Carlson, Erin E.

Abstract Purpose: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is typically detected too late for useful therapeutic interventions; hence, we sought blood biomarkers to detect early-stage disease. Experimental Design: Using mass spectrometry and ELISA on plasma pools from the University of Pennsylvania (Penn) and the Mayo Clinic (Mayo), we identified aminopeptidase N (ANPEP) and polymeric immunoglobulin receptor (PIGR) as increased in early-stage (stage I/II) PDAC plasma compared with controls. We tested ANPEP and PIGR, along with prior data for thrombospondin 2 (THBS2) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), in retrospective phase II studies using separate cohorts of PDAC plasmas at different stages versus healthy or nonmalignant disease controls (DC) from Penn (n = 135) and Mayo (n = 537). Results: Comparing healthy controls with stage I/II PDAC, we obtained area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC) of 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.68–0.86]/0.80 (95% CI, 0.74–0.85; ANPEP) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70–0.88)/0.86 (95% CI, 0.82–0.90; PIGR) for the Penn/Mayo phase II studies, respectively. In multivariable models, CA19-9/THBS2/ANPEP, CA19-9/THBS2/PIGR, and CA19-9/THBS2/ANPEP/PIGR elicited AUC of 0.94 to 0.96 for Penn and 0.97 for Mayo. Notably, the four-marker panel elicited AUC of 0.87 for the Mayo stage I/II versus DC and 0.91 for stages I to IV versus DC. At a specificity of 95%, a plasma biomarker panel composed of CA19-9 (≥35 U/mL), THBS2 (≥42 ng/mL), ANPEP (≥2,995 ng/mL), and PIGR (≥1,800 ng/mL) yielded a sensitivity of 91.9% for PDAC stages I to IV and 87.5% for PDAC stage I/II. Conclusions: Adding ANPEP and PIGR to a plasma biomarker panel of CA19-9 and THBS2 enhances the detection of early-stage PDAC when comparing cancer versus healthy or nonmalignant DC. Given the concordance of our data in two retrospective phase II studies, assessments in prediagnostic cases are warranted.

Abstract Background: The Pancreatic Cancer Detection Consortium (PCDC) is an NCI-sponsored initiative to improve detection of early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). A key strategy in this initiative is to develop prospective, multi-center, longitudinal biospecimen collections from individuals without PDAC who are at high-risk of PDAC due to family history, germline variants, or the presence of pancreatic cystic lesions. The biospecimen collections, linked to clinically relevant data, will enable Phase 3 biomarker validation studies. Methods: The PCDC currently includes 10 funded Research Units (RUs): City of Hope/TGen, Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Johns Hopkins Medical Institute, Mayo Clinic/University of Pennsylvania, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Oregon Health and Science University, University of Nebraska, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, University of California (UC) San Diego, UC San Franciso. Non-protected patient health information and biospecimen data is logged into a central Medidata Rave® database managed by a Management and Data Coordination Unit (MDCU) at Mayo Clinic (NCT06271291). Biospecimens collected include blood and pancreatic cyst fluid. Two options for blood collections exist: 1) 20 mL EDTA, 10 mL no additive if samples can be frozen within 4 hours of collection; 2) 10 mL EDTA, 10 mL Streck, 10 mL no additive if samples cannot be frozen within 4 (but less than 12) hours. Cyst fluid (up to 1000 uL), if available as clinical residual, will be obtained at the time of clinically indicated operative resection or endoscopic ultrasound guided aspiration procedures. All samples must be processed per standardized methods outlined in the lab manual and aliquoted into 500 uL (blood) or 100 uL (cyst fluid) units and frozen (-70oC). Long-term biospecimen storage will be set up at NCI Frederick National Laboratory (FNL). Single Institutional Review Board (sIRB) oversight is provided by Mayo Clinic. A collaborative research agreement has been executed to allow sharing of data and biospecimens between and within PCDC RU members, the MDCU, NCI and NCI FNL. Results: The enrollment of patients began February 7, 2025 with additional sites joining as necessary sIRB reliance documents and training is completed. The protocol is approved for up to 30,000 patients, age 18 years and older. 14 have been enrolled from 1 site as of July 10, 2025. Study endpoints include diagnosis of PDAC, death or complete pancreatectomy for non-PDAC reasons. Biospecimens and questionnaires will be collected annually. Summary and Future Plans: The PCDC has designed a Phase 3 biobank following EDRN study design principles. Biospecimens will be stored at NCI FNL. Access to the biobank resource will be overseen by the PCDC Steering Committee. We anticipate this being a rich Phase 3 biospecimen resource for the pancreatic cancer early detection research community. Citation Format: Janet E. Olson, Shounak Majumder, Jennifer J. Brooks, Emily J. Kirsch, Bridget H. Schmidt, Bill R. Bamlet, Erin E. Carlson, Ann L. Oberg. On the development of the Pancreatic Cancer Detection Consortium (PCDC) Prospective Cohorts biobank [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Advances in Pancreatic Cancer Research—Emerging Science Driving Transformative Solutions; Boston, MA; 2025 Sep 28-Oct 1; Boston, MA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(18_Suppl_3):Abstract nr B069.

