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Ellinor, Patrick T

0000-0002-2067-0533

Mayo Clinic

Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, 415 Main St, 02412, Cambridge, MA, USA.

Citations 7

Genetic testing in early-onset atrial fibrillation
Kany, Shinwan , Jurgens, Sean J. , Rämö, Joel , Rienstra, Michiel , Chung, Mina K. , Ackerman, Michael J. , McNally, Elizabeth M. , Semsarian, Christopher , Wilde, Arthur A.M., Roden, Dan M. , Shoemaker, M. Benjamin , Rienstra, Michiel , Ackerman, Michael J , McNally, Elizabeth M , Semsarian, Christopher , Schnabel, Renate B , Benjamin, Emelia J , Kirchhof, Paulus , Roden, Dan M. , Ellinor, Patrick T , Jurgens, Sean J , Christophersen, Ingrid Elisabeth , Olesen, Morten S. , Schnabel, Renate B. , Benjamin, Emelia J. , Rehm, Heidi L. , Kirchhof, Paulus , Bezzina, Connie R. , Ellinor, Patrick T.

European Heart Journal | May 9, 2024 | Volume: 45 | Issue: 34 | Pages: 3111-3123

10.1093/eurheartj/ehae298 Get It

Abstract Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a globally prevalent cardiac arrhythmia with significant genetic underpinnings, as highlighted by recent large-scale genetic studies. A prominent clinical and genetic overlap exists between AF, heritable ventricular cardiomyopathies, and arrhythmia syndromes, underlining the potential of AF as an early indicator of severe ventricular disease in younger individuals. Indeed, several recent studies have demonstrated meaningful yields of rare pathogenic variants among early-onset AF patients (∼4%–11%), most notably for cardiomyopathy genes in which rare variants are considered clinically actionable. Genetic testing thus presents a promising opportunity to identify monogenetic defects linked to AF and inherited cardiac conditions, such as cardiomyopathy, and may contribute to prognosis and management in early-onset AF patients. A first step towards recognizing this monogenic contribution was taken with the Class IIb recommendation for genetic testing in AF patients aged 45 years or younger by the 2023 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines for AF. By identifying pathogenic genetic variants known to underlie inherited cardiomyopathies and arrhythmia syndromes, a personalized care pathway can be developed, encompassing more tailored screening, cascade testing, and potentially genotype-informed prognosis and preventive measures. However, this can only be ensured by frameworks that are developed and supported by all stakeholders. Ambiguity in test results such as variants of uncertain significance remain a major challenge and as many as ∼60% of people with early-onset AF might carry such variants. Patient education (including pretest counselling), training of genetic teams, selection of high-confidence genes, and careful reporting are strategies to mitigate this. Further challenges to implementation include financial barriers, insurability issues, workforce limitations, and the need for standardized definitions in a fast-moving field. Moreover, the prevailing genetic evidence largely rests on European descent populations, underscoring the need for diverse research cohorts and international collaboration. Embracing these challenges and the potential of genetic testing may improve AF care. However, further research—mechanistic, translational, and clinical—is urgently needed.
