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Whelan, Timothy J.

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9844-2023

Mayo Clinic

McMaster University

Citations 38

Abstract PS3-07-23: Survivor plots for quantitated adjunctive statistically standardized ER, PgR, and HER2 in adjuvant postmenopausal breast cancer: Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.27 trial of exemestane versus anastrozole
Chapman, J. W., Bayani, Jane , SenGupta, S., Bartlett, J. M. S., Piper, T., Quintayo, M. A., Virk, Shakeel , Goss, P. E., Ingle, J. N., Ellis, M. J., Sledge, G. W., Budd, G. T., Ansari, R. H., Tozer, Richard , D'Souza, D. P., Chalchal, H., Spadafora, S., Stearns, V., Perez, E. A., Gelmon, K. A., Whelan, T. J., Elliott, C., Shepherd, L. E., Chen, B. E., Taylor, K. J., Whelan, Timothy J. , Bartlett, J. M. S., Quintayo, Mary Anne , Ingle, J. N., Budd, G.T., Rabaglio, Manuela , D’Souza, David , Chalchal, H., Stearns, Vered , Shepherd, Lois E. , Chen, B. E., Taylor, K. J.

Clinical Cancer Research | February 20, 2026 | Volume: 32 | Issue: 4_Supplement | Pages: PS3-07-23-PS3-07-23

10.1158/1557-3265.sabcs25-ps3-07-23 Get It

Abstract Background: Survivor plots permit adjustment by baseline demographics and clinical characteristics; log-normal survival analysis may be more robust than a Cox model under departures from model assumptions. We depicted distant disease-free survival (DDFS) for statistically standardized quantitated ER, PgR, and HER2. Methods: We utilized CCTG MA.27 (NCT00066573), an adjuvant phase III trial of exemestane versus anastrozole in postmenopausal women with ER+ and/or PgR+ tumours. IHC ER, PgR, and HER2 HSCORE were centrally assessed by machine image quantitation, and statistically standardized to mean of 0, standard deviation (SD) of 1 following Box-Cox variance stabilization transformations of square for ER, natural logarithm (ln) and square root for PgR, and ln for HER2. For the ln transformation, 0.1 was added to 0 HSCOREs for a stable transformation. The primary endpoint was DDFS at the longest trial follow-up of 4.1 years. For log-normal survival analysis, ln(time) is a linear function of covariates and had a normal distribution; the Cox models were log-linear for covariates. Survival was depicted with log-normal and Cox survivor plots adjusted at the means of age, T and N stage, grade, lymphovascular invasion, treatment, and baseline patient demographics. We examined ER and PgR ASCO/CAP cut-points at (0; >0), HER2 cut-points at (IHC 0, 0 stain; IHC 0, (0,10%] stain; IHC 1+; IHC 2+; IHC 3+), and ER/PgR/HER2 standardized cut-points at standard deviations about mean of 0 (<-1; (-1,0]; (0,1]; >1). P was based on the likelihood ratio criterion (∼Χ2 (1)) for the addition of ER/PgR/HER2 to the model of baseline covariates, and had nominal significance if P<0.05. Log-normal and Cox multivariable regressions with unstandardized and standardized categorical, and continuous, ER, PgR, and HER2 were adjusted by baseline covariates; 2-sided Wald tests had nominal significance if P<0.05. Results: Of 7576 MA.27 patients, 2325 patients had quantitated image analysis assessments for ER, PgR, and HER2; 113 of 2325 (4.9%) patients experienced a DDFS event during follow-up. Multivariable log-normal survival analysis indicated DDFS was significantly longer for patients with T1 (p=0.01), N0 (p=.002), and grade 1/2 tumors (p=0.01); similar significance levels were found with a Cox model. Log-normal survivor plots were smooth, while Cox survivor plots were step-wise discontinuous at events. Adjusted log-normal survivor plots indicated similar 5-year DDFS for patients by standardized ER categories (p=0.43): 95.4% for those with ER <-1.0 (n=401); 95.8%, for (-1.0,0.0] (n=737); 96.1%, for (0.0,1.0] (n=737); and 96.4%, for >1.0 (n=450). The log-normal standardized PgR survivor plots indicated patients had significantly different 5-year DDFS (p<.001) by categories, with both ln and square root transformations of HSCORE: with a ln transformation, 93.7% for <-1.0 (n=607); 95.4%, for (-1.0,0.0] (n=390); 96.8%, for (0.0,1.0] (n=826); and 97.8%, for >1.0 (n=502). Patients had similar 5-year DDFS by standardized HER2 categories (p=0.71): 96.2% for <-1.0 (n=83); 96.0%, for (-1.0,0.0] (n=1201); 95.9%, for (0.0,1.0] (n=527); and 95.7%, for >1.0 (n=514). In full fit multivariable log-normal survival analyses, DDFS was not significantly different for ER (p=0.51-0.89) and HER2 (p=0.12-0.98); higher PgR was associated with significantly better DDFS (p=0.01 to <.001). Adjusted Cox survival analyses had similar results. Conclusions: Survivor plots adjusted for baseline demographic and clinical characteristics provided similar indications of significance for standardized ER, PgR, and HER2 as those seen in multivariable models with both log-normal and Cox survival analyses. Higher PgR was associated with significantly better DDFS. Citation Format: J. W. Chapman, J. Bayani, S. SenGupta, J. M. S. Bartlett, T. Piper, M. A. Quintayo, S. Virk, P. E. Goss, J. N. Ingle, M. J. Ellis, G. W. Sledge, G. T. Budd, M. Rabaglio, R. H. Ansari, R. Tozer, D. P. D'Souza, H. Chalchal, S. Spadafora, V. Stearns, E. A. Perez, K. A. Gelmon, T. J. Whelan, C. Elliott, L. E. Shepherd, B. E. Chen, K. J. Taylor. Survivor plots for quantitated adjunctive statistically standardized ER, PgR, and HER2 in adjuvant postmenopausal breast cancer: Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.27 trial of exemestane versus anastrozole [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-07-23.
Abstract GS1-08: Multimodal artificial intelligence (AI) models integrating image, clinical, and molecular data for predicting early and late breast cancer recurrence in TAILORx
Sparano, J. A., Wang, V., Gray, R. J., Makower, D. F., Albain, K. S., Hayes, D. F., Geyer, C. E., Dees, E. C., Goetz, M. P., Olson, J. A., Badve, S. S., Saphner, T. J., Whelan, T. J., Radovich, Milan M., Kaklamani, V. G., Sledge, G. W., Whelan, Timothy J. , Sparano, JA, Hayes, D. F., Geyer, C. E., Goetz, Matthew P. , Saphner, Thomas J. , Radovich, Milan , Kaklamani, VG

Clinical Cancer Research | February 17, 2026 | Volume: 32 | Issue: 4_Supplement | Pages: GS1-08-GS1-08

10.1158/1557-3265.sabcs25-gs1-08 Get It

Abstract Background: TheTAILORx trial established that adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) is non-inferiorto chemotherapy plus ET (CET) in T1-2N0 HR+/HER2-negative early breast cancer(EBC) with an Oncotype DX (ODX) 21-gene recurrence score (RS) of 11-25, RS 0-10is associated with low distant recurrence (DR) rates with ET alone, and RS26-100 is associated with higher DR rates despite CET. Although ODX isprognostic for 10-year DR, it has limited value for late DR >5 years. Inorder to develop improved DR risk prognostication, we developed multimodal AImodels integrating clinical, molecular, and histopathology features to provideprognostic information for early (<5years), late (>5 years), and overall DR at 15 years using primary tumorsamples and clinical data from volunteers who participated in TAILORx. Methods: DigitizedH&E slides were generated and nucleic acids extracted and sequenced from∼5000 primary tumor samples using Caris MI Tumor Seek-Hybrid, of which 2,808(56%) were used for model training and 5-fold nested cross validation (60/20/20split). Models included single-modality (clinical [C], image [I], molecular [M:ODX genes]), dual-modality (CM, IC), and multimodal (ICM). An expandedmolecular model (M+) model was also derived from expanded molecular inputsderived from whole transcriptome sequencing (WTS) data, including 5 commercialgene signatures (ODX, MammaPrint, Prosigna, EndoPredict, BCI) and 57 high-variancegenes; only EndoPredict, BCI, and ODX gene signatures were retained for model M+.Model-CM+ combined clinical plus expanded molecular features, while ICM/ICM+integrated image, clinical, and (expanded) molecular inputs. Risk scores were dichotomized into high vs. low risk groups usingthresholds chosen to yield risk group proportions closely matching thosedefined by the ODX RS cutoff of 25 for distinguishing high vs. low genomicrisk. Theprimary endpoint was distant recurrence (DR). Prognostic performance wasassessed using truncated concordance index (C-index, 90th percentile of eventtimes), hazard ratios (HRs), and log-rank tests. DNA-level whole exomesequencing (WES) features were also tested but did not provide additionalprognostic information and thus excluded from final models. Results: Theactual ODX continuous RS achieved a C-index of 0.625 for overall DR and 0.743early DR, but no prognostic value for late DR (0.52). Similar results for theC-index were observed for ODX+C for overall DR (0.619), early DR (0.724), andlate DR (0.514). Of all modelsevaluated, model-ICM+ gave the best overall prognostic accuracy for overall DR (C-index0.713; hazard ratio [HR] 3.56 for comparison of high vs. low risk, p<0.001)and late DR (C-index 0.655; HR 2.36, p<0.001), and ranked second for earlyDR (C-index 0.772; HR 6.59, p<0.001) behind the CM+ model (C-index 0.782). Amongsingle-modality models, Model-M+ improved early DR prognostication comparedwith a molecular model including only ODX genes(C-index 0.767 vs 0.744 for M),whereas Model-I was strongest for late DR prognostication (C-index 0.635). Conclusions: Molecularfeatures primarily drove prognostic accuracy for early DR within 5 years,whereas histopathology features strengthened the prognostic accuracy for lateDR after 5 years. Multimodal models captured these complementary signals, withICM+ giving the best overall accuracy for individualized prognostic assessment.Additional validation of the optimized ICM+ model and other models is beingperformed in an intendent validation sample of 2000 TAILORx volunteers, withresults to be presented at the meeting.Supported by the Breast CancerResearch Foundation and the U.S. NIH/NCI U10CA180820 and 5U24CA196172, and theU.S. Postal Service Breast Cancer Stamp Fund. Citation Format: J. A. Sparano, V. Wang, R. J. Gray, D. F. Makower, K. S. Albain, D. F. Hayes, C. E. Geyer, E. C. Dees, M. P. Goetz, J. A. Olson, S. S. Badve, T. J. Saphner, T. J. Whelan, M. Radovich, V. G. Kaklamani, G. W. Sledge. Multimodal artificial intelligence (AI) models integrating image, clinical, and molecular data for predicting early and late breast cancer recurrence in TAILORx [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS1-08.
Adjunctive Statistical Standardization of Adjuvant Estrogen Receptor and Progesterone Receptor in Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.27 Postmenopausal Breast Cancer Trial of Exemestane Versus Anastrozole
Chapman, Judith‐Anne W. , Bayani, Jane , Sengupta, Sandip , Bartlett, John M.S. , Quintayo, Mary Anne , Virk, Shakeel , Goss, Paul E., Ingle, James N. , Ellis, Matthew J. , Budd, G. Thomas , Ansari, Rafat , Tozer, Richard , D’Souza, David , Chalchal, Haji , Spadafora, Silvana , Stearns, Vered , Perez, Edith A. , Whelan, Timothy J., Elliott, Catherine, Shepherd, Lois E. , Taylor, Karen J. , Whelan, Timothy J. , Ingle, J , Virk, Shakeel , Ellis, Matthew J , Sledge, George W , Budd, G Thomas , Rabaglio-Poretti, Manuela , Stearns, Vered , Perez, Edith A , Gelmon, Karen A , Whelan, Timothy J , Shepherd, LE , Chen, Bingshu E , Taylor, Karen J , Piper, Tammy , Sledge, George W. , Rabaglio, Manuela , Gelmon, Karen A. , Chen, Bingshu E.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | June 2, 2024 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 24 | Pages: 2887-2898

