Importance Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death worldwide. Assessing the LDL-C–related burden is critical for guiding prevention and treatment strategies. Objectives To estimate the global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke attributable to elevated LDL-C (relative to 35-54 mg/dL) from 1990 to 2023 and to quantify the contributions of population growth, aging, risk-deleted burden, and exposure changes to burden trends. Design, Setting, and Population This comparative risk assessment, part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, estimated population-level LDL-C exposure and associated health loss in 204 countries and territories. Mean LDL-C levels were estimated using spatiotemporal gaussian process regression based on 806 studies across 161 countries. Relative risks were derived from meta-analyses of 38 randomized clinical trials. Population-attributable fractions for deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated by age and sex for adults aged 25 years or older from 1990 to 2023, with 95% uncertainty intervals. Exposure Population-level LDL-C concentrations. Main Outcomes and Measures Population-attributable fractions, counts, and rates (all ages and age standardized per 100 000) of LDL-C–attributable deaths and DALYs from ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke, with uncertainty intervals. Results In 2023, elevated LDL-C accounted for 3.6 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval, 2.2-5.4 million; 6.0% of global mortality) and 90.7 million DALYs (95% uncertainty interval, 58.9-123.3 million; 3.2% of DALYs). Although global all-ages rates remained stable, age-standardized death and DALY rates decreased by 45.6% and 39.5%, respectively, since 1990. In 2023, age-standardized LDL-C–attributable DALY rates were highest in Eastern Europe and lowest in high-income Asia-Pacific. One-third of the global LDL-C burden occurred in India and China. Population growth and aging drove the increasing burden, with notable regional disparities in LDL-C exposure and risk-deleted DALY rates shifting toward middle-sociodemographic settings. Conclusions and Relevance Despite declining age-standardized rates, the absolute LDL-C burden has increased since 1990 due to demographic changes and has shifted toward middle-sociodemographic countries. Measurement and surveillance gaps persist. Strengthened prevention, diagnosis, and treatment access strategies are essential to mitigate the health burden of LDL-C.
Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor use improves clinical outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver diseases: Target trial emulation using real-world data
Background and Aims: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) prevent fibrosis progression in a preclinical model of steatotic liver disease. Our objective was to assess the impact of ACEi/ARB use on clinical outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver diseases. Approach and Results: Using TriNetX, a nationwide database, we identified all patients with metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver diseases from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2019. Using a target trial emulation framework, ACEi/ARB users were matched with calcium channel blocker (CCB) users using propensity score matching (PSM). Patients were followed up to 10 years after the index date. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine the risk of mortality, major adverse liver outcomes, major adverse cardiac events, and incident cancers. Of the 35,988 eligible patients, 28,423 were ACEi/ARB users, and 7565 were CCB users. After PSM, 7238 pairs were well-balanced. ACEi/ARB use was associated with a significantly decreased mortality risk (HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.51–0.68). ACEi/ARB was associated with a significantly reduced risk of developing major adverse liver outcomes (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.61–0.80), including ascites (HR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.63–0.98) and HE (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.57–0.78). ACEi/ARB use was also associated with a lower risk of major adverse cardiac events (HR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.76–0.90) but not incident cancer (HR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.86-1.10) compared with CCB. Conclusions: ACEi/ARB use in patients with metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver diseases was associated with a reduced risk of mortality, major adverse liver outcomes, and major adverse cardiac events compared with CCB use. A large prospective study is needed for external validation.
Comparative effectiveness of immunotherapy versus lenvatinib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A real-world analysis using target trial emulation
Background and Aims: Immunotherapy has emerged as an effective treatment for advanced HCC. We aimed to investigate the real-world effectiveness of immunotherapy compared to lenvatinib in HCC. Approach and Results: From the TriNetX database, we used a target trial emulation framework and identified patients with HCC who received first-line treatment with immunotherapy (atezolizumab/bevacizumab or tremelimumab/durvalumab) or lenvatinib between or between August 2018 and December 2023. OS was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression. After propensity score matching, 1203 patients were included in each group. Immunotherapy was associated with improved OS versus lenvatinib (median survival: 545 vs. 425 d; HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.76–0.97). Regarding treatment type, atezolizumab plus bevacizumab showed improved survival compared to lenvatinib (n=1070 in each group; HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.77–0.99), while the point estimate favored durvalumab plus tremelimumab versus lenvatinib (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.59–1.12), though this difference was not statistically significant, likely due to small sample size. Regarding etiology, immunotherapy had improved OS compared to lenvatinib in viral hepatitis (n=510 in each group; HR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.61–0.89) and alcohol-associated liver disease (n=190 in each group; HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.49–0.87), but not in metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver diseases (n=156 in each group; HR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.70–1.31). Conclusions: In this real-world analysis, immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared to lenvatinib in advanced HCC, with consistent benefit across most subgroups. These findings support the use of immunotherapy as a first-line treatment for advanced HCC.