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13 citation(s) found for "Faizan, Muhammad".

Demographics and mortality trends of hypertensive heart failure in the United States, 2006–2020: Insights from the CDC WONDER database
Haleem, Syed Mohammad , Zaman, Asad , Humayun, Mohammad A, Mubariz, Muhammad , Faisal, Abdul Rafae , Akhtar, Faisal , Laiba, FNU, Maity, Rick , Dhali, Arkadeep , Maity, Rick , Faizan, Muhammad , Singh, Pramod , Humayun, Mohammad Abdullah, Akhtar, Faisal Naveed

Journal of International Medical Research | April 10, 2026 | Volume: 54 | Issue: 4 | Pages: No page available

10.1177/03000605261417063 | PMID 41956996 Get It

Objective To comprehensively examine hypertension- and heart failure–related mortality rates in the United States to develop a targeted approach to health policy development. Methods We analyzed death certificates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database, focusing on mortality caused by hypertensive heart failure in adults aged ≥25 years from 2006 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates per 1,000,000 and annual percent changes were calculated and categorized by year, sex, race, urban status, age group, and census region. Results A total of 268,545 deaths occurred due to hypertensive heart failure between 2006 and 2020. The overall age-adjusted mortality rates increased from 60.5 in 2006 to 134.9 in 2020. Males had higher age-adjusted mortality rates than women (76.6 vs. 73.8). Older-aged people exhibited significantly higher age-adjusted mortality rates than young and middle-aged adults. Age-adjusted mortality rates were highest in non-Hispanic Blacks/African Americans and lowest in non-Hispanic Asians/Pacific Islanders (126.8–43.6). Furthermore, age-adjusted mortality rates were highest in individuals from nonmetropolitan areas and the Western region. Conclusion Following a period of decline, the age-adjusted mortality rates increased until 2020. The highest age-adjusted mortality rates were observed in non-Hispanic Blacks and nonmetropolitan areas. An urgent restructuring of healthcare policy is needed to reduce heart failure-associated mortality.
Dose‐Response Efficacy and Safety of Factor XI/XIa Inhibitors in Atrial Fibrillation; a Systematic Review and Meta‐Analysis With Subgroup Exploration and Trial Sequential Validation
Faizan, Muhammad Aqib , Rehman, Tooba, Dandamudi, Mrunalini , Menon, Jaivardhan A. , Ferrara, Victoria Zecchin , Kholeif, Zeyad, Tanvir, Alina, Saeed, Fatima , Ikram, Jibran , Chaudhri, Moiuz , Aslam, Main Muhammad Salman, Humayun, Zainab , Khalid, Ahmad Mustafa, Waqas, Saad Ahmad, Ahmad, Raheel, Cerna, Luis , Ikram, Jibran , Waqas, Saad Ahmad , Rehman, Tooba , Kholeif, Zeyad , Espiche, Carlos

Clinical Cardiology | February 12, 2026 | Volume: 49 | Issue: 2 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/clc.70263 | PMID 41677103 Get It

ABSTRACT Background Factor XI/XIa inhibitors are emerging anticoagulants with potential to reduce bleeding complications in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. This meta‐analysis evaluated their efficacy and safety compared to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and explored dose optimization. Methods A systematic search of PubMed, Cochrane, and Embase was conducted through March 2025 following PRISMA guidelines. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing Factor XI/XIa inhibitors with DOACs in AF patients were included. Outcomes assessed were major bleeding, stroke, systemic embolism, all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality and serious adverse events. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled using a Mantel‐Haenszel random‐effects model. Heterogeneity was evaluated with the I² statistic, and evidence certainty assessed by the GRADE approach. Trial Sequential Analysis (TSA) was performed. Results Three RCTs including 16,772 patients (mean age 73 years, CHA₂DS₂‐VASc 3.9–5) were analyzed. Factor XI/XIa inhibitors significantly reduced major bleeding (RR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.36–0.46, I² = 0%) compared to DOACs. However, stroke risk was increased (RR: 3.42, 95% CI: 2.62–4.46), particularly with asundexian 50 mg (RR: 4.02). No significant differences were observed in all‐cause mortality (RR: 0.82) or cardiovascular death (RR: 1.05). Systemic embolism risk was higher (RR: 4.26), while serious adverse events were comparable (RR: 0.95). TSA indicated encouraging safety outcomes but highlighted the need for further large‐scale studies. Conclusion Factor XI/XIa inhibitors lower major bleeding risk in AF patients but increase stroke and systemic embolism rates without impacting mortality.
Abstract 4373660: Efficacy and Safety of Obicetrapib in Dyslipidemia or Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Ibrahim, Alyaa, Bahnasy, Ahmed, Ishtiaq, Saniya, Mohamed, Abdelrhman Hassan , Islam, Md Rafiqul , Younas, Muhammad, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Hemida, Mohamed Fawzi , Hammad, Noha, Ibrahim, Alyaa Ahmed , Ishtiaq, Saniya, Shahriar, Zahin , Younas, Muhammad, Sarfraz, Muhammad Raza

Circulation | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 152 | Issue: Suppl_3 | Pages: No page available

10.1161/circ.152.suppl_3.4373660 Get It

Background: Obicetrapib is a next-generation cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitor. It has emerged as a promising agent for improving lipid parameters and potentially reducing risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Methods: A systematic search of databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, Clinical Trials, and Cochrane Library, was conducted to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Outcomes included the assessment of LDL-C reduction, changes in ApoB, non-HDL-C, HDL-C, triglycerides, Lp(a), MACE, as well as the safety and tolerability profile of Obicetrapib in patients with dyslipidemia or ASCVD. Standardized mean differences (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled using random-effects. Results: Seven RCTs encompassing 3483 patients were included. Obicetrapib significantly improved lipid parameters. It reduced LDL-C (MSD: –35.43; 95% CI: –40.14 to –30.17; I2 = 93.26%), non-HDL-C (MSD: –36.42; 95% CI: –42.77 to –30.07; I2 = 99.06%), ApoB (MSD: –23.38; 95% CI: –30.68 to –16.08; I2 = 88.56%), and Lp(a) (MSD: –23.95; 95% CI: –35.26 to –12.63; I2 = 77.14%). Obicetrapib also led to a reduction in TG levels (MSD: –0.12; 95% CI: –0.19 to –0.05; I2 = 0.00%). In contrast, favorable increases were observed in HDL-C (MSD: 77.35; 95% CI: 64.56 to 90.13; I2 = 95.82%) and ApoA1 (MSD: 63.93; 95% CI: 53.65 to 74.21; I2 = 81.89%). Despite high heterogeneity, these results support Obicetrapib’s effectiveness in improving atherogenic lipid markers. Obicetrapib demonstrated a safety profile comparable to placebo. The overall risk of any adverse event was slightly reduced in the Obicetrapib group compared to placebo, but the 95% CI included 1, (RR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.76 to 1.21; I2 = 66.3%; p = 0.01). Specific adverse events such as diarrhea (OR: 1.56; 95% CI: 0.34 to 7.11; I2 = 5.16%; p = 0.57), headache (OR: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.74 to 1.84; I2 = 0.00%; p = 0.50), and back pain (RR: 0.36; 95% CI: 0.11 to 1.16; I2 = 18.3%; p = 0.26) were also not significantly different between groups. Overall, Obicetrapib appears well-tolerated without increased adverse events. Conclusion: Obicetrapib significantly improved lipid parameters, notably reducing LDL-C, non-HDL-C, ApoB, Lp(a), and triglycerides, while increasing HDL-C and ApoA1, with a favorable and comparable safety profile.
Demographic Trends in Mortality Related to Gastric Cancer in the United States, 1999 to 2022
Dhali, Arkadeep , Faisal, Abdul Rafae , Maity, Rick , Zaman, Asad, Majeed, Mamoona, Hafeez, Ali Shan , Abdullah, Abdullah , Razaq, Laiba, Humayun, Mohammad Abdullah, Qadri, Henna, Dhali, Arkadeep , Maity, Rick , Faizan, Muhammad, Singh, Pramod , Zaman, Asad, Humayun, Mohammad Abdullah

Journal of Clinical Gastroenterology | October 13, 2025 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1097/mcