Gierach, Gretchen L.

Abstract Studies have identified genetic and epidemiologic factors associated with mammographic density (MD) phenotypes. However, MD-associated genetic variants only account for a small proportion of the total estimated heritability. Interrogating interactions between genetic and epidemiologic factors could potentially identify additional MD-associated loci, expand our understanding of the genetic basis of MD phenotypes, and clarify how epidemiologic factors modulate relationships between genetic variants and MD. We conducted six separate genome-wide, gene–environment (GxE) interaction analyses, applying 2 degrees of freedom (df) and 1df interaction tests, for each of three MD phenotypes (percent density, dense area (DA), and nondense area (NDA)). The six epidemiologic factors considered were height, ever parous, parity, ever menopausal hormone therapy, ever breastfeeding, and months of breastfeeding. We included European ancestry participants from multiple studies within the Markers of Density consortium and the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (n = 4895-16 218 depending on specific analyses). We identified 11 loci with genome-wide significant (P < 5 × 10−8) interaction tests including two novel common genetic signals interacting with parity (8p21.2) and ever breastfeeding (19p13.2) for NDA. Our results suggest that epidemiologic risk factors might influence relationships between common genetic variants and MD phenotypes at particular genomic loci.

Abstract Introduction Incorporation of mammographic density to breast cancer risk models could improve risk stratification to tailor screening and prevention strategies according to risk. Robust evaluation of the value of adding mammographic density to models with comprehensive information on questionnaire-based risk factors and polygenic risk score is needed to determine its effectiveness in improving risk stratification of such models. Methods We used the Individualized Coherent Absolute Risk Estimator (iCARE) tool for risk model building and validation to incorporate density to a previously validated literature-based model with questionnaire-based risk factors and a 313-variant polygenic risk score (PRS). The model was evaluated for calibration and discrimination in three prospective cohorts of European-ancestry women (1,468 cases, 19,104 controls): US-based Nurses’ Health Study (NHS I and II) and Mayo Mammography Health Study (MMHS); and Sweden-based Karolinska Mammography Project for Risk Prediction of Breast Cancer (KARMA) study. Analyses were done separately for women younger (NHS II, KARMA) and older than 50 years (NHS I, MMHS, KARMA). Improvements in terms of risk stratification and reclassification proportions were assessed among European-ancestry women aged 50–70 years in US and Sweden. Results For women younger and older than 50 years, the model with questionnaire-based risk factors, PRS and density was generally well calibrated across risk with some evidence of miscalibration at the extremes of the risk distribution. Incorporation of density led to modest improvements risk discrimination beyond the model with questionnaire-based risk factors and PRS: the area under the curve (AUC) among younger women was 67.0% (95% CI: 63.5–70.6%) vs. 65.6% (95% CI: 61.9–69.3%) for models with and without density; and 66.1% (95% CI 64.4–67.8%) vs. 65.5% (95% CI: 63.8–67.2%) among older women. The model with density identified 18.4% of US women 50–70 years old ≥ 3% 5-year predicted risk (threshold used for recommending risk-reducing medication in the US), with 42.4% of future cases expected to occur in this group. At this threshold, 7.9% of US women were reclassified by adding density to the model, resulting in the identification of 2.8% of additional future cases. The model with density identified 10.3% of Swedish women ≥ 3% 5-year predicted risk, with 29.4% of future cases expected to occur in this group. At this threshold, 5.3% of women were reclassified with the addition of density, leading to the identification of an additional 4.4% of future cases. Conclusion Integrating density with questionnaire-based risk factors and PRS could potentially identify more women of European-ancestry with elevated risk of breast cancer in the United States and Sweden. Further investigations of the integrated model in non-European ancestry populations are needed prior to considering clinical applications.

