Phipps, Amanda I.

Background: Considering the pathophysiological importance of the intestine-passing microbiota, we hypothesized that the mutational and microbial profiles of colorectal cancer might gradually change along detailed anatomical locations and that these trends might differ by the age of diagnosis and the microsatellite instability (MSI) status. Methods: We assessed somatic mutations and selected bacterial species in colorectal carcinomas along the cecum, ascending colon, transverse colon, descending colon, sigmoid colon, and rectum, utilizing targeted sequencing data ( N = 5685) from the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium and tissue microbial data ( N = 1389) from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study and Nurses’ Health Study. Results: There were decreasing trends from the cecum to rectum in the prevalence of gene mutations in the IGF/PI3K, receptor tyrosine kinase (RTK)/RAS, TGFB, and WNT signaling pathways (all P trend < 0.0001), as well as high levels of Bacteroides fragilis ( P trend < 0.0001) and high levels of Fusobacterium nucleatum ( P trend = 0.0029) (but not enterotoxigenic Bacteroides fragilis or pks+ Escherichia coli ). Conversely, TP53 pathway mutations showed an increasing cecum-to-rectum trend ( P trend < 0.0001). Similar to later-onset cases diagnosed at ages 50 years and older, in early-onset cases diagnosed under the age of 50 years, we found generally decreasing cecum-to-rectum trends of IGF/PI3K, RTK/RAS, TGFB, and WNT pathway mutations and an increasing cecum-to-rectum trend in TP53 pathway mutations. By contrast, the cecum-to-rectum prevalence-changing trends in IGF/PI3K, RTK/RAS, TGFB, and TP53 pathway mutations were present in non–MSI-high tumors but not in MSI-high tumors (all P interaction < 0.0052). Conclusion: Non–MSI-high colorectal cancers exhibited decreasing cecum-to-rectum trends of IGF/PI3K, RTK/RAS, and TGFB pathway mutations (and an increasing trend of TP53 pathway mutations), in contrast to MSI-high tumors that demonstrated no such trends. Our study highlights the importance of detailed colorectal subsite information combined with tumor molecular and microbial characteristics in colorectal cancer research.

Abstract Recent research suggests higher circulating lymphocyte counts may protect against colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the role of specific lymphocyte subtypes and activation states remain unclear. CD4+ T cells—a highly dynamic lymphocyte subtype—undergo gene expression changes upon activation that are critical to their effector function. Previous studies using bulk tissue have limited our understanding of their role in CRC risk to static associations. We applied Mendelian randomization (MR) and genetic colocalisation to evaluate causal relationships of gene expression on CRC risk across multiple CD4+ T cell subtypes and activation states. Genetic proxies were obtained from single-cell transcriptomic data, allowing us to investigate the causal effect of expression of 1,805 genes across CD4+ T cell activation states on CRC risk (78,473 cases; 107,143 controls). Analyses were stratified by CRC anatomical subsites and sex, with sensitivity analyses assessing whether the observed effect estimates were likely to be CD4+ T cell-specific. We identified 6 genes—FADS2, FHL3, HLA-DRB1, HLA-DRB5, RPL28, and TMEM258—with strong evidence for a causal role in CRC development (FDR-P &lt; 0.05; colocalisation H4 &gt; 0.8). Causal estimates varied by CD4+ T cell subtype, activation state, CRC subsite and sex. However, many of genetic proxies used to instrument gene expression in CD4+ T cells also act as eQTLs in other tissues, highlighting the challenges of using genetic proxies to instrument tissue-specific expression changes. We demonstrate the importance of capturing the dynamic nature of CD4+ T cells in understanding CRC risk, and prioritize genes for further investigation in cancer prevention.

Abstract Background: Waist circumference (WC) and its allometric counterpart, “a body shape index” (ABSI), are risk factors for colorectal cancer; however, it is uncertain whether associations with these body measurements are limited to specific molecular subtypes of the disease. Methods: Data from 2,772 colorectal cancer cases and 3,521 controls were pooled from four cohort studies within the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium. Four molecular markers (BRAF mutation, KRAS mutation, CpG island methylator phenotype, and microsatellite instability) were analyzed individually and in combination (Jass types). Multivariable logistic and multinomial logistic models were used to assess the associations of WC and ABSI with overall colorectal cancer risk and, in case-only analyses, to evaluate heterogeneity by molecular subtype, respectively. Results: Higher WC (ORper 5 cm = 1.06, 95% confidence interval, 1.04–1.09) and ABSI (ORper 1-SD = 1.07, 95% confidence interval, 1.00–1.14) were associated with elevated colorectal cancer risk. There was no evidence of heterogeneity between the molecular subtypes. No difference was observed regarding the influence of WC and ABSI on the four major molecular markers in proximal colon, distal colon, and rectal cancers, as well as in early- and late-onset colorectal cancers. Associations did not differ in the Jass-type analysis. Conclusions: Higher WC and ABSI were associated with elevated colorectal cancer risk; however, they do not differentially influence all four major molecular mutations involved in colorectal carcinogenesis but underscore the importance of maintaining a healthy body weight in colorectal cancer prevention. Impact: The proposed results have potential utility in colorectal cancer prevention.

