Antoniou, Antonis C.

Abstract Background: Although high-risk mutations in identified major susceptibility genes (DNA mismatch repair genes and MUTYH) account for some familial aggregation of colorectal cancer, their population prevalence and the causes of the remaining familial aggregation are not known. Methods: We studied the families of 5,744 colorectal cancer cases (probands) recruited from population cancer registries in the United States, Canada, and Australia and screened probands for mutations in mismatch repair genes and MUTYH. We conducted modified segregation analyses using the cancer history of first-degree relatives, conditional on the proband's age at diagnosis. We estimated the prevalence of mutations in the identified genes, the prevalence of HR for unidentified major gene mutations, and the variance of the residual polygenic component. Results: We estimated that 1 in 279 of the population carry mutations in mismatch repair genes (MLH1 = 1 in 1,946, MSH2 = 1 in 2,841, MSH6 = 1 in 758, PMS2 = 1 in 714), 1 in 45 carry mutations in MUTYH, and 1 in 504 carry mutations associated with an average 31-fold increased risk of colorectal cancer in unidentified major genes. The estimated polygenic variance was reduced by 30% to 50% after allowing for unidentified major genes and decreased from 3.3 for age <40 years to 0.5 for age ≥70 years (equivalent to sibling relative risks of 5.1 to 1.3, respectively). Conclusions: Unidentified major genes might explain one third to one half of the missing heritability of colorectal cancer. Impact: Our findings could aid gene discovery and development of better colorectal cancer risk prediction models. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(3); 404–12. ©2016 AACR.

Abstract Background: Common cancers develop through a multistep process often including inherited susceptibility. Collaboration among multiple institutions, and funding from multiple sources, has allowed the development of an inexpensive genotyping microarray, the OncoArray. The array includes a genome-wide backbone, comprising 230,000 SNPs tagging most common genetic variants, together with dense mapping of known susceptibility regions, rare variants from sequencing experiments, pharmacogenetic markers, and cancer-related traits. Methods: The OncoArray can be genotyped using a novel technology developed by Illumina to facilitate efficient genotyping. The consortium developed standard approaches for selecting SNPs for study, for quality control of markers, and for ancestry analysis. The array was genotyped at selected sites and with prespecified replicate samples to permit evaluation of genotyping accuracy among centers and by ethnic background. Results: The OncoArray consortium genotyped 447,705 samples. A total of 494,763 SNPs passed quality control steps with a sample success rate of 97% of the samples. Participating sites performed ancestry analysis using a common set of markers and a scoring algorithm based on principal components analysis. Conclusions: Results from these analyses will enable researchers to identify new susceptibility loci, perform fine-mapping of new or known loci associated with either single or multiple cancers, assess the degree of overlap in cancer causation and pleiotropic effects of loci that have been identified for disease-specific risk, and jointly model genetic, environmental, and lifestyle-related exposures. Impact: Ongoing analyses will shed light on etiology and risk assessment for many types of cancer. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(1); 126–35. ©2016 AACR.

Abstract Women who carry a pathogenic mutation in the BRCA1 or BRCA2 gene are at high risk of breast (BC) and ovarian cancer (OC). Their clinical management usually includes invasive risk-reducing interventions with substantial side effects. Improved personalized cancer risk estimates may help to identify women at particularly high risk or with high risk of disease at early ages who may benefit from early intervention as well as women at lower risk who may opt to delay surgery or chemoprevention. Genome-wide association studies have identified >100 common genetic variants that are associated with BC or OC risks. Several of these variants are also individually associated with risk of BC or OC for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers. However, no study has evaluated the combined effects of all the known common genetic variants on BC or OC risk for BRCA1/2 mutation carriers. We constructed polygenic risk scores (PRS) based on results of genetic association studies conducted in the general population. Each PRS was formed by the sum of the number of risk alleles across the variants weighted by their log-Odds Ratio estimate from population-based studies of BC or OC. We investigated 3 PRS for BC (overall, estrogen receptor (ER) positive, and ER-negative) and one PRS for OC. We used data for 15,252 BRCA1 and 8,211 BRCA2 female carriers. The association of each PRS with BC or OC risk was evaluated using a weighted cohort analysis with time to diagnosis as the outcome and estimated the Hazard Ratios (HR) per standard deviation increase in the PRS. All PRS were significantly associated with cancer risks for BRCA1/2 carriers. The PRS for ER-negative BC displayed the strongest association with BC risk in BRCA1 carriers (HR = 1.29 [1.25-1.33], p = 8×10−64). In BRCA2 carriers, the strongest association was seen for the overall BC PRS (HR = 1.26 [1.21-1.31], p = 3×10−27). The OC PRS was strongly associated with OC risk for both BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers. These relative risks translate to large differences in absolute risks for carriers: e.g., the OC risk was 6% by age 80 for BRCA2 carriers at the 10th percentile of the OC PRS compared with 19% risk for those at the 90th percentile of PRS. Our findings demonstrate that BC and OC PRS derived from studies in the general population are predictive of cancer risks in BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers. Incorporation of the PRS into risk prediction models would improve risk prediction and hence inform decisions on cancer risk management. Citation Format: Karoline Kuchenbaecker, Jacques Simard, Kenneth Offit, Fergus J. Couch, Douglas F. Easton, Georgia Chenevix-Trench, Antonis C. Antoniou, Consortium of Investigators of Modifiers of BRCA1/2. Predicting breast and ovarian cancer risks for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers using polygenic risk scores. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr 2598.

Previous genome‐wide association studies among women of European ancestry identified two independent breast cancer susceptibility loci represented by single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) rs13281615 and rs11780156 at 8q24. A fine‐mapping study across 2.06 Mb (chr8:127,561,724–129,624,067, hg19) in 55,540 breast cancer cases and 51,168 controls within the Breast Cancer Association Consortium was conducted. Three additional independent association signals in women of European ancestry, represented by rs35961416 (OR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.93–0.97, conditional p = 5.8 × 10−6), rs7815245 (OR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.91–0.96, conditional p = 1.1 × 10−6) and rs2033101 (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.02–1.07, conditional p = 1.1 × 10−4) were found. Integrative analysis using functional genomic data from the Roadmap Epigenomics, the Encyclopedia of DNA Elements project, the Cancer Genome Atlas and other public resources implied that SNPs rs7815245 in Signal 3, and rs1121948 in Signal 5 (in linkage disequilibrium with rs11780156, r2 = 0.77), were putatively functional variants for two of the five independent association signals. The results highlighted multiple 8q24 variants associated with breast cancer susceptibility in women of European ancestry.

Abstract Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified several susceptibility regions that confer risk of two or more cancers. A region at 19p13 is associated with both breast and ovarian cancer risk in the general population as well as in BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers. Using the iCOGs custom genotyping array, we analyzed 438 SNPs in this region in 7,435 ER-negative breast cancer cases and 42,599 controls from BCAC, and 15,347 ovarian cancer cases and 30,845 controls from OCAC and 15,252 BRCA1 mutation carriers. We identified two significant peaks of association. Peak 1, consisting of 13 highly correlated SNPs (r2>0.95), spans a 19.4kb region harboring the BABAM1, ANKLE1 and ABHD8 genes. Peak 1 SNPs are associated with serous ovarian cancer (top hit rs4808075, P = 9.2×10-20), ER-negative breast cancer (rs61494113, P = 1.1×10-13) and breast cancer in BRCA1 mutation carriers (rs61494113, P = 7.7×10-16). Peak 2 spans over 100kb and contains 7 SNPs associated with breast cancer in BRCA1 mutation carriers only (rs4464206, P = 8.9×10-8). Multiple assays were used to establish the putative functional roles of risk SNPs and candidate susceptibility genes in this region. Expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) analyses identified significant genotype-gene expression correlations between genotype at the Peak 1 SNP rs480816 and ABHD8 expression in ovarian tumors (P = 3.0×10-5) and normal breast tissues (P = 2.8×10-3). The Peak 2 SNP, rs7246243, was significantly associated with BABAM1 expression (P = 5×10-3) in normal breast tissue only. Overexpression of BABAM1 in normal ovarian and breast cells did not modulate neoplastic phenotypes, whereas overexpression of ABHD8 induced a significant reduction in migration in both cell types in vitro. Differentially expressed genes in ABHD8 models, identified by RNAseq, were associated with cellular movement (P<1.82×10-44). Chromosome conformation capture (3C) identified an interaction between the ABHD8 promoter and a region containing 4 risk SNPs (rs4808075, rs10419397, rs56069439 and rs4808076) in breast and ovarian normal and cancer cells but only rs56069439 coincides with epigenetic enhancer marks in breast and ovarian cells. CRISPR/Cas9 genome editing was used to delete a 57bp region containing rs56069439 and expression of BABAM1, ANKLE1 and ABHD8 were measured. Taken together, these data suggest a common functional mechanism underlying risk of breast and ovarian cancer at this locus, mediated by rs56069439 variants differentially regulating expression of ABHD8, a gene involved in cell motility. Citation Format: Kate Lawrenson, Siddhartha Kar, Karoline Kuckenbaeker, Stacey Edwards, Qiyuan Li, Jonathan Tyrer, Jonathan Beesley, Kyriaki Michailidou, Susan Ramus, Alison Dunning, Fergus Couch, Alvaro Monteiro, Jacques Simard, Matthew Freedman, Douglas Easton, Georgia Chenevix-Trench, Paul Pharoah, Antonis Antoniou, Simon Gayther, OCAC, BCAC and CIMBA. Common functional mechanisms underlying pleiotropy at the 19p13.1 breast and ovarian cancer cusceptibility locus. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 106th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2015 Apr 18-22; Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(15 Suppl):Abstract nr 2783. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2015-2783

Abstract Background: Genome-wide association studies have identified multiple genetic variants associated with prostate cancer risk which explain a substantial proportion of familial relative risk. These variants can be used to stratify individuals by their risk of prostate cancer. Methods: We genotyped 25 prostate cancer susceptibility loci in 40,414 individuals and derived a polygenic risk score (PRS). We estimated empirical odds ratios (OR) for prostate cancer associated with different risk strata defined by PRS and derived age-specific absolute risks of developing prostate cancer by PRS stratum and family history. Results: The prostate cancer risk for men in the top 1% of the PRS distribution was 30.6 (95% CI, 16.4–57.3) fold compared with men in the bottom 1%, and 4.2 (95% CI, 3.2–5.5) fold compared with the median risk. The absolute risk of prostate cancer by age of 85 years was 65.8% for a man with family history in the top 1% of the PRS distribution, compared with 3.7% for a man in the bottom 1%. The PRS was only weakly correlated with serum PSA level (correlation = 0.09). Conclusions: Risk profiling can identify men at substantially increased or reduced risk of prostate cancer. The effect size, measured by OR per unit PRS, was higher in men at younger ages and in men with family history of prostate cancer. Incorporating additional newly identified loci into a PRS should improve the predictive value of risk profiles. Impact: We demonstrate that the risk profiling based on SNPs can identify men at substantially increased or reduced risk that could have useful implications for targeted prevention and screening programs. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 24(7); 1121–9. ©2015 AACR.