Abstract Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths in the U.S. mainly because of late-stage diagnosis. Heritable genetic information can improve risk stratification for individuals with moderate to high-risk of PDAC for targeted screening and early detection. We aimed to develop an enhanced polygenic risk score (PRS) for PDAC using a Bayesian approach, LDpred2, that reweights risk estimates attributed to millions of polymorphisms (SNPs) estimated from genome-wide association studies (GWASs). We then compared the performance of LDpred2 with the commonly used genetic risk score (GRS) approach that is based only on genome-wide significant SNPs. Methods: GWAS summary statistics were obtained from the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium and the Pancreatic Cancer Case Control Consortium for 9040 cases and 12496 controls and were used to compute weights for a GRS (17 SNPs) using a p-value threshold of 5e-8 and weights for an enhanced PRS (1.3 million SNPs) using LDpred2. These weights were then used to compute risk scores in an independent validation sample of 2616 cases and 45407 controls from the Mayo Clinic. We used logistic regression to test for associations of the GRS and PRS with PDAC risk, adjusting for age, sex, and the first 10 principal components of ancestry. Results: The validation sample was of mostly European ancestries (>95%). Cases were slightly older than controls (median age: 66 yrs. vs. 63 yrs.) and had a higher frequency of men than controls (57% vs. 42%). Comparisons between the GRS and the PRS are shown in Table 1. DeLong’s test comparing the AUCs between the two genetic scores showed the PRS significantly outperformed the GRS (AUC = 0.68 vs. 0.67; p = 7.6e-7). Conclusions: The LDpred2 PRS model that used a larger set of SNPs significantly improved prediction of PDAC. Comparing the top percentile of the PRS versus the rest showed that the PRS is a clinically significant risk score (OR > 3) for PDAC and could inform clinical decision making and genetic counseling of individuals identified as having a high risk of PDAC. Citation Format: Samuel O. Antwi, Brandon J. Coombes, Nicholas B. Larson, Erin E. Carlson, Kari G. Rabe, Hunter J. Atkinson, Shounak Majumder, Jun Zhong, David McKean, Pancreatic Cancer Cohort & Case Control Consortia (PanScan and PanC4), Brian M. Wolpin, Rachael Z. Stolzenberg-Solomon, Alison P. Klein, Laufey T. Amundadottir, Ann L. Oberg. Enhanced polygenic risk score for pancreatic cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 2 (Late-Breaking, Clinical Trial, and Invited Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_2):Abstract nr LB331.

Abstract Pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm (panNEN) is a rare malignancy and the second most common type of pancreatic cancer after pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but its etiology is poorly understood. We investigated whether the risk factors of panNEN are concordant with those known for PDAC. We performed the largest case-control study to date on panNENs, comprising 927 sporadic nonfunctional panNEN cases and 1807 frequency-matched controls, using data from the Mayo Clinic Biospecimen Resource for Pancreas Research. We assessed associations for obesity, first-degree family history of pancreatic cancer, cigarette smoking, overall type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM), new-onset T2DM (<1 year before panNEN diagnosis), longstanding T2DM (≥5 years), alcohol intake and aspirin use. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Our results show that overall T2DM (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.37–2.14) and new-onset T2DM (OR = 2.65, 95% CI: 1.92–3.69) are associated with higher odds of panNEN, but not longstanding T2DM (OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.94–1.75). A non-significant elevated odds of panNEN was observed among participants with a positive family history of pancreatic cancer (OR = 1.44, 95% CI: 0.96–2.14). Alcohol use was inversely related to panNEN (OR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.42–0.66, ever-vs-never). No association was observed for smoking, obesity or aspirin use. These findings indicate that overall T2DM and new-onset T2DM are associated with higher odds of panNEN. Unlike PDAC, alcohol use was inversely related to panNEN, and we found no associations for cigarette smoking, obesity or aspirin use. These results indicate differences in the risk factor profiles of panNEN and PDAC.

770 Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is associated with poor prognosis and limited treatment options. A 584 bp deletion in CTRB2 , which impairs chymotrypsin B2 function, has been linked to increased PDAC risk. This study investigates the impact of this deletion on progression and survival outcomes in patients with PDAC. Methods: There were 633 patients in whom CTRB2ex6 deletion was genotyped; 263 patients received chemotherapy and had time to progression (TTP) information. TTP was calculated from diagnosis date until earliest of 1) progression date (event), 2) surgery, death, or next chemotherapy date (competing risk), or 3) date last known to be alive (censor). Overall survival (OS) was calculated for the cohort from diagnosis until date of death (event) or date last known to be alive (censor). TTP was analyzed using cumulative incidence methods accounting for competing risks; OS was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods. Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age and sex were used to test associations and compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Median TTP in those with CTRB2ex6 deletion negative carrier status (n=209) was 1.3 years vs 5.9 years for those with positive carrier status (n=54). Estimated 3-year progression rates were 54.2% for patients with no CTRB2ex6 deletions, 43.7% for patients with one deletion (n=48), and 33.3% for patients with two CTRB2ex6 deletions (n=6). TTP was not associated with CTRB2 deletion carrier status (HR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.6-1.3). Median OS for CTRB2ex6 deletion negative carriers (n=514) was 1.0 year vs 0.9 years for positive carriers (n=119); within deletion carriers, heterozygous carriers (n=110) had a median OS of 0.9 years, and homozygous carriers (n=9) had a median OS of 2.6 years. OS was not associated with CTRB2 deletion carrier status (HR: 1.0, 95% CI: 0.9-1.3). Conclusions: Although we did not detect statistically significant differences in TTP and OS by CTRB2ex6 deletion carrier status, there was an interesting trend toward longer TTP and OS in the small number of patients who carried homozygous CTRB2ex6 deletions. Larger studies are warranted to validate these findings.

Abstract Purpose: To identify molecular predictors of grade 3/4 neutropenic or leukopenic events (NLE) after chemotherapy using a genome-wide association study (GWAS). Experimental Design: A GWAS was performed on patients in the phase III chemotherapy study SUCCESS-A (n = 3,322). Genotyping was done using the Illumina HumanOmniExpress-12v1 array. Findings were functionally validated with cell culture models and the genotypes and gene expression of possible causative genes were correlated with clinical treatment response and prognostic outcomes. Results: One locus on chromosome 16 (rs4784750; NLRC5; P = 1.56E-8) and another locus on chromosome 13 (rs16972207; TNFSF13B; P = 3.42E-8) were identified at a genome-wide significance level. Functional validation revealed that expression of these two genes is altered by genotype-dependent and chemotherapy-dependent activity of two transcription factors. Genotypes also showed an association with disease-free survival in patients with an NLE. Conclusions: Two loci in NLRC5 and TNFSF13B are associated with NLEs. The involvement of the MHC I regulator NLRC5 implies the possible involvement of immuno-oncological pathways.

