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Introduction Lynch syndrome (LS) is a hereditary cancer syndrome that increases risk for colorectal and other cancers. We hypothesize that vaccines against tumor-associated antigens CEA, MUC1, and brachyury, simultaneously delivered in an adenovirus serotype-5 vector (Tri-Ad5) combined with the immune-enhancing IL-15 receptor superagonist nogapendekin-alfa-inbakicept (NAI) will reduce the incidence of colorectal neoplasms in LS carriers. Methods In this ongoing phase IIB double-blind placebo-controlled trial, two open-label safety phases (SPs) assessed safety of Tri-Ad5 alone (SP1, n=10) and with added NAI (SP2, n=10). A randomized controlled trial (RCT) follows the SPs. After baseline colonoscopy, vaccine dosing occurs at weeks 0, 4 and 8; Tri-Ad5 alone in SP1 and Tri-Ad5 plus NAI in SP2, with identical boosters at Week 52. The RCT phase participants (n=138) were randomized to receive Tri-Ad5 plus NAI or placebo. All participants complete colonoscopy at Weeks 52 and 104 for assessment of the primary endpoint: cumulative colorectal neoplasm incidence. Secondary endpoints include safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity. Results All 20 SP participants (median age 57.5 (range 42–75), 70% female, 15% minority) received all prime and booster series. SP1 participants reported 139 adverse events (AEs) and SP2 participants reported 178. AEs were predominantly grade 1; no treatment-related serious adverse events (SAEs) occurred. The most common treatment-related AEs were reactogenic events including grade 3 rash (without skin necrosis or breakdown) at NAI injection site (100% of SP2 participants). The RCT phase (n=138) recently completed accrual. Discussion In LS carriers without active cancer, the combination of Tri-Ad5 + NAI was well-tolerated; the RCT phase is ongoing. Clinical Trial Registration https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/ , identifier NCT05419011.

Abstract Background: Clonal cytopenia of undetermined significance (CCUS) is defined as persistent unexplained cytopenia with evidence of clonality [myeloid-associated somatic mutations (MTs) or cytogenetic [CG] abnormalities] but without definitive evidence of myeloid neoplasms (MN). The outcomes in CCUS patients (pts) are not well understood. Methods: The CCUS International Study database includes pts from 17 institutions who meet the criteria of CCUS and do not have other causes of cytopenia. Pts with MDS defining CG abnormalities were excluded. We collected baseline clinical data, laboratory parameters, CGs, molecular genetics, treatment, and disease course. Diverse gene panels from different institutions were collated to include a total of 70 myeloid-related somatic genes (30 genes in common). 2018 IWG MDS response criteria were used to determine response rate (RR). Disease progression (DP) is defined by progression to MN. The relationship between independent variables and DP and death was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. All statistical analysis was performed using SAS. Results: A total of 258 pts were captured by July 2021. The median age was 71 (IQR 63-77) years, and 66% were male. Among 73 (28%) pts with known malignancy history, 27 (37%) pts received previous chemo- or radiation therapy. 27 (10%) pts had non-malignant hematology comorbidities. 91 (35%) had cardiovascular disease, and 33 (13%) had inflammatory disease. (Table 1) The red blood cell and platelet transfusion-dependent rates were 7.3% and 2.3%, respectively. The median number of MTs was 2 (IQR 1-3), with 221 (86%) pts had ≥1 MT, of which 116 (53%) had ≥ 2 MTs. The most common 5 MTs were TET2 (n=78, 30%), SRSF2 (n=50, 19%), DNMT3A (n=47, 18%), ASXL1 (n=40, 16%), and U2AF1 (n=22, 9%) (Figure 1). The median VAF (mVAF) was 28% (IQR: 9.2%, 43%) with VAF < 10% in 47 (18%) and VAF ≥40% in 78 (30.2%) of the MTs. mVAF of the all genes are shown in Figure 2. Among pts with CG abnormalities (n=62, 24%), trisomy 8 and -Y are the most common karyotypes (n=15 for each, 24%) (Table 2). Eighty one (31%) patients received various treatments for CCUS with modest RR, including growth factors (n=47, 18.2%, RR: 25.5%), supportive care (n=23, 9%, RR: 26%), immunoglobulin/immunosuppressive therapy (n=15, 6%, RR: 40%), and DNMTi (n=8, 3%, RR=13%). The median length of follow-up was 15.6 (IQR 6.9-30.6) months. 