Post, Wendy S.

Objectives: Administrative criteria are often used to define COVID-19 outcomes despite challenges in differentiating hospitalization “for” vs “with” COVID-19 and unknown reliability for identifying COVID-related cardiopulmonary complications. We implemented a protocol to adjudicate COVID-related events across 14 studies participating in C4R. Methods: C4R cohorts ascertained COVID-related hospitalizations and deaths via questionnaires or ongoing surveillance. Medical records were reviewed by C4R physicians using a standardized protocol to assign COVID-related diagnoses as definite or probable. C4R diagnoses were compared against ICD codes assigned to the events. This report includes data from events centrally adjudicated by C4R as of September 2022. Results: Among 144 events ascertained across 7 cohorts as potentially COVID-related, SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed in 107/117 (91%) non-fatal hospitalizations and 26/27 (96%) deaths. Of confirmed infections, COVID-19 illness was diagnosed as the cause of 101/107 (94%) hospitalizations and 24/26 (92%) deaths ( Table ). Of non-fatal hospitalizations with infection, 72% were diagnosed with severe or critical COVID-19, 78% with COVID-associated pneumonia, and 29% with renal failure; other complications were less common. C4R review did not validate diagnoses indicated by ICD codes for 1 COVID-19 infection, 5 pneumonias, 1 stroke, and 7 renal failure cases. C4R review did identify diagnoses that were not ICD-coded for 13 infections, 31 pneumonias, 6 myocardial infarctions, 5 venous thromboses, and 21 renal failure cases. Conclusions: Protocolized medical records review by C4R confirmed COVID-19 as the cause of hospitalization or death in 87% of events ascertained as potentially COVID-related and 94% of those in which SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed. Both false-positive and false-negative misclassification by ICD criteria was observed. Protocolized review may be useful to identify and validate COVID-related events for epidemiologic research.

Rationale: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tobacco use patterns remains incompletely understood. We aimed to examine changes in cigarette smoking patterns over the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-22) in a large, multiethnic, US community-based sample. Methods: The Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) ascertained the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on participants from 14 longitudinal NIH-funded cohorts via 2 waves of standardized questionnaires conducted 2020-22. The C4R questionnaire collected data on cigarette use patterns for the current and immediate pre-pandemic periods (January-March 2020). These data were used to define pandemic-era smoking initiation, smoking cessation, and changes in smoking intensity. Multivariable logistic regression models were adjusted for centrally harmonized pre-pandemic data on sociodemographic characteristics, remote smoking history, and co-morbidities and pandemic-era psychological health, insomnia, and SARS-CoV-2 infection history ascertained through C4R questionnaires. Multiple imputation by chained equations was used to account for missing covariate data. Results: Of 17179 participants completing C4R questions on pandemic-era smoking behaviors, 1899 (11%) participants reported current smoking in the immediate pre-pandemic period (mean age 70 years, 59% women, 31% African American, 2% Hispanic, 1% Asian, 22% American Indian/Alaskan Native [AIAN]). Of these 181 (10%) self-reported quitting during the pandemic. Among 1718 (90%) who continued smoking, smoking intensity increased in 17% and decreased in 26%. Among 15093 participants who were not smoking prior to March 2020, 135 (0.9%) initiated smoking during the pandemic period, including 120 (89%) with a remote history of smoking and 15 (11%) with no history of smoking. Pandemic-era smoking cessation was associated with older age(80+ years vs <65 years [adjusted odds ratio; 95%CI] 2.1; 1.1-4.0), obesity(vs normal weight 1.6; 1.02-2.6) and history of SARS-CoV-2 infection (2.1; 1.3-3.1). Pandemic-era smoking initiation was associated with concurrent use of cannabis (3.1; 1.9-5.2), e-cigarette (29.6; 14.8-59.2), and/or alcohol (1.8; 1.1-2.9). Compared to non-Hispanic white participants, AIAN participants had lower odds of quitting (0.1; 0.03-0.6) and African American participants had higher odds of increased smoking intensity (2.0; 1.3-3.1). Depressive symptoms were associated with smoking initiation (2.4; 1.3-4.3) and increased smoking intensity (2.6; 1.5-4.5). Conclusion: Greater odds of smoking initiation and/or increased smoking intensity were observed in minoritized groups and participants reporting depressive symptoms. Majority of those who initiated smoking during pandemic-era were relapsers. Smoking cessation programs remain important to improving public health and reducing health disparities.

