Höglinger, Günter U.

Abstract Cancer outcomes vary widely between individual patients, each accumulating an irregular record of treatments, diagnoses, measurements, and complications. Current prognostic models reduce this complexity into a single snapshot, focus on narrow clinical settings, and rarely generalize across hospitals. Here we introduce Chronicle , an explainable transformer that learns from entire patient trajectories to predict diverse clinical outcomes throughout the disease course while capturing both short- and long-term temporal dependencies. Trained on 53.7 million longitudinal data points from 51,711 patients spanning 67 cancer types, Chronicle operates natively on irregular data without imputation and jointly predicts eight endpoints within a flexible framework adaptable to additional outcomes. Chronicle outperformed cross-sectional models for overall survival prediction (C-index 0.84 vs 0.76-0.79), stratified patients more accurately than established prognostic systems, including TNM stage, and predicted seven adverse event and transfusion endpoints (AUC 0.80-0.92). Applied without retraining to 69,341 patients in Germany, Switzerland, and the United States, Chronicle generalized across healthcare systems and improved further with local fine-tuning. Integrated explainability traced each risk update to patient-specific clinical factors, revealing distinct temporal persistence of prognostic information, with relevance half-lives ranging from weeks for therapies to nearly one year for baseline characteristics. These findings demonstrate that learning from hospital-wide patient trajectories enables interpretable and continuously updated predictions, providing a scalable framework to support individualized treatment decisions.

Abstract Background The link between regional tau load and clinical manifestation of Alzheimer's disease (AD) highlights the importance of characterizing spatial tau distribution. In typical (memory‐predominant) AD, the spatial progression of tau pathology mirrors the functional connections from temporal lobe epicenters. However, atypical (non‐amnestic‐predominant) AD variants with heterogeneous tau patterns provide a key opportunity to assess the universality of connectivity as a scaffold for tau progression. Method We included tau‐PET data from 320 subjects with atypical AD, characterized by highly heterogeneous tau patterns ( n = 139 posterior cortical atrophy/PCA‐AD; n = 103 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia/lvPPA‐AD; n = 35 behavioural variant AD/bvAD; n = 43 corticobasal syndrome/CBS‐AD) from 14 sites, with a subset of patients ( n = 78) having longitudinal tau‐PET data. As an independent sample, we further included regional post‐mortem tau stainings from 93 atypical AD patients from two sites ( n = 19 PCA‐AD, n = 32 lvPPA‐AD, n = 23 bvAD, n = 19 CBS‐AD). Gaussian mixture modeling was used to harmonize different tau‐PET tracers by transforming tau‐PET standardized uptake value ratios to tau positivity probabilities (a uniform scale ranging from 0% to 100%). Using linear regression, we assessed whether 1) brain regions with stronger functional connectivity showed greater covariance in cross‐sectional and longitudinal tau‐PET and post‐mortem tau pathology, and 2) functional connectivity of tau‐PET epicenters and tau‐PET accumulation epicenters was associated with cross‐sectional and longitudinal tau patterns. Result Tau‐PET epicenters—defined as the 5% brain regions with the highest tau load—aligned with clinical variants, e.g. a posterior pattern in PCA‐AD (“visual AD”) and left‐hemispheric temporal predominance in lvPPA‐AD (“language AD”) (Figure 1). More strongly functionally connected regions showed correlated concurrent tau‐PET levels, which was confirmed with post‐mortem data (Figure 2). Moreover, the connectivity profile of tau‐PET epicenters and accumulation epicenters corresponded to tau‐PET progression patterns (Figure 3). Conclusion Our data are consistent with the hypothesis that tau propagation occurs along functional connections originating from local epicenters, across all AD clinical variants. Since tau proteinopathy is a key driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline, this finding may advance personalized medicine and participant‐specific endpoints in clinical trials.

