Abstract Background and Aims Severe tricuspid regurgitation is associated with increased mortality rates, but benefit of its correction and ideal timing are not clearly determined. This study aimed to identify patient subsets who might benefit from the surgery. Methods In TRIGISTRY, an international cohort study of consecutive patients with severe isolated functional tricuspid regurgitation (33 centres, 10 countries), survival rates up to 10 years were compared between patients who underwent isolated tricuspid valve surgery (repair or replacement) and those conservatively managed, overall and according to TRI-SCORE category (low: ≤3, intermediate: 4–5, and high: ≥6). Results One thousand and two hundred seventeen were managed conservatively, and 551 underwent isolated tricuspid valve surgery (200 repairs and 351 replacements). TRI-SCORE distribution was 33% low, 32% intermediate, and 35% high. At 10 years, survival rates were similar between surgical and conservative management [41% vs. 36%; hazard ratio (HR) .97; 95% confidence interval (CI) .88–1.08, P = .57]. Surgery improved survival compared with conservative management in the low TRI-SCORE category (72% vs. 44%; HR .27; 95% CI .20–.37, P < .0001), but not in the intermediate (36% vs. 37%; HR 1.17; 95%CI .98–1.40, P = .09) or high categories (20% vs. 24%; HR 1.06; 95% CI .91–1.25, P = .45). Both repair and replacement improved survival in the low TRI-SCORE category (84% and 61% vs. 44%; HR .11; 95% CI .06–.19, P < .0001, and HR .65; 95% CI .47–.90, P = .009). Repair showed benefit in the intermediate category (59% vs. 37%; HR .49; 95% CI .35–.68, P < .0001) while replacement was possibly harmful (25% vs. 37%; HR 1.43; 95% CI 1.18–1.72, P = .0002). Conclusions Higher survival rates were observed with repair than replacement and benefit of intervention declined as TRI-SCORE increased with no benefit of any type of surgery in the high TRI-SCORE category. These results emphasize the importance of timely intervention and patient selection to achieve the best outcomes and the need for randomized controlled trials.
Indexing left ventricular end‐systolic dimension to body size: Association with mortality in patients with degenerative mitral regurgitation
Abstract Aims In patients with degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR), left ventricular (LV) dysfunction is associated with increased risk of heart failure and excess mortality. LV end‐systolic diameter (LVESD) is an established trigger for intervention, yet recommended LVESD thresholds apply poorly to patients with small body size. Whether LV normalization to body surface area (BSA) may be used as a trigger for DMR correction is unknown. We examined the link between LVESD index (LVESDi) and outcome in DMR to identify appropriate thresholds for excess mortality. Methods and results This study focuses on 2753 consecutive patients with DMR due to flail leaflets diagnosed in tertiary centres from Europe and the United States, with prospective echocardiographic measurement of LVESD and BSA and long‐term follow‐up. The primary endpoint was mortality after diagnosis under conservative management. Secondary endpoints were mortality under conservative and surgical management and postoperative mortality of patients who underwent surgery. The optimal LVESDi cut‐off for mortality prediction was 20 mm/m 2 . Irrespective of management type, 10‐year survival was lower with LVESDi ≥20 mm/m 2 than with LVESDi <20 mm/m 2 (both p < 0.001). After covariate adjustment, LVESDi ≥20 mm/m 2 was independently predictive of mortality under conservative management (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15–1.75), and with conservative and surgical management (adjusted HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.17–1.54). LVESDi remained associated with poorer postoperative outcome in patients who underwent intervention. LVESDi showed higher incremental predictive value over the baseline model compared to LVESD. The association between LVESDi ≥20 mm/m 2 and outcome was consistent in subgroups of patients with DMR. Conclusions In severe DMR due to flail leaflets, LVESDi is a marker of risk additive and incremental to LVESD. Its use in clinical practice should lead to earlier referral to mitral valve surgery and improved long‐term outcome.
