Whitsel, Eric A

Abstract Clonal hematopoiesis (CH) is characterized by expanding blood cell clones carrying somatic mutations in healthy aged individuals and is associated with various age-related diseases and all-cause mortality. While CH mutations affect diverse genes associated with myeloid malignancies, their mechanisms of expansion and disease associations remain poorly understood. We investigate the relationship between clonal fitness and clinical outcomes by integrating data from three longitudinal aging cohorts (n=713, observations=2,341). We demonstrate pathway-specific fitness advantage and clonal composition influence clonal dynamics. Further, the timing of mutation acquisition is necessary to determine the extent of clonal expansion reached during the host individual’s lifetime. We introduce MACS120, a metric combining mutation context, timing, and variant fitness to predict future clonal growth, outperforming traditional variant allele frequency measurements in predicting clinical outcomes. Our unified analytical framework enables standardized clonal dynamics inference across cohorts, advancing our ability to predict and potentially intervene in CH-related pathologies.

Human genetic studies support an inverse causal relationship between leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and coronary artery disease (CAD), but directionally mixed effects for LTL and diverse malignancies. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), characterized by expansion of hematopoietic cells bearing leukemogenic mutations, predisposes both hematologic malignancy and CAD. TERT (which encodes telomerase reverse transcriptase) is the most significantly associated germline locus for CHIP in genome-wide association studies. Here, we investigated the relationship between CHIP, LTL, and CAD in the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) program ( n = 63,302) and UK Biobank ( n = 47,080). Bidirectional Mendelian randomization studies were consistent with longer genetically imputed LTL increasing propensity to develop CHIP, but CHIP then, in turn, hastens to shorten measured LTL (mLTL). We also demonstrated evidence of modest mediation between CHIP and CAD by mLTL. Our data promote an understanding of potential causal relationships across CHIP and LTL toward prevention of CAD.