Abstract Background Progressive Supranuclear Palsy (PSP) is a rare and severe neurodegenerative tauopathy characterized by diverse clinical phenotypes, including Richardson's syndrome (PSP‐RS), PSP‐parkinsonism (PSP‐P), PSP‐progressive gait freezing (PSP‐PGF), and PSP‐corticobasal syndrome (PSP‐CBS). Significant geographic variation exists in prevalence, clinical presentations, and prognosis. Objectives This global review aims to systematically evaluate the epidemiological variation, clinical phenotypes, diagnostic practices, and management strategies for PSP, focusing on regional disparities and identifying influencing genetic and environmental factors. Methodology A comprehensive literature search following PRISMA guidelines was conducted, analyzing studies reporting PSP epidemiology, phenotypes, diagnostic criteria, risk factors, treatments, and prognoses. Data were categorized into epidemiology, risk factors, clinical presentations, diagnosis, treatment accessibility, and outcomes, considering geographic variation. Results Global PSP prevalence ranges between 5–6.4 per 100,000, influenced by diagnostic criteria and healthcare infrastructure. Clinical manifestations commonly include supranuclear gaze palsy, frequent falls, cognitive impairment, and motor dysfunction. Prognosis significantly varies with subtype; PSP‐RS shows rapid progression and shorter survival (5–7 years), whereas PSP‐P has a milder clinical course (8–12 years). Regional variations highlight differences in genetic predispositions, notably the MAPT H1 haplotype, environmental risk factors such as dietary neurotoxins and industrial pollutants, and accessibility to comprehensive healthcare services. Diagnostic accuracy has improved with the adoption of MDS‐PSP criteria, facilitating recognition of diverse phenotypes. Conclusions Regional disparities in PSP prevalence, phenotypic presentation, and healthcare accessibility underscore the importance of standardized diagnostic criteria, targeted genetic and environmental studies, and equitable healthcare strategies. Enhanced global collaboration is essential for improving PSP diagnosis, management, and patient outcomes worldwide.

Abstract Hereditary adult-onset ataxias are a heterogeneous group of phenotypically overlapping conditions, often caused by pathogenic expansions of short tandem repeats. Currently, 18 repeat disorders with a core phenotype of adult-onset ataxia are known. Diagnosis typically relies on sequential PCR-based methods, which are labour-intensive and lack precision. Long-read sequencing (LRS) has the potential to overcome these limitations and is currently implemented and validated in clinical genetics. Using clinical nanopore Cas9-targeted sequencing (Clin-CATS) for parallel in-depth repeat analysis, we evaluated a diagnostic cohort of 513 adult-onset ataxia patients, determining frequencies of all known repeat-associated ataxias except Spinocerebellar ataxia 4 (SCA4), as well as the carrier frequencies for autosomal-recessive disorders, RFC1 spectrum disorder and Friedreich’s ataxia (FRDA). Additionally, phenotypes of patients with established genetic diagnoses were characterized, especially those of patients living with RFC1 spectrum disorder and SCA27B. Repeat-associated ataxias were confirmed in 33.3% of cases, including rare ataxias, such as SCA10, SCA36 and SCA37, alongside as the most prevalent conditions SCA27B and RFC1 spectrum disorder. Potentially pathogenic expansions in FGF14 were identified in an additional 4.7% of patients. Testing of another 347 patients for ZFHX3 expansions linked to SCA4 did not identify any cases. Dual diagnoses were frequent, occurring in 6.4% of patients with repeat-associated ataxia. We confirmed a high RFC1 spectrum disorder carrier frequency (7.2%) and reclassified certain FXN expansions as likely non-pathogenic, resulting in a lower than estimated carrier frequency for FRDA of 0.8%. We also identified novel repeat configurations in several loci and illustrated the high heterogeneity of repeat expansions in RFC1, highlighting it as a potential source of false results when using PCR-based methods. This study underscores the diagnostic advantages of LRS for comprehensive repeat analysis and recommends its adoption as a standard in clinical genetics, replacing Southern blot and PCR-based approaches. Furthermore, based on our findings in a large patient cohort a re-evaluation of existing phenotype-genotype correlations is recommended as well as evaluating additional parameters alongside the repeat length to improve diagnostic precision of repeat analysis.