24 pts progressed to MN, 14 (58.3%) of which were MDS, 8 (33.3%) CMML, and 2 (8.3%) AML. The 2-year PFS was 86.1% (95% CI: 80-93%) with a median PFS of 16.3 (IQR: 3.7, 21) months. In the multivariable model, positive MT of KRAS (HR: 8.4, 95% CI: 1.9-36.9, p=0.005) and CBL (HR: 16.5, 95% CI: 3.7-73.8, p=0.003) were significantly associated with DP. In the functional pathway analysis, having at least 1 splicing factor MT was significantly associated with DP (HR: 2.6, 95% CI:1.2-5.9, p=0.02). TP53 was not significantly associated with DP (HR: 1.2, 95% CI: 0.2-8.7, p=0.88). Having >1 MT (HR: 3.57, 95% CI: 1.19-10.7, p=0.02) compared to a single MT was significantly associated with DP (Figure 3). Over the follow-up period, 35 pts died. The 2-year OS was 81% (95% CI: 74.9-87.9%). In the multivariable model, MT of KRAS (HR: 6.1, 95% CI: 1.8-20, p=0.003), CBL (HR: 7.3, 95% CI: 1.7-31, p=0.007), and FLT3 (HR: 19.9, 95% CI: 2.5-155, p=0.004) were significantly associated with inferior survival. In the functional pathway analysis, MTs in activated signaling pathway were significantly associated with death (HR: 4.1, 95% CI: 1.8-9, p<0.001). None of the pts with TP53 MT died. Having >1 MT was not statistically significantly associated with higher risk of death (HR: 1.5, 95% CI: 0.7-3.0, p=0.28) (Figure 4). After adjustment for co-MT status and comorbidities, baseline Hb<10 g/dL (HR: 3.7, 95% CI: 1.8-7.9, p<0.001) was significantly associated with greater mortality. Conclusion: This large retrospective study summarizes the CCUS pts' characteristics, with different MT patterns and VAF. We confirmed the impact of having >1 MT on DP, but not OS. Genes involved in activated signaling had a significant impact on both DP and OS. TP53 MT was not associated with worse outcome. Findings may be due to limited cases in the particular genes and different gene panels from multiple institutions. A longer follow-up is planned to further describe the predictors for outcome in this ongoing study. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Komrokji: Jazz: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMSCelgene: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Acceleron: Consultancy; PharmaEssentia: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AbbVie: Consultancy; Taiho Oncology: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Geron: Consultancy. Zeidan: BioCryst: Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Kura: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Ionis: Consultancy; Geron: Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Incyte: Consultancy, Research Funding; Amgen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Boehringer Ingelheim: Consultancy, Research Funding; Novartis: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees, Travel support, Research Funding; Janssen: Consultancy; Cardiff Oncology: Consultancy, Other: Travel support, Research Funding; Loxo Oncology: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Aprea: Consultancy, Research Funding; AstraZeneca: Consultancy; Agios: Consultancy; BeyondSpring: Consultancy; Gilead: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Daiichi Sankyo: Consultancy; Jazz: Consultancy; Astex: Research Funding; BMS: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees, Research Funding; Acceleron: Consultancy, Research Funding; Pfizer: Other: Travel support, Research Funding; Genentech: Consultancy; Epizyme: Consultancy; Jasper: Consultancy; Astellas: Consultancy; ADC Therapeutics: Research Funding; AbbVie: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees, Research Funding. Madanat: Blue Print Pharmaceutical: Honoraria; Stem line pharmaceutical: Honoraria; Onc Live: Honoraria; Geron Pharmaceutical: Consultancy. Coombs: LOXO: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Honoraria; AstraZeneca: Honoraria; AbbVie: Honoraria; Genentech: Honoraria; MEI Pharma: Honoraria. Griffiths: Celgene/Bristol-Myers Squibb: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Takeda Oncology: Consultancy, Honoraria; Taiho Oncology: Consultancy, Honoraria; Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; Novartis: Honoraria; Alexion Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy, Research Funding; Boston Biomedical: Consultancy; Astex Pharmaceuticals: Honoraria, Research Funding; Genentech: Research Funding; Abbvie: Consultancy, Honoraria. Lai: Astellas: Speakers Bureau; Jazz Pharma: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Agios: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Genentech: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Daiichi-Sankyo: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Jazz Pharma: Speakers Bureau; Macrogenics: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AbbVie: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Foran: trillium: Research Funding; actinium: Research Funding; kura: Research Funding; boehringer ingelheim: Research Funding; takeda: Research Funding; abbvie: Research Funding; aptose: Research Funding; pfizer: Honoraria; novartis: Honoraria; servier: Honoraria; bms: Honoraria; revolution medicine: Honoraria; OncLive: Honoraria; gamida: Honoraria; certara: Honoraria; sanofi aventis: Honoraria; syros: Honoraria; taiho: Honoraria; h3bioscience: Research Funding; aprea: Research Funding; sellas: Research Funding; stemline: Research Funding. Badar: Pfizer Hematology-Oncology: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Desai: Astex: Research Funding; Janssen R&D: Research Funding; Kura Oncology: Consultancy; Takeda: Consultancy; Bristol Myers Squibb: Consultancy; Agios: Consultancy. Ades: ABBVIE: Honoraria; CELGENE/BMS: Honoraria; NOVARTIS: Honoraria; TAKEDA: Honoraria; JAZZ: Honoraria, Research Funding; CELGENE: Research Funding. Brunner: Novartis, Celgene, Takeda, AstraZeneca: Research Funding; Celgene, Forty Seven Inc, Jazz: Other: Advisory Board. Carraway: Celgene, a Bristol Myers Squibb company: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Takeda: Other: Independent review committee; Stemline: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; AbbVie: Other: Independent review committee; Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Jazz: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Agios: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Astex: Other: Independent review committee; Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau. Prebet: BMS: Research Funding; BMS, Curios, Daichi: Consultancy. Patnaik: Kura Oncology: Research Funding; Stemline Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Stemline Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Savona: Karyopharm: Consultancy, Current equity holder in publicly-traded company, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Geron: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; CTI: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMS-Celgene: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; NOVARTIS: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Ryvu: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Sierra Oncology: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Taiho: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; TG Therapeutics: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Takeda: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; ALX Oncology: Research Funding; Astex: Research Funding; Incyte: Research Funding. Al-Kali: Novartis: Research Funding; Astex: Other: Research support to institution.

Abstract Introduction: Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is defined by the presence and subsequent expansion of leukemia-associated driver mutations (MT). These MT predominantly involve epigenetic regulators such as DNMT3A, ASXL1, and TET2 (DAT, 75%). CHIP is a disease of aging and is associated with increased all-cause mortality. Clonal Hematopoiesis (CH), when present in the context of unexplained cytopenias and MT variant allele fractions (VAF) >20%, is termed as clonal cytopenias of undetermined significance (CCUS). Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a hematological malignancy characterized by TET2, ASXL1, and SRSF2MT as well as sustained monocytosis. It usually arises in the setting of existing CH and clonal monocytosis. Here, we assessed the clonal compositions involving DAT genes in patients (pts) with CHIP, CCUS, and CMML. Methods: We included 1008 pts: 54 (5%) with CHIP, 334 (33%) with CCUS, and 620 (62%) with CMML. Demographics, laboratory parameters, and mutational spectrum at diagnosis were collected. We characterized and compared DAT MT in all three cohorts and assessed correlations with clinical parameters. MT locus and type along with protein sequences were analyzed using ProteinPaint. All statistical analyses were performed using R. Results: Of the 1008 pts, 427 (42%) had DAT MT; 36 had CHIP (67%); 96 had CCUS (29%), and 296 had CMML (48%). The median age was 71 years (IQR 65-76), and 68% were male. CMML pts had higher white blood cell counts, absolute neutrophil counts, absolute monocyte counts, and lower hemoglobin and platelet counts in comparison to CCUS and CHIP pts. The distribution of age and sex were similar among the three groups. After a median follow-up of 11 months (IQR 9.5-12.8), there were no myeloid progressions in the CHIP group and 17 (18%) in the CCUS group (8 of which developed CMML, Table 1). There were 738 protein-altering or splice-site DATMT in 495 unique MT hotspots. Pts with TET2MT were older (71 years, compared to DNMT3AMT: 69 years and ASXL1MT: 69 years , p<0.022). ASXL1MT were more common in males (75%, compared to DNMT3AMT: 52% and TET2MT: 66%, p=0.005). The mean VAF (mVAF) were 15.5% for DNMT3AMT, 35% for ASXL1MT and 39.2% TET2MT, respectively (p<0.001). We then compared DATMT characteristics in CHIP, CCUS, and CMML groups: DNMT3AMT were most common in CHIP, followed by CCUS, and were very rare in CMML (35% vs. 15% vs. 3%, p<0.001), with mVAF of