Ribichini, Flavio Luciano

Abstract Aims Operating on patients with severe degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) is based on ACC/AHA or ESC/EACTS guidelines. Doubts persist on best surgical indications and their potential association with postoperative survival loss. We sought to investigate whether guideline-based indications lead to late postoperative survival loss in DMR patients. Methods and results We analysed outcome of 2833 patients from the Mitral Regurgitation International Database registry undergoing surgical correction of DMR. Patients were stratified by surgical indications: Class I trigger (symptoms, left ventricular end-systolic diameter ≥ 40 mm, or left ventricular ejection fraction < 60%, n = 1677), isolated Class IIa trigger [atrial fibrillation (AF), pulmonary hypertension (PH), or left atrial diameter ≥ 55 mm, n = 568], or no trigger (n = 588). Postoperative survival was compared after matching for clinical differences. Restricted mean survival time (RMST) was analysed. During a median 8.5-year follow-up, 603 deaths occurred. Long-term postoperative survival was lower with Class I trigger than in Class IIa trigger and no trigger (71.4 ± 1.9, 84.3 ± 2.3, and 88.9 ± 1.9% at 10 years, P < 0.001). Having at least one Class I criterion led to excess mortality (P < 0.001), while several Class I criteria conferred additional death risk [hazard ratio (HR): 1.53, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42–1.66]. Isolated Class IIa triggers conferred an excess mortality risk vs. those without (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.00–2.13, P = 0.05). Among these patients, isolated PH led to decreased postoperative survival vs. those without (83.7 ± 2.8% vs. 89.3 ± 1.6%, P = 0.011), with the same pattern observed for AF (81.8 ± 5.0% vs. 88.3 ± 1.5%, P = 0.023). According to RMST analysis, compare to those operated on without triggers, operating on Class I trigger patients led to 9.4-month survival loss (P < 0.001) and operating on isolated Class IIa trigger patients displayed 4.9-month survival loss (P = 0.001) after 10 years. Conclusion Waiting for the onset of Class I or isolated Class IIa triggers before operating on DMR patients is associated with postoperative survival loss. These data encourage an early surgical strategy.

Abstract Aims Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) with arrhythmic phenotype combines phenotypical aspects of DCM and predisposition to ventricular arrhythmias, typical of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy. The definition of DCM with arrhythmic phenotype is not universally accepted, leading to uncertainty in the identification of high-risk patients. This study aimed to assess the prognostic impact of arrhythmic phenotype in risk stratification and the correlation of arrhythmic markers with high-risk arrhythmogenic gene variants in DCM patients. Methods and results In this multicentre study, DCM patients with available genetic testing were analysed. The following arrhythmic markers, present at baseline or within 1 year of enrolment, were tested: unexplained syncope, rapid non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT), ≥1000 premature ventricular contractions/24 h or ≥50 ventricular couplets/24 h. LMNA, FLNC, RBM20, and desmosomal pathogenic or likely pathogenic gene variants were considered high-risk arrhythmogenic genes. The study endpoint was a composite of sudden cardiac death and major ventricular arrhythmias (SCD/MVA). We studied 742 DCM patients (45 ± 14 years, 34% female, 410 [55%] with left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] <35%). During a median follow-up of 6 years (interquartile range 1.6–12.1), unexplained syncope and NSVT were the only arrhythmic markers associated with SCD/MVA, and the combination of the two markers carried a significant additive risk of SCD/MVA, incremental to LVEF and New York Heart Association class. The probability of identifying an arrhythmogenic genotype rose from 8% to 30% if both early syncope and NSVT were present. Conclusion In DCM patients, the combination of early detected NSVT and unexplained syncope increases the risk of life-threatening arrhythmic outcomes and can aid the identification of carriers of malignant arrhythmogenic genotypes.

