Abstract Cancer outcomes vary widely between individual patients, each accumulating an irregular record of treatments, diagnoses, measurements, and complications. Current prognostic models reduce this complexity into a single snapshot, focus on narrow clinical settings, and rarely generalize across hospitals. Here we introduce Chronicle , an explainable transformer that learns from entire patient trajectories to predict diverse clinical outcomes throughout the disease course while capturing both short- and long-term temporal dependencies. Trained on 53.7 million longitudinal data points from 51,711 patients spanning 67 cancer types, Chronicle operates natively on irregular data without imputation and jointly predicts eight endpoints within a flexible framework adaptable to additional outcomes. Chronicle outperformed cross-sectional models for overall survival prediction (C-index 0.84 vs 0.76-0.79), stratified patients more accurately than established prognostic systems, including TNM stage, and predicted seven adverse event and transfusion endpoints (AUC 0.80-0.92). Applied without retraining to 69,341 patients in Germany, Switzerland, and the United States, Chronicle generalized across healthcare systems and improved further with local fine-tuning. Integrated explainability traced each risk update to patient-specific clinical factors, revealing distinct temporal persistence of prognostic information, with relevance half-lives ranging from weeks for therapies to nearly one year for baseline characteristics. These findings demonstrate that learning from hospital-wide patient trajectories enables interpretable and continuously updated predictions, providing a scalable framework to support individualized treatment decisions.
Role of pelareorep in activating anti-tumor immunity in PDAC.
2562 Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is highly lethal cancer with limited immunotherapeutic options. Pelareorep (pela) is an intravenously delivered unmodified reovirus containing a double stranded RNA genome that has been studied as an immunotherapeutic in multiple cancers including breast, anal, colorectal and pancreatic. We previously reported high tumor response rates in first-line metastatic PDAC patients treated with pela combined with gemcitabine, nab-paclitaxel and atezolizumab. We report here the immunologic effects of pela in a cohort of first-line metastatic PDAC subjects treated with pela plus chemotherapy and atezolizumab and the correlation of these effects with tumor response. Methods: To examine its effects on pancreatic cancer, a phase 1/2 Simon 2-stage platform study (GOBLET) was performed that included patients with first-line locally advanced/metastatic unresectable PDAC. Anti-reovirus T cell activity was assessed by interferon gamma secretion (ELISPOT). Changes in the expression of plasma proteins were analyzed by Olink Response panels. T cell receptor sequencing (TCR-seq; ImmunoSEQ Assay, Adaptive Biotechnologies) was performed on tissue collected prior to the start of therapy and on blood from baseline through 3 treatment cycles to identify TILs expansion. Tumor responses were scored according to the modified RECIST v1.1 criteria. Results: Increases in anti-reovirus T cell activation as determined by ELISPOT after cycle 3 of therapy were observed in 6/8 subjects. Three subjects with maximum responses (> 300 spots) showed >30% decreases in tumor volume. Significant changes in plasma proteins as determined by Olink included PD-L1, CXCL9, CXCL10, CXCL11 and IFN-γ. Pre-treatment tumor tissue was used to identify the TIL clonal populations prior to therapy. Increased TIL clones in the blood pre-treatment was associated with tumor responses. Pela treatment increased the expansion of pre-existing and new TIL clones in the blood after one cycle of treatment. Sustained increases in pre-existing TIL clonal populations in the blood through cycle 3 of therapy were observed in subjects who exhibited reductions in tumor volume. Conclusions: These findings, while preliminary, demonstrate that pela induces not only anti-reovirus T cells but also activates innate and adaptive anti-tumor immunity in PDAC subjects treated with chemotherapy and atezolizumab. Tumor responses are associated with both the presence of TIL clones in the blood prior to treatment and the expansion of pre-existing TILs in the blood on treatment. These findings provide additional insights into the immunologic mechanisms by which pela-based therapy may provide clinical benefit in patients with metastatic PDAC.
Identification of a ΔNp63-Dependent Basal-Like A Subtype-Specific Transcribed Enhancer Program (B-STEP) in Aggressive Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
Abstract A major hurdle to the application of precision oncology in pancreatic cancer is the lack of molecular stratification approaches and targeted therapy for defined molecular subtypes. In this work, we sought to gain further insight and identify molecular and epigenetic signatures of the Basal-like A pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) subgroup that can be applied to clinical samples for patient stratification and/or therapy monitoring. We generated and integrated global gene expression and epigenome mapping data from patient-derived xenograft models to identify subtype-specific enhancer regions that were validated in patient-derived samples. In addition, complementary nascent transcription and chromatin topology (HiChIP) analyses revealed a Basal-like A subtype-specific transcribed enhancer program in PDAC characterized by enhancer RNA (eRNA) production that is associated with more frequent chromatin interactions and subtype-specific gene activation. Importantly, we successfully confirmed the validity of eRNA detection as a possible histologic approach for PDAC patient stratification by performing RNA-ISH analyses for subtype-specific eRNAs on pathologic tissue samples. Thus, this study provides proof-of-concept that subtype-specific epigenetic changes relevant for PDAC progression can be detected at a single-cell level in complex, heterogeneous, primary tumor material. Implications: Subtype-specific enhancer activity analysis via detection of eRNAs on a single-cell level in patient material can be used as a potential tool for treatment stratification.