Abstract Menopausal users of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) are at increased breast cancer risk and decreased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk compared with individuals who have never used HRT, but these opposing associations may differ by familial risk of breast cancer and CRC. We harmonized data from 3 cohorts and generated separate breast cancer and CRC familial risk scores based on cancer family history. We defined moderate or strong family history as a risk score of 0.4 or higher, where 0.4 was equivalent to a 50-year-old woman with 1 parent diagnosed with either breast cancer or CRC at 55 years of age. Of 24 486 women assessed, 1243 and 405 were diagnosed with incident breast cancer and CRC, respectively. For breast cancer, menopausal HRT ever use versus never use hazard ratios were 1.27 (95% CI = 1.11 to 1.45) for a breast cancer familial risk score below 0.4 and 1.01 (95% CI = 0.82 to 1.25) for a breast cancer familial risk score of 0.4 or higher (Pdifference = .08). For CRC, menopausal HRT hazard ratios were 0.63 (95% CI = 0.50 to 0.78) for a CRC familial risk score below 0.4 and 1.21 (95% CI = 0.73 to 2.00) for a CRC familial risk score of 0.4 or higher (Pdifference = .03). Associations with menopausal HRT use that apply to the general population may not hold for women at moderate or strong familial risk of these cancers.

SummaryBackgroundVarying obesogenic inherited predisposition in early to later life may differentially impact colorectal cancer (CRC) development. Previous Mendelian randomization (MR) studies, conducted in populations of European genetic similarity, have not observed any significant associations between early life body weight with CRC risk. However, it remains unclear whether body mass index (BMI) at different early lifetime points is causally related with CRC risk in both Europeans and East Asian populations.ObjectivesWe conducted a two‐sample MR study to investigate potential causal relationships between genetically predicted BMI during early life (birth to 8 years old) and at specific periods (birth, transient, early rise and late rise) and CRC risk.MethodsSummary data were obtained from genome‐wide association study (GWAS) of BMI in 28 681 children from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) study and applied to CRC GWAS data from European and East Asian descent populations (102 893 cases and 485 083 non‐cases).ResultsThere were no significant associations observed between early life BMI and CRC risk in European or East Asian populations. The effect estimates were similar in European studies (odds ratio [OR] per a 1‐standard deviation [SD] increase: 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95, 1.07) and in East Asians (OR per a 1‐SD increase: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.91, 1.14). Similar nonsignificant associations were found between time of BMI measurement during childhood and cancer‐site‐specific analyses.ConclusionsWe found little evidence of any associations between early life adiposity on later life CRC risk.

Abstract Deep learning may detect biologically important signals embedded in tumor morphologic features that confer distinct prognoses. Tumor morphologic features were quantified to enhance patient risk stratification within DNA mismatch repair (MMR) groups using deep learning. Using a quantitative segmentation algorithm (QuantCRC) that identifies 15 distinct morphologic features, we analyzed 402 resected stage III colon carcinomas [191 deficient (d)-MMR; 189 proficient (p)-MMR] from participants in a phase III trial of FOLFOX-based adjuvant chemotherapy. Results were validated in an independent cohort (176 d-MMR; 1,094 p-MMR). Association of morphologic features with clinicopathologic variables, MMR, KRAS, BRAFV600E, and time-to-recurrence (TTR) was determined. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were developed to predict TTR. Tumor morphologic features differed significantly by MMR status. Cancers with p-MMR had more immature desmoplastic stroma. Tumors with d-MMR had increased inflammatory stroma, epithelial tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), high-grade histology, mucin, and signet ring cells. Stromal subtype did not differ by BRAFV600E or KRAS status. In p-MMR tumors, multivariable analysis identified tumor-stroma ratio (TSR) as the strongest feature associated with TTR [HRadj 2.02; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.14–3.57; P = 0.018; 3-year recurrence: 40.2% vs. 20.4%; Q1 vs. Q2–4]. Among d-MMR tumors, extent of inflammatory stroma (continuous HRadj 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96–0.99; P = 0.028; 3-year recurrence: 13.3% vs. 33.4%, Q4 vs. Q1) and N stage were the most robust prognostically. Association of TSR with TTR was independently validated. In conclusion, QuantCRC can quantify morphologic differences within MMR groups in routine tumor sections to determine their relative contributions to patient prognosis, and may elucidate relevant pathophysiologic mechanisms driving prognosis. Significance: A deep learning algorithm can quantify tumor morphologic features that may reflect underlying mechanisms driving prognosis within MMR groups. TSR was the most robust morphologic feature associated with TTR in p-MMR colon cancers. Extent of inflammatory stroma and N stage were the strongest prognostic features in d-MMR tumors. TIL density was not independently prognostic in either MMR group.

AbstractSurvivors of colorectal cancer (CRC) are at risk of developing another primary colorectal cancer ‐ metachronous CRC. Understanding which pathological features of the first tumour are associated with risk of metachronous CRC might help tailor existing surveillance guidelines. Population‐based CRC cases were recruited from the United States, Canada and Australia between 1997 and 2012 and followed prospectively until 2022 by the Colon Cancer Family Registry. Metachronous CRC was defined as a new primary CRC diagnosed at least 1 year after the initial CRC. Those with the genetic cancer predisposition Lynch syndrome or MUTYH mutation carriers were excluded. Cox regression models were fitted to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations. Of 6085 CRC cases, 138 (2.3%) were diagnosed with a metachronous CRC over a median follow‐up time of 12 years (incidence: 2.0 per 1000 person‐years). CRC cases with a synchronous CRC were 3.4‐fold more likely to develop a metachronous CRC (adjusted HR: 3.36, 95% CI: 1.89–5.98) than those without a synchronous tumour. CRC cases with MMR‐deficient tumours had a 72% increased risk of metachronous CRC (adjusted HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.11–2.64) compared to those with MMR‐proficient tumours. Compared to cases who had an adenocarcinoma histologic type, those with an undifferentiated histologic type were 77% less likely to develop a metachronous CRC (adjusted HR: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.06–0.94). Existing surveillance guidelines for CRC survivors could be updated to include increased surveillance for those whose first CRC was diagnosed with a synchronous CRC or was MMR‐deficient.

Abstract We used deep learning (DL) to predict multiple genetic biomarkers of colorectal cancer (CRC) from routine histopathology images, aiming to identify morphological changes associated with the mutational profile of tumors. A new Transformer-based prediction model was developed which can simultaneously predict multiple biomarkers from a single histopathology image. We compared the performance of the multi-target approach to conventional single-target models. We analyzed five patient cohorts from the Genetics and Epidemiology of CRC Consortium (GECCO) with colorectal cancer (N=1,385 patients). Our model was trained on an internal data set (N=739) to predict the presence of &gt;200 genetic alterations, focusing on genes with non-silent mutations and mutational signatures, which were assessed using targeted sequencing. We used a 7-fold cross validation and validated the model on an independent, external data set (N=646). Morphological features of microsatellite instability (MSI) are detectable by DL models in histopathology images, making MSI a potential confounding factor. Thus, we also assessed whether our model can predict genetic alterations regardless of MSI status, or whether the model identifies the MSI phenotype. For the majority of biomarkers, the multi-target transformer reached a higher prediction performance as measured by the mean Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) Curve and lower standard deviation than single-target DL models. For the external validation set, the mean AUROC of the multi-target versus the single-target model was 0.78 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.72 (+/- 0.06) for BRAF mutations, 0.88 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.86 (+/- 0.03) for hypermutation status, 0.94 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.91 (+/- 0.02) for MSI, 0.86 (+/- 0.01) versus 0.80 (+/- 0.05) for RNF43 mutations and 0.72 (+/- 0.02) versus 0.69 (+/- 0.05) for TP53 mutations, respectively. However, our analysis of the individual prediction scores suggests that the model does not identify the phenotype of the alterations themselves. Instead, the model seems to determine the status of specific genetic alterations based on their correlation with MSI. Consequently, biomarkers which are associated with microsatellite stability have prediction scores negatively correlated with predicted MSI scores. Conversely, biomarkers which are associated with MSI have prediction scores positively correlated with predicted MSI scores. Our results demonstrate potential benefits of multi-target DL models in improving the predictive power and efficacy of histology-based biomarker extraction compared to single-target DL models. However, our results crucially highlight the importance of considering potential confounders, such as MSI status in CRC, and emphasize the need for extensive analysis beyond AUROC in studies focusing on DL-based biomarker detection. Citation Format: Marco Gustav, Marko van Treeck, Zunamys I. Carrero, Chiara M. Loeffler, Nic G. Reitsam, Bruno Märkl, Asier Rabasco Meneghetti, Lisa A. Boardman, Amy J. French, Ellen L. Goode, Andrea Gsur, Stefanie Brezina, Marc J. Gunter, Neil Murphy, Paul Limburg, Stephen Thibodeau, Sebastian Foersch, Robert Steinfelder, Tabitha Harrison, Ulrike Peters, Amanda Phipps, Jakob N. Kather. Assessing microsatellite instability dominance in colorectal cancer phenotype: A multi-study initiative using multi-target transformers for genomic biomarker prediction [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 4924.