Placental senescence pathophysiology is shared between peripartum cardiomyopathy and preeclampsia in mouse and human
Roh, Jason D. , Castro, Claire , Yu, Andy, Rana, Sarosh , Shahul, Sajid , Gray, Kathryn J. , Honigberg, Michael C. , Ricke‐Hoch, Melanie , Iwamoto, Yoshiko , Yeri, Ashish, Guerra, Justin Ralph Baldovino , Hobson, Ryan , Chaudhari, Vinita , Chang, Bliss , Sarma, Amy , Lerchenmüller, Carolin , Sayed, Zeina R. Al , Verdugo, Carmen Diaz , Xia, Peng , Skarbianskis, Niv, Zeisel, Amit , Kirkland, James L. , Gorcsan, John , Damp, Julie B., Hanley‐Yanez, Karen , McNamara, Dennis M. , Investigators, for the IPAC, Rosenzweig, Anthony , Fett, James D., Pisarcik, Jessica, McTiernan, Charles F. , Alharethi, Rami , Rasmusson, Kismet, Brunisholz, Kim , Butler, Amy L., Budge, D., Kfoury, Abdallah G., Horne, Benjamin D. , Tuinei, Joe, Brown, Heather , Naftilan, Allen J., Russell, Jill , Freehardt, Darla, Hsich, Eileen , Oblak, Cynthia, Ewald, Greg, Whitehead, Donna, Flanagan, Jean, Platts, Anne, Mullin, Stephanie, Givertz, Michael M. , Anello, Mary Susan, Booth, David R. , Sandlin, Tiffany, Wijesiri, Wendy, Blauwet, Lori A., Brunner, Joann, Phelps, Mary, Kempf, Ruth, Modi, Kalgi , Norwood, Tracy, Griza, Decebal Sorin, Adams, Patricia L., Thohan, Vinay , Wesley-Farrington, Deborah, Soots, Sandra, Sheppard, Richard , Lapointe, Nathalie, Nathaniel, Heather, Kealey, Angela, Semigran, Marc J., Daher, Maureen, Silber, David, Popjes, Eric , Frey, Patricia, Nicklas, Todd, Alexis, Jeffrey D. , Caufield, Lori, Thornton, John W., Gentry, Mindy, Robinson, V.J. , Sharma, Gyanendra K. , Holloway, Joan, Powell, Maria, Markham, David W. , Fernandez, Lynn, Gimovsky, Martin L., Hochbaum, Natalia, Patel, Bharati Kadamb , Adams, Laura , Ramani, Gautam , Robinson, Shawn , Fisher, Stacy D. , Marshall, Joanne, Haythe, Jennifer , Mancini, Donna , Bijou, Rachel, Marks, Marybeth, Arango, Henry, Bolos, Mariana, Mather, Paul , Rubin, Sharon, Bonita, Raphael , Eberwine, Susan, Skopicki, Hal A. , Stergiopoulos, Kathleen , McCathy-Santoro, Ellen, Intravaia, Jennifer, Maas, Elizabeth W., Safirstein, Jordan, Martinez, Nancy , Corpoin, Christine, Hesari, Donna, Chaparro, Sandra , Hudson, Laura J., Ghali, Jalal K. , Injic, Zora, Wittstein, Ilan S. , Kitchen, Robert , Guerra, Justin Baldovino , Chaudhari, Vinita , Chang, Bliss , Sarma, Amy , Al Sayed, Zeina R , Diaz Verdugo, Carmen , Xia, Peng , Zeisel, Amit , Bauersachs, Johann , Kirkland, James L , Karumanchi, S Ananth , Gorcsan, John , Sugahara, Masataka , Hanley-Yanez, Karen , Ellinor, Patrick T , Arany, Zoltan Pierre , McNamara, Dennis M , Rosenzweig, Anthony , Honigberg, Michael C , Castro, Claire , Karumanchi, S. Ananth , Ellinor, Patrick T. , Investigators, for the IPAC, Hilfiker‐Kleiner, Denise , Schelbert, Erik B. , Butler, Amy, Elkayam, Uri , Caro, Jorge , Rajagopalan, Navin , Booth, David, Cooper, Leslie T. , Briller, Joan Ellen , Felker, G. Michael , Kociol, Robb D. , Adams, Patricia, Wells, Gretchen , Michel, Caroline, Boehmer, John , Holloway, Joan, Powell, Maria, Drazner, Mark H. , Zucker, Mark Jay , Baran, David A. , Patel, Bharati, Gottlieb, Stephen S. , Farr, Maryjane , Bozkurt, Biykem , Maas, Elizabeth, Kleet, Audrey

Science Translational Medicine | April 17, 2024 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 743 | Pages: No page available