10.1200/jco.24.00835 Get It

PURPOSE ASCO/College of American Pathologists guidelines recommend reporting estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) as positive with (1%-100%) staining. Statistically standardized quantitated positivity could indicate differential associations of positivity with breast cancer outcomes. METHODS MA.27 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00066573 ) was a phase III adjuvant trial of exemestane versus anastrozole in postmenopausal women with early-stage breast cancer. Immunochemistry ER and PgR HSCORE and % positivity (%+) were centrally assessed by machine image quantitation and statistically standardized to mean 0 and standard deviation (SD) 1 after Box-Cox variance stabilization transformations of square for ER; for PgR, (1) natural logarithm (0.1 added to 0 HSCOREs and 0%+) and (2) square root. Our primary end point was MA.27 distant disease-free survival (DDFS) at a median 4.1-year follow-up, and secondary end point was event-free survival (EFS). Univariate survival with cut points at SDs about a mean of 0 (≤–1; (–1, 0]; (0, 1]; >1) was described with Kaplan-Meier plots and examined with Wilcoxon (Peto-Prentice) test statistic. Adjusted Cox multivariable regressions had two-sided Wald tests and nominal significance P < .05. RESULTS Of 7,576 women accrued, 3,048 women's tumors had machine-quantitated image analysis results: 2,900 (95%) for ER, 2,726 (89%) for PgR, and 2,582 (85% of 3,048) with both ER and PgR. Higher statistically standardized ER and PgR HSCORE and %+ were associated with better univariate DDFS and EFS ( P < .001). In multivariable assessments, ER HSCORE and %+ were not significantly associated ( P = .52-.88) with DDFS in models with PgR, whereas higher PgR HSCORE and %+ were significantly associated with better DDFS ( P = .001) in models with ER. CONCLUSION Adjunctive statistical standardization differentiated quantitated levels of ER and PgR. Patients with higher ER- and PgR-standardized units had superior DDFS compared with those with HSCOREs and %+ ≤–1.
Adjunctive statistical standardization of quantitated adjuvant ER and PgR in CCTG MA.27.
Chapman, Judy‐Anne W., Bayani, Jane , Sengupta, Sandip , Battlett, John MS, Quintayo, Mary Anne , Virk, Shakeel , Goss, Paul E., Budd, G. Thomas , Perez, Edith A. , Whelan, Timothy J. , Shepherd, L. E., Piper, Tammy , Ingle, James N. , Ellis, Matthew J. , Sledge, George W. , Rabaglio, Manuela , Stearns, Vered , Gelmon, Karen A. , Chen, Bingshu E. , Taylor, Karen J.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 29, 2024 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: 567-567

10.1200/jco.2024.42.16_suppl.567 Get It

567 Background: We proposed adjunctive statistical standardization of quantitated ER and PgR to improve inter-laboratory comparability of biomarker results and therapeutic management of breast cancer. Methods: We utilized CCTG MA.27 (NCT00066573), an adjuvant phase III trial of exemestane versus anastrozole in postmenopausal women with ER+ and/or PgR+ tumours. IHC ER and PgR HSCORE and % positivity (%+) were centrally assessed by machine image quantitation, and each statistically standardized to mean of 0, standard deviation of 1 following Box-Cox variance stabilization transformations of square for ER; for PgR, 1.) natural logarithm (0.1 added to 0 HSCOREs and 0 %+), 2.) square root. The primary endpoint was STEEP distant disease-free survival (DDFS) at the longest trial follow-up of median 4.1 years; a secondary endpoint was event-free survival (EFS). Survival was described with Kaplan-Meier plots and tested with the univariate Wilcoxon (Peto-Prentice) test statistic. We examined cut-points at standard deviations about mean of 0 (<-1; (-1,0]; (0,1]; >1) and explored single cut-points. Cox multivariate regressions were adjusted for age, T and N stage, grade, lymphovascular invasion, treatment, and baseline patient demographics; 2-sided Wald tests had nominal significance if p<0.05. Results: Of the 7576 women accrued, 3048 women had machine-quantitated image analysis results: 2900 (95%) for ER; 2726 (89%) for PgR. Statistically standardized HSCORE and %+ units differentiated both univariate DDFS and EFS; DDFS was significantly different by ER levels (p<0.001) and PgR levels (p<0.001). In multivariable assessments, ER HSCORE and %+ were not significantly associated (p=0.52-0.88) with the DDFS primary endpoint in models with PgR, while higher PgR HSCORE and %+ had significantly better DDFS (p=.001, in all instances) in models with ER. Conclusions: DDFS was superior for patients with higher ER and PgR standardized units compared with those with HSCOREs and %+ <-1. The adjunctive statistical standardization of ER and PgR performed here is similar to that mandated for clinical practice by the World Health Organization for BMD. [Table: see text]
Abstract PO1-27-10: Adjunctive statistical standardization of quantitated machine image analysis of Estrogen and Progesterone Receptors: CCTG MA.27 trial
Chapman, Judy-Anne, Bayani, Jane , Sengupta, Sandip , Bartlett, John M.S. , Quintayo, Mary Anne , Virk, Shakeel , Goss, Paul E. , Budd, G. Thomas , Ansari, Rafat , Tozer, Richard , D’Souza, David , Chalchal, Haji , Spadafora, Silvana , Perez, Edith A. , Gelmon, Karen, Whelan, Timothy J. , Elliott, Catherine, Shepherd, L. E., Chapman, Judy‐Anne W., Piper, Tammy , Ingle, James N. , Ellis, Matthew J. , Sledge, George W. , Rabaglio, Manuela , Stearns, Vered , Chen, Bingshu E. , Taylor, Karen J.

