BACKGROUND: Degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) due to valve prolapse predominates in men, but sex-specific differences are poorly understood due to a lack of quantitative and sex-stratified studies. METHODS: The international MIDA-Q (Mitral Regurgitation International Database-Quantitative) registry enrolled 3274 men and 2331 women with greater than or equal to mild DMR prospectively quantified, comprehensively characterized, and long-term follow-up. RESULTS: Women were more symptomatic despite lower effective regurgitant orifice (ERO, 27±18 versus 38±22 mm 2 , standardized mean difference 0.54; P <0.0001) and regurgitant volume (46±26 versus 61±31 mL/beat, standardized mean difference 0.52; P <0.0001), even for similar mitral lesions. With increasing ERO, women showed lower regurgitant volume, higher heart rate, lower blood pressure, but left ventricular size response in women was smaller in absolute measures while larger when body surface area normalized, with higher ejection fraction and cardiac index (all P <0.0001). Incidence of mitral valve surgery was similar in symptomatic women and men, but lower in asymptomatic women versus men (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.80 [0.69–0.94]; P =0.008) for similar ERO, linked to smaller left ventricular diastolic absolute diameter ( P <0.0001). Excess mortality under medical management (of severe versus mild ERO) was similar in women (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.67 [1.24–2.24]; P =0.0007) and men (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.63 [1.27–2.09]; P <0.0001) and versus expected survival (2.12 [1.51–2.98] in women and 2.27 [1.75–2.94] in men). However, moderate ERO (20–39 mm 2 ) was associated with significant excess mortality in women (1.47 [1.19–1.77] versus mild). In men, the corresponding hazard ratio did not reach statistical significance. Postoperative survival was similar in men and women. CONCLUSIONS: Women with DMR present with lower ERO and regurgitant volume than men and with considerable adaptive differences to increasing DMR severity versus men. Asymptomatic women are less referred to surgery than men of similar DMR severity, linked to smaller absolute left ventricular size. Severe DMR by similar quantitative thresholds causes similar excess mortality in men and women; moderate quantitative DMR shows a trend for higher excess mortality versus expected in women than men, requiring further confirmation. These data emphasize the importance of quantitative DMR and left ventricular remodeling assessment in men and women for appropriate clinical management.
Limited Clinical Utility of Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiogram for Bicuspid Aortic Valve Detection: Uncovering Limitations for Specific Cardiac Phenotypes
Background Bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) is the most common congenital heart defect, associated with a lifetime morbidity burden exceeding 80% and an estimated 7% probability of transmission to first-degree relatives. Hence, echocardiographic screening of relatives is recommended. The aim of our study is to develop an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) model for the detection of BAV. Methods Between January 1, 1990, and June 30, 2023, the Mayo Clinic healthcare system database was searched for patients aged ≥18 years with echocardiograms performed for family history of BAV, abnormal auscultation, a BAV-related diagnosis, or to rule out the condition, and with an electrocardiogram (ECG) obtained within 6 months. Cases were patients with a confirmed BAV diagnosis, and controls were those with normal aortic valves. ECGs were randomly assigned into training (80%), internal validation (10%), and test (10%) groups. The AI-ECG model was built using Keras under TensorFlow. Results A total of 13,065 valid ECG–echocardiogram pairs were included (mean [SD] age, 58 [17] years; 44% women), with a median time of 1 day (interquartile range, 0–3 days) between studies. With a 45% BAV prevalence in the test group ( n = 1301), the area under the curve was 0.704, positive predictive value (PPV) 60.1%, and negative predictive value (NPV) 69.4%. At a prevalence of 7%, the NPV increased to 96.1%, but the PPV decreased to 12.2%. Conclusions In this retrospective cohort and using the current AI-ECG model, BAV detection showed modest diagnostic performance and limited standalone clinical utility, suggesting that ECG-only screening for BAV may require additional modalities or more refined phenotyping.