10.1126/scitranslmed.adi0077 Get It

Peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM) is an idiopathic form of pregnancy-induced heart failure associated with preeclampsia. Circulating factors in late pregnancy are thought to contribute to both diseases, suggesting a common underlying pathophysiological process. However, what drives this process remains unclear. Using serum proteomics, we identified the senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP), a marker of cellular senescence associated with biological aging, as the most highly up-regulated pathway in young women with PPCM or preeclampsia. Placentas from women with preeclampsia displayed multiple markers of amplified senescence and tissue aging, as well as overall increased gene expression of 28 circulating proteins that contributed to SASP pathway enrichment in serum samples from patients with preeclampsia or PPCM. The most highly expressed placental SASP factor, activin A, was associated with cardiac dysfunction or heart failure severity in women with preeclampsia or PPCM. In a murine model of PPCM induced by cardiomyocyte-specific deletion of the gene encoding peroxisome proliferator–activated receptor γ coactivator-1α, inhibiting activin A signaling in the early postpartum period with a monoclonal antibody to the activin type II receptor improved heart function. In addition, attenuating placental senescence with the senolytic compound fisetin in late pregnancy improved cardiac function in these animals. These findings link senescence biology to cardiac dysfunction in pregnancy and help to elucidate the pathogenesis underlying cardiovascular diseases of pregnancy.
Outcomes of Early Rhythm Control Therapy in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and a High Comorbidity Burden in Large Real-World Cohorts
Dickow, Jannis , Kany, Shinwan , Cardoso, Victor Roth , Gkoutos, Georgios V. , Houten, Holly K. Van , Kirchhof, Paulus , Metzner, Andreas , Noseworthy, Peter A. , Yao, Xiaoxi , Rillig, Andreas , Roth Cardoso, Victor , Ellinor, Patrick T , Gkoutos, Georgios V , Van Houten, Holly K , Kirchhof, Paulus , Noseworthy, Peter A , Yao, Xiaoxi , Rillig, Andreas , Ellinor, Patrick T.

Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology | March 21, 2023 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 5 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/circep.122.011585 Get It

