Kim, W. Ray

BACKGROUNDEfficacy trials have shown that antiviral therapy improves the outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, prospective data regarding the effect of antiviral therapy on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), especially among patients without cirrhosis, are limited. The authors examined the impact of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) on the incidence of HCC using a validated prediction model.METHODSThe incidence of HCC in patients treated with TDF was obtained in the pivotal TDF registration studies after 384 weeks of follow‐up. The predicted risk of HCC in individual patients was calculated using the Risk Estimation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B (REACH‐B) model, which estimates HCC incidence for up to 10 years based on age, sex, alanine aminotransferase level, hepatitis B e antigen status, and HBV‐DNA. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated comparing the observed and predicted numbers of HCC cases in the study cohort.RESULTSAmong 634 patients with evaluable baseline biopsies, 152 had cirrhosis (Ishak fibrosis score of 5 or 6) and 482 did not. During the 384 weeks of study, 14 cases of HCC were reported, with 4 occurring within the first year. The incidence of HCC was 0.37% per year in the study as a whole (0.28% among patients without cirrhosis and 0.65% among patients with cirrhosis). Among patients without cirrhosis, the observed incidence of HCC was significantly lower than predicted (SIR, 0.40; 95% confidence interval, 0.199‐0.795). The last HCC case in a patient with cirrhosis occurred around week 192 with an SIR of 0.51 (95% confidence interval, 0.231‐1.144) reported at week 384.CONCLUSIONSBased on the REACH‐B risk calculator, long‐term therapy with TDF was associated with a reduced incidence of HCC among patients without cirrhosis who met treatment criteria. Cancer 2015;121:3631–3638. © 2015 American Cancer Society.

The current system granting liver transplant candidates with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) additional Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) points is controversial due to geographic disparity and uncertainty regarding optimal prioritization of candidates. The current national policy assigns a MELD exception score of 22 immediately upon listing of eligible patients with HCC. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential effects of delays in granting these exception points on transplant rates for HCC and non‐HCC patients. We used Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data and liver simulated allocation modeling software and modeled (1) a 3‐month delay before granting a MELD exception score of 25, (2) a 6‐month delay before granting a score of 28, and (3) a 9‐month delay before granting a score of 29. Of all candidates waitlisted between January 1 and December 31, 2010 (n = 28,053), 2773 (9.9%) had an HCC MELD exception. For HCC candidates, transplant rates would be 108.7, 65.0, 44.2, and 33.6 per 100 person‐years for the current policy and for 3‐, 6‐, and 9‐month delays, respectively. Corresponding rates would be 30.1, 32.5, 33.9, and 34.8 for non‐HCC candidates. Conclusion: A delay of 6‐9 months would eliminate the geographic variability in the discrepancy between HCC and non‐HCC transplant rates under current policy and may allow for more equal access to transplant for all candidates. (Hepatology 2015;61:1643–1650)

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a common treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who are awaiting liver transplantation (LT). The aim of this study was to assess the impact of multiple TACE treatments on tumor necrosis, tumor recurrence, and survival in these patients. A retrospective analysis was performed for 104 consecutive patients undergoing LT for HCC from January 2002 to December 2009 who were treated with TACE before LT. The number of TACE treatments was not associated with tumor necrosis in the explant. After a median follow‐up of 69 months (range = 0‐123 months), 14 of the 104 patients (13%) developed recurrent HCC after LT. Recurrence had a significant relationship with a short interval between the diagnosis of HCC and LT (≤6 months) in univariate and multivariate analyses [P = 0.029, odds ratio (OR) = 19.2]. Patients subjected to a single TACE treatment were more likely to experience recurrence, although this finding was not confirmed in the multivariate analysis. No significant relationship was observed between tumor necrosis in the explant and recurrence. The mean overall survival was 102.8 months (95% confidence interval = 94.9‐110.8 months) with 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year survival rates of 91%, 89%, and 84% respectively. In the univariate survival analysis, the presence of ascites before TACE, a waiting time ≤ 9 months, and tumor characteristics at the pathological examination were statistically associated with shorter survival. In the multivariate analysis, only vascular invasion (P < 0.001, OR = 7.99) remained independently associated with shorter survival. The number of TACE treatments was not associated with survival. In conclusion, multiple TACE treatments were not associated with a higher risk of recurrence or shorter survival. Continued use of TACE should be considered as indicated if the patient and lesions are suitable for retreatment. A shorter waiting time before LT is related to an increased risk of recurrence and decreased survival after LT for HCC. These data could reflect the presence of more aggressive tumor biology and may be useful for guiding organ allocation policy to consider a minimum observation period before LT for regions with shorter wait times. Liver Transpl 21:248‐257, 2015. © 2014 AASLD.