Interactive enhancer hubs (iHUBs) mediate transcriptional reprogramming and adaptive resistance in pancreatic cancer
Objective Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) displays a remarkable propensity towards therapy resistance. However, molecular epigenetic and transcriptional mechanisms enabling this are poorly understood. In this study, we aimed to identify novel mechanistic approaches to overcome or prevent resistance in PDAC. Design We used in vitro and in vivo models of resistant PDAC and integrated epigenomic, transcriptomic, nascent RNA and chromatin topology data. We identified a JunD-driven subgroup of enhancers, called interactive hubs (iHUBs), which mediate transcriptional reprogramming and chemoresistance in PDAC. Results iHUBs display characteristics typical for active enhancers (H3K27ac enrichment) in both therapy sensitive and resistant states but exhibit increased interactions and production of enhancer RNA (eRNA) in the resistant state. Notably, deletion of individual iHUBs was sufficient to decrease transcription of target genes and sensitise resistant cells to chemotherapy. Overlapping motif analysis and transcriptional profiling identified the activator protein 1 (AP1) transcription factor JunD as a master transcription factor of these enhancers. JunD depletion decreased iHUB interaction frequency and transcription of target genes. Moreover, targeting either eRNA production or signaling pathways upstream of iHUB activation using clinically tested small molecule inhibitors decreased eRNA production and interaction frequency, and restored chemotherapy responsiveness in vitro and in vivo. Representative iHUB target genes were found to be more expressed in patients with poor response to chemotherapy compared with responsive patients. Conclusion Our findings identify an important role for a subgroup of highly connected enhancers (iHUBs) in regulating chemotherapy response and demonstrate targetability in sensitisation to chemotherapy.
Characterization of a dual BET/HDAC inhibitor for treatment of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma
AbstractPancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is resistant to virtually all chemo‐ and targeted therapeutic approaches. Epigenetic regulators represent a novel class of drug targets. Among them, BET and HDAC proteins are central regulators of chromatin structure and transcription, and preclinical evidence suggests effectiveness of combined BET and HDAC inhibition in PDAC. Here, we describe that TW9, a newly generated adduct of the BET inhibitor (+)‐JQ1 and class I HDAC inhibitor CI994, is a potent dual inhibitor simultaneously targeting BET and HDAC proteins. TW9 has a similar affinity to BRD4 bromodomains as (+)‐JQ1 and shares a conserved binding mode, but is significantly more active in inhibiting HDAC1 compared to the parental HDAC inhibitor CI994. TW9 was more potent in inhibiting tumor cell proliferation compared to (+)‐JQ1, CI994 alone or combined treatment of both inhibitors. Sequential administration of gemcitabine and TW9 showed additional synergistic antitumor effects. Microarray analysis revealed that dysregulation of a FOSL1‐directed transcriptional program contributed to the antitumor effects of TW9. Our results demonstrate the potential of a dual chromatin‐targeting strategy in the treatment of PDAC and provide a rationale for further development of multitarget inhibitors.
Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Patients Treated with Liposomal Irinotecan Plus Fluorouracil and Leucovorin in Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer
NAPOLI-1 (NCT01494506) was a phase III study of liposomal irinotecan (nal-IRI) plus 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin (5-FU/LV) in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC) previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy. This post hoc analysis of NAPOLI-1 aimed to develop a predictive nomogram for overall survival (OS) at 6 and 12 months. Analyses were derived from all patients in NAPOLI-1 randomized to receive nal-IRI+5-FU/LV, nal-IRI monotherapy, or 5-FU/LV combination therapy. OS was associated with baseline factors using univariate and multivariable Cox analyses. A predictive nomogram was derived and validated using a concordance index and calibration plots. The univariate analyses identified 21 independent factors that contributed to OS, with eight factors significantly associated with OS. The Karnofsky Performance Score contributed the largest number of points (100), followed by presence of liver metastasis (98) and randomization to nal-IRI+5-FU/LV (96). The other baseline factors showing effects were albumin (g/dL), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (U/mL), disease stage at diagnosis, and body mass index (kg/m2). The nomogram was used to predict the 6- and 12-month survival probability. The mean absolute errors between the observed and predicted probabilities for OS at 3, 6, and 9 months were 0.07, 0.08, and 0.07, respectively. This nomogram, based on NAPOLI-1, provides additional insight to aid decision-making for patients with mPDAC after previous gemcitabine-based therapy.
Epigenetics of gastrointestinal diseases: notes from a workshop