DNMT3AMT increasing across this spectrum (CHIP: 6.5% vs. CCUS: 17.1% vs. CMML: 43.4%, p<0.0001). While DNMT3A missense MTs were most common (n=62, 67.4%), the AML-associated R882 hotspot MT was seen in 26 (28%) pts (CHIP: n=3, 5%, CCUS: n=10, 16%, and CMML n=13, 21%, Figure 1a). None of the DNMT3AMT CHIP and CCUS pts progressed to CMML.ASXL1MT were most frequently seen in CMML (n=178, 28.6%), followed by CHIP (n=4, 7.4%), and CCUS (n=17, 5%, p<0.001). The mVAF of ASXL1MT was significantly lower in CHIP, followed by CCUS, and CMML (11% vs. 34% vs. 36%, p<0.0001). Truncating ASXL1 MTs were most common (n=205, 53%). Mutational hotspots included G646W (n=81, CCUS: n=6, 3%, CMML: n=75, 37%) and E635 (n=27, CHIP: n=1, 0.5%, CCUS: n=1, 0.5%, CMML: n=27, 13%, Figure 1b). Four ASXL1MT CCUS pts transformed to CMML (R965, E635, G646W, Q910*, and Q925*); of which 2 co-mutated with TET2MT, one with SRSF2MT, and one with an additional ASXL1MT.TET2MT were frequently encountered in CMML, followed by CCUS and CHIP pts (CMML: n=205, 33% vs. CCUS: n=88, 26.3% vs. CHIP: n=15, 27.8%, p=0.02). The mVAF of TET2MT progressively increased across the 3 groups (CHIP: 14.1%, CCUS: 31.9%, CMML: 45.5%, p<0.001). TET2MT occurred across the span of the gene, with no clear hotspots identified, with nonsense MT being most frequent (n=150, 37.3%, Figure 1c). Among the nonsense and frameshift TET2MT (n=209), 131 (63%) involved the N terminal region, and 78 (37%) involved the catalytic domain. Among 8 CCUS pts that transformed to CMML, 6 had TET2MT, including 4 with spliceosome co-MT. Conclusion: While CMML, a disease of aging, arises in the background of CH, the most common CH MT, DNMT3AMT, plays a minor role in this process, and in fact, DNMT3AMT tend to occur at younger ages. While DNMT3A MT and ASXL1MT are preferentially observed in hotspots, TET2MT span the entire gene. Clonal compositions largely involving truncating TET2MT and frameshift ASXL1MT, in conjunction with splicing MT, shape the CMML genotype. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Komrokji: Geron: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Agios: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Abbvie: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; JAZZ: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; BMS: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Acceleron: Honoraria. Zeidan: Genentech: Consultancy; BeyondSpring: Consultancy; Kura: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Amgen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Cardiff Oncology: Consultancy, Other: Travel support, Research Funding; Astex: Research Funding; Epizyme: Consultancy; Geron: Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Boehringer Ingelheim: Consultancy, Research Funding; AstraZeneca: Consultancy; Acceleron: Consultancy, Research Funding; Astellas: Consultancy; Novartis: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees, Travel support, Research Funding; Agios: Consultancy; Aprea: Consultancy, Research Funding; AbbVie: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees, Research Funding; Loxo Oncology: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees; Pfizer: Other: Travel support, Research Funding; ADC Therapeutics: Research Funding; Gilead: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees; BMS: Consultancy, Other: Clinical Trial Committees, Research Funding; Jazz: Consultancy; Incyte: Consultancy, Research Funding; Ionis: Consultancy; Jasper: Consultancy; Daiichi Sankyo: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; BioCryst: Other: Clinical Trial Committees. Coombs: LOXO: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Honoraria; AstraZeneca: Honoraria; AbbVie: Honoraria; Genentech: Honoraria; MEI Pharma: Honoraria. Madanat: Blue Print Pharmaceutical: Honoraria; Stem line pharmaceutical: Honoraria; Onc Live: Honoraria; Geron Pharmaceutical: Consultancy. Griffiths: Takeda Oncology: Consultancy, Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Taiho Oncology: Consultancy, Honoraria; Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; Alexion Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy, Research Funding; Boston Biomedical: Consultancy; Astex Pharmaceuticals: Honoraria, Research Funding; Celgene/Bristol-Myers Squibb: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Genentech: Research Funding; Abbvie: Consultancy, Honoraria. Lai: Jazz Pharma: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Astellas: Speakers Bureau; Jazz Pharma: Speakers Bureau; Macrogenics: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Daiichi-Sankyo: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Agios: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Genentech: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AbbVie: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Savona: CTI: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Geron: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Karyopharm: Consultancy, Current equity holder in publicly-traded company, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMS-Celgene: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; NOVARTIS: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Ryvu: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Sierra Oncology: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Taiho: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; TG Therapeutics: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Takeda: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; ALX Oncology: Research Funding; Astex: Research Funding; Incyte: Research Funding. Litzow: AbbVie: Research Funding; Actinium: Research Funding; Pluristem: Research Funding; Amgen: Research Funding; Astellas: Research Funding; Jazz: Other: Advisory Board; Omeros: Other: Advisory Board; Biosight: Other: Data monitoring committee. Al-Kali: Novartis: Research Funding; Astex: Other: Research support to institution. Patnaik: StemLine: Research Funding; Kura Oncology: Research Funding.

Aim To provide a contemporary analysis of incidence trends of infective endocarditis (IE) with its changing epidemiology over the past two decades in Europe. Methods A systematic review was conducted at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester. Ovid EBM Reviews, Ovid Embase, Ovid Medline, Scopus and Web of Science were searched for studies published between 1 January 2000 and 30 November 2020. All studies were independently reviewed by four referees and those that included a population-based incidence of IE in patients, irrespective of age, in Europe were included. Least squares regression was used to estimate pooled temporal trends in IE incidence. Results Of 9138 articles screened, 18 studies were included in the review. Elderly men predominated in all studies. IE incidence increased 4.1% per year (95% CI 1.8% to 6.4%) in the pooled regression analysis of eight studies that included comprehensive and consistent trends data. When trends data were weighted according to population size of individual countries, an increase in yearly incidence of 0.27 cases per 100 000 people was observed. Staphylococci and streptococci were the most common pathogens identified. The rate of surgical intervention ranged from 10.2% to 60.0%, and the rate of inpatient mortality ranged from 14.3% to 17.5%. In six studies that examined the rate of injection drug use, five of them reported a rate of less than 10%. Conclusion Based on findings from our systematic review, IE incidence in Europe has doubled over the past two decades in Europe. Multiple factors are likely responsible for this striking increase. Trial registeration number CRD42020191196.

Objective: Cardiovascular disease remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Ceramide scores have been associated with adverse outcomes in patients with established coronary artery disease. The prognostic value of ceramide score has not been assessed in the general population. We tested the hypothesis that ceramide scores are associated with major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in a community-based cohort with average coronary artery disease burden at enrollment. Approach and results: In a prospective community-based cohort, we performed passive follow-up using a record linkage system to ascertain the composite outcome of MACE, defined as acute myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization (bypass grafting or percutaneous intervention), stroke, or death. Ceramides were analyzed as log-transformed continuous variables, ratios or scores, and quartiles with adjustment for confounders. We analyzed 1131 subjects, 52% females, mean age±(SD) 64±9 years. After a median follow-up of 13.3 years (Q1, 12.7; Q3, 14.4), 486 patients experienced a MACE: myocardial infarction (80), coronary artery bypass surgery (34), percutaneous coronary intervention (62), stroke (94), and all-cause death (362). Ceramide ratios were significantly associated with MACE independently of LDL-c (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol) and conventional coronary artery disease risk factors. Those in the highest quartile of ceramide score had nearly 1.5-fold risk of MACE, hazard ratio, 1.47 (95% CI, 1.12–1.92). There was a dose-response association across quartiles of ceramide ratios and MACE. Conclusions: Elevated ceramide score is a robust predictor of cardiovascular disease and MACE in the community. The risk conferred by the ceramide score has a dose-response behavior and is independent of conventional risk factors.