Background: A recent subanalysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 (Early Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention Trial) suggests a stronger benefit of early rhythm control (ERC) in patients with atrial fibrillation and a high comorbidity burden when compared to patients with a lower comorbidity burden. Methods: We identified 109 739 patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in a large United States deidentified administrative claims database (OptumLabs) and 11 625 patients in the population-based UKB (UK Biobank). ERC was defined as atrial fibrillation ablation or antiarrhythmic drug therapy within the first year after atrial fibrillation diagnosis. Patients were classified as (1) ERC and high comorbidity burden (CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score ≥4); (2) ERC and lower comorbidity burden (CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score 2–3); (3) no ERC and high comorbidity burden; and (4) no ERC and lower comorbidity burden. Patients without an elevated comorbidity burden (CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score 0–1) were excluded. Propensity score overlap weighting and cox proportional hazards regression were used to balance patients and compare groups for the primary composite outcome of all-cause mortality, stroke, or hospitalization with the diagnoses heart failure or myocardial infarction as well as for a primary composite safety outcome of death, stroke, and serious adverse events related to ERC. Results: In both cohorts, ERC was associated with a reduced risk for the primary composite outcome in patients with a high comorbidity burden (OptumLabs: hazard ratio, 0.83 [95% CI 0.72–0.95]; P =0.006; UKB: hazard ratio, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.63–0.94]; P =0.009). In patients with a lower comorbidity burden, the difference in outcomes was not significant (OptumLabs: hazard ratio, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.54–1.57]; P =0.767; UKB: hazard ratio, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.83–1.06]; P =0.310). The comorbidity burden interacted with ERC in the UKB (interaction- P =0.027) but not in OptumLabs (interaction- P =0.720). ERC was not associated with an increased risk for the primary safety outcome. Conclusions: ERC is safe and may be more favorable in a population-based sample of patients with high a comorbidity burden (CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score ≥4).
Mendelian randomization supports bidirectional causality between telomere length and clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential
Nakao, Tetsushi , Bick, Alexander G. , Taub, Margaret A. , Uddin, Md Mesbah , Niroula, Abhishek , Carty, Cara L. , Lane, John , Honigberg, Michael C. , Weinstock, Joshua S. , Pampana, Akhil , Griffin, Gabriel K. , Bhattacharya, Romit , Assimes, Themistocles L. , Emery, Leslie S. , Wong, Quenna , Broome, Jai , Laurie, Cecelia , Khan, Alyna , Smith, Albert V. , Blackwell, Thomas W. , Nelson, Christopher P. , Yoneda, Zachary T. , Peralta, Juan M. , Bowden, Donald W. , Irvin, Marguerite R. , Boorgula, Meher Preethi, Zhao, Wei , Yanek, Lisa R. , Roden, Dan M. , Reupena, Muagututi‘a Sefuiva , DeMeo, Dawn L. , Kelly, Shannon , Musani, Solomon K., Bis, Joshua C. , Lloyd‐Jones, Donald M. , Peyser, Patricia A. , Qiao, Dandi , Tiwari, Hemant K., Smith, Jennifer A. , Smith, Nicholas L. , Kelly, Tanika N. , Hidalgo, Bertha , Weeks, Daniel E. , Group, The Samoan Obesity, Lifestyle and Genetic Adaptations Study (OLaGA), Deka, Ranjan , Naseri, Take, Fuentes, Lisa de las , Raffield, Laura M. , Morrison, Alanna C. , Vries, Paul S. de , Shoemaker, M. Benjamin , Palmer, Nicholette D. , Barnes, Kathleen C. , Redline, Susan , Kardia, Sharon L.R., Becker, Lewis C. , Heckbert, Susan R. , He, Jiang , Post, Wendy S. , Arnett, Donna K. , McGarvey, Stephen T. , Chen, Yii‐Der Ida , Kaplan, Robert C. , Meyers, Deborah A. , Fornage, Myriam , Boerwinkle, Eric , Loos, Ruth J. F. , Silverman, Edwin K. , Danesh, John , Samani, Nilesh J. , Jaiswal, Siddhartha , Ebert, Benjamin L. , Reiner, Alex P. , Mathias, Rasika A. , Do, Ron , Natarajan, Pradeep , Zhao, Wei , Zekavat, Seyedeh M , Uddin, Md M , Niroula, Abhishek , Lane, John , Honigberg, Michael C , Weinstock, Joshua S , Pampana, Akhil , Griffin, Gabriel K , Clarke, Shoa L , Bhattacharya, Romit , Assimes, Themistocles L , Emery, Leslie S , Stilp, Adrienne M , Wong, Quenna , Broome, Jai , Khan, Alyna T , Smith, Albert V , Codd, Veryan , Nelson, Christopher P , Yoneda, Zachary T , Peralta, Juan M , Yanek, Lisa R , Wiggins, Kerri L , Gu, C Charles , Peloso, Gina M , Roden, Dan M. , Hwu, Chii-Min , North, Kari E. , Bis, Joshua C , Lloyd-Jones, Donald M , Johnsen, Jill M , Preuss, Michael , Tracy, Russell P , Peyser, Patricia A , Qiao, Dandi , Curran, Joanne E , Freedman, Barry I , Chavan, Sameer , Smith, Jennifer A , Kelly, Tanika N , Hidalgo, Bertha , Weeks, Daniel E , Hawley, Nicola L , Minster, Ryan L , de las Fuentes, Lisa , Raffield, Laura M , Ballantyne, Christie M , Kenny, Eimear E , Rich, Stephen S , Whitsel, Eric A , Cho, Michael H , Palmer, Nicholette D , Mitchell, Braxton D , Shuldiner, Alan R , Redline, Susan , Heckbert, Susan R , He, Jiang , Post, Wendy , Arnett, Donna K , Vasan, Ramachandran S , Weiss, Scott T , McGarvey, Stephen T , Custer, Brian S , Correa, Adolfo , Manson, JoAnn E , Konkle, Barbara A , Loos, Ruth J F , Rotter, Jerome I , Silverman, Edwin K , Kooperberg, Charles , Samani, Nilesh J , Jaiswal, Siddhartha , Libby, Peter , Ellinor, Patrick T , Pankratz, Nathan , Ebert, Benjamin L , Mathias, Rasika A , Do, Ron , Natarajan, Pradeep , Morrison, Alanna C , Bick, Alexander G , Gibson, Christopher James , Clarke, Shoa L. , Codd, Veryan , Wiggins, Kerri L. , Hixson, James E. , Peloso, Gina M. , Tracy, Russell P. , Desai, Pinkal , Curran, Joanne E. , Freedman, Barry I. , Cupples, L. Adrienne , Group, The Samoan Obesity, Lifestyle and Genetic Adaptations Study (OLaGA), Naseri, Take K. , Ballantyne, Christie M. , Rich, Stephen S. , Cho, Michael H. , Pace, Betty S. , Blangero, John , Mitchell, Braxton D. , Shuldiner, Alan R. , Abecasis, Gonçalo R. , Vasan, Ramachandran S. , Darbar, Dawood , Weiss, Scott T. , Andrade, Mariza de , Custer, Brian , Psaty, Bruce M. , Manson, JoAnn E. , Konkle, Barbara A. , Rotter, Jerome I. , Kooperberg, Charles , Libby, Peter , Ellinor, Patrick T. , Pankratz, Nathan

