Background: In the emergency setting, many diagnostic pathways incorporate change in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) concentrations (i.e., the delta) to classify patients as low-risk (rule-out) or high-risk (rule-in) for possible myocardial infarction (MI). However, the impact of analytical variation on the delta for correct classification is unknown, especially at concentrations below and around the 99th percentile. Our objective was to assess the impact of delta variation for correct risk classification across the European Society of Cardiology (ESC 0/1 h and 0/2 h), the High-STEACS, and the common change criteria (3C) pathways. Methods: A yearlong accuracy study for hs-cTnT was performed where laboratories across Canada tested three patient-based samples (level 1 target value = 6 ng/L, level 2 target value = 9 ng/L, level 3 target value = 12 ng/L) monthly across 41 different analyzers. The assigned low-delta between levels 1 and 2 was 3 ng/L (i.e., 9 − 6 = 3 ng/L) and the assigned high-delta between levels 1 and 3 was 6 ng/L (i.e., 12 − 6 = 6 ng/L). The low- and high-deltas for each analyzer were determined monthly from the measured values, with the difference calculated from the assigned deltas. The obtained deltas were then assessed via the different pathways on correct classification (i.e., percent correct with 95% confidence intervals, CI) and using non-parametric analyses. Results: The median (interquartile range) difference between the measured versus assigned low-delta (n = 436) and high-delta (n = 439) was −1 ng/L (−1 to 0). The correct classification differed among the pathways. The ESC 0/1 h pathway yielded the lowest percentage of correct classification at 35.3% (95% CI: 30.8 to 40.0) for the low-delta and 90.0% (95% CI: 86.8 to 92.6) for the high-delta. The 3C and ESC 0/2 h pathways yielded higher and equivalent estimates on correct classification: 95.2% (95% CI: 92.7 to 97.0) for the low-delta and 98.2% (95% CI: 96.4 to 99.2) for the high-delta. The High-STEACS pathway yielded 99.5% (95% CI: 98.4 to 99.9) of correct classifications for the high-delta but only 36.2% (95% CI: 31.7 to 40.9) for the low-delta. Conclusions: Analytical variation will impact risk classification for MI when using hs-cTn deltas alone per the pathways. The 3C and ESC 0/2 h pathways have <5% misclassification when using deltas for hs-cTnT in this dataset. Additional studies with different hs-cTnI assays at concentrations below and near the 99th percentile are warranted to confirm these findings.
High-sensitivity Troponin I Predicts Major Cardiovascular Events after Non-Cardiac Surgery: A Vascular Events in Non-Cardiac Surgery Patients Cohort Evaluation (VISION) Substudy
Abstract Background Myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS), based on measurement of troponin T, is associated with perioperative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We therefore determined the high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) thresholds associated with 30 day MACE after non-cardiac surgery. Methods We performed a nested biobank cohort study of 4553 patients from the Vascular Events in Non-Cardiac Surgery Patients Cohort Evaluation (VISION) Study. We measured hsTnI (ADVIA Centaur® hsTnI assay) on postoperative days 1 to 3 in patients ≥45 years undergoing non-cardiac surgery. An iterative Cox proportional hazard model determined peak postoperative hsTnI thresholds independently associated with MACE (i.e., death, myocardial infarction occurring on postoperative day 4 or after, non-fatal cardiac arrest, or congestive heart failure) within 30 days after surgery. Results MACE occurred in 89/4545 (2.0%) patients. Peak hsTnI values of <75 ng/L, 75 ng/L to <1000 ng/L, and ≥1000 ng/L were associated with 1.2% (95% CI, 0.9–1.6), 7.1% (95% CI, 4.8–10.5), and 25.9% (95% CI, 16.3–38.4) MACE, respectively. Compared to peak hsTnI <75 ng/L, values 75 ng/L to <1000 ng/L and ≥1000 ng/L were associated with adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) of 4.53 (95% CI, 2.75–7.48) and 16.17 (95% CI, 8.70–30.07), respectively. MACE was observed in 9% of patients with peak hsTnI ≥75 ng/L vs 1% in patients with peak hsTnI <75 ng/L (aHR 5.76; 95% CI, 3.64–9.11). A peak hsTnI ≥75 ng/L was associated with MACE in the presence (aHR 9.35; 95% CI, 5.28–16.55) or absence (aHR 3.99; 95% CI, 2.19–7.25) of ischemic features of myocardial injury. Conclusion A peak postoperative hsTnI ≥75 ng/L was associated with >5-fold increase in the risk of 30 days MACE compared to levels <75 ng/L. This threshold could be used for MINS diagnosis when the ADVIA Centaur hsTnI assay is used. Clinicaltrials.gov Registration Number: NCT00512109.