Abstract Introduction: Incorporation of mammographic density to breast cancer risk models could improve risk stratification to tailor screening and prevention strategies according to risk. However, robust validation of such models in prospective cohort studies is needed to determine their accuracy in identifying women at different risk levels. Methods: We incorporated Breast Imaging and Reporting Data System (BI-RADS) breast density to a literature-based model with questionnaire-based risk factors and a 313-variant polygenic risk score (PRS). The Individualized Coherent Absolute Risk Estimator (iCARE) tool was used to build and validate a 5-year absolute risk model for breast cancer. The model was evaluated for calibration and discrimination in three prospective cohorts of women of European ancestry (1,468 cases, 19,104 controls): US-based Nurses’ Health Study (NHS I and II) and Mayo Mammography Health Study (MMHS); and Sweden-based Karolinska Mammography Project for Risk Prediction of Breast Cancer (KARMA) study. Analyses were done separately for women younger (NHS II, KARMA) and older than 50 years (NHS I, MMHS, KARMA). Improvements in risk stratification were assessed among US non-Hispanic White women aged 50-70 years. Results: For women younger than 50 years, the model with questionnaire-based risk factors, PRS and BI-RADS was well calibrated across risk deciles in NHS II, but overestimated risk at the highest risk decile in KARMA. For women 50 years or older, the model showed good calibration in all studies, with evidence of slight overestimation at the highest risk decile and underestimation at the lowest risk decile. The model with PRS and BI-RADS was well calibrated for women at high-risk in both age groups. Incorporation of BI-RADS to questionnaire-based risk factors and PRS improved risk discrimination: area under the curves (AUC) 67.0% (95% CI: 63.5-70.6%) vs. 65.6% (95% CI: 61.9-69.3%) for models with and without BI-RADS for younger women and 66.1% (95% CI 64.4-67.8%) vs. 65.5% (95% CI: 63.8-67.2%) for older women. The model with BI-RADS identified 18.4% population of non-Hispanic US women 50-70 years old above 3% 5-year risk (used for recommending risk-reducing medication in the US), with 42.4% of future cases expected to occur in this group. Addition of BI-RADS led to the reclassification of ~8.0% of US non-Hispanic White women aged 50-70 years at the high-risk threshold (3% 5-year risk), resulting in identification of 4.2% of additional future cases. Conclusion: Integrating BI-RADS with questionnaire-based risk factors and PRS resulted in improved risk stratification among women of European ancestry, with evidence of slight overestimation of risk for women at elevated risk. Additional validation of the integrated model in diverse populations is needed prior to considering clinical applications. Citation Format: Charlotta V. Mulder, Yon Ho Jee, Xin Yang, Christopher G. Scott, Chi Gao, Amber N. Hurson, Mikael Eriksson, Per Hall, Peter Kraft, Celine M. Vachon, Antonis C. Antoniou, Gretchen Gierach, Montserrat Garcia-Closas, Parichoy Pal Choudhury. Validation of an integrated breast cancer risk model with mammographic density in three prospective cohort studies [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 2256.

Abstract Background Mammographic breast density (MBD) decline post-tamoxifen initiation is a favorable prognostic factor in estrogen receptor (ER)–positive breast cancer (BC) and has potential utility as a biomarker of tamoxifen response. However, the prognostic value of MBD decline may vary by molecular characteristics among ER–positive patients. Methods We investigated associations between MBD decline (≥10% vs <10%) and breast cancer–specific mortality (BCSM) among ER–positive breast cancer patients aged 36-87 years at diagnosis treated with tamoxifen at Kaiser Permanente Northwest (1990-2008). Patients who died of BC (case patients; n = 62) were compared with those who did not (control patients; n = 215) overall and by tumor molecular characteristics (immunohistochemistry [IHC]–based subtype [luminal A–like: ER–positive/progesterone receptor [PR]–positive/HER2–negative/low Ki67; luminal B–like: ER–positive and 1 or more of PR–negative, HER2–positive, high Ki67] and modified IHC [mIHC]–based recurrence score of ER/PR/Ki67). Percent MBD was measured in the unaffected breast at baseline mammogram (mean = 6 months before tamoxifen initiation) and follow-up (mean = 12 months post-tamoxifen initiation). Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed from logistic regression models. All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results MBD decline was statistically significantly associated with reduced risk of BCSM overall (OR = 0.38, 95% CI = 0.15 to 0.92). This association was, however, stronger among women with aggressive tumor characteristics including luminal B–like (OR = 0.17, 95% CI = 0.04 to 0.73) vs A–like (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.19 to 2.92); large (OR = 0.26, 95% CI = 0.08 to 0.78) vs small (OR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.04 to 3.79) tumors; PR–negative (OR = 0.02, 95% CI = 0.001 to 0.37) vs PR–positive (OR = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.18 to 1.40) disease; and high (OR = 0.25, 95% CI = 0.07 to 0.93) vs low (OR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.10 to 2.09) mIHC3 score. Conclusion The findings support MBD decline as a prognostic marker of tamoxifen response among patients with aggressive ER–positive BC phenotypes, for whom understanding treatment effectiveness is critical.