Objective To test the ability of machine learning (ML) approaches with clinical and genomic biomarkers to predict methotrexate treatment response in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods Demographic, clinical, and genomic data from 643 patients of European ancestry with early RA (mean age 54 years; 70% female) subdivided into a training (n = 336) and validation cohort (n = 307) were used. The genomic data comprised 160 single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) previously associated with RA or methotrexate metabolism. Response to methotrexate monotherapy was defined as good or moderate by the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) response criteria at the 3‐month follow‐up. Supervised ML methods were trained with 5 repeats and 10‐fold cross‐validation using the training cohort. Prediction performance was validated in the independent validation cohort. Results Supervised ML methods combining age, sex, smoking, rheumatoid factor, baseline Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28) scores and 160 SNPs predicted EULAR response at 3 months with the area under the receiver operating curve of 0.84 ( P = 0.05) in the training cohort and achieved a prediction accuracy of 76% ( P = 0.05) in the validation cohort (sensitivity 72%, specificity 77%). Intergenic SNPs rs12446816, rs13385025, rs113798271, and ATIC (rs2372536) had variable importance above 60.0 and along with baseline DAS28 scores were among the top predictors of methotrexate response. Conclusion Pharmacogenomic biomarkers combined with baseline DAS28 scores can be useful in predicting response to methotrexate in patients with early RA. Applying ML to predict treatment response holds promise for guiding effective RA treatment choices, including timely escalation of RA therapies.

Aromatase inhibitors (AIs) are the treatment of choice for hormone receptor–positive early breast cancer in postmenopausal women. None of the third‐generation AIs are superior to the others in terms of efficacy. We attempted to identify genetic factors that could differentiate between the effectiveness of adjuvant anastrozole and exemestane by examining single‐nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)‐treatment interaction in 4,465 patients. A group of SNPs were found to be differentially associated between anastrozole and exemestane regarding outcomes. However, they showed no association with outcome in the combined analysis. We followed up common SNPs near LY75 and GPR160 that could differentiate anastrozole from exemestane efficacy. LY75 and GPR160 participate in epithelial‐to‐mesenchymal transition and growth pathways, in both cases with SNP‐dependent variation in regulation. Collectively, these studies identified SNPs that differentiate the efficacy of anastrozole and exemestane and they suggest additional genetic biomarkers for possible use in selecting an AI for a given patient.

