 (11.5%) patients had an EFS event: 80 (4.9%) had distant relapse, and 125 (7.7%) died from any cause. Celecoxib did not statistically significantly impact EFS, DDFS, or OS in univariate analysis (respectively, P = .92, P = .55, and P = .56) or multivariable analysis (respectively, P = .74, P = .60, and P = .76). Low-dose aspirin use (aspirin users n = 476, 21.5%; non–aspirin users n = 1733, 78.5%) was associated in univariate analyses with worse EFS (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.12 to 1.96, P = 0.006) and worse OS (HR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.35 to 2.61, P < .001). After adjusting for baseline characteristics and treatment arm, aspirin use showed no statistical association with EFS (P = .08) and DDFS (P = .82), but was associated with statistically worse OS (HR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.13 to 2.49, P = .01). Conclusion Random assignment to short-term (≤18 months) celecoxib as well as use of low-dose aspirin showed no effect on DDFS and EFS in multivariable analysis. Low-dose aspirin increased “all-cause” mortality, presumably because of higher preexisting cardiovascular risks.
Osteoporosis therapy and outcomes for postmenopausal patients with hormone receptor–positive breast cancer: NCIC CTG MA.27
Genetic Polymorphisms in the Long Noncoding RNA MIR2052HG Offer a Pharmacogenomic Basis for the Response of Breast Cancer Patients to Aromatase Inhibitor Therapy
A Genome-Wide Association Study in Patients Experiencing Musculoskeletal Adverse Events on Aromatase Inhibitors as Adjuvant Therapy in Early Breast Cancer Entered on NCIC CTG Trial MA.27. A Pharmacogenetics Research Network-RIKEN Collaboration.
Abstract Background: The third-generation aromatase inhibitors (AIs) are established adjuvant therapy for postmenopausal women with early stage breast cancer. Musculoskeletal adverse events (MS AE) have become increasingly recognized as an issue for many women receiving AIs resulting in decreased quality of life and, in some instances, discontinuation of the AI. MA.27 is an ongoing randomized clinical trial comparing anastrozole with exemestane that accrued 7576 patients (pts), including 6827 from North America, about 79% of whom provided DNA and consent for genetic testing. A review of withdrawals related to adverse events revealed that the most common cause was MS AE. The hypothesis for our study was that a genome-wide association (GWA) case control study would identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with MS AE.Methods: Cases were defined as pts with grade 3 or 4 MS AE (NCI CTCAE v3.0) or who went off treatment for any grade MS AE within the first 2 years and were matched to 2 controls based on treatment arm, length of follow-up, prior chemotherapy, age and prior celecoxib (at least 3 months prior to MS AE). The study was restricted to the 94% of pts self-identified as Caucasian. Genotyping was performed with the Illumina Human610-Quad. Genotype quality control prior to analysis required call rates ≥98%. Eigenstrat analyses were performed to control for population stratification.Results: The GWA study included 293 cases and 586 controls with 6 pts (0.7%) (4 cases, 2 controls) excluded for call rates <98%. 551,358 SNPs were used in the analyses after removing 29,439 for a minor allele frequency <1% and 82 with Hardy Weinberg Equilibrium p-values <10-6. Eigenvectors did not impact the results when used as covariates. Four SNPs with the lowest p-values (3.3-8.2 x 10-6, Armitage test), 3 in high LD (r2>.8) on chromosome (ch) 14 (rs7158782, rs7159713, rs2369049) and 1 on the X ch (rs6637820) were identified. The gene closest (4000-7000 bp) to the 3 SNPs on ch 14 was T-Cell Leukemia 1A (TCL1A), encoding a protein known to augment AKT kinase activity. Expression array data from lymphoblastoid cell lines from 300 subjects of 3 ethnicities revealed that all 3 SNPs were associated with decreased TCL1A expression after adjusting for ethnicity using 2 probe sets (p=0.006 to 0.03). Electromobility shift assay (EMSA) showed that 2 of these SNPs (rs7158782, rs7159713) displayed a shift and the former SNP showed substantially less binding for variant than wild type. The gene closest to the X ch SNP was Immunoglobulin Superfamily 1 (IGSF1), but EMSA did not show a shift for this SNP.Conclusions: MS AEs represent a major impediment to optimal use of AIs in women with breast cancer and this GWA study identified SNPs on ch 14 that provide a focus for further research to identify pts at risk for, and means to ameliorate, this adverse event.(Supported in part by NIH grants U01GM61388, U01GM63173, P50CA116201 and U10CA77202) Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 15.
Treatment-Emergent Symptoms and the Risk of Breast Cancer Recurrence in the NCIC CTG MA.27 Adjuvant Aromatase Inhibitor Trial.
Abstract Background: Analyses of adjuvant endocrine therapy suggest that the appearance of new vasomotor or joint symptoms within 3 months of initiating either tamoxifen or aromatase inhibitor therapy predict for lower subsequent recurrence. We hypothesized that new vasomotor or joint symptoms may predict outcomes with anastrozole or exemestane in participants in the ongoing NCIC CTG Trial MA.27. We performed a pooled analysis across treatment arms of the MA.27 trial, to examine the effects of early onset new or worsening symptoms on relapse-free survival (RFS).Methods: 7576 postmenopausal women with early breast cancer were accrued to MA.27, a randomized adjuvant trial of exemestane and anastrozole. The second interim analysis data with a 3 year median follow-up was used for this analysis. The trial's primary endpoint is event-free survival, but for this investigational analysis is RFS, which excludes non-breast cancer deaths. All 7118 participants known to be hormone receptor-positive who received trial therapy, and had no relapse in the first 3 months, were included. The association of vasomotor and joint symptoms with patient characteristics was examined with chi-square tests. Stratified log-rank and stratified univariate and multivariate Cox modeling were used to examine the association of early vasomotor and joint symptoms on disease outcomes.Results: Of 4749 women who were asymptomatic at baseline, 230 (5%) experienced vasomotor or joint symptoms at 3 months. The RFS stratified univariate Cox hazard ratio (HR) for vasomotor or joint-related symptoms was 1.184 (95% CI, 0.675-2.079). When all 7118 women were included, 361 (5%) developed new or worsening symptoms at 3 months. RFS was not statistically significant between the women with or without new symptoms (HR 1.129, 95% CI, 0.708-1.800). Higher T stage was the only factor included in the multivariate Cox RFS model that was associated with new or worsening symptoms (p<0.001).Conclusions: In contrast to prior findings, we did not observe a correlation between early emergence of symptoms and improved RFS. Longer follow-up and analysis by treatment arm and at different time points are required. Additional symptoms and time points will be added to the analysis prior to the meeting. Until further data are available, clinicians should not use treatment-emergent symptoms to counsel their patient whether to continue or change their prescribed medication. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 14.
Meta-Analysis of Phase II Cooperative Group Trials in Metastatic Stage IV Melanoma to Determine Progression-Free and Overall Survival Benchmarks for Future Phase II Trials
Purpose Objective tumor response rates observed in phase II trials for metastatic melanoma have historically not provided a reliable indicator of meaningful survival benefits. To facilitate using overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS) as an endpoint for future phase II trials, we evaluated historical data from cooperative group phase II trials to attempt to develop benchmarks for OS and PFS as reference points for future phase II trials. Patients and Methods Individual-level and trial-level data were obtained for patients enrolled onto 42 phase II trials (70 trial arms) that completed accrual in the years 1975 through 2005 and conducted by Southwest Oncology Group, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, Cancer and Leukemia Group B, North Central Cancer Treatment Group, and the Clinical Trials Group of the National Cancer Institute of Canada. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic variables, and between-trial(-arm) variability in 1-year OS rates and 6-month PFS rates were examined. Results Statistically significant individual-level and trial-level prognostic factors found in a multivariate survival analysis for OS were performance status, presence of visceral disease, sex, and whether the trial excluded patients with brain metastases. Performance status, sex, and age were statistically significant prognostic factors for PFS. Controlling for these prognostic variables essentially eliminated between-trial variability in 1-year OS rates but not in 6-month PFS rates. Conclusion Benchmarks are provided for 1-year OS or OS curves that make use of the distribution of prognostic factors of the patients in the phase II trial. A similar benchmark for 6-month PFS is provided, but its use is more problematic because of residual between-trial variation in this endpoint.