Survival loss linked to guideline-based indications for degenerative mitral regurgitation surgery
Abstract Aims Operating on patients with severe degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) is based on ACC/AHA or ESC/EACTS guidelines. Doubts persist on best surgical indications and their potential association with postoperative survival loss. We sought to investigate whether guideline-based indications lead to late postoperative survival loss in DMR patients. Methods and results We analysed outcome of 2833 patients from the Mitral Regurgitation International Database registry undergoing surgical correction of DMR. Patients were stratified by surgical indications: Class I trigger (symptoms, left ventricular end-systolic diameter ≥ 40 mm, or left ventricular ejection fraction < 60%, n = 1677), isolated Class IIa trigger [atrial fibrillation (AF), pulmonary hypertension (PH), or left atrial diameter ≥ 55 mm, n = 568], or no trigger (n = 588). Postoperative survival was compared after matching for clinical differences. Restricted mean survival time (RMST) was analysed. During a median 8.5-year follow-up, 603 deaths occurred. Long-term postoperative survival was lower with Class I trigger than in Class IIa trigger and no trigger (71.4 ± 1.9, 84.3 ± 2.3, and 88.9 ± 1.9% at 10 years, P < 0.001). Having at least one Class I criterion led to excess mortality (P < 0.001), while several Class I criteria conferred additional death risk [hazard ratio (HR): 1.53, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42–1.66]. Isolated Class IIa triggers conferred an excess mortality risk vs. those without (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.00–2.13, P = 0.05). Among these patients, isolated PH led to decreased postoperative survival vs. those without (83.7 ± 2.8% vs. 89.3 ± 1.6%, P = 0.011), with the same pattern observed for AF (81.8 ± 5.0% vs. 88.3 ± 1.5%, P = 0.023). According to RMST analysis, compare to those operated on without triggers, operating on Class I trigger patients led to 9.4-month survival loss (P < 0.001) and operating on isolated Class IIa trigger patients displayed 4.9-month survival loss (P = 0.001) after 10 years. Conclusion Waiting for the onset of Class I or isolated Class IIa triggers before operating on DMR patients is associated with postoperative survival loss. These data encourage an early surgical strategy.
Degenerative mitral regurgitation due to flail leaflet: sex-related differences in presentation, management, and outcomes
Abstract Background and Aims Presentation, outcome, and management of females with degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) are undefined. We analysed sex-specific baseline clinical and echocardiographic characteristics at referral for DMR due to flail leaflets and subsequent management and outcomes. Methods In the Mitral Regurgitation International Database (MIDA) international registry, females were compared with males regarding presentation at referral, management, and outcome (survival/heart failure), under medical treatment, post-operatively, and encompassing all follow-up. Results At referral, females (n = 650) vs. males (n = 1660) were older with more severe symptoms and higher MIDA score. Smaller cavity diameters belied higher cardiac dimension indexed to body surface area. Under conservative management, excess mortality vs. expected was observed in males [standardized mortality ratio (SMR) 1.45 (1.27–1.65), P < .001] but was higher in females [SMR 2.00 (1.67–2.38), P < .001]. Female sex was independently associated with mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.29 (1.04–1.61), P = .02], cardiovascular mortality [adjusted HR 1.58 (1.14–2.18), P = .007], and heart failure [adjusted HR 1.36 (1.02–1.81), P = .04] under medical management. Females vs. males were less offered surgical correction (72% vs. 80%, P < .001); however, surgical outcome, adjusted for more severe presentation in females, was similar (P ≥ .09). Ultimately, overall outcome throughout follow-up was worse in females who displayed persistent excess mortality vs. expected [SMR 1.31 (1.16–1.47), P < .001], whereas males enjoyed normal life expectancy restoration [SMR 0.92 (0.85–0.99), P = .036]. Conclusions Females with severe DMR were referred to tertiary centers at a more advanced stage, incurred higher mortality and morbidity under conservative management, and were offered surgery less and later after referral. Ultimately, these sex-related differences yielded persistent excess mortality despite surgery in females with DMR, while males enjoyed restoration of life expectancy, warranting imperative re-evaluation of sex-specific DMR management.