Cancer Research | May 2, 2024 | Volume: 84 | Issue: 9_Supplement | Pages: PO1-27-10-PO1-27-10

10.1158/1538-7445.sabcs23-po1-27-10 Get It

Abstract Background: Adjuvant breast cancer therapy is informed by whether a tumour is positive or negative for the biomarkers ER, PgR, and HER2, often without regard to level of positivity. Quantitation has been proposed to improve therapeutic management. Adjunctive statistical standardization has been proposed to improve inter-laboratory comparability of biomarkers results. Methods: This primary report utilized adjunctive statistical standardization of machine-quantitated image analysis biomarker assessments. CCTG MA.27 (NCT00066573) is an adjuvant phase III trial of exemestane versus anastrozole in postmenopausal women with ER+ and/or PgR+ tumours. IHC ER, PgR, and HER2 were centrally assessed, with FISH (HER2;HER2/CEP17) determinations for equivocal IHC HER2. HSCOREs were statistically standardized to a mean of 0, standard deviation of 1 following Box-Cox variance stabilization transformations of square for ER and natural logarithm for PgR (0.1 was added to 0 HSCOREs). The primary endpoint was STEEP distant disease-free survival (DDFS) at the longest trial follow-up of median 4.1 years. Survival was described with Kaplan-Meier plots. The univariate Wilcoxon (Peto-Prentice) test statistic was used with usual designation of negative/positive (0; &gt;0), and standardized cut-points at standard deviations about mean of 0(&lt;-1; (-1,0]; (0,1]; &gt;1). Cox multivariate regressions adjusted for age, T and N stage, grade, lymphovascular invasion, treatment, and baseline patient demographics, utilized likelihood ratio tests. Nominal significance was p=0.05. Results: Of the 7576 women accrued, 3048 had machine-quantitated image analysis results: 2900 (95%) for ER; 2726 (89%) for PgR. Only 8 women were ASCO/CAP ER- (HSCORE 0); PgR HSCORE was 0 for 533. Statistically standardized units differentiated DDFS ER levels (p&lt; 0.001) and PgR levels (p&lt; 0.001). In adjusted multivariate analyses, higher ER HSCORE was associated with better DDFS (p=0.05) with weak evidence of an association (p=0.11) for standardized HSCORE, and no significant association (respectively, p=0.28, p=0.54) in models with PgR. Higher PgR was associated with better DDFS (p=0.001) in all multivariate assessments, including those with ER. Conclusions: DDFS was superior for patients with higher ER and PgR standardized units compared with those with HSCOREs &lt;-1. Adjunctive statistical standardization, similar to that mandated for clinical practice by the World Health Organization for BMD, should improve inter-laboratory comparability of biomarker results for similar patient populations. Biomarker N DDFS DDFS 5-year (%) 95% CI ER total 2900 ER &lt;-1 506 86 (82, 91) ER (-1, 0] 934 94 (92, 96) ER ( 0, 1] 919 94 (92, 96) ER &gt;1 541 96 (93, 98) PgR total 2726 PgR &lt;-1 734 89 (86, 92) PgR (-1, 0] 439 92 (89, 95) PgR ( 0, 1] 967 95 (93, 96) PgR &gt;1.0 586 98 (97,100) Citation Format: Judy-Anne Chapman, Jane Bayani, Sandip SenGupta, John MS Bartlett, Tammy Piper, Mary Anne Quintayo, Shakeel Virk, Paul Goss, James Ingle, Matthew Ellis, George Sledge Jr, George Budd, Manuela Rabaglio, Rafat Ansari, Richard Tozer, David D'Souza, Haji Chalchal, Silvana Spadafora, Vered Stearns, Edith A. Perez, Karen Gelmon, Timothy Whelan, Catherine Elliott, Lois Shepherd, Bingshu Chen, Karen Taylor. Adjunctive statistical standardization of quantitated machine image analysis of Estrogen and Progesterone Receptors: CCTG MA.27 trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-27-10.
Effect of Metformin Versus Placebo on New Primary Cancers in Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.32: A Secondary Analysis of a Phase III Randomized Double-Blind Trial in Early Breast Cancer
Goodwin, Pamela J. , Chen, Bingshu E. , Gelmon, Karen A. , Whelan, Timothy J. , Ennis, Marguerite , Ligibel, Jennifer A. , Hershman, Dawn L. , Mayer, Ingrid A. , Hobday, Timothy J. , Bliss, Judith M. , Rastogi, Priya , Thompson, Alastair M. , Stos, Paul M., Shepherd, Lois E. , Parulekar, Wendy R. , Mayer, IA , Ligibel, Jennifer A , Hershman, Dawn L , Hobday, Timothy J , Bliss, Judith , Rastogi, Priya , Rea, Daniel W , Shepherd, LE , Parulekar, Wendy R , Ennis, Marguerite , Chen, Bingshu E , Gelmon, Karen A , Lemieux, Julie , Rabaglio, Manuela , Rea, Daniel , Stambolic, Vuk

Journal of Clinical Oncology | September 11, 2023 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 35 | Pages: 5356-5362

10.1200/jco.23.00296 Get It

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned coprimary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical trial updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported. Metformin has been associated with lower cancer risk in epidemiologic and preclinical research. In the MA.32 randomized adjuvant breast cancer trial, metformin ( v placebo) did not affect invasive disease-free or overall survival. Here, we report metformin effects on the risk of new cancer. Between 2010 and 2013, 3,649 patients with breast cancer younger than 75 years without diabetes with high-risk T1-3, N0-3 M0 breast cancer (any estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2) were randomly assigned to metformin 850 mg orally twice a day or placebo twice a day for 5 years. New primary invasive cancers (outside the ipsilateral breast) developing as a first event were identified. Time to events was described by the competing risks method; two-sided likelihood ratio tests adjusting for age, BMI, smoking, and alcohol intake were used to compare metformin versus placebo arms. A total of 184 patients developed new invasive cancers: 102 metformin and 82 placebo, hazard ratio (HR), 1.25; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.68; P = .13. These included 48 contralateral invasive breast cancers (27 metformin v 21 placebo), HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.72 to 2.27; P = .40 and 136 new nonbreast primary cancers (75 metformin v 61 placebo), HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.74; P = .21. Metformin did not reduce the risk of new cancer development in these nondiabetic patients with breast cancer.
Abstract GS1-05: Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx): An Update Including 12-Year Event Rates
Makower, Della , Albain, Kathy S. , Hayes, Daniel F. , Dees, Elizabeth Claire , Lively, Tracy , Saphner, Thomas J. , Whelan, Timothy J. , Kaklamani, Virginia , Sparano, Joseph A. , Gray, Robert J. , Geyer, Charles E. , Goetz, Matthew P. , Olson, John A. , Badve, Sunil , Wagner, Lynne I. , Sledge, George W.