Twenty-Five–Year Follow-Up of Quantified Mitral Regurgitation
Importance Current guidelines recommend consideration of surgical treatment for asymptomatic patients with severe mitral valve regurgitation, but the long-term prognosis and optimal treatment of those with moderate mitral regurgitation (MR) remain uncertain. Objective To evaluate the long-term prognostic value of baseline MR severity and the association of surgery with survival outcomes in asymptomatic patients. Design, Setting, and Participants This was a prospective cohort study with extended follow-up among 449 asymptomatic patients with holosystolic degenerative MR enrolled between January 1991 and November 2000 and followed up with through May 2025 (median [IQR] follow-up, 26 [14-29] years; maximum, 34 years) at a single tertiary referral center (the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota). Exposure Baseline MR severity quantified by effective regurgitant orifice area (ERO). Patients were monitored under medical therapy and, when applicable, after subsequent surgical correction. Main Outcomes and Measures All-cause mortality, assessed according to baseline ERO using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors. Results Among the 449 patients included, the mean (SD) age was 64 (14) years, and 278 participants (62%) were male. At baseline, 127 patients (28%) had ERO &lt;20 mm 2 , 128 (28%) had ERO 20-39 mm 2 , and 194 (43%) had ERO ≥40 mm 2 . During follow-up, 254 patients (57%) underwent mitral valve surgery. Ten-year cumulative incidence of surgery was 18% for ERO &lt;20 mm 2 , 64% for 20-39 mm 2 , and 88% for ≥40 mm 2 . Survival of medically treated patients declined progressively with increasing ERO category (5-year rate: 88% [&lt;20 mm 2 ], 72% [20-39 mm 2 ], and 55% [≥40 mm 2 ]; P = .01), and multivariable analysis confirmed the incremental risk of higher ERO on a continuous scale (adjusted hazard ratio per IQR increase, 2.53; 95% CI, 1.30-4.93; P = .01). When extending the analysis through subsequent surgical follow-up, the survival difference between patients who did vs did not undergo operation widened with ERO (χ 2 3 = 8.4; interaction P = .04), starting at values above 30 mm 2 . Conclusions and Relevance In this 25-year follow-up cohort study, increasing ERO was associated with an increase in risk of mortality under medical therapy. Patients with upper-moderate MR (ERO 30-39 mm 2 ) at baseline demonstrated a significant association between surgical treatment and improved long-term survival.
Extent and Progression of Cardiac Damage in Patients With Primary Mitral Regurgitation Undergoing Surgical Repair
Abstract Objectives The progression of extra-mitral valve (MV) cardiac damage in patients with primary mitral regurgitation (MR) following surgical repair has not been described. We aimed to investigate the evolution of extra-MV cardiac damage after MV repair and to assess its prognostic significance. Methods Patients with severe primary MR undergoing surgical repair at 5 referral centres were included when echocardiographic follow-up assessment was available. Based on echocardiographic parameters at baseline and at a median follow-up of 7 (interquartile range [IQR] 4-11) months after MV repair, patients were hierarchically classified as follows: stage 0: no cardiac damage; stage 1: left ventricular dilatation and/or dysfunction; stage 2: left atrial dilatation and/or atrial fibrillation; stage 3: pulmonary hypertension and/or significant tricuspid regurgitation. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Results A total of 764 patients (mean age 62 ± 13 years, 70% men) were included. Compared to baseline, 43% improved at least 1 stage, 49% remained unchanged, and 8% worsened at least 1 stage during follow-up after MV repair. At a median follow-up of 91 months after MV repair, 94 patients (12%) died. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, after adjusting for potential confounders, extra-MV cardiac damage staging at follow-up (HR per-1-stage-increase = 1.571; P = .009) and cardiac damage evolution (improved group, HR = 0.467; P = .034; worsened group, HR = 2.481, P = .037) were independently associated with all-cause mortality and had incremental prognostic value over preprocedural assessment. Conclusions Extra-MV cardiac damage improves significantly after MV repair, and its evolution is independently associated with all-cause mortality, suggesting the importance of comparative echocardiographic assessment following MV repair to improve risk stratification.