Abstract Reduced age-related terminal duct lobular unit (TDLU) involution has been linked to increased breast cancer risk and triple-negative breast cancer. Associations of TDLU involution levels with race and ethnicity remain incompletely explored. Herein, we examined the association between genetic ancestry and TDLU involution in normal breast tissue donated by 2014 healthy women in the United States. Women of African ancestry were more likely than European women to have increased TDLU counts (odds ratio [OR]trend = 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.07 to 1.74), acini counts per TDLU (OR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.06 to 2.03), and median TDLU span (ORtrend = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.08 to 1.91), indicating lower involution, whereas East Asian descendants were associated with decreased TDLU counts (ORtrend = 0.52, 95% CI = 0.35 to 0.78) after controlling for potential confounders. These associations are consistent with the racial variations in incidence rates of triple-negative breast cancer in the United States and suggest opportunities for future work examining whether TDLU involution may mediate the racial differences in subtype-specific breast cancer risk.

Purpose: Women whose mammographic breast density declines within 12–18 months of initiating tamoxifen for chemoprevention or adjuvant treatment show improved therapeutic responses compared with those whose density is unchanged. We tested whether measuring changes in sound speed (a surrogate of breast density) using ultrasound tomography (UST) could enable rapid identification of favorable responses to tamoxifen. Methods: We evaluated serial density measures at baseline and at 1 to 3, 4 to 6, and 12+ months among 74 women (aged 30–70 years) following initiation of tamoxifen for clinical indications, including an elevated risk of breast cancer (20%) and diagnoses of in situ (39%) or invasive (40%) breast carcinoma, enrolled at Karmanos Cancer Institute and Henry Ford Health System (Detroit, MI, USA). For comparison, we evaluated an untreated group with screen negative mammography and frequency-matched on age, race, and menopausal status (n = 150), at baseline and 12 months. Paired t-tests were used to assess differences in UST sound speed over time and between tamoxifen-treated and untreated patients. Results: Sound speed declined steadily over the 12 month period among patients receiving tamoxifen (mean (SD): −3.0 (8.2) m/s; p = 0.001), whereas density remained unchanged in the untreated group (mean (SD): 0.4 (7.1) m/s; p = 0.75 (relative change between groups: p = 0.0009)). In the tamoxifen group, we observed significant sound speed reductions as early as 4–6 months after tamoxifen initiation (mean (SD): −2.1 (6.8) m/s; p = 0.008). Sound speed reductions were greatest among premenopausal patients (P-interaction = 0.0002) and those in the middle and upper tertiles of baseline sound speed (P-interaction = 0.002). Conclusions: UST can image rapid declines in sound speed following initiation of tamoxifen. Given that sound speed and mammographic density are correlated, we propose that UST breast imaging may capture early responses to tamoxifen, which in turn may have utility in predicting therapeutic efficacy.

Abstract Background: Tamoxifen therapy has been shown to have greater therapeutic benefit among women whose breast density declines subsequent to treatment than among women whose density does not decline. Although limited data suggests that endocrine symptoms after tamoxifen initiation may be associated with improved breast cancer outcomes, it is unknown whether these symptoms are associated with reductions in breast density. We therefore evaluated endocrine symptoms and change in breast density in a 12-month longitudinal study of women undergoing tamoxifen therapy for clinical indications. Methods: Cohort members (N=74) were aged 30-74 years in the Ultrasound Study of Tamoxifen at Karmanos Cancer Institute and Henry Ford Health Systems (Detroit, MI). Endocrine symptoms and breast density were both assessed prior to tamoxifen initiation (T0) and at 1-3 months (T1), 4-6 months (T2), and approximately 12 months (T3) post-tamoxifen initiation. Treatment-associated endocrine symptoms included treatment-emergent or increasing vasomotor and/or joint symptoms. Endocrine symptom severity was also assessed with a Likert scale for symptom frequency and categorized as no symptoms (score=0), low/moderate symptoms (score=1-5), and high symptoms (score=6+). Sound speed (m/s), a surrogate of volumetric breast density, was measured with whole breast ultrasound tomography. Change in breast density was calculated as density at T1-T3 minus density at T0. We used multivariable linear regression to estimate mean change in density by endocrine symptoms adjusting for age, race, menopausal status, body mass index, and baseline sound speed. Generalized estimating equations were used to account for within-subject correlations over time. Results: Women with treatment-associated endocrine symptoms had an overall greater mean reduction in breast density compared with women without symptoms (mean change [95% CI]: -1.97 m/s [-3.80, -0.13]; -0.27 m/s [- 3.50, 2.95], respectively; p=0.22). Longitudinal trends in breast density significantly differed for women with versus without treatment-associated endocrine symptoms (p-interaction=0.02). Significant declines in breast density over time were observed among women with treatment-associated endocrine symptoms (p-trend=0.005), but not among women without symptoms (p-trend=0.16). Similar trends in breast density decline were observed among women with higher symptom severity (p-trends for no symptoms=0.53; low/moderate symptoms=0.04; high symptoms=0.008). Conclusions: These findings suggest that treatment-associated endocrine symptoms may be associated with a significant decline in breast density after tamoxifen initiation. Further studies are needed to assess whether these observations can predict clinical outcome, and if confirmed, both treatment-associated endocrine symptoms and observed reductions in breast density may be useful for patients and providers to improve adherence. Citation Format: Cody Ramin, Ruth Pfeiffer, Shaoqi Fan, Maeve Mullooly, Roni T. Falk, Mark A. Sak, Michael S. Simon, David H. Gorski, Haythem Ali, Peter Littrup, Nebojsa Duric, Mark E. Sherman, Gretchen L. Gierach. Treatment-associated endocrine symptoms and change in ultrasound tomography measures of breast density after tamoxifen therapy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research 2020; 2020 Apr 27-28 and Jun 22-24. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(16 Suppl):Abstract nr 5805.

Abstract Introduction Elevated mammographic density (MD) is a strong and independent risk factor for breast cancer, though underlying mechanisms are unclear. Prior studies have suggested that increased cumulative exposure to sex-steroid hormones and growth factors may impact both MD and MD-related breast cancer risk; however, most studies have only evaluated individual hormones. In this study, we simultaneously explored the relationship between 29 circulating hormones and growth factors with MD among postmenopausal women undergoing diagnostic breast biopsy. Methods We used data from 89 postmenopausal women, aged 44-65, who had complete measurements of 29 serum hormones from a single pre-biopsy blood draw (i.e., sex-steroid hormones: 15 estrogen/estrogen metabolites, 7 progesterone/progesterone metabolites; and non-sex hormones: insulin-like growth factor I and binding proteins (IGFBPs) 2-7). Volumetric MD (% fibroglandular volume) was assessed in pre-biopsy digital mammograms using single X-ray absorptiometry. Sufficient dimension reduction methods were used to compute a composite marker score that accommodates correlations among hormones and their relationship to MD. Backward elimination was applied to select log-transformed hormones contributing to the score at α=0.05; multivariable linear regression was used to further examine associations between selected hormones and MD within a single model, adjusting for age and BMI. Results Pearson correlations between hormones were moderate-to-strong. Dimension reduction methods identified 6 hormones as associated with MD (p<0.05): estradiol, 2-hydroxyestradiol, 2-methoxyestrone, 16-ketoestradiol, IGFBP-2, and 17α-hydroxyprogesterone, in models that considered MD as either continuous or dichotomous (>median vs. ≤median); BMI was consistently identified as the most significant predictor of MD (P <0.0001). In a multivariable linear regression model that included these 6 hormones, in addition to age and BMI, higher levels of 2-methoxyestrone, IGFBP-2, and 17α-hydroxyprogesterone were significantly associated with increased MD, whereas higher levels of age and BMI were significantly associated with lower MD. Conclusions We identified 6 out of 29 correlated hormones that were significantly associated with MD among postmenopausal women. For several, the directions of their associations with MD were comparable to those observed in prior studies that have separately evaluated these hormones in relation to breast cancer risk. We plan to further explore how circulating hormones concurrently affect MD in premenopausal women, accounting for menstrual cycle phase. Incorporation of dimension reduction methods in studies of multiple correlated hormones can help uncover new etiologic insights into the role of hormones and growth factors in MD and breast carcinogenesis and inform strategies for prevention. Citation Format: Shaoqi Fan, Ruth M. Pfeiffer, Manila Hada, Roni T. Falk, Maeve Mullooly, Hannah Oh, Berta Geller, Pamela Vacek, Donald Weave, John Shepherd, Jeff Wang, Sally Herschorn, Louise A. Brinton, Xia Xu, Mark E. Sherman, Britton Trabert, Gretchen L. Gierach. Associations of circulating hormones with mammographic density in postmenopausal women referred to diagnostic breast biopsy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research 2020; 2020 Apr 27-28 and Jun 22-24. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(16 Suppl):Abstract nr 3488.

Abstract PURPOSE. Increased mammographic percent density (MPD) is a strong independent risk factor for developing breast cancer. Previous studies have shown that tissue sound speed, derived from ultrasound tomography, is a surrogate biomarker of MPD. We examined associations of sound speed and MPD with breast cancer risk in a case-control study. METHOD AND MATERIALS. We evaluated breast cancer risk associated with sound speed and MPD in a case-control study involving 59 participants with recent breast cancer diagnoses (cases, aged 30-70 years) and 150 participants with no history of breast cancer (controls), who were matched to cases on age, race, and menopausal status. The cases and controls were imaged with both ultrasound tomography (UST) and mammography. In cases, breast density was measured pre-treatment in the contralateral breast to avoid potential influences of tumor-related changes on MPD or sound speed. In controls, a randomly selected breast was imaged. The ultrasound tomography images were used to estimate the volume averaged sound speed of the breast, and the Cumulus software package was applied to mammograms to determine MPD. Odds Ratios (ORs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs), adjusted for matching factors, were calculated for the relation of quartiles of MPD and sound speed with breast cancer risk. OR differences were tested using a bootstrap approach. RESULTS. MPD was associated with elevated breast cancer risk compared to controls, consistent with previous studies, although the trend did not reach statistical significance (OR per quartile=1.28, 95%CI: 0.95, 1.73; ptrend=0.10). In contrast, elevated sound speed was significantly associated with increased breast cancer risk in a dose-response fashion (OR per quartile=1.79, 95%CI: 1.30, 2.48; ptrend=0.0004). The OR-trend for sound speed was statistically significantly different from that observed for MPD (p=0.01). DISCUSSION. Our case-control study showed that increasing quartiles of whole breast sound speed were consistently and more strongly associated with increasing breast cancer risk than quartiles of MPD. These results show promise for UST’s role in breast cancer risk stratification. CONCLUSION. Elevated breast density strongly increases breast cancer risk. UST has the potential to provide a more accurate, non-ionizing method for assessing breast density and its associated breast cancer risk. Citation Format: Mark Sak, Neb Duric, Ruth Pfeiffer, Mark Sherman, Peter Littrup, Michael Simon, David Gorski, Teri Albrecht, Haythem Ali, Rachel Brem, Rachel Brem, Sharon Fan, Gretchen Gierach. Tissue sound speed is more strongly associated with breast cancer risk than mammographic percent density: A comparative case-control study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-08-28.

Abstract PURPOSE. Studies have shown that a decrease in mammographic density (MD) or lowering of background parenchymal enhancement (BPE) on MRI after initiation of tamoxifen therapy predicts a favorable response in the preventive or adjuvant settings. However, performing serial mammograms poses radiation concerns, while serial MRIs carry high cost as well as risk of multiple Gadolinium doses. Previous studies have shown that tissue sound speed, derived from whole breast ultrasound tomography measurements, is a surrogate biomarker of MD. Ultrasound is ideal for performing serial measurements because it is fast and poses almost no risks. The purpose of this study was to evaluate repeated measures of the sound speed biomarker at 3, 6 and 12-months following tamoxifen initiation. METHOD AND MATERIALS. We performed a case-control comparison involving 74 participants referred by a health professional to undergo tamoxifen therapy (cases) and 150 matched participants with no history of breast cancer (controls). The cases were scanned with ultrasound tomography at baseline (i.e. before start of tamoxifen therapy), and then at 3, 6 and 12 months after tamoxifen initiation. Controls were scanned at baseline and 12 months. In the case group, sound speed was measured pre-treatment in the contralateral breast to avoid potential influences of tumor-related changes on density. In the control group, a single randomized breast was scanned. A pairwise t-test was used to assess differences in sound speed over time and between cases and controls. RESULTS. There was a steady decline in sound speed over the 12-month period for women undergoing tamoxifen therapy (mean(SD): -3.0(8.2) m/s; P=0.001). Furthermore, significant sound speed reductions were observed as early as 4-6 months after tamoxifen initiation (mean(SD): -2.1(6.8) m/s; P=0.008). In contrast, the controls demonstrated no significant change in sound speed over a 12-month period, and the difference between case-control groups was statistically significant (P=0.0009). DISCUSSION. Breast sound speed decreases rapidly after tamoxifen initiation while it remains steady for the control group. These results suggest that sound speed may be a biomarker of response to tamoxifen. Further studies are needed to assess whether this observation can predict clinical response. CONCLUSION. Ultrasound tomography may have utility in monitoring breast sound speed change as a potential biomarker of clinical tamoxifen response. Citation Format: Neb Duric, Mark Sak, Mark Sherman, Ruth Pfeiffer, Sharon Fan, Michael Simon, David Gorski, Teri Albrecht, Haythem Ali, Peter Littrup, Rachel Brem, Gretchen Gierach. Tissue sound speed: A novel imaging biomarker for measuring tamoxifen response [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-11-11.