Severe aortic stenosis: secular trends of incidence and outcomes
Abstract Background and Aims Severe aortic stenosis (AS) is the guideline-based indication for aortic valve replacement (AVR), which has markedly increased with transcatheter approaches, suggesting possible increasing AS incidence. However, reported secular trends of AS incidence remain contradictory and lack quantitative Doppler echocardiographic ascertainment. Methods All adults residents in Olmsted County (MN, USA) diagnosed over 20 years (1997–2016) with incident severe AS (first diagnosis) based on quantitatively defined measures (aortic valve area ≤ 1 cm2, aortic valve area index ≤ 0.6 cm2/m2, mean gradient ≥ 40 mmHg, peak velocity ≥ 4 m/s, Doppler velocity index ≤ 0.25) were counted to define trends in incidence, presentation, treatment, and outcome. Results Incident severe AS was diagnosed in 1069 community residents. The incidence rate was 52.5 [49.4–55.8] per 100 000 patient-year, slightly higher in males vs. females and was almost unchanged after age and sex adjustment for the US population 53.8 [50.6–57.0] per 100 000 residents/year. Over 20 years, severe AS incidence remained stable (P = .2) but absolute burden of incident cases markedly increased (P = .0004) due to population growth. Incidence trend differed by sex, stable in men (incidence rate ratio 0.99, P = .7) but declining in women (incidence rate ratio 0.93, P = .02). Over the study, AS clinical characteristics remained remarkably stable and AVR performance grew and was more prompt (from 1.3 [0.1–3.3] years in 1997–2000 to 0.5 [0.2–2.1] years in 2013–16, P = .001) but undertreatment remained prominent (>40%). Early AVR was associated with survival benefit (adjusted hazard ratio 0.55 [0.42–0.71], P < .0001). Despite these improvements, overall mortality (3-month 8% and 3-year 36%), was swift, considerable and unabated (all P ≥ .4) throughout the study. Conclusions Over 20 years, the population incidence of severe AS remained stable with increased absolute case burden related to population growth. Despite stable severe AS presentation, AVR performance grew notably, but while declining, undertreatment remained substantial and disease lethality did not yet decline. These population-based findings have important implications for improving AS management pathways.
Response by Essayagh et al to Letter Regarding Article, “The MIDA-Q Mortality Risk Score: A Quantitative Prognostic Tool for the Mitral Valve Prolapse Spectrum”
Abstract Background and aims Benefit of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) correction and timing of intervention are unclear. This study aimed to compare survival rates after surgical or transcatheter intervention to conservative management according to a TR clinical stage as assessed using the TRI-SCORE. Methods A total of 2,413 patients with severe isolated functional TR were enrolled in TRIGISTRY (1217 conservatively managed, 551 isolated tricuspid valve surgery, and 645 transcatheter valve repair). The primary endpoint was survival at 2 years. Results The TRI-SCORE was low (≤3) in 32%, intermediate (4–5) in 33%, and high (≥6) in 35%. A successful correction was achieved in 97% and 65% of patients in the surgical and transcatheter groups, respectively. Survival rates decreased with the TRI-SCORE in the three treatment groups (all P < .0001). In the low TRI-SCORE category, survival rates were higher in the surgical and transcatheter groups than in the conservative management group (93%, 87%, and 79%, respectively, P = .0002). In the intermediate category, no significant difference between groups was observed overall (80%, 71%, and 71%, respectively, P = .13) but benefit of the intervention became significant when the analysis was restricted to patients with successful correction (80%, 81%, and 71%, respectively, P = .009). In the high TRI-SCORE category, survival was not different to conservative management in the surgical and successful repair group (61% and 68% vs 58%, P = .26 and P = .18 respectively). Conclusions Survival progressively decreased with the TRI-SCORE irrespective of treatment modality. Compared to conservative management, an early and successful surgical or transcatheter intervention improved 2-year survival in patients at low and, to a lower extent, intermediate TRI-SCORE, while no benefit was observed in the high TRI-SCORE category.