Natural history of asymptomatic moderate or severe aortic regurgitation: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Background The natural history of asymptomatic moderate or severe aortic regurgitation (AR) remains uncertain, with conflicting reports about its progression and surgical timing. We aimed to quantify adverse outcomes under conservative management and evaluate the association of aortic valve replacement/repair (AVR) with mortality. Methods Systematic searches (inception–July 2025) identified cohort studies of asymptomatic moderate/severe AR. Random-effects models estimated pooled incidence rates of adverse events; fixed-effects models were used for hazard ratios (HRs) of AVR vs conservative management. Results Twenty-seven studies (4720 patients; mean age 49 years; mean follow-up 3.9 years) were included. Pooled incidence rates per 100 person-years were 1.75 (95% CI 1.27 to 2.41) for all-cause mortality, 1.29 for cardiac death, 0.29 for sudden death, 4.30 for new symptoms and 7.01 for AVR. Asymptomatic low left ventricular ejection fraction occurred in only 0.9 per 100 person-years. Mortality rates were more than double those of the general population across age groups—2.45 (1.90 to 3.18) per 100 person-years for cohorts with mean age ≥50 years versus 0.59 (0.29 to 1.21) for younger cohorts. Early AVR was associated with lower mortality (pooled HR 0.33; 95% CI 0.30 to 0.37). Conclusion Asymptomatic moderate/severe AR carries significant excess mortality irrespective of age, contradicting its historically benign reputation. Given the rarity of asymptomatic LV dysfunction, earlier intervention guided by more sensitive markers of LV damage may improve outcomes, although heterogeneity and study quality warrant cautious interpretation. PROSPERO registration number CRD42024522683.
Ventricular arrhythmias during exercise in patients with mitral valve prolapse
Background Mitral valve prolapse (MVP) can be associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA), but little is known about the relationship between VA and exercise in these patients. The aim of this study was to assess the occurrence and severity of VA during exercise tests in patients with MVP, and to explore the association between VA during exercise and the occurrence of arrhythmic events during follow-up. Methods In this multicentre study, 375 patients with MVP (58 (48–69) years, 53% male) who underwent a clinically indicated exercise test were included. Severity of VA during exercise was defined as: (1) no VA, (2) minor VA (premature ventricular contractions ≥5% or non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (nsVT) <120 beats per minute) and (3) major VA (nsVTs ≥120 beats per minute). Results During exercise test, 242 (65%) patients showed no VA, 88 (24%) minor VA and 45 (12%) major VA. Patients with minor and major VAs showed more often bileaflet prolapse and mitral annular disjunction (MAD) than patients with no VA (p<0.001). Over a median follow-up of 101 months (IQR 58–138 months), 35 patients (9%) developed a severe arrhythmic event, defined as sustained VA or ventricular fibrillation, implantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and VA ablation. At the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis, patients with major VA showed the worst arrhythmic event-free survival (log-rank p<0.001). On multivariable analysis, left ventricular end-systolic diameter, MAD and VA severity during exercise were independently associated with this outcome. Conclusions In patients with MVP, the occurrence of VA during exercise is associated with more advanced mitral valve abnormalities, including MAD, and with higher rates of severe arrhythmic events during follow-up. Performing an exercise test, combined with the clinical and echocardiographic assessments, may therefore offer important complementary information useful for patient management.
Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction and Benefit of Tricuspid Valve Interventions – Insights from the International TRIGISTRY
ABSTRACT Aims The impact of treatment for tricuspid regurgitation (TR) across different levels of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) remains uncertain. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of surgical and transcatheter tricuspid valve interventions (TTVI) to conservative (medical) management across LVEF categories. Methods and results Patients with severe isolated TR from the TRIGISTRY, a multicentre international registry, were categorized based on LVEF (preserved ejection fraction [pEF]: ≥50%, mildly reduced ejection fraction [mrEF]: 41–49%, and reduced ejection fraction [rEF]: ≤40%). We assessed the impact of treatment modality and procedural success (mild-to-moderate or lower residual TR) on 2-year survival within each LVEF category. Among 2384 patients, 1383 had pEF, 400 had mrEF, and 601 had rEF. Compared to conservative management, surgery (p < 0.0005) and TTVI (p < 0.0001) were associated with a survival benefit in patients with pEF. No significant survival advantage was observed in patients with mrEF (p = 0.28 for both), nor in those with rEF (p = 0.76 and p = 0.22, respectively). Similar results were obtained when surgical and transcatheter interventions were grouped (p < 0.0001, p = 0.17 and p = 0.29 in patients with pEF, mrEF and rEF, respectively). Patients with residual TR after TTVI exhibited a trend toward worse survival compared to those managed conservatively across all LVEF categories (p = 0.47, p = 0.33 and p = 0.008 in pEF, mrEF and rEF, respectively). Conclusions Transcatheter tricuspid valve intervention, whether surgical or transcatheter-based, was associated with improved survival in patients with pEF but not in those with mrEF or rEF. Residual TR remained a significant prognostic factor across the entire LVEF spectrum. These findings highlight the need for careful patient selection when considering TTVI in individuals with rEF.