AbstractBackground & AimsSurvival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is determined by hepatic function and tumour extent. Recently, a new Model to Estimate Survival in Ambulatory HCC patients (MESIAH) was proposed to predict overall survival in ambulatory HCC patients. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic performance of the MESIAH score in an independent cohort of HCC patients.MethodsA cohort of 1969 patients newly diagnosed with HCC at the National Cancer Center, Korea between January 2004 and December 2009 was used for validation of the MESIAH score. The model's performance was assessed using C‐statistics, the likelihood ratio (LR) χ2 value and Akaike information criterion (AIC).ResultsPatients in the cohort had a median age of 56 years and 83.2% were men. Hepatitis B virus infection was present in 74.6 and 81.6% had a Child–Pugh class A. The median overall survival was 21.4 months. The MESIAH score had a higher degree of discrimination, with a C‐statistic of 0.792 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.782–0.803], when compared with the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system [0.665 (95% CI, 0.653–0.678), P < 0.001]. The LR χ2 value and the AIC of MESIAH were also better than those of BCLC, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program, Japan Integrated Scoring and Tokyo score. The observed survival in the cohort closely matched that predicted by the MESIAH score.ConclusionsThe new prognostication model MESIAH accurately estimated the overall survival of Korean HCC patients and may be useful in future research as well as individual patient care.

SummaryBackgroundInfection with the hepatitis C virus (HCV) has been considered a major cause of mortality, morbidity and resource utilisation in the US. In addition, HCV is the main cause of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) in the US. Recent developments in the diagnosis and treatment of HCV, including new recommendations pertaining to screening for HCV by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and newer treatment regimens with high efficacy, short duration and the potential for interferon‐free therapies, have energised the health care practitioners regarding HCV management.AimTo assess the full impact of HCV burden on clinical, economic and patient‐reported outcomes.MethodsAn expert panel was convened to assess the full impact of HCV burden on a number of important outcomes using an evidence‐based approach predicated on Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation methodology. The literature was summarised, graded using an evidence‐based approach and presented during the workshop. Workshop presentations were intended to review recent, relevant evidence‐based literature and provide graded summary statements pertaining to HCV burden on topics including the relationships between HCV and the development of important outcomes.ResultsThe associations of HCV with cirrhosis, HCC, liver‐related mortality, type 2 diabetes mellitus, rheumatological diseases and quality of life impairments are supported by strong evidence. Also, there is strong evidence that sustained viral eradication of HCV can improve important outcomes such as mortality and quality of life.ConclusionsThe current evidence suggests that HCV has been associated with tremendous clinical, economic and quality of life burden.

AbstractAdvanced cirrhosis is often complicated by a multi organ failure syndrome which involves many different organs besides the liver. The high morbidity and mortality secondary to this clinical setting is often related to renal dysfunction, either alone or, more frequently, in combination with other organ dysfunction. A clear defintion of renal dysfunction, an accurate differential diagnostic process of its different phenotypes as well as of full understanding of its pathophysiological mechanisms are crucial to the development of strategies for the management of this complication. This article is based either on the more recent knowledge on renal dysfunction in advanced cirrhosis or current opinions among the members of the International Club of Ascites (ICA) on the management of this complication, obtained through a survey and discussed during the EASL‐ICA Joint Meeting in Berlin in March 2011. It reviews critically our current knowledge and it outlines future perspectives, on the management of renal dysfunction in patients with cirrhosis.