Data on the characteristics and outcomes of hospitalized patients with aortic aneurysms (AA) and HIV remain scarce. This is a cohort study of hospitalized adult patients with a diagnosis of AA from 2013 to 2019 using the US National Inpatient Readmission Database. Patients with a diagnosis of HIV were identified. Our outcomes included trends in hospitalizations and comparison of clinical characteristics, complications, and mortality in patients with AA and HIV compared to those without HIV. Among 1,905,837 hospitalized patients with AA, 4416 (0.23%) were living with HIV. There was an overall age-adjusted increase in the rate of HIV among patients hospitalized with AA over the years (14–29 per 10,000 person-years; age-adjusted p-trend < 0.001). Patients with AA and HIV were younger than those without HIV (median age: 60 vs 76 years, p < 0.001) and were less likely to have a history of smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, and obesity. Thoracic aortic aneurysms were more prevalent in those with HIV (37.5% vs 26.7%, p < 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression, HIV was not associated with increased risk of aortic rupture (OR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.61–1.01, p = 0.06), acute aortic dissection (OR: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.51–1.06, p = 0.3), readmissions (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.95–1.13, p = 0.4), or aortic repair (OR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.79–1.00, p = 0.05). Hospitalized patients with AA and HIV had a lower crude mortality rate compared to those without HIV (OR: 0.75 (0.63–0.91), p = 0.003). Hospitalized patients with AA and HIV likely constitute a distinct group of patients with AA; they are younger, have fewer traditional cardiovascular risk factors, and a higher rate of thoracic aorta involvement. Differences in clinical features may account for the lower mortality rate observed in patients with AA and HIV compared to those without HIV.

Human genetic studies support an inverse causal relationship between leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and coronary artery disease (CAD), but directionally mixed effects for LTL and diverse malignancies. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), characterized by expansion of hematopoietic cells bearing leukemogenic mutations, predisposes both hematologic malignancy and CAD. TERT (which encodes telomerase reverse transcriptase) is the most significantly associated germline locus for CHIP in genome-wide association studies. Here, we investigated the relationship between CHIP, LTL, and CAD in the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) program ( n = 63,302) and UK Biobank ( n = 47,080). Bidirectional Mendelian randomization studies were consistent with longer genetically imputed LTL increasing propensity to develop CHIP, but CHIP then, in turn, hastens to shorten measured LTL (mLTL). We also demonstrated evidence of modest mediation between CHIP and CAD by mLTL. Our data promote an understanding of potential causal relationships across CHIP and LTL toward prevention of CAD.

Introduction: Recent studies, mainly performed in elderly whites, suggest that vitamin D, measured by 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], is important for cognition. Less is known about the association of 25(OH)D measured in mid-life with cognition and dementia risk in whites and blacks. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that lower concentrations of 25(OH)D would be associated cross-sectionally with lower cognitive test scores and prospectively with greater decline in cognitive test scores and with increased risk of dementia. Methods: We conducted cross-sectional (1993-1995), change (1993-1995 to 2004-2006), and prospective (follow-up through 2010) analyses of 1,652 participants in the ARIC Brain Ancillary Study with measured 25(OH)D (1993-1995). 25(OH)D was analyzed in race-specific tertiles and continuously. Cognition was measured by 3 tests: Delayed Word Recall (DWR), Digit Symbol Substitution (DSS), and Word Fluency (WF). Dementia was defined by hospitalization ICD-9 codes. Adjusted race-stratified linear regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used. Results: Mean age of participants was 62 years, 60% were female, and 48% were black. Mean 25(OH)D was higher in whites than blacks (25.5 versus 17.3 ng/ml, p<0.05). Over a median of 16.6 years, there were 145 incident hospitalized dementia cases. In prospective analyses, lower levels of 25(OH)D trended towards an association with increased dementia risk in whites and in blacks, but these results were not statistically significant (lowest versus highest tertile: whites, HR: 1.32 [95% CI: 0.69, 2.55]; blacks, HR: 1.53 [95% CI: 0.84, 2.79]) (Figure). Conclusion: In contrast to prior studies performed in elderly populations, our study did not find significant associations between lower levels of 25(OH)D in mid-life with lower cognitive test scores at baseline, change in score over time, or increased dementia risk.

We investigated the effect of candidate variants in AS3MT (arsenic (III) methyltransferase) with urinary arsenic metabolites and their principal components in a subset of 264 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Urinary arsenic species, including inorganic arsenic (iAs), monomethylarsonate (MMA), dimethylarsinate (DMA), and arsenobetaine (Ab), were measured using high performance liquid chromatography-inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (HPLC-ICPMS) and corrected for organic sources from seafood consumption by regressing Ab on arsenic species using a validated method. Principal components of arsenic metabolism were also used as independent phenotypes. We conducted linear regression of arsenic traits with allelic dosage of candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) rs12768205 (G > A), rs3740394 (A > G), and rs3740393 (G > C) measured using Illumina MetaboChip. Models were stratified by non-Hispanic white vs. all other race/ethnicity and adjusted for age, sex, arsenic exposure, study site, and population stratification. Consistent with previous studies, rs12768205 showed evidence for strongest association (non-Hispanic white: iAs% −0.14 (P 0.83), MMA% −0.66 (0.49), DMA% 0.81(0.49); other race/ethnicity: 0.13 (0.71), −1.21 (0.09), 1.08 (0.20)). No association, however, passed the strict Bonferroni p-value. This was a novel study among an ethnically diverse population exposed to low arsenic levels.

