Milani, Paolo

ABSTRACT Systemic AL amyloidosis is a clonal plasma cell dyscrasia, where toxic free light chains (FLCs) lead to vital organ damage, with risk of early mortality despite effective therapies. Notably, there is a paucity of data on the incidence and predictors of early mortality in the daratumumab (Dara) era. We conducted a multi‐center retrospective cohort study to develop and validate a risk‐prediction model for early mortality (all‐cause death within 6 months) in patients treated with Dara‐based frontline regimens. We used univariate analysis to identify covariates for a logistic regression model predictive of 6‐month mortality and generated a clinical risk score. Among 339 patients across eight centers, 36 (10.6%) experienced early mortality. Multivariate analysis identified four independent predictors: NT‐proBN P > 5300 pg/mL (odds ratio [OR] 3.83, p = 0.006), A ge > 75 years (OR 2.96, p = 0.073), absence of t(11;14) on C ytogenetics (OR 3.0, p = 0.022), and E COG performance status (OR 1.72 per unit increase, p = 0.044). The resulting PACE score stratified patients into three risk groups with a 6‐month mortality of 1.2% (low‐risk), 11.7% (intermediate‐risk), and 50.0% (high‐risk). The PACE score demonstrated superior discrimination (C‐index 0.78) for early mortality compared to Mayo 2004 (0.69) and Mayo 2012 (0.55) staging systems. External validation confirmed robust discrimination (C‐index 0.73) with corresponding 6‐month mortality rates of 4.2%, 15.25%, and 37.04% across respective risk groups. The PACE score provides a clinically applicable tool for early mortality risk stratification in AL amyloidosis patients receiving Dara‐based therapy, and will enable improved patient counseling, clinical trial design, and identification of ultra‐high‐risk patients requiring intensive monitoring and novel therapies.

PURPOSE Outcomes in systemic light chain (AL) amyloidosis have improved with modern therapy limiting utility of existing risk stratification models. We validate a new staging system, incorporating longitudinal strain (LS) to the biomarker-based (NT-proBNP and Troponin-T) staging system in the contemporary treatment era (2015-2024). METHODS AL International Staging System (AL-ISS) was derived from a cohort of patients with AL amyloidosis from the UK National Amyloidosis Centre (2015-2019). The model was validated in patient cohorts from Europe (Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, and Switzerland), the United States (2015-2024), and the United Kingdom (2020-2024). RESULTS In total, 2,493 patients were included (derivation, n = 573; validation n = 1,920). In a multivariable model for the derivation cohort, LS ≥ –9% and cardiac biomarkers at previously validated thresholds (NT-proBNP 332 ng/L and 8,500 ng/L and high-sensitivity troponin T ≥ 50 ng/L) were independent poor prognostic factors stratifying patients into stages I, II, IIIA, IIIB, and IIIC. In the validation cohort, the patient stages were stage I: 317 (17%), II: 782 (41%), IIIA: 551 (29%), IIIB: 174 (9%), and IIIC: 96 (5%), respectively (first-line daratumumab treated: 826; 43%). With a median follow-up of 34 months, median overall survival (OS) was not reached (NR); estimated 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year OS was 82%, 74%, and 70% respectively. The median survival for stages I to II, IIIA, IIIB, and IIIC were NR, 67, 26, and 7 months (1-year OS IIIC 53% v 68% for IIIB in the daratumumab-treated patients), respectively ( P < .001). External validation exhibited good predictive performance: 12-month calibration slope was 1.09, Harrell C 0.69, Royston D 1.19, and R 2 D 0.25. Stage IIIC independently discriminated the poorest outcome across all cohorts. CONCLUSION This defines and validates a new staging system from systemic AL amyloidosis with robust identification of an ultra-poor risk stage (IIIC) in contemporarily treated patients.

BACKGROUND: Thresholds to define prognosis with hs-cTnI (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I) have not been systematically addressed in wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, in part because of the multiplicity of hs-cTnI assays. The aims of this study were: first, to assess the prognostic performance of hs-cTnI measured with different assays in patients with wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy and, second, to identify assay-specific hs-cTnI thresholds for prognosis that could be integrated into staging systems for risk stratification. METHODS: Observational multicenter study of stable wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy patients from different cohorts using the Abbott Architect Stat hs-cTnI assay and the Beckman Coulter Access hs-cTnI assay (testing cohorts) and the Siemens Centaur XPT hs-cTnI assay (validation cohort). Outcome was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In the Abbott cohort (n=136; median follow-up 22 [13–41] months; 31 [23%] deaths) and Beckman cohort (n=98; median follow-up 19 [12–28] months; 16 [16%] deaths), natural log-transformed hs-cTnI was an independent predictor of mortality (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.11–2.35]; P =0.012 and 2.47 [95% CI, 1.48–4.14]; P <0.001, respectively). The best hs-cTnI threshold for 18-month mortality of the combined Abbott/Beckman cohorts (n=234) was 81 ng/L, rounded to 80 ng/L for simplicity of clinical use. A 2-variable staging system (based on the Mayo Clinic system) using hs-cTnI (>80 ng/L) and NPs (natriuretic peptides; NT-proBNP [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide] >3000 ng/L or BNP [B-type natriuretic peptide] >250 ng/L) identified 3 groups with progressively worse prognosis. The staging system (using hs-cTnI >80 ng/L and NT-proBNP>3000 ng/L) was then applied to an independent cohort evaluated with the hs-cTnI Siemens assay (n=345, median follow-up 32 [24-42] months, 119 [34%] deaths). The significant differences between the groups were maintained. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with wild-type transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, hs-cTnI is a strong and independent predictor of mortality. A threshold of hs-cTnI of 80 ng/L for these 3 assays provides effective risk stratification alone and in a staging system with NP.

Background: Despite substantial improvements in early mortality (EM) for patients with systemic light chain amyloidosis (AL), rates remained high in the bortezomib-era, at approximately 25% (Muchtar et al. Blood. 2017). However, the therapeutic landscape in AL amyloidosis has changed with the ANDROMEDA trial, which led to the approval of daratumumab in combination with bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone (Dara-VCd) in the frontline setting. The incidence and predictors of EM in the context of daratumumab-based frontline therapy have not been studied. Methods: We performed an international multicenter retrospective cohort study of all consecutive patients with newly diagnosed AL treated with frontline Dara-VCd or Dara-Vd, and followed until 12/31/2023. EM was defined as death from any cause within 6 months of treatment initiation. Our primary objective was to identify the rate and significant predictors of EM. Univariate logistic regression was used to identify significant predictors of EM, which were then included in a multivariate logistic regression model. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the best threshold values that discriminated EM rates for the following continuous variables: age, dFLC (involved-uninvolved), eGFR, NT-proBNP, albumin, and high-sensitivity Troponin-T (hs-TnT). Other variables tested in univariate analysis were the following: ECOG performance status, NYHA functional class, sex, race, light chain isotype, percent bone marrow plasma cells, status of the following cytogenetic abnormalities-t(11;14), +1q, hyperdiploidy, del(13q), high-risk translocations, and del(17p), and the number of organs involved (2 vs 1). To build the clinical prediction score, each variable was weighted according to the β coefficient (natural logarithm of odds ratio) obtained from the multivariable regression. The β coefficients were rounded to the nearest 0.5 and multiplied by 2 to obtain an even number. Results The study cohort included 335 AL patients treated with daratumumab-based frontline therapy (92.2% Dara-VCd, 7.8% Dara-Vd), with all surviving patients having at least 6 months of follow-up. The median age at diagnosis was 66.5 years (range, 59.4 - 71.3), and 6.7% (n = 22) were Non-Hispanic blacks. Median dFLC at diagnosis was 22.91 mg/dL (range, 0.2-1093.4), and median NT-proBNP was 2415 pg/mL (range, 13-70,000). Mayo 2004 stages IIIA/IIIB represented 44% of the total cohort, with 17% having ECOG ≥ 2 and 25.4% having NYHA Class III/IV symptoms. The cumulative incidence of EM was 10.7%, with the incidence in patients with Mayo 2004 stage I, II, IIIA, and IIIB being 0%, 8%, 12.5%, and 25% respectively. On univariate analysis with unadjusted odds ratio (OR), the following variables significantly predicted EM: Age ≥ 75 (OR=2.8, p=0.013) ECOG ≥ 2, (OR 4.9, p&lt;0.001), NYHA Class ≥ III (OR=4.95, p&lt;0.001), dFLC ≥9 mg/dL (OR, 10.18, p=0.023), eGFR &lt;33 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR=2.7, p=0.026), NT-proBNP &gt;5276 pg/mL (OR=7.69, p &lt;0.001), hs-TnT &gt;70 ng/L (OR=5.88, p&lt;0.001), and absence of t(11; 14) (OR=2.33, p=0.041). These variables were entered into multivariate regression, except for ECOG and NYHA, which were combined to create a single variable (values ranging from 0-8), and hs-TnT was dropped due to substantial missing data as centers used different troponin assays. NT-proBNP was rounded to 5300 pg/ml for ease of clinical application. Based on the multivariate analysis, the following scores were assigned to each variable: Age ≥75 (2.0), ECOG+NYHA (1.0 x combined score), NT-proBNP &gt;5,300 pg/ml (2.0), and absence of t(11;14) (3.0). This led to a score ranging from 1-15, and two risk-groups: low-risk (score &lt;9; 87.5%) and high-risk (score ≥9; 12.5%). The respective cumulative incidence of EM was 6.1% versus 50% (p&lt;0.001). The c-index of the model was 0.725 (95% CI, 0.676-0.774). Conclusion: Using variables that are readily available in the clinic, we have developed a two-tiered risk-prediction model for EM in AL amyloidosis in the context of daratumumab-based frontline therapy. The model needs to be externally validated in an independent dataset.