Cancer Research | March 2, 2023 | Volume: 83 | Issue: 5_Supplement | Pages: GS1-05-GS1-05

10.1158/1538-7445.sabcs22-gs1-05 Get It

Abstract Background: Late recurrence of breast cancer after 5 years accounts for about 50% of recurrences in hormone receptor (HR)-positive early breast cancer (EBC). TAILORx established non-inferiority of adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) given for at least 5 years to chemotherapy plus ET (CET) in EBC and a 21-gene recurrence score (RS) of 11-25, although there was some chemotherapy benefit in women Methods: Eligibility criteria included women 18-75 years with HR-positive, HER2-negative, T1b-T2N0 EBC who agreed to have CT assigned or randomized based on the RS assay. The primary endpoint was invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) in the RS 11-25 group. The “primary analysis” refers to the original prespecified analysis for the primary IDFS endpoint (836 IDFS events at full information in the RS 11-25 group) after a median of 7.5 years. The “updated analysis” was performed after a median followup of 11.0 and 10.4 years in the randomized and overall populations, respectively. Results:10,253 eligible women enrolled between 4/7/06-10/6/10.The updated analysis includes substantially more events that the primary analysis, including IDFS events (1819 vs. 1210), distant recurrences (561 vs. 384), locoregional +/- distant recurrences (764 vs. 543), and deaths (910 vs. 499). The table provides 5 and 12-year event rates (and standard errors) for all arms, and comparisons of the randomized arms. The primary trial conclusions remain unchanged: ET was non-inferior to CET in the randomized group with a RS 11-25. Although recurrence occurred in &lt; 10% by 12 years for a RS 0-25, late recurrence events beyond 5 years exceeded earlier recurrence. Non-recurrence events occurred in about 13% at 12 years (~1%/year), contributing substantially to the IDFS rates. For women Conclusions: The current updated analysis confirms findings from the original primary analysis that ET is non-inferior to CET in HR-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative EBC and a RS 11-25. As in the original primary analysis, the subgroup of women Citation Format: Joseph Sparano, Robert J. Gray, Della Makower, Kathy S. Albain, Daniel F. Hayes, Charles Geyer, Elizabeth Dees, Matthew P. Goetz, John A. Olson Jr, Tracy G. Lively, Sunil Badve, Thomas Saphner, Lynne I. Wagner, Timothy Whelan, Virginia Kaklamani, George Sledge. Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx): An Update Including 12-Year Event Rates [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr GS1-05.
Abstract GS1-08: CCTGMA.32, a phase III randomized double-blind placebo controlled adjuvant trial of metformin (MET) vs placebo (PLAC) in early breast cancer (BC): Results of the primary efficacy analysis (clinical trials.gov NCT01101438)
Whelan, Timothy J. , Ligibel, Jennifer A. , Hobday, Timothy J. , Bliss, Judith M. , Rastogi, Priya , Mukherjee, Som D., Mackey, Robert R., Oja, Conrad D., Thompson, Alastair M. , Stos, Paul M., Shepherd, Lois E. , Parulekar, Wendy R. , Bliss, Judith , Goodwin, Pamela J. , Chen, Bingshu E. , Gelmon, Karen A. , Ennis, Marguerite , Lemieux, Julie , Hershman, Dawn L. , Mayer, Ingrid A. , Rabaglio, Manuela , Mackey, Robert R, Abramson, Vandana G. , Wesolowski, Robert , Rea, Daniel , Stambolic, Vuk

Cancer Research | March 8, 2022 | Volume: 82 | Issue: 4_Supplement | Pages: GS1-08-GS1-08