Abstract Background: The genotoxin colibactin causes a tumor single-base substitution (SBS) mutational signature, SBS88. It is unknown whether epidemiologic factors’ association with colorectal cancer risk and survival differs by SBS88. Methods: Within the Genetic Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium and Colon Cancer Family Registry, we measured SBS88 in 4,308 microsatellite stable/microsatellite instability low tumors. Associations of epidemiologic factors with colorectal cancer risk by SBS88 were assessed using multinomial regression (N = 4,308 cases, 14,192 controls; cohort-only cases N = 1,911), and with colorectal cancer–specific survival using Cox proportional hazards regression (N = 3,465 cases). Results: 392 (9%) tumors were SBS88 positive. Among all cases, the highest quartile of fruit intake was associated with lower risk of SBS88-positive colorectal cancer than SBS88-negative colorectal cancer [odds ratio (OR) = 0.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37-0.76; OR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.66–0.85, respectively, Pheterogeneity = 0.047]. Among cohort studies, associations of body mass index (BMI), alcohol, and fruit intake with colorectal cancer risk differed by SBS88. BMI ≥30 kg/m2 was associated with worse colorectal cancer–specific survival among those SBS88-positive [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.40, 95% CI 1.47–7.84], but not among those SBS88-negative (HR = 0.97, 95% CI 0.78–1.21, Pheterogeneity = 0.066). Conclusions: Most epidemiologic factors did not differ by SBS88 for colorectal cancer risk or survival. Higher BMI may be associated with worse colorectal cancer–specific survival among those SBS88-positive; however, validation is needed in samples with whole-genome or whole-exome sequencing available. Impact: This study highlights the importance of identification of tumor phenotypes related to colorectal cancer and understanding potential heterogeneity for risk and survival.

Abstract Background: The genotoxin colibactin, produced by Escherichia coli containing the pks island, is associated with a tumor single base substitution (SBS) mutational signature SBS88. It is unknown whether lifestyle and environmental factors related to gut dysbiosis impact colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and survival differently by colibactin signature status. Methods: Utilizing the resources of the Genetic Epidemiology of Colorectal cancer Consortium and Colon Cancer Family Registry (GECCO-CCFR), a consortium including both case-control and cohort study designs, SBS88 tumor mutational signature was measured in 4308 CRC cases who were microsatellite stable (MSS) and had at least five somatic single nucleotide variants for signature decomposition. Associations of 13 lifestyle and environmental factors with CRC risk by colibactin signature status were assessed using logistic and multinomial regression; associations with CRC survival were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: 392 (9%) of the 4308 MSS tumors were positive for SBS88. Having a BMI ≥30 kg/m2 (versus a BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2) was strongly associated with worse CRC-specific survival among those with the SBS88 signature, but not among those with SBS88 negative CRC [further adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 3.40 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47, 7.84, and HR = 0.97 95% CI 0.78, 1.21, respectively, P for heterogeneity = 0.066]. Associations of fruit intake with CRC risk may be differential by SBS88 status. In minimally adjusted models, those in the highest quartile of fruit intake (versus the first quartile) had 0.53 (95% CI 0.37, 0.76) times the risk of SBS88 positive CRC, as opposed to 0.75 (95% CI 0.66, 0.85) times the risk of SBS88 negative CRC (P for heterogeneity = 0.047). Among cohort studies specifically, associations between CRC risk and BMI, alcohol, and fruit intake also differed by SBS88 status (P for heterogeneity ranging 0.02-0.05). Conclusions: Higher BMI may be associated with worse CRC-specific survival among those with SBS88 positive tumors. BMI, alcohol, and dietary factors may be differentially associated with CRC risk based on SBS88 status. Citation Format: Claire Elizabeth Thomas, Peter Georgeson, Conghui Qu, Robert S. Steinfelder, Daniel D. Buchanan, Mark A. Jenkins, Andrea Gsur, Jane C. Figueiredo, Polly A. Newcomb, Peter T. Campbell, Christina Newton, Caroline Y. Um, Lisa Boardman, Victor Moreno, Jenny Chang-Claude, Michael Hoffmeister, Marc J. Gunter, Andrew T. Chan, Shuji Ogino, Ellen L. Goode, Brigid Lynch, Yohannes A. Melaku, Steven Gallinger, Sonja I. Berndt, Wen-Yi Huang, Ulrike Peters, Amanda I. Phipps. Lifestyle and environmental factors in relation to colorectal cancer risk and survival by colibactin tumor mutational signature status [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 6453.