Abstract Background and Aims Severe aortic stenosis (AS) is the guideline-based indication for aortic valve replacement (AVR), which has markedly increased with transcatheter approaches, suggesting possible increasing AS incidence. However, reported secular trends of AS incidence remain contradictory and lack quantitative Doppler echocardiographic ascertainment. Methods All adults residents in Olmsted County (MN, USA) diagnosed over 20 years (1997–2016) with incident severe AS (first diagnosis) based on quantitatively defined measures (aortic valve area ≤ 1 cm2, aortic valve area index ≤ 0.6 cm2/m2, mean gradient ≥ 40 mmHg, peak velocity ≥ 4 m/s, Doppler velocity index ≤ 0.25) were counted to define trends in incidence, presentation, treatment, and outcome. Results Incident severe AS was diagnosed in 1069 community residents. The incidence rate was 52.5 [49.4–55.8] per 100 000 patient-year, slightly higher in males vs. females and was almost unchanged after age and sex adjustment for the US population 53.8 [50.6–57.0] per 100 000 residents/year. Over 20 years, severe AS incidence remained stable (P = .2) but absolute burden of incident cases markedly increased (P = .0004) due to population growth. Incidence trend differed by sex, stable in men (incidence rate ratio 0.99, P = .7) but declining in women (incidence rate ratio 0.93, P = .02). Over the study, AS clinical characteristics remained remarkably stable and AVR performance grew and was more prompt (from 1.3 [0.1–3.3] years in 1997–2000 to 0.5 [0.2–2.1] years in 2013–16, P = .001) but undertreatment remained prominent (>40%). Early AVR was associated with survival benefit (adjusted hazard ratio 0.55 [0.42–0.71], P < .0001). Despite these improvements, overall mortality (3-month 8% and 3-year 36%), was swift, considerable and unabated (all P ≥ .4) throughout the study. Conclusions Over 20 years, the population incidence of severe AS remained stable with increased absolute case burden related to population growth. Despite stable severe AS presentation, AVR performance grew notably, but while declining, undertreatment remained substantial and disease lethality did not yet decline. These population-based findings have important implications for improving AS management pathways.

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Severe aortic-stenosis (AS) is the guideline-based indication for aortic-valve-replacement (AVR) performance, which has markedly increased with transcatheter approaches, suggesting possible increasing AS incidence. However, reported secular trends of AS incidence remain contradictory, uncertain and lacking quantitative Doppler-Echocardiographic ascertainment. Thus, population-based trends in presentation, treatment and outcome are unknown. Methods All adults residents our County (MN,USA) diagnosed with incident (first-diagnosis) severe AS based on quantitative Doppler-Echocardiography (aortic-valve-area≤1cm2, aortic-valve-area-index≤0.6cm2/m2, mean-gradient≥40mmHg, peak-velocity≥4m/s, Doppler-velocity-index≤0.25) between 1997–2016, were accounted for and trends for incidence, presentation, treatment and outcome analysed. Results Incident severe-AS was diagnosed in 1069 community-residents over 20-years. Incidence-rate was 52.5[49.4–55.8] per 100.000 patient/year, slightly higher in male vs. female and was almost unchanged after age and sex adjustment for the US population 53.8[50.6–57.0] per-100000 residents/year. Over 20-years severe AS-incidence remained stable (p = 0.20) but absolute-burden of incident-cases markedly increased (p = 0.0004) due to population growth. Incidence-trend differed by sex, stable in men (incidence-rate-ratio 0.99, p = 0.72) but declining in women: (incidence-rate-ratio 0.93, p = 0.024). AS clinical-presentation, age, symptoms, comorbidity, ventricular size/function, valve-area-index, low-flow or low-ejection-fraction AS, remained stable. Over the study 20 years, AVR performance grew (1997–2001 to 2012–2016, at 3-month:14% to 21%, p = 0.02; at 1-year 19% to 33%,p<0.0001), and was more prompt (from 1.3[0.11–3.3]years in 1997–2001 to 0.48[0.15–2.11]years in 2013–2016, p = 0.001) but severe AS undertreatment remained prominent (>40%). Early-AVR (within 3-months) was associated with survival benefit (adjusted-hazard-ratio 0.55[0.42–0.71], p<0.0001) stable throughout the 20-years. Despite these improvements, overall mortality, 8.3% within 3-months, 17.8% within 1-year, 36% within 3-years, was swift, considerable and unabated (all p≥0.44) throughout the 20-year study. Conclusion Over 20 years, the population incidence of severe-AS remained stable with increased absolute case-burden purely related to population growth. Despite stable severe-AS presentation, AVR performance grew notably, but while declining, undertreatment remained substantial and disease-lethality did not decline. These findings have important population-health management implications.

The need for multiple transducer positions, especially from right parasternal windows, is consistently mentioned in the recommendations for the accurate measurement of peak velocities across a stenotic aortic valve, but yet poorly adopted. We performed a subanalysis of the largest prospective series on the right parasternal acoustic windows in patients with aortic stenosis (330 consecutive) to calculate the degree of misalignment and estimate the potential outcome implication of this often-forgotten approach. The right parasternal view was highly feasible with an average estimated misalignment from the apical view of 14 ± 16 degree; in 10 cases, an estimated misalignment >40 degree. Right parasternal assessment (vs. apical alone) provided a significant reclassification from moderate to severe or even very-severe aortic valve stenosis. Considering a wellestablished survival benefit provided by either percutaneous or surgical valve replacement in patients with severe aortic stenosis the reclassification would result in approximately 1 life-year saved for every 30–35 patients in whom parasternal view were effectively utilized.