Lin, Steven H.

Abstract Background: In metastatic cancer, Circulating Tumor cells (CTCs) are established prognostic indictors of patients (pts) less likely to respond to new lines of systemic therapy, with poor clinical outcomes, such as shorter progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). However, CTCs are typically found in specific malignancies (breast, prostate & colon), often in <20% of pts with metastatic disease, and pts without CTCs may also rapidly progress. Recently, an inflammatory pro-tumorigenic macrophage emanating from tumor stroma (i.e. Cancer associated macrophage-like cell [CAML]) was found in >90% of metastatic cancer pts, and whose phagocytic engorgement appears to correlate with poor outcomes, independent of CTCs. As CTCs and CAMLs are isolated in conjunction from a single blood sample, and both are prognostic for outcomes, we evaluated their utilization prior to induction of new systemic therapy in 6 types of metastatic cancer to model pt risk stratification based on 2 year outcomes. Methods: A prospective 2 year blind multi-institutional study was undertaken to model CTCs and CAMLs in prognosticating outcomes prior to induction of a new line of systemic therapy (n=233) in metastatic: Breast (n=60), Prostate (n=40), Pancreas (n=25), Colon (n=28), Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC) (n=39), and Lung (n=40). Blood was filtered by CellSieveTM filters with subtypes of CTCs & hyper-enlarged CAMLs (≥100µm) enumerated. A machine learning algorithm was trained on this initial data set to develop predictive models which could stratify pt populations by risk for likelihood of PFS & OS over 2 years, including known clinical variables. Results: CTCs were absent in 80% (n=185/233) of pts, and their absence was prognostic for better PFS (HR=1.6, p=0.046), but not OS (HR=1.3, p=0.2045). In parallel, enlarged CAMLs (≥100µm) were found in 28% (n=51/185) of pts without CTCs, and were also prognostic for worse PFS (HR=2.0, p=0.0082) and OS (HR=1.9, p=0.0412). Specifically, CTCs were found in 55% (n=33) breast, 20% (n=8) prostate, 12% (n=3) pancreas, 11% (n=3) colon, 0% (n=0) RCC, and 0% (n=0) lung pts. Enlarged CAMLs were found in 45% (n=27) breast, 20% (n=8) prostate, 44% (n=11) pancreas, 44% (n=17) colon, 18% (n=7) RCC and 20% (n=8) lung pts. Overall, models indicated that ≥1 CTC (n=47) had mPFS=3.9 & mOS=14.9, while pts with 0 CTCs and ≥100µm CAMLs (n=51) had a mPFS=6.9 & mOS=13.8, and pts with 0 CTCs and <100µm CAMLs (n=134) had a mPFS=10.7 & mOS>24 months. Conclusions: These initial models confirm that both CTCs and enlarged CAMLs are prognostic indicators of worse PFS & OS. The simultaneous quantification both CTCs and CAMLs allows for more accurate pan-cancer risk stratification in an array of cancer pt populations. Additional clinical variables incorporated into the models may allow better risk subtyping and possibly forecast optimal treatment regimens. Citation Format: Daniel L. Adams, Steven H. Lin, Massimo Cristofanilli, Carolina Reduzzi, Saranya Chumsri, Martin J. Edelman, Susan Tsai, Raymond C. Bergan, Mohammed Aldakkak, Thai H. Ho, Cha-Mei Tang. Combining circulating tumor cells and cancer associated macrophage-like cells enhances risk stratification models in pan-cancer metastatic disease [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 1068.

