Muss, H. B.

540 Background: Risk of death from other malignancies (OM) and other causes (OC) than breast cancer (BC) increases with age. Effects of baseline factors on type of death were assessed with competing risks analyses. Methods: In NCIC CTG MA.17, 5,187 women free of recurrent breast cancer after 5 years of tamoxifen were randomized to letrozole (L, 2,593 women) or placebo (P, 2,594 women). The primary endpoint was disease free survival (DFS), and secondary, overall survival (OS). Follow-up was to October 9, 2005: median 3.9 years, range <0.1 to 7.0 years. Effects of competing risks were examined for endpoints of BC, OM, and OC for 11 baseline trial factors: treatment, age, menopausal status, duration of prior tamoxifen, adjuvant radiotherapy, bone fracture, osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease, hormone receptor status, nodal status, adjuvant chemotherapy. Lagakos’ hierarchical method (Lagakos, Appl. Statist. 1978; 27:235–241) was used to test for differential effects of baseline factors on type of death (BC, OM, OC). Results: Rate of censoring was 97.8%, with 256 deaths (BC, 102; OM, 50; OC, 100; unknown, 4). Non-breast cancer deaths accounted for 60% of known deaths; 72%, for those ≥70 years; and 48%, for those <70 years. Two baseline factors differentially affected type of death. Women with cardiovascular disease were more likely to die from OC (p=0.02), while those with osteoporosis were more likely to die of OM (p=0.03). Age and nodal status had directionally similar effects. Older women had shorter survival from all 3 causes of death (p=0.01). Lymph node positivity was associated with worse survival (p=0.003). Conclusions: Extended L provides similar proportional benefit in improving DFS for all ages of women (Muss ref abstract SABCS 2006). However, the magnitude of competing non-breast cancer, and non-treatment related, causes of death needs to be considered more frequently, since with early detection and improved therapies, breast cancer patients may increasingly be expected to survive their disease to die from another cause. The novel association between baseline osteoporosis and other malignancies is being explored quantitatively. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

2 Background: The MA.17 trial demonstrated that extended adjuvant endocrine therapy with letrozole after 5-y of tamoxifen markedly reduced the risk of recurrence in women with ER+ early stage breast cancer. This trial provides an opportunity to assess the ability of biomarkers to predict late recurrences in ER+ breast cancer. The Breast Cancer Index (BCI), a continuous risk index based on the combination of HOXB13:IL17BR (H:I) and the molecular grade index (MGI), estimates the individual risk of recurrence in ER+ breast cancer patients. In this study, the prognostic utility of BCI to predict late recurrences was examined. Methods: FFPE tumor blocks were collected from patients who experienced a breast cancer recurrence up to unblinding of MA.17. Controls were matched 2:1 for age, tumor size, nodal status and prior chemotherapy, and were disease free for longer than cases. All cases were reviewed for standard histopathology and evaluated using the real-time RT-PCR BCI assay. Results: Patient characteristics for the case-control study were similar to that from the overall study. Characteristics for cases (N=83) and controls (N=166) were not significantly different except for treatment. A higher percentage of controls compared to cases tended to be categorized as low risk by BCI (58% vs 43%), while a lower percentage of controls than cases tended to be categorized as high risk by BCI (34% vs 24%). In univariate analysis, treatment, BCI, H:I and HOXB13, but not tumor grade or MGI, were significant predictors of late recurrence. After adjusting for standard variables (age, tumor grade and treatment), BCI (OR 2.37; P=0.03), H:I (OR 2.55; P=0.04) and HOXB13 (OR 1.35; P=0.02) remained significant predictors of recurrence. HOXB13 expression at diagnosis predicted patient benefit from extended endocrine therapy with letrozole. Conclusions: In this case-controlled study, the data demonstrate that BCI is a significant predictor of late recurrences in ER+ patients following 5-y of tamoxifen. The prognostic performance of BCI to predict late recurrences was largely dependent on HOXB13 expression. The integration of H:I and MGI within BCI provides prognostic utility for both early and late recurrences.

Abstract Background: MA17 showed that adjuvant letrozole after 5 years of tamoxifen markedly reduced the risk of recurrence in women with ER+ early stage breast cancer and improved overall survival in women presenting with node +ve disease. Most trials of early adjuvant aromatase inhibitor therapy required women to be postmenopausal at diagnosis to be eligible. We report here on a subset of women in the MA17 trial who were premenopausal at initial diagnosis and in whom subsequent menopause, prior to randomization, may have influenced their outcome on extended adjuvant letrozole.Methods: Women randomized to MA17 were divided into 2 groups: 1) pre-menopausal (&lt; 50 years of age but underwent bilateral oophorectomy at time when tamoxifen treatment started or &lt; 50 years of age at the start of tamoxifen treatment but became amenorrheic during adjuvant chemotherapy or tamoxifen treatment) and 2) post-menopausal. Disease-free survival (DFS) from time of randomization for women in these two groups were summarized by Kaplan-Meier curves and compared based on log-rank test and Cox model.Results: 889 women were identified as premenopausal and 4,277 as postmenopausal. Treatment, age, race, duration of tamoxifen, prior adjuvant chemotherapy, and mastectomy were independently associated with menopausal status on multivariate analysis. The interaction between treatment and menopausal status was statistically significant for DFS (p=0.02), indicating that women diagnosed with pre-menopausal breast cancer had significantly greater benefit (Hazard ratio=0.25, 95% CI: 0.12-0.51) with letrozole treatment in terms of DFS than those with post-menopausal status (hazard ratio=0.69 with 95% CI from 0.52 to 0.91). In comparison with women treated with placebo, pre-menopausal women on letrozole had a significantly higher incidence of arthralgia (24 vs. 16%; p=0.004) but a lower incidence of vaginal bleeding (10 vs. 16%; p=0.01). Compared with placebo post-menopausal women receiving letrozole had a higher incidence of hot flashes/flashes (55 vs. 50%; p=0.001), arthralgia (25 vs. 21%; p=0.002), myalgia (15 vs. 12%; p=0.007) and alopecia (5 vs. 3%; p=0.003).Conclusions: Letrozole after tamoxifen was more effective in improving DFS in women who were premenopausal at primary diagnosis than those who were postmenopausal. Letrozole was well tolerated in premenopausal women. These data indicate that women who are premenopausal at the time of diagnosis but become postmenopausal anytime before, or during, adjuvant tamoxifen should be considered for extended adjuvant therapy with letrozole. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 13.