Science Advances | April 6, 2022 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 14 | Pages: No page available

10.1126/sciadv.abl6579 Get It

Human genetic studies support an inverse causal relationship between leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and coronary artery disease (CAD), but directionally mixed effects for LTL and diverse malignancies. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), characterized by expansion of hematopoietic cells bearing leukemogenic mutations, predisposes both hematologic malignancy and CAD. TERT (which encodes telomerase reverse transcriptase) is the most significantly associated germline locus for CHIP in genome-wide association studies. Here, we investigated the relationship between CHIP, LTL, and CAD in the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) program ( n = 63,302) and UK Biobank ( n = 47,080). Bidirectional Mendelian randomization studies were consistent with longer genetically imputed LTL increasing propensity to develop CHIP, but CHIP then, in turn, hastens to shorten measured LTL (mLTL). We also demonstrated evidence of modest mediation between CHIP and CAD by mLTL. Our data promote an understanding of potential causal relationships across CHIP and LTL toward prevention of CAD.
Genome-wide association study reveals novel genetic loci: a new polygenic risk score for mitral valve prolapse
Roselli, Carolina , Yu, Mengyao , Nauffal, Victor , Georges, Adrien , Love, Katie , Weng, Lu‐Chen , Delling, Francesca N. , Maurya, Svetlana , Schrölkamp, Maren , Tfelt‐Hansen, Jacob , Jeunemaı̂tre, Xavier , Debette, Stéphanie , Guan, Wyliena , Body, Simon C. , Shah, Svati H. , Samad, Zainab , Kyryachenko, Sergiy , Haynes, Carol , Rienstra, Michiel , Hamer, Inez J. Wijdh‐den , Siland, Joylene E. , Levine, Robert A. , Benjamin, Emelia J. , Horne, Benjamin D. , Muhlestein, Joseph B. , Benfari, Giovanni , Natale, Andrea , Trivedi, Chintan , Shoemaker, Moore B., Yoneda, Zachary T. , Baker, Michael , Slaugenhaupt, Susan, Dina, Christian , Lubitz, Steven A. , Bouatia‐Naji, Nabila , Milan, David J. , Yang, Qiong , Love, Katie , Weng, Lu-Chen , Delling, Francesca N , Maurya, Svetlana R , Schrölkamp, Maren , Tfelt-Hansen, Jacob , Debette, Stephanie , Amouyel, Philippe , Guan, Wyliena , Muehlschlegel, Jochen D , Body, Simon C , Shah, Svati , Kyryachenko, Sergiy , Haynes, Carol , Rienstra, Michiel , Le Tourneau, Thierry , Wijdh-Den Hamer, Inez J , Siland, Joylene E , Jacques Schott, Jean , Levine, Robert A , Benjamin, Emelia J , Vasan, Ramachandran S , Horne, Benjamin D , Muhlestein, Joseph B , Benfari, Giovanni , Enriquez-Sarano, Maurice , Yoneda, Zachary T , Baker, Michael T , Farber-Eger, Eric H , Norris, Russell A , Dina, Christian , Lubitz, Steven A , Bouatia-Naji, Nabila , Ellinor, Patrick T , Natale, Andrea , Hagège, Albert Alain , Amouyel, Philippe , Tourneau, Thierry Le , Probst, Vincent , Roussel, Ronan , Knowlton, Kirk U. , Schott, Jean‐Jacques , Vasan, Ramachandran S. , Enriquez‐Sarano, Maurice , Mohanty, Sanghamitra , Wells, Quinn S. , Farber‐Eger, Eric , Michelena, Héctor I. , Lundby, Alicia , Ellinor, Patrick T.

European Heart Journal | February 1, 2022 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 17 | Pages: 1668-1680

10.1093/eurheartj/ehac049 Get It

Abstract Aims Mitral valve prolapse (MVP) is a common valvular heart disease with a prevalence of >2% in the general adult population. Despite this high incidence, there is a limited understanding of the molecular mechanism of this disease, and no medical therapy is available for this disease. We aimed to elucidate the genetic basis of MVP in order to better understand this complex disorder. Methods and results We performed a meta-analysis of six genome-wide association studies that included 4884 cases and 434 649 controls. We identified 14 loci associated with MVP in our primary analysis and 2 additional loci associated with a subset of the samples that additionally underwent mitral valve surgery. Integration of epigenetic, transcriptional, and proteomic data identified candidate MVP genes including LMCD1, SPTBN1, LTBP2, TGFB2, NMB, and ALPK3. We created a polygenic risk score (PRS) for MVP and showed an improved MVP risk prediction beyond age, sex, and clinical risk factors. Conclusion We identified 14 genetic loci that are associated with MVP. Multiple analyses identified candidate genes including two transforming growth factor-β signalling molecules and spectrin β. We present the first PRS for MVP that could eventually aid risk stratification of patients for MVP screening in a clinical setting. These findings advance our understanding of this common valvular heart disease and may reveal novel therapeutic targets for intervention.
Simple Risk Model Predicts Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in a Racially and Geographically Diverse Population: the CHARGE‐AF Consortium
Alonso, Álvaro , Krijthe, Bouwe P., Aspelund, Thor , Stepas, Katherine A., Pencina, Michael , Moser, Carlee , Sinner, Moritz F. , Sotoodehnia, Nona, Fontes, João D. , Janssens, A. Cecile J.W. , Witteman, Jacqueline C.M., Chamberlain, Alanna M. , Lubitz, Steven A. , Agarwal, Sunil , McManus, David D. , Ellinor, Patrick T. , Larson, Martin G. , Burke, Gregory L. , Hofman, Albert , Levy, Daniel , Gottdiener, John S. , Couper, David , Harris, Tamara B. , Soliman, Elsayed Z. , Stricker, Bruno H. , Guðnason, Vilmundur , Heckbert, Susan R. , Benjamin, Emelia J. , Kronmal, Richard A. , Magnani, Jared W. , Schnabel, Renate B. , Launer, Lenore J. , Kääb, Stefan , Alonso, Alvaro , Chamberlain, Alanna M , Benjamin, Emelia J , Lubitz, Steven A , Ellinor, Patrick T , Levy, Daniel , Couper, David

Journal of the American Heart Association | May 24, 2013 | Volume: 2 | Issue: 2 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/jaha.112.000102 Get It

Background Tools for the prediction of atrial fibrillation ( AF ) may identify high‐risk individuals more likely to benefit from preventive interventions and serve as a benchmark to test novel putative risk factors. Methods and Results Individual‐level data from 3 large cohorts in the U nited S tates (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ ARIC ] study, the Cardiovascular Health Study [ CHS ], and the Framingham Heart Study [ FHS ]), including 18 556 men and women aged 46 to 94 years (19% A frican A mericans, 81% whites) were pooled to derive predictive models for AF using clinical variables. Validation of the derived models was performed in 7672 participants from the Age, Gene and Environment—Reykjavik study ( AGES ) and the Rotterdam Study ( RS ). The analysis included 1186 incident AF cases in the derivation cohorts and 585 in the validation cohorts. A simple 5‐year predictive model including the variables age, race, height, weight, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, current smoking, use of antihypertensive medication, diabetes, and history of myocardial infarction and heart failure had good discrimination (C‐statistic, 0.765; 95% CI , 0.748 to 0.781). Addition of variables from the electrocardiogram did not improve the overall model discrimination (C‐statistic, 0.767; 95% CI , 0.750 to 0.783; categorical net reclassification improvement, −0.0032; 95% CI , −0.0178 to 0.0113). In the validation cohorts, discrimination was acceptable ( AGES C‐statistic, 0.664; 95% CI , 0.632 to 0.697 and RS C‐statistic, 0.705; 95% CI , 0.664 to 0.747) and calibration was adequate. Conclusion A risk model including variables readily available in primary care settings adequately predicted AF in diverse populations from the U nited S tates and E urope.