Importance The Surgery as Needed for Oesophageal Cancer (SANO) trial introduced active surveillance as a noninferior alternative to esophagectomy for patients with esophageal cancer who achieve a clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT). However, concerns remain about recurrence risk, long-term survival, and quality-of-life trade-offs with organ-preserving strategies. Objective To evaluate the long-term comparative effectiveness of active surveillance vs standard esophagectomy in patients with cCR following nCRT for locally advanced esophageal cancer, using updated data from the SANO trial. Design, Setting, and Participants This decision analytical model used Markov modeling and probabilities and utility inputs derived from the SANO trial and existing literature. The base case was a 60-year-old male with good functional status and cT3N1M0 esophageal cancer achieving cCR after nCRT. Exposures Standard routine esophagectomy vs active surveillance after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs); the secondary outcome was life-years. Additional model scenarios explored (1) quality-of-life impacts of esophagectomy modeled as a time-varying covariate and (2) 2-year outcomes to align with the SANO trial time horizon. Sensitivity analyses evaluated recurrence probabilities and surgery-related quality-of-life trade-offs. Results At 5 years, standard surgery yielded greater QALYs (1.74 vs 1.34; incremental gain of 0.40 QALYs or ~4.8 months in perfect health) and life-years (3.11 vs 2.41; incremental gain of 0.70 life-years or ~8.4 months) compared with active surveillance. However, at a 2-year horizon, active surveillance was preferred for QALYs (incremental gain of ~15 days), consistent with the SANO trial. Sensitivity analyses revealed the model favored active surveillance when the recurrence probability was less than 43%, the likelihood of local/resectable recurrence was greater than 94%, or the negative quality-of-life impact of esophagectomy was substantial. Modeling esophagectomy’s quality-of-life impact as time limited further strengthened surgery’s long-term QALY benefit. Conclusions and Relevance This study found that while active surveillance offers short-term quality-of-life benefits and may be appropriate in select patients, particularly those at low recurrence risk or with high surgical risk, esophagectomy remains the preferred strategy for maximizing long-term survival and QALYs. These findings support a nuanced, individualized approach to post-nCRT management, balancing organ preservation with long-term oncologic outcomes.

Significance: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have transformed cancer therapy by reactivating antitumor immunity and improving outcomes across multiple malignancies. Yet, clinical observations and preclinical studies suggest that ICIs may increase long-term cardiovascular disease risk, including hypertension, atherosclerosis, and thrombosis. The underlying mechanisms remain incompletely defined, highlighting the need for focused investigation into the vascular consequences of immune activation. Recent Advances: ICI-induced immune activation disrupts vascular and immune homeostasis through persistent production of reactive oxygen species (ROS), mitochondrial dysfunction, and accumulation of cell-free DNA (cfDNA). Sustained T-cell activation enhances ROS generation, driving DNA damage and senescence in both endothelial and immune cells. ICIs may also promote endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EndoMT) through chronic oxidative and inflammatory signaling, contributing to fibrosis, vascular stiffness, and chronic inflammation. Transforming growth factor-beta, although immunosuppressive in many contexts, can drive profibrotic and EndoMT programs within the vasculature. Other cytokines and regulators, including interleukin-17 and regulator of calcineurin 1, have been implicated in vascular remodeling, atherosclerosis, and hypertension. Critical Issues: The relative roles of ROS, mitochondrial dysfunction, cfDNA-driven inflammation, and EndoMT in ICI-associated vascular senescence remain unclear. While inflammation-induced vascular damage is well-recognized, direct ICI-specific mechanisms require stronger evidence. How senescent endothelial and immune cells influence therapy resistance and remodeling of the tumor microenvironment also remains to be defined. Future Directions: Mitochondrial and cytosolic ROS sources—arising from electron leakage during oxidative phosphorylation and NADPH oxidases activity—shape immune signaling and sustain T-cell activation during checkpoint blockade. The DNA damage response kinases ataxia-telangiectasia mutated and ATM- and Rad3-related, activated by oxidative and replicative stress, engage p53-dependent senescence pathways in endothelial and immune cells. Future studies should evaluate biomarkers such as cfDNA and thrombospondin-1 and explore senescence-targeting or redox-modulating interventions that may alleviate cardiovascular toxicity without diminishing antitumor efficacy. This review outlines mechanistic pathways linking ICIs to vascular dysfunction and senescence, integrating preclinical data with emerging clinical insights. It distinguishes established processes from ICI-specific hypotheses and identifies key gaps requiring clinical validation. Antioxid. Redox Signal. 00, 000–000.