Left Atrial Volumetric/Mechanical Coupling Index Is Ready for Prime Time Across Clinical Scenarios
Background Left ventricular (LV) end‐systolic enlargement in severe degenerative mitral‐regurgitation (MR) is a class I surgical trigger. Whether it occurs disproportionately to less‐than‐severe MR due to mitral valve prolapse and is associated with mortality are unknown. We aimed to analyze prevalence and association with survival of disproportionate LV enlargement in less‐than‐severe MR. Methods A multicenter cohort international study enrolled 2848 consecutive patients (52% women, 69±16 years) with degenerative MR prospectively quantified and graded mild or moderate. Primary end point was survival under medical management. Secondary outcome was survival throughout follow‐up stratified by performance of early mitral surgery within 3 months postdiagnosis. Results Among LV remodeling parameters (abnormal end‐diastolic diameter, LV end‐systolic diameter [LVESD] absolute and indexed), LVESD ≥40 mm (present in 12.4%) was the sole independent associate of reduced survival (5‐year 70±3 versus 76±9%; P =0.009). LVESD ≥40 mm was independently linked to larger body surface area, effective regurgitant orifice, and left atrium, and to male sex and diabetes. With multivariable comprehensive adjustment, LVESD ≥40 mm (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.25 [95% CI, 1.005–1.53]; P =0.04) remained associated with excess mortality under medical management, even after adjustment for lowered ejection fraction (aHR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.13–1.95]; P =0.004) and in all patient subsets. Among patients with moderate degenerative MR and LVESD ≥40 mm, 22% underwent mitral surgery within 3 months, which was associated with superior survival, even after comprehensive adjustment (aHR, 0.11 [95% CI, 0.005–0.51]; P =0.002). Conclusions Disproportionate LV enlargement in patients with less‐than‐severe degenerative MR is common, particularly with larger bodies, regurgitation, and overall cardiac remodeling. LVESD ≥40 mm is associated with worse survival independent of all baseline characteristics, even lowered ejection fraction, and represents a marker for risk stratification of patients who are generally not yet considered for medical or surgical/interventional treatment.
Prognostic Implications of Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation in Asymptomatic Degenerative Mitral Regurgitation
Abstract Aims Functional tricuspid regurgitation (FTR) associated with degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) accentuates the severity of heart failure and is a marker of poor prognosis. Little is known about FTR associated with asymptomatic DMR. Methods and results The study included 1249 asymptomatic patients with moderate or severe DMR from the Mitral Regurgitation International Database-Quantitative (MIDA-Q) registry (mean age 64 ± 15 years, 25% female). Despite the asymptomatic status, absent/trivial FTR was noted in only 42%, mild in 34.5%, moderate in 11%, and severe FTR in 12.5%. Patients with higher FTR grades were older and more often female and had higher EuroScore II, larger left atrial volumes, and more atrial fibrillation (all P < 0.05). Patients with moderate or severe FTR had comparable 5-year survival (64 ± 4% and 65 ± 4%) and lower than patients with no/trivial FTR(96 ± 1%, P < 0.001). After adjustment for key prognostic factors, including age, left ventricular dilatation and dysfunction, DMR severity, left atrial dilatation, and pulmonary hypertension, ≥moderate FTR remained a strong predictor of mortality (HR = 2.08 [1.17–3.72], P = 0.013). Sensitivity analysis showed stable impact of ≥moderate FTR among patients with/without pulmonary hypertension, in women and men and for any other subset. For patients who underwent mitral valve surgery, post-operative survival rates were similar between those with no/trivial FTR and those with ≥moderate or severe FTR (P = 0.76), suggesting that surgery could reduce the excess mortality related to preoperative FTR. Conclusions Among asymptomatic patients with significant DMR, ≥moderate FTR is frequent and independently associated with higher mortality, independently of traditional guideline-based risk factors. These findings suggest that ≥moderate FTR should lead to consideration of early mitral surgery to improve outcomes.