Abstract Background: Preventive endocrine therapy (ET) has been proven extensively to decrease breast cancer (BC) risk by 50-65%. Despite this significant reduction, a small proportion of high risk women take ET, due to attitudes toward medications, inaccurate risk perception and drug side-effects. The addition of a polygenic risk score (PRS), comprised of 77 BC genetic susceptibility loci (Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNP)), to the standard risk calculator estimates, can be used to improve BC risk estimation. We previously reported on the influence of the PRS-adjusted BC risk estimates on the intent to use ET (Abstract, SABCS, 2019). Here we report on the influence of PRS-adjusted BC risk estimates on ET adherence at 1 and 2 year follow –up. We also report on ET side effects over this same time period. Methods: Women older than age 35 were eligible if they were deemed at high risk for BC by either a 5 year Gail Model risk of ≥3% or 10 year Tyrer-Cuzick risk (IBIS) of ≥5%. We excluded women with a personal history of BC or hereditary BC syndromes. At baseline, participants were counseled on their BC risk using standard risk calculators: Gail and IBIS risk scores (5 yr, 10 yr, & lifetime) and ET options were discussed, including benefits and risks. Blood samples were obtained and genotyped for 77 SNPs, and an updated BC -PRS risk report was shared with study participants that reflected the IBIS and Gail risk predictions for 5 yr, 10 yr, & lifetime BC risk with and without the PRS. A baseline self-reported questionnaire assessed understanding of BC risk and decision to take ET. Follow-up questionnaires at 1 and 2 years assessed self-reported ET adherence and ET side effects (vasomotor symptoms, vaginal symptoms, sexual dysfunction, weight gain, GI symptoms, headaches, breast sensitivity, mood changes, and joint pain). Adherence to ET at 1 and 2 year follow-up was stratified by three categories of lifetime PRS-BC risk: 0-20%; 20-40%; 40-100%. Results: 151 women at Mayo Clinic Rochester and CancerCare Manitoba were enrolled in the study from 2016 to 2017. Of the 149 participants with evaluable data at 1 and 2 year follow-up, 57 (38%) started on ET therapy, all within 1 year of the baseline visit; 43 (29%) were taking ET at 1 year and 33 (22%) were taking ET at 2 year follow-up, representing a discontinuation rate of 26% at 1 year and 42% at 2 year follow-up. Adherence to ET use at 1 year and 2 year follow-ups correlated significantly with the category of PRS-BC risk estimation: at 1 year follow up, 17% of those in the lowest PRS-IBIS risk category, 23% in the middle risk category and 50% of those in the highest risk category were taking ET (p=0.001). At 2 year follow up, 12% of those in the lowest PRS-IBIS risk category, 18% in the middle risk category and 38% of those in the highest risk category were taking ET (p=0.008). At 1 year follow up, participants taking ET reported significantly more bothersome symptoms of vaginal itching (p=0.010), weight gain (p=0.015) and joint pain (p=0.044), compared with those not on ET. There was a trend towards increased irritability and mood swings on those taking ET (p=0.059). At year 2 there was no significant difference in side effects between those taking and not taking ET. Conclusion: Adherence to ET in a population of women at high risk for BC decreased overtime and strongly correlated with the level of risk, with 38% of those at highest risk of breast cancer taking ET at 2 year follow up. Side effects of vaginal itching, weight gain and body aches were more common on those taking ET versus not taking ET at the 1 year follow-up, but did not differ at 2 year follow-up, possibly due to the fact that those with the most bothersome symptoms have discontinued ET by the 2 year follow up. Citation Format: Daniela Stan, Julian Kim, Daniel Schaid, Erin Carlson, Andrew Cooke, Christina A. Kim, Benjamin Goldenberg, Jason Sinnwell, Debjani Grenier, Amy Degnim, Fergus Couch, Celine Vachon, Sandhya Pruthi. Influence of a breast cancer polygenic risk score on adherence to preventive endocrine therapy in high risk women at 1 and 2 year follow-up: The genetic risk estimate (GENRE) trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2020 San Antonio Breast Cancer Virtual Symposium; 2020 Dec 8-11; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS8-02.

Abstract Cell division cycle 25 (CDC25) dual specificity phosphatases positively regulate the cell cycle by activating cyclin-dependent kinase/cyclin complexes. Here, we demonstrate that in addition to its role in cell cycle regulation, CDC25B functions as a regulator of protein phosphatase 2A (PP2A), a major cellular Ser/Thr phosphatase, through its direct interaction with PP2A catalytic subunit. Importantly, CDC25B alters the regulation of AMP-activated protein kinase signaling (AMPK) by PP2A, increasing AMPK activity by inhibiting PP2A to dephosphorylate AMPK. CDC25B depletion leads to metformin resistance by inhibiting metformin-induced AMPK activation. Furthermore, dual inhibition of CDC25B and PP2A further inhibits growth of 3D organoids isolated from patient derived xenograft model of breast cancer compared to CDC25B inhibition alone. Our study identifies CDC25B as a regulator of PP2A, and uncovers a mechanism of controlling the activity of a key energy metabolism marker, AMPK.