Buti, Maria

Abstract Background & Aims The epidemiology of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection differs between Asians and non‐Asians, but little is known regarding the effect of ethnicity on outcomes of HBV‐related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aim to characterize the presentation and survival outcomes in Asian and non‐Asian patients with HBV‐related HCC. Methods We analyzed the baseline characteristics and long‐term survival of 613 Asian and 410 non‐Asian patients with HBV‐related HCC from three US and one Spanish centre. Results Overall, non‐Asian patients were more likely to have HIV or hepatitis C co‐infection, cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease and advanced BCLC stage (all P ≤ .04). Compared with Asians, non‐Asians were more likely to be listed for transplantation ( P < .0001) and undergo HCC treatment with curative intent ( P = .003). Propensity‐score matching on HCC diagnosis year, gender and age was performed to balance the two groups for survival analysis and yielded 370 pairs of patients. There was no significant difference in survival overall ( P = .43) and among patients with cirrhosis ( P = .57). Among patients without cirrhosis, non‐Asians had poorer 5‐year survival compared with Asians (37.6% vs 53.7%, P = .01), and was associated with poorer survival after adjusting for age, gender, diabetes, alcohol, co‐infections, diagnosis date, antiviral therapy, BCLC stage and HCC treatment (adjusted HR 2.01 [95% CI 1.07‐3.74], P = .03). Conclusion Among HBV‐related HCC patients, non‐Asians presented with more advanced BCLC stage compared to Asians. Non‐Asian ethnicity was independently associated with twice the risk of mortality among patients without cirrhosis, but not among those with cirrhosis. Additional studies are needed to clarify this disparity.

BACKGROUNDEfficacy trials have shown that antiviral therapy improves the outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, prospective data regarding the effect of antiviral therapy on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), especially among patients without cirrhosis, are limited. The authors examined the impact of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) on the incidence of HCC using a validated prediction model.METHODSThe incidence of HCC in patients treated with TDF was obtained in the pivotal TDF registration studies after 384 weeks of follow‐up. The predicted risk of HCC in individual patients was calculated using the Risk Estimation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B (REACH‐B) model, which estimates HCC incidence for up to 10 years based on age, sex, alanine aminotransferase level, hepatitis B e antigen status, and HBV‐DNA. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated comparing the observed and predicted numbers of HCC cases in the study cohort.RESULTSAmong 634 patients with evaluable baseline biopsies, 152 had cirrhosis (Ishak fibrosis score of 5 or 6) and 482 did not. During the 384 weeks of study, 14 cases of HCC were reported, with 4 occurring within the first year. The incidence of HCC was 0.37% per year in the study as a whole (0.28% among patients without cirrhosis and 0.65% among patients with cirrhosis). Among patients without cirrhosis, the observed incidence of HCC was significantly lower than predicted (SIR, 0.40; 95% confidence interval, 0.199‐0.795). The last HCC case in a patient with cirrhosis occurred around week 192 with an SIR of 0.51 (95% confidence interval, 0.231‐1.144) reported at week 384.CONCLUSIONSBased on the REACH‐B risk calculator, long‐term therapy with TDF was associated with a reduced incidence of HCC among patients without cirrhosis who met treatment criteria. Cancer 2015;121:3631–3638. © 2015 American Cancer Society.