Background Bone-marrow derived progenitor cells (PCs) may play a role in maintaining vascular health by actively repairing damaged endothelium. The purpose of this study in asymptomatic Old Order Amish men (n = 90) without hypertension or diabetes was to determine if PC count, as determined by CD34+ cell count in peripheral blood, was associated with 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis. Methods and Results CD34+ cell count by fluorescence-activated cell sorting, coronary artery calcification (CAC) by electron beam computed tomography, and CVD risk factors were obtained. Carotid intimal-medial thickness (CIMT) also was obtained in a subset of 57 men. After adjusting for 10-year CVD risk, CD34+ cell count was significantly associated with CAC quantity ( p =0.03) and CIMT ( p < 0.0001). A 1-unit increase in natural-log transformed CD34+ cell count was associated with an estimated 55.2% decrease (95% CI: −77.8% to −9.3%) in CAC quantity and an estimated 14.3% decrease (95% CI: −20.1% to −8.1%) in CIMT. Conclusions Increased CD34+ cell count was associated with a decrease in extent of subclinical atherosclerosis in multiple arterial beds, independent of 10-year CVD risk. Further investigations of associations of CD34+ cell count with subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals could provide mechanistic insights into the atherosclerotic process.

Background Prior studies have demonstrated a link between the metabolic syndrome and increased risk of cardiovascular mortality. Whether the metabolic syndrome is associated with sudden cardiac death is uncertain. Methods and Results We characterized the relationship between sudden cardiac death and metabolic syndrome status among participants of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study (1987–2012) free of prevalent coronary heart disease or heart failure. Among 13 168 participants, 357 (2.7%) sudden cardiac deaths occurred during a median follow‐up of 23.6 years. Participants with the metabolic syndrome (n=4444) had a higher cumulative incidence of sudden cardiac death than those without it (n=8724) (4.1% versus 2.3%, P <0.001). After adjustment for participant demographics and clinical factors other than components of the metabolic syndrome, the metabolic syndrome was independently associated with sudden cardiac death (hazard ratio, 1.70, 95% confidence interval, 1.37–2.12, P <0.001). This relationship was not modified by sex (interaction P =0.10) or race (interaction P =0.62) and was mediated by the metabolic syndrome criteria components. The risk of sudden cardiac death varied according to the number of metabolic syndrome components (hazard ratio 1.31 per additional component of the metabolic syndrome, 95% confidence interval, 1.19–1.44, P <0.001). Of the 5 components, elevated blood pressure, impaired fasting glucose, and low high‐density lipoprotein were independently associated with sudden cardiac death. Conclusions We observed that the metabolic syndrome was associated with a significantly increased risk of sudden cardiac death irrespective of sex or race. The risk of sudden cardiac death was proportional to the number of metabolic syndrome components.

AbstractObjectivesWith clinical use of high‐sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI), more frequent troponin elevations will occur. However, the burden and implications of these elevations are not well understood. The authors quantified the prevalence of elevated hsTnI in patients presenting with possible acute coronary syndrome (ACS) who do not have elevated troponin with a current generation assay (cardiac troponin I [cTnI]) and determined the association of these newly detected elevations with a composite of all‐cause mortality and subsequent cardiac hospitalization.MethodsThis was a prospective observational study of 808 subjects evaluated for possible ACS and followed for up to 1 year. Troponin values were measured with hsTnI (Abbott Laboratories) and cTnI (Abbott and Beckman Coulter). Cardiac hospitalization was defined as hospitalization for ACS, revascularization, acute heart failure (AHF), or tachy/brady arrhythmia that occurred after the index emergency department (ED) visit or hospital discharge.ResultsForty subjects (5%) were diagnosed with ACS (26 myocardial infarction and 14 unstable angina). On the initial sample, the prevalence of elevated hsTnI among subjects with nonelevated cTnI was 9.2% using a gender‐neutral cutoff (95% confidence interval [CI] = 7.1% to 11.4%) and 11.1% using a gender‐specific cutoff (95% CI = 8.8% to 13.4%). Adjudicated diagnoses for subjects whose initial samples had elevated hsTnI but nonelevated cTnI (gender‐neutral cutoff) were as follows: three (4.6%) ACS, 15 (23.1%) AHF, three (4.6%) volume overload etiology unclear/noncardiac, three (4.6%) cardiac (non‐ACS), and 41 (63.1%) other. Of the 65 patients whose initial samples had hsTnI but nonelevated cTnI, eight developed cTnI elevation on subsequent serial sampling. After traditional cardiovascular risk factors and renal function were adjusted for, subjects with elevated initial hsTnI but nonelevated cTnI (initial and serial sampling) had a higher risk of all‐cause mortality and subsequent cardiac hospitalization than subjects with both nonelevated hsTnI and nonelevated cTnI (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.91, 95% CI = 1.14 to 3.19).ConclusionsOn the initial sample, 9% to 11% of subjects without cTnI elevation had hsTnI elevation. Although the majority of the patients with these newly detected hsTnI elevations did not have ACS, they had a higher risk for all‐cause mortality and subsequent cardiac hospitalization.