10.1158/1538-7445.sabcs21-gs1-08 Get It

Abstract Background: MET has been associated with beneficial anti-cancer effects in epidemiologic and preclinical research. It may act indirectly by reversing obesity associated physiologic changes or directly via mitochondrial mediated effects on LKB1/AMPK/mTOR and other mechanisms. MA.32 investigated the effect of MET vs PLAC (in addition to standard therapy) on adjuvant BC outcomes. Design: Randomized, placebo-controlled double-blind Phase III clinical trial conducted within the NCI US National Clinical Trials Network, NCRI (UK) BG, IBCSG. Methods: Between 2010-2013 BC patients &lt; 75 yo without diabetes (DM) with high risk T1-3, N0-3 M0 BC regardless of ER, PgR, HER2 and with adequate cardiac, renal and hepatic function were randomized (stratified for ER/PgR + vs -, BMI &lt; vs &gt; 30 kg/m2, HER2 +ve vs -ve, any vs no chemo) within 1 year of BC diagnosis to MET 850 mg po bid or PLAC bid for 5 years. Dose was reduced for toxicity with re-escalation when possible. Subjects were followed for Invasive Disease-Free Survival (IDFS primary outcome; events included invasive local/regional recurrences, distant recurrences, new ipsilateral/contralateral invasive BCs, new non-breast primary cancers, any death), Overall Survival (OS), Distant Relapse Free Survival (DRFS), BC Specific Survival (BCSS), BC Free Interval (BCFI), contralateral BC and cardiovascular (CV) events/new DM. 3582 subjects were required for 80% power to detect HR 0.76 (431 events). In 2011, entry was restricted to higher risk BC, leading to 80% power to detect HR 0.785 (544 events). In 2016, after the 2nd interim analysis at 29.5 months median F/U, the DSMB recommended (i) the intervention be continued with primary analysis triggered at 544 events be conducted in ER/PgR +ve (any HER2) subjects only and (ii) ER/PgR -ve subjects stop study drug for futility but blinding and follow-up continue. In 2021, a time driven analysis in ER/PgR +ve BC was approved (465 events providing 80% power to detect the original HR 0.76). Time to event survival described by the Kaplan-Meier method. Two-sided log-rank tests adjusting for stratification factors were primarily used to compare IDFS between arms. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify and adjust for factors significantly related to IDFS. Results: 3649 subjects were enrolled. In the 2533 ER/PgR +ve subjects included in the primary analysis, baseline mean (± SD) age was 52.7 (±9.9 yrs); mean BMI 28.8 (±6.4) kg/m2. Baseline tumor characteristics were balanced: T stage 1/2/3/4 = 832/1351/349/1; N stage 0/1/2/3 = 964/1097/449/23; HER2+ 429. 1901 (75%) received XRT. 2150 (84.9%) received (neo)adj chemo, 2223 (87.8%) (neo)adj hormones and 434 (17.1%) HER2 targeted therapy. Any Grade ≥ 3 toxicity was similar in MET and PLAC arms (21.7% and 18.7%, P = 0.06). Median follow-up was 96.2 (range 0.2-121.0) months with 465 IDFS events (234 MET, 231 PLAC, 76% due to BC). Efficacy results are shown below. MET vs PLACMET vs PLACIDFSOSPopulation Included# subjectsHR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)PRIMARY ANALYSISER/PgR +ve (any HER2)*25331.01 (0.84-1.21). P=0.920.89 (0.64-1.23). P=0.46ER/PgR -ve (any HER211161.01 (0.79-1.30. P=0.92)0.89 (0.64-1.23). P=0.46Exploratory. AnalysisHER2 +ve (any ER/PgR)6200.64 (0.43-0.95. P=0.0260.53 (0.30-0.98. P=0.0398**in ER/PgR pos BC HRs were similar for BCFI, DRFS, BCSS (ranging from 0.98-1.09)Conclusions: MET did not improve IDFS or other BC outcomes in ER/PgR positive or ER/PgR negative BC and should not be used as adjuvant treatment. Exploratory findings suggesting benefit in HER2+ve BC should be further investigated. Funded by: CCSRI, NCI (US), CBCF, BCRF, CRUK, Hold’Em for Life Charity, Apotex (Canada) Citation Format: Pamela J. Goodwin, Bingshu E Chen, Karen A Gelmon, Timothy J Whelan, Marguerite Ennis, Julie Lemieux, Jennifer A Ligibel, Dawn L Hershman, Ingrid A Mayer, Timothy J Hobday, Judith M Bliss, Priya Rastogi, Manuela Rabaglio-Poretti, Som D. Mukherjee, Robert R Mackey, Vandana G Abramson, Conrad Oja, Robert Wesolowski, Alastair M Thompson, Daniel W Rea, Paul M Stos, Lois E Shepherd, Vuk Stambolic, Wendy R Parulekar. CCTGMA.32, a phase III randomized double-blind placebo controlled adjuvant trial of metformin (MET) vs placebo (PLAC) in early breast cancer (BC): Results of the primary efficacy analysis (clinical trials.gov NCT01101438) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS1-08.