Incidence trends and management of severe aortic valve stenosis in the community over 20 years of practice
Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Severe aortic-stenosis (AS) is the guideline-based indication for aortic-valve-replacement (AVR) performance, which has markedly increased with transcatheter approaches, suggesting possible increasing AS incidence. However, reported secular trends of AS incidence remain contradictory, uncertain and lacking quantitative Doppler-Echocardiographic ascertainment. Thus, population-based trends in presentation, treatment and outcome are unknown. Methods All adults residents our County (MN,USA) diagnosed with incident (first-diagnosis) severe AS based on quantitative Doppler-Echocardiography (aortic-valve-area≤1cm2, aortic-valve-area-index≤0.6cm2/m2, mean-gradient≥40mmHg, peak-velocity≥4m/s, Doppler-velocity-index≤0.25) between 1997–2016, were accounted for and trends for incidence, presentation, treatment and outcome analysed. Results Incident severe-AS was diagnosed in 1069 community-residents over 20-years. Incidence-rate was 52.5[49.4–55.8] per 100.000 patient/year, slightly higher in male vs. female and was almost unchanged after age and sex adjustment for the US population 53.8[50.6–57.0] per-100000 residents/year. Over 20-years severe AS-incidence remained stable (p = 0.20) but absolute-burden of incident-cases markedly increased (p = 0.0004) due to population growth. Incidence-trend differed by sex, stable in men (incidence-rate-ratio 0.99, p = 0.72) but declining in women: (incidence-rate-ratio 0.93, p = 0.024). AS clinical-presentation, age, symptoms, comorbidity, ventricular size/function, valve-area-index, low-flow or low-ejection-fraction AS, remained stable. Over the study 20 years, AVR performance grew (1997–2001 to 2012–2016, at 3-month:14% to 21%, p = 0.02; at 1-year 19% to 33%,p<0.0001), and was more prompt (from 1.3[0.11–3.3]years in 1997–2001 to 0.48[0.15–2.11]years in 2013–2016, p = 0.001) but severe AS undertreatment remained prominent (>40%). Early-AVR (within 3-months) was associated with survival benefit (adjusted-hazard-ratio 0.55[0.42–0.71], p<0.0001) stable throughout the 20-years. Despite these improvements, overall mortality, 8.3% within 3-months, 17.8% within 1-year, 36% within 3-years, was swift, considerable and unabated (all p≥0.44) throughout the 20-year study. Conclusion Over 20 years, the population incidence of severe-AS remained stable with increased absolute case-burden purely related to population growth. Despite stable severe-AS presentation, AVR performance grew notably, but while declining, undertreatment remained substantial and disease-lethality did not decline. These findings have important population-health management implications.
Factors influencing post-surgical survival in degenerative mitral regurgitation
Abstract Aims Indications for surgery in patients with degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) are increasingly liberal in all clinical guidelines but the role of secondary outcome determinants (left atrial volume index ≥60 mL/m2, atrial fibrillation, pulmonary artery systolic pressure ≥50 mmHg and moderate to severe tricuspid regurgitation) and their impact on post-operative outcome remain disputed. Whether these secondary outcome markers are just reflective of the DMR severity or intrinsically affect survival after DMR surgery is uncertain and may have critical importance in the management of patients with DMR. To address these gaps of knowledge the present study gathered a large cohort of patients with quantified DMR, accounted for the number of secondary outcome markers and examined their independent impact on survival after surgical correction of the DMR. Methods and results The Mitral Regurgitation International DAtabase-Quantitative registry includes patients with isolated DMR from centres across North America, Europe, and the Middle East. Patient enrolment extended from January 2003 to January 2020. All patients undergoing mitral valve surgery within 1 year of registry enrolment were selected. A total of 2276 patients [65 (55–73) years, 32% male] across five centres met study eligibility criteria. Over a median follow-up of 5.6 (3.6 to 8.7) years, 278 patients (12.2%) died. In a comprehensive multivariable Cox regression model adjusted for age, EuroSCORE II, symptoms, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LV ESD) and DMR severity, the number of secondary outcome determinants was independently associated with post-operative all-cause mortality, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.56 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11–2.20, P = 0.011], 1.78 (95% CI: 1.23–2.58, P = 0.002) and 2.58 (95% CI: 1.73–3.83, P < 0.0001) for patients with one, two, and three or four secondary outcome determinants, respectively. A model incorporating the number of secondary outcome determinants demonstrated a higher C-index and was significantly more concordant with post-operative mortality than models incorporating traditional Class I indications alone [the presence of symptoms (P = 0.0003), or LVEF ≤60% (P = 0.006), or LV ESD ≥40 mm (P = 0.014)], while there was no significant difference in concordance observed compared with a model that incorporated the number of Class I indications for surgery combined (P = 0.71). Conclusion In this large cohort of patients treated surgically for DMR, the presence and number of secondary outcome determinants was independently associated with post-surgical survival and demonstrated better outcome discrimination than traditional Class I indications for surgery. Randomised controlled trials are needed to determine if patients with severe DMR who demonstrate a cardiac phenotype with an increasing number of secondary outcome determinants would benefit from earlier surgery.