Src homology 2-domain containing protein tyrosine phosphatase 2 (SHP2), encoded by the Ptpn11 gene (Tyrosine-protein phosphatase non-receptor type 11), is a key downstream effector of PD-1/PD-L1 signaling and is likely important, in addition to immune modulation, in tumor development and vascular homeostasis. SHP2 conveys PD-1 mediated inhibitory signaling in T cells, and is emerging as a therapeutic target. Importantly, there is an association between immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), immune-related adverse events (irAEs), and cardiovascular complications, underscoring the need to understand SHP2’s role in these processes. This review aims to summarize current knowledge on SHP2/PTPN11 biology, its role in immune regulation, cancer progression, and vascular homeostasis, and to discuss emerging therapeutic strategies targeting this pathway. The concept of using SHP2 inhibitors with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is being investigated to address ICI resistance and to improve anti-tumor efficacy substantially. SHP2 is also being studied in non-cancer cell contexts, and signaling responses can differ by large magnitudes depending on the biological context and stimuli. Under normal circumstances, SHP2 promotes vascular homeostasis in endothelial cells (ECs) and myeloid cells and inhibits inflammation, and the reduction in SHP2 activity by oxidative stress, such as in atherosclerosis or diabetes, upregulates inflammation. In contrast, in response to radiation, the fibrotic response and subsequent lung injury were increased by endothelial SHP2 induction via Notch-Jag1 signaling. Vascular smooth muscle cells SHP2 act as a pro-atherogenic effector by enhancing ERK/MAPK signaling, and the upregulation of mitochondria localized SHP2 can also induce cellular senescence-associated inflammation by upregulating mitochondrial reactive oxygen species. Taken together, the two opposite signaling effects of SHP2 suggest that both the immune and vascular system responses appear to be more modulated by the redox, cell, and compartment-specific signaling of SHP2. More studies are needed for mitigating cardiovascular toxicity to patients, particularly with ICI-based treatment regimens.

Abstract The complementarity and clinical utility of combining liquid biopsies and radiomic image analysis has not been demonstrated. ctDNA minimal residual disease after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is highly prognostic, but on-treatment biomarkers are needed to enable response-adapted therapies. In this study, we analyzed 418 patients with NSCLC undergoing CRT to develop and validate a novel dynamic risk model that accurately predicts ultimate progression-free survival during treatment. We optimize tissue-free variant calling from plasma samples to facilitate ctDNA monitoring and demonstrate the importance of accounting for persistent clonal hematopoiesis variants. We show that mid-CRT ctDNA concentration is prognostic for disease progression and integrate additional pre-CRT risk factors, including radiomics, into a combined model that improves outcome prediction. Our results suggest that tumor features, radiomics, and mid-CRT ctDNA analysis are complementary and can identify patients at high and low risk of progression to potentially enable response-adapted therapies. Significance: This study demonstrates that combining tumor features, radiomics, and ctDNA analysis improves outcome prediction in NSCLC treated with CRT therapy. Our integrated model could enable personalized and response-adapted therapies to reduce toxicity and improve outcomes in patients. See related commentary by Anagnostou and Aggarwal, p. 1534

Modulating immune function is a critical strategy in cancer and atherosclerosis treatments. For cancer, boosting or maintaining the immune system is crucial to prevent tumor growth. However, in vascular disease, mitigating immune responses can decrease inflammation and slow atherosclerosis progression. Anti-inflammatory therapy, therefore, presents a unique dilemma for cancer survivors: while it may decrease cardiovascular risk, it might also promote cancer growth and metastasis by suppressing the immune response. Senescence presents a potentially targetable solution to this challenge; senescence increases the risk of both cancer therapy resistance and vascular disease. Exercise, notably, shows promise in delaying this premature senescence, potentially improving cancer outcomes and lowering vascular disease risk post-treatment. This review focuses on the long-term impact of cancer therapies on vascular health. We underscore the importance of modulating senescence to balance cancer treatment’s effectiveness and its vascular impact, and we emphasize investigating the role of exercise-mediated suppression of senescence in improving cancer survivorship.

