Kidane, Biniam

TPS8124 Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)–based regimens are standard first-line therapy for metastatic non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) without actionable driver mutations; however, most patients experience disease progression within 12 months. A subset develop oligoprogression, defined by progression at a limited number of metastatic sites with otherwise controlled disease. Oligoprogression represents a therapeutic window in which local ablative therapy could be used to prolong disease control. In the prior phase II CURB trial, SBRT was shown to significantly prolong progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with oligoprogressive NSCLC. Methods: CCTG-BR38 is an international, multicenter, open-label, randomized phase III trial conducted through the NCI National Clinical Trials Network. Adults with stage IV NSCLC receiving first-line ICI ± chemotherapy who develop ≤5 extracranial oligoprogressive lesions are randomized 1:1 to: (1) switch to second-line standard systemic therapy or (2) SBRT (30 Gy in 3 fractions) to all oligoprogressive sites followed by continuation of the same first-line systemic therapy. Randomization is stratified by type of first-line systemic therapy (ICI alone vs ICI + chemotherapy), number of oligoprogressive lesions (1–2 vs 3–5), and ECOG performance status (0-1 vs 2). Patients with treated, stable brain metastases are eligible. Primary Endpoints: Dual primary endpoints are PFS and overall survival (OS). Secondary endpoints include safety (CTCAE v5.0), patient-reported adverse events (PRO-CTCAE), quality of life (EORTC QLQ-C30/LC13), and cost-effectiveness (EQ-5D-5L; Canadian sites). Optional blood and tissue collection for exploratory biomarker analyses are planned. Statistical Considerations: A total of 320 patients (160 per arm) will be enrolled. The sample size is based on detecting a HR of 0.7 for OS (an improvement in median OS from 10 to 14.3 months) with 80% power using a 1-sided 2% level test (the overall 1-sided 2.5% type I error will be assigned 2% to OS and 0.5% to PFS). Interim analyses for futility and efficacy are planned. Current Status: The trial was centrally activated on April 3, 2025. Accrual is ongoing across Canadian and US NCTN sites. Clinical trial information: NCT06686771 .

Importance The Surgery as Needed for Oesophageal Cancer (SANO) trial introduced active surveillance as a noninferior alternative to esophagectomy for patients with esophageal cancer who achieve a clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT). However, concerns remain about recurrence risk, long-term survival, and quality-of-life trade-offs with organ-preserving strategies. Objective To evaluate the long-term comparative effectiveness of active surveillance vs standard esophagectomy in patients with cCR following nCRT for locally advanced esophageal cancer, using updated data from the SANO trial. Design, Setting, and Participants This decision analytical model used Markov modeling and probabilities and utility inputs derived from the SANO trial and existing literature. The base case was a 60-year-old male with good functional status and cT3N1M0 esophageal cancer achieving cCR after nCRT. Exposures Standard routine esophagectomy vs active surveillance after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs); the secondary outcome was life-years. Additional model scenarios explored (1) quality-of-life impacts of esophagectomy modeled as a time-varying covariate and (2) 2-year outcomes to align with the SANO trial time horizon. Sensitivity analyses evaluated recurrence probabilities and surgery-related quality-of-life trade-offs. Results At 5 years, standard surgery yielded greater QALYs (1.74 vs 1.34; incremental gain of 0.40 QALYs or ~4.8 months in perfect health) and life-years (3.11 vs 2.41; incremental gain of 0.70 life-years or ~8.4 months) compared with active surveillance. However, at a 2-year horizon, active surveillance was preferred for QALYs (incremental gain of ~15 days), consistent with the SANO trial. Sensitivity analyses revealed the model favored active surveillance when the recurrence probability was less than 43%, the likelihood of local/resectable recurrence was greater than 94%, or the negative quality-of-life impact of esophagectomy was substantial. Modeling esophagectomy’s quality-of-life impact as time limited further strengthened surgery’s long-term QALY benefit. Conclusions and Relevance This study found that while active surveillance offers short-term quality-of-life benefits and may be appropriate in select patients, particularly those at low recurrence risk or with high surgical risk, esophagectomy remains the preferred strategy for maximizing long-term survival and QALYs. These findings support a nuanced, individualized approach to post-nCRT management, balancing organ preservation with long-term oncologic outcomes.