The MIDA-Q Mortality Risk Score: A Quantitative Prognostic Tool for the Mitral Valve Prolapse Spectrum
Background: Mitral valve prolapse (MVP) is responsible for a considerable disease burden but is widely heterogeneous. The lack of a comprehensive prognostic instrument covering the entire MVP spectrum, encompassing the quantified consequent degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR), hinders clinical management and therapeutic trials. Methods: The new Mitral Regurgitation International Database Quantitative (MIDA-Q) registry enrolled 8187 consecutive patients (ages 63±16 years, 47% women, follow-up 5.5±3.3 years) first diagnosed with isolated MVP, without or with DMR quantified prospectively (measuring effective regurgitant orifice [ERO] and regurgitant volume) in routine practice of 5 tertiary care centers from North America, Europe, and the Middle East. The MIDA-Q score ranges from 0 to 15 by accumulating guideline-based risk factors and DMR severity. Long-term survival under medical management was the primary outcome end point. Results: MVP was associated with DMR absent/mild (ERO <20 mm 2 ) in 50%, moderate (ERO 20–40 mm 2 ) in 25%, and severe or higher (ERO ≥40 mm 2 ) in 25%, with mean ERO 24±24 mm 2 , regurgitant volume 37±35 mL. Median MIDA-Q score was 4 with a wide distribution (10%–90% range, 0–9). MIDA-Q score was higher in patients with EuroScore II ≥1% versus <1% (median, 7 versus 3; P < 0.0001) but with wide overlap (10%–90% range, 4–11 versus 0–7) and mediocre correlation ( R 2 0.18). Five-year survival under medical management was strongly associated with MIDA-Q score, 97±1% with score 0, 95±1% with score 1 to 2, 82±1% with score 3 to 4, 67±1% with score 5 to 6, 60±1% with score 7 to 8, 44±1% with score 9 to 10, 35±1% with score 11 to 12, and 5±4% with MIDA-Q score ≥13, with hazard ratio 1.31 [1.29–1.33] per 1-point increment. Excess mortality with higher MIDA-Q scores persisted after adjustment for age, sex, and EuroScore II (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.13 [1.11–1.15] per 1-point increment). Subgroup analysis showed persistent association of MIDA-Q score with mortality in all possible subsets, in particular, with EuroScore II<1% (hazard ratio, 1.08 [1.02–1.14]) or ≥1% (hazard ratio, 1.11 [1.08–1.13]) and with no/mild DMR (hazard ratio, 1.14 [1.10–1.19]) or moderate/severe DMR (hazard ratio, 1.13 [1.10–1.16], all per 1-point increment with P <0.0001). Nested-model and bootstrapping analyses demonstrated incremental prognostic power of MIDA-Q score (all P <0.0001). Conclusions: This large, international cohort of isolated MVP, with prospective DMR quantification in routine practice, demonstrates the wide range of risk factor accumulation and considerable heterogeneity of outcomes after MVP diagnosis. The MIDA-Q score is strongly, independently, and incrementally associated with long-term survival after MVP diagnosis, irrespective of presentation, and is therefore a crucial prognostic instrument for risk stratification, clinical trials, and management of patients diagnosed with all forms of MVP.