Abstract Aims Radiation therapy (RT) is an integral component of cancer therapy but associated with adverse events. Our goal was to establish risk prediction models for major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) after chest RT. Methods and results A retrospective study of lung/breast cancer patients who had chest RT with planning CT at Mayo Clinic between 01/2010 and 01/2014. Predictive models were developed based on weighted independent predictors using a derivation (406 lung and 711 breast cancer) and validation cohort (179 lung and 234 breast cancer). Patient characteristics, pre-RT CT for coronary artery calcification (CAC), and post-RT MACCE data were reviewed. Post-RT MACCE occurred in 6.1 and 5.6% in the derivation and validation cohort over a mean follow-up of 42 ± 13 months. Post-therapy model (C2AD2) included CAC (two points), MACCE history (two points), age ≥74 (three points), DM (two points), and mean heart radiation dose ≥ 850 mGy (two points), and pre-therapy model (C2AD) included post-therapy model parameters minus mean heart radiation dose. Both models stratified patients into three risk groups: low (0–2), intermediate (3–5), and high (≥6). Post-RT MACCE across these groups were 2.7, 8.9, and 19.8% in the derivation, and 3.9, 6.6, and 16.4% in the validation cohort for post-therapy model (C2AD2) and 2.8, 9.2, and 20.4% in the derivation and 3.7, 9.2, and 13.2% in the validation cohort for pre-therapy model. Both models showed statistically significant graded survival outcome. Conclusion Post-therapy (C2AD2) and pre-therapy (C2AD) models are simple, easy to use and effective tools to stratify breast and lung cancer patients undergoing chest radiation for post-RT MACCE.

8013 Background: For patients (pts) with unresectable locally-advanced NSCLC, standard of care involves durva consolidation after concurrent CRT, although its benefit in ALK+ tumors is unclear. The ALINA trial demonstrated adjuvant efficacy of alectinib in resected ALK+ NSCLC, but the optimal consolidation strategy for unresectable locally-advanced ALK+ NSCLC remains elusive. Methods: This multi-institutional international retrospective analysis included pts with stage III unresectable ALK+ NSCLC who received an ALK TKI, durva, or obs alone after concurrent CRT between 2015-2022. Baseline characteristics of age, sex, smoking history, and PD-L1 status were collected. Clinical outcomes including real-world progression-free survival (rw-PFS), overall survival (OS), and treatment-related adverse events (trAE) as defined using CTCAE 5.0 were assessed, and multivariate cox regression models were performed. Results: Sixty-four pts across 16 institutions were included. The median age was 57 (IQR 49-66) and 61% were females. The majority had adenocarcinoma (97%) and had never smoked (58%). 15 received ALK TKI (10 alectinib, 3 crizotinib, 1 brigatinib, 1 lorlatinib), 30 received durva, and 19 received obs alone. There was no significant difference in stage of cancer (IIIA, B, or C) or PD-L1 status among groups. After adjusting for stage and age at CRT initiation, median rw-PFS was significantly longer for ALK TKI (rw-PFS not reached [NR], 95% CI 22.7-NR) vs durva (11.3 months (mo), 95% CI 9.2-18.5, p= 0.005, HR = 0.12) or obs (7.4 mo, 95% CI 3.4-12.5, p < 0.0001). Two (13%) pts progressed on ALK TKI. 25 pts (83%) progressed on durva leading to treatment with ALK TKI in 23, and 18 (95%) progressed while under obs leading to treatment with ALK TKI in 15. 3-year OS was 100% for ALK TKI vs 90.5% for durva vs 63.5% for obs. Median OS was NR (95% CI NR-NR) for both ALK TKI and durva vs 70.6 mo (24.9-NR) in the obs group ( p= 0.03 for both ALK TKI and durva compared to obs). Median duration of therapy was 24.7 mo with ALK TKI and 6.5 mo with durva. Grade ≥3 trAE occurred in 27%, 7%, 6% of pts treated with ALK TKI (1 fatigue, 1 diarrhea, 1 hyperbilirubinemia, 1 pneumonitis), durva (1 fatigue, 1 neutropenia), and obs (1 neutropenia) respectively. Treatment discontinuation due to toxicity occurred in 4 (27%) with ALK TKI and in 3 (10%) with durva. Conclusions: In this retrospective study of stage III ALK+ NSCLC, consolidation ALK TKI demonstrated clinically meaningful improvement in PFS and OS over durva and obs, while showing a slightly higher rate of trAE over dura and obs. Furthermore, we show a high rate of progression following CRT alone in ALK+ NSCLC. These findings underscore the need for prospective molecularly driven trials to determine the optimal consolidation therapy for unresectable ALK+ NSCLC.