Abstract The link between regional tau load and clinical manifestation of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) highlights the importance of characterizing spatial tau distribution across disease variants. In typical (memory-predominant) AD, the spatial progression of tau pathology mirrors the functional connections from temporal lobe epicentres. However, given the limited spatial heterogeneity of tau in typical AD, atypical (non-amnestic-predominant) AD variants with distinct tau patterns provide a key opportunity to investigate the universality of connectivity as a scaffold for tau progression. In this large-scale, multicentre study across 14 international sites, we included cross-sectional tau-PET data from 320 individuals with atypical AD (n = 139 posterior cortical atrophy/PCA-AD; n = 103 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia/lvPPA-AD; n = 35 behavioural variant AD/bvAD; n = 43 corticobasal syndrome/CBS-AD), with a subset of individuals (n = 78) having longitudinal tau-PET data. Additionally, as an independent sample, we included regional post-mortem tau stainings from 93 atypical AD patients from two sites (n = 19 PCA-AD, n = 32 lvPPA-AD, n = 23 bvAD, n = 19 CBS-AD). Gaussian mixture modelling was used to harmonize different tau-PET tracers by transforming tau-PET standardized uptake value ratios to tau positivity probabilities (a uniform scale ranging from 0% to 100%). Using linear regression, we assessed whether brain regions with stronger resting-state functional MRI-based functional connectivity, derived from healthy elderly controls in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), showed greater covariance in cross-sectional and longitudinal tau-PET and post-mortem tau pathology. Furthermore, we examined whether functional connectivity of tau-PET epicentres (i.e. the top 5% of regions with the highest baseline tau load) and tau-PET accumulation epicentres (i.e. the top 5% of regions with the highest tau accumulation rates) was associated with cross-sectional and longitudinal tau patterns. Our findings show that tau-PET epicentres aligned with clinical variants, e.g. a visual network predominant pattern in PCA-AD (‘visual AD’) and left-hemispheric temporal predominance, particularly within the language network, in lvPPA-AD (‘language AD’). Moreover, more strongly functionally connected regions showed correlated concurrent tau-PET levels (confirmed with post-mortem data) and tau-PET accumulation rates. The functional connectivity profile of tau-PET epicentres and accumulation epicentres corresponded to tau-PET progression patterns, with higher tau-PET levels and accumulation rates in functionally close regions, and lower tau-PET levels and accumulation rates in functionally distant regions. Our data are consistent with the hypothesis that tau propagation occurs along functional connections originating from local epicentres, across all AD clinical variants. Since tau proteinopathy is a major driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline, this finding may advance personalized medicine and participant-specific end points in clinical trials.

AbstractBackgroundThe 17q21.31 region with various structural forms characterized by the H1/H2 haplotypes and three large copy number variations (CNVs) represents the strongest risk locus in progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP).ObjectiveTo investigate the association between CNVs and structural forms on 17q.21.31 with the risk of PSP.MethodsUtilizing whole genome sequencing data from 1684 PSP cases and 2392 controls, the three large CNVs (α, β, and γ) and structural forms within 17q21.31 were identified and analyzed for their association with PSP.ResultsWe found that the copy number of γ was associated with increased PSP risk (odds ratio [OR] = 1.10, P = 0.0018). From H1β1γ1 (OR = 1.21) and H1β2γ1 (OR = 1.24) to H1β1γ4 (OR = 1.57), structural forms of H1 with additional copies of γ displayed a higher risk for PSP. The frequency of the risk sub‐haplotype H1c rises from 1% in individuals with two γ copies to 88% in those with eight copies. Additionally, γ duplication up‐regulates expression of ARL17B, LRRC37A/LRRC37A2, and NSFP1, while down‐regulating KANSL1. Single‐nucleus RNA‐seq of the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex analysis reveals γ duplication primarily up‐regulates LRRC37A/LRRC37A2 in neuronal cells.ConclusionsThe copy number of γ is associated with the risk of PSP after adjusting for H1/H2, indicating that the complex structure at 17q21.31 is an important consideration when evaluating the genetic risk of PSP. © 2025 The Author(s). Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

AbstractBackgroundThere is a strong link between tau and progression of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), necessitating an understanding of tau spreading mechanisms. Prior research, predominantly in typical AD, suggested that tau propagates from epicenters (regions with earliest tau) to functionally connected regions. However, given the constrained spatial heterogeneity of tau in typical AD, validating this connectivity‐based tau spreading model in AD variants with distinct tau deposition patterns is crucial.MethodWe included 269 amyloid‐β‐positive (PET/CSF) individuals with clinically diagnosed atypical AD (113 posterior cortical atrophy, PCA‐AD; 83 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia, lvPPA‐AD; 33 behavioural variant AD, bvAD; 40 corticobasal syndrome, CBS‐AD) and 68 with typical AD from 12 international cohorts, who underwent tau‐PET (54% [18F]AV1451/[18F]flortaucipir/Tauvid, 27% [18F]MK6240, 19% [18F]PI2620). Using Gaussian mixture modeling including amyloid‐β‐negative controls, cross‐sectional tau‐PET standardized uptake value ratios within Schaefer‐200 atlas regions were transformed to tau positivity probabilities. Tau epicenters were defined as the 5% regions with highest tau positivity probabilities. For each variant, the association between functional connectivity‐based distance (using the 30% strongest positive region‐to‐region connections of a group‐average connectivity matrix from ADNI elderly controls) and tau‐PET covariance (group‐average correlation per region pair) was assessed through linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, site, and Euclidean distance. Regions were categorized based on functional proximity to the epicenter (quartiles 1‐4) and tau positivity probabilities were assessed accordingly.ResultTau positivity probabilities matched clinical variants, with a posterior pattern in PCA‐AD, left‐hemispheric dominant pattern in lvPPA‐AD, widespread pattern in bvAD, sensorimotor cortex involvement in CBS‐AD, and temporo‐parietal predominance in typical AD (Figure 1). In line with this, tau epicenters were highly heterogeneous across variants (Figure 1). In all variants, greater tau‐PET covariance was associated with shorter functional connectivity‐based distance (Figure 2). We observed that regions in closer functional proximity to the epicenter exhibited higher tau positivity probabilities than regions functionally further away (p<0.05, Figure 3).ConclusionThis multi‐center study shows that the brain’s functional architecture serves as a universal predictor of tau spreading in AD. Since tau is a key driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline in AD, this finding holds potential for personalized medicine and defining participant‐specific endpoints in clinical trials.

AbstractBackgroundThere is a strong link between tau and progression of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), necessitating an understanding of tau spreading mechanisms. Prior research, predominantly in typical AD, suggested that tau propagates from epicenters (regions with earliest tau) to functionally connected regions. However, given the constrained spatial heterogeneity of tau in typical AD, validating this connectivity‐based tau spreading model in AD variants with distinct tau deposition patterns is crucial.MethodWe included 269 amyloid‐ß‐positive (PET/CSF) individuals with clinically diagnosed atypical AD (113 posterior cortical atrophy, PCA‐AD; 83 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia, lvPPA‐AD; 33 behavioural variant AD, bvAD; 40 corticobasal syndrome, CBS‐AD) and 68 with typical AD from 12 international cohorts, who underwent tau‐PET (54% [18F]AV1451/[18F]flortaucipir/Tauvid, 27% [18F]MK6240, 19% [18F]PI2620). Using Gaussian mixture modeling including amyloid‐ß‐negative controls, cross‐sectional tau‐PET standardized uptake value ratios within Schaefer‐200 atlas regions were transformed to tau positivity probabilities. Tau epicenters were defined as the 5% regions with highest tau positivity probabilities. For each variant, the association between functional connectivity‐based distance (using the 30% strongest positive region‐to‐region connections of a group‐average connectivity matrix from ADNI elderly controls) and tau‐PET covariance (group‐average correlation per region pair) was assessed through linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, site, and Euclidean distance. Regions were categorized based on functional proximity to the epicenter (quartiles 1‐4) and tau positivity probabilities were assessed accordingly.ResultTau positivity probabilities matched clinical variants, with a posterior pattern in PCA‐AD, left‐hemispheric dominant pattern in lvPPA‐AD, widespread pattern in bvAD, sensorimotor cortex involvement in CBS‐AD, and temporo‐parietal predominance in typical AD (Fig.1). In line with this, tau epicenters were highly heterogeneous across variants (Fig.1). In all variants, greater tau‐PET covariance was associated with shorter functional connectivity‐based distance (Fig.2). We observed that regions in closer functional proximity to the epicenter exhibited higher tau positivity probabilities than regions functionally further away (p<0.05, Fig.3).ConclusionThis multi‐center study shows that the brain’s functional architecture serves as a universal predictor of tau spreading in AD. Since tau is a key driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline in AD, this finding holds potential for personalized medicine and defining participant‐specific endpoints in clinical trials.