Abstract We performed an international retrospective study on 283 patients with light chain (AL) amyloidosis to investigate the prognostic impact of cytogenetic abnormalities by fluorescence in situ hybridization, when treated with frontline daratumumab–based therapy. The cytogenetic subgroups of interest were t(11;14), gain/amp(1q) (hereafter, +1q), hyperdiploidy, deletion(13q), del(17p), and myeloma high-risk (HR) translocations (t[4;14], t[14;16], or t[14;20]). The end points of interest were rate of hematologic complete response (heme-CR), very good partial response (VGPR) or better, and hematologic event-free survival (heme-EFS). The incidence of abnormalities was as follows: t(11;14), 53.4%; deletion (13q), 28.9%; +1q, 22.3%; hyperdiploidy, 19.4%; HR translocations, 6.6%; and deletion(17p), 4.5%. The heme-CR rate by cytogenetic subgroups were as follows: t(11;14) vs no t(11;14), 45.2% vs 41.8% (P=0.597); del(13q) vs no del(13q), 46.8% vs 42.8% (P=0.594); +1q vs no +1q, 30.2% vs 47.9% (P=0.022); hyperdiploidy vs no hyperdiploidy, 39.5% vs 44.9% (P=0.541); HR translocations vs none, 45.5% vs 43.1% (P=0.877); and del(17p) vs no del(17p), 50.0% vs 42.9% (P=0.658), respectively. Similarly, +1q was the only subgroup with a significantly lower VGPR or better rate (64.2% vs 79.0%; P=0.033). At a median follow-up of 19.8 months, the median heme-EFS was 49.6 months (95% CI, 24.7-not reached [NR]), and the 2-year overall survival (OS) was 80.98% (95% CI, 75.6-85.4). The presence of +1q was significantly associated with worse heme-EFS on multivariate analysis (HR 2.06, 95% CI, 1.14-3.71; P=0.017). Notably, there was no adverse prognostic impact of t(11;14) on heme-EFS or OS. In conclusion, +1q is associated with worse outcome in the daratumumab-era. Clinical trials testing novel frontline immunotherapies should be enriched in +1q to further improve outcomes in this subgroup.

ImportanceKidney light chain (AL) amyloidosis is associated with a risk of progression to kidney replacement therapy (KRT) and death. Several studies have shown that a greater reduction in proteinuria following successful anticlonal therapy is associated with improved outcomes.ObjectiveTo validate graded kidney response criteria and their association with kidney and overall survival (OS).Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective, multicenter cohort was conducted at 10 referral centers for amyloidosis from 2010 to 2015 and included patients with kidney AL amyloidosis that was evaluable for kidney response and who achieved at least hematologic partial response within 12 months of diagnosis. The median follow-up was 69 (54-88) months. Data analysis was conducted in 2023.ExposureFour kidney response categories based on the reduction in pretreatment 24-hour urine protein (24-hour UP) levels: complete response (kidCR, 24-hour UP ≤200 mg), very good partial response (kidVGPR, &amp;gt;60% reduction in 24-hour UP), partial response (kidPR, 31%-60% reduction), and no response (kidNR, ≤30% reduction). Kidney response was assessed at landmark points (6, 12, and 24 months) and best kidney response.Main Outcomes and MeasuresCumulative incidence of progression to KRT and OS.ResultsSeven-hundred and thirty-two patients (335 women [45.8%]) were included, with a median (IQR) age of 63 (55-69) years. The median (IQR) baseline 24-hour proteinuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate was 5.3 (2.8-8.5) g per 24 hours and 72 (48-92) mL/min/1.73m2, respectively. In a competing-risk analysis, the 5-year cumulative incidence rates of progression to KRT decreased with deeper kidney responses as early as 6 months from therapy initiation (11%, 12%, 2.1%, and 0% for kidNR, kidPR, kidVGPR, and kidCR, respectively; P = .002) and were maintained at 12 months and 24 months and best kidney response. Patients able to achieve kidCR/kidVGPR by 24 months and at best response had significantly better OS compared with kidPR/kidNR. Kidney progression, defined as a 25% or greater decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate, was associated with cumulative incidence of progression to KRT and OS.Conclusions and RelevanceThe results of this cohort study suggest that graded kidney response criteria offers clinically and prognostically meaningful information for treating patients with kidney AL amyloidosis. The response criteria potentially inform kidney survival based on the depth of reduction in 24-hour proteinuria levels and demonstrate an OS advantage for those able to achieve kidCR/kidVGPR compared with kidPR/kidNR. Taken together, achievement of at least kidVGPR by 12 months is needed to ultimately improve kidney and patient survival.

Background: Liver involvement in light chain amyloidosis (AL) is seen in up to 20% of patients and is typically encountered as part of multi-organ involvement. Liver involvement is associated with a poor prognosis. The goal of this study was to assess the prognostic impact of the hepatic response criteria, which were published in 2005 and were not broadly assessed for their prognostic value. Patients and methods: Ten centers across the USA and Europe participated in this study.AL amyloidosis patients who were diagnosed between 2010 and 2015, had liver involvement with serum alkaline phosphatase (AP) &gt;1.5 upper reference limit (URL), and achieved hematologic response to therapy were included in this study. Hepatic response was assessed at 6, 12, and 24 months from therapy initiation and at best response. Based on a receiver operation characteristic analysis, a 50% reduction in AP was set as the optimal cut point for discrimination of 5-year overall survival (OS) in the 12-months response assessment landmark (area under the curve 0.67). Therefore, hepatic response was defined as a reduction in AP &gt;50% from baseline value in addition to AP normalization, regardless of AP percentage reduction. Hepatic progression was defined as &gt;50% increase in serum AP. OS was assessed from therapy initiation until death or last follow-up and was plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. The log-rank test used to compare survival between groups. For fixed-time point survival analysis, patients who died before the landmark were excluded. Hepatic response at a fixed time points, when missing, was imputed based on available data from adjacent time points (imputation of hepatic response was performed in 15%, 23%, and 22% of evaluable patients at 6-, 12-, and 24-month landmarks, respectively). Multivariate Cox proportional models were set to determine independent prognostic factors for OS using variables with p-value &lt;0.1 in a univariate analysis. P-values &lt;0.05 were considered significant. Results: One hundred and sixteen patients (n=116) are included. The median age was 60 years, and the median serum AP was X2.6 URL. Concomitant kidney involvement was present in 63.8% of patients, while coexisting heart involvement was seen in 56% of patients. Hematologic VGPR or better was achieved in 69% of patients. AP decrease deepened with time, with a median reduction at 6-, 12-, 24-months and best response being 22%, 34%, 53%, and 56%, respectively. Overall, 65% of patients (n=75) achieved hepatic response, of whom 71 patients based on reduction in AP &gt;50% and 4 patients for reaching AP within normal reference but not meeting &gt;50% reduction in AP (40- 46% reduction in AP). The median time to hepatic response was 13.8 months, longer for patients undergoing autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) as their primary therapy compared to non-transplant therapies (24 vs 12.6 months, P=0.1). With a median follow-up of 105 months, 42 patients died (36.2% of the study cohort). The 2-, 5- and 10-year OS rates were 83%, 67%, and 61%, respectively. Achievement of hepatic response as early as 12 months and at best response was associated with a longer survival (Figure). Hepatic response was an independent prognostic factor in a multivariate analysis, after adjusting for other known prognostic factors (age, cardiac stage, hematologic response, and primary therapy). Predictors of hepatic response include higher baseline AP level, lower total bilirubin, hematologic ≥VGPR, and cardiac and renal responses, when applicable. Hepatic progression was borderline associated with inferior OS (5-year OS 47% vs 70% among non-progressors, P=0.08). Conclusions: Hepatic response and progression measured by the change in alkaline phosphatase are prognostic in AL amyloidosis. These criteria are independent of other prognostic markers, and thus may have clinical implications for patients' care.