3053 Background: Recently, early studies have identified circulating stromal cells (CStCs), i.e. Cancer Associated Macrophage-Like cells (CAMLs), in patients (pts) with newly diagnosed invasive cancers, which are phagocytic myeloid immune cells emanating from primary tumors. However, no study has evaluated CAMLs as a pan solid tumor screening tool nor their clinical impact on pt outcomes. We analyzed the blood of untreated newly diagnosed cancer pts (n=441), or in non-malignant conditions (i.e. pancreatic cysts, n=77), or healthy controls (n=100). We found that CAMLs are prevalent (82%) in cancer pt blood, absent in healthy controls (0%) and less common in non-malignant conditions (36%), with correlations to worse clinical outcomes. Methods: Anonymized peripheral blood was taken from n=441 pts before or after confirmation of invasive malignancy [stage I (n=105), stage II (n=125), stage III (n=114), stage IV (n=97) with pathologically confirmed lung (n=84), pancreas (n=61), breast (n=73), prostate (n=65), esophageal (n=34), Renal Cell (n=29), Sarcoma (n=27), or Other (n=68). In addition, anonymized blood was taken from pts with untreated non-malignant conditions including benign breast masses (n=19), Lupus (n=11), liver Cirrhosis (n=6), rising PSA (n=24), or other benign mass (n=17); and from healthy control volunteers (n=100). CAMLs were isolated by CellSieve microfiltration, defined as enlarged polyploid cells with cytokeratin+ and/or CD45/CD14+. Pts were monitored for 0-8 years (median=2.6) for progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: CAMLs were found in 82% of all cancer pts averaging 5.4 CAMLs, specifically, in 66% of Stage I, 85% Stage II, 84% Stage III, and 92% Stage IV. No CAMLs were found in any healthy controls, but were in 36% of non-malignant pts. CAML sensitivity in cancer vs healthy was 82% (CI95% 78-85%), specificity=100% (CI95% 96-100%), PPV=100% (CI95% 99-100%), NPV=55% (CI95% 50-60%). CAML sensitivity in cancer vs benign was 82% (CI95% 78-85%), specificity=64% (CI95% 32-44%), PPV=93% (CI95% 90-95%), NPV=38% (CI95% 32-44%). CAML presence was significantly associated with worse PFS (HR=2.0, 95%CI 1.4-2.9, p<0.0001) & OS (HR=2.2, 95%CI 1.4-3.3, p=0.0004), with engorged phagocytic CAMLs (>50um), highly significant for worse PFS (HR=3.3, 95%CI 2.5-4.5, p<0.0001) & OS (HR=3.0, 95%CI 2.1-4.3, p<0.0001). Further, in benign pts positive for CAMLs, 2 pts were in situ, 16 had histologies with increased cancer risk (i.e. IPMN, atypical hyperplasia), and 5 pts died within 3 years. Conclusions: CAMLs appear to be a highly sensitive blood based biomarker that can identify invasive carcinoma in all stages of cancer regardless of subtype, but are not found in healthy controls & rare in non-malignant conditions. Further, enlarged phagocytic CAMLs appeared to correlate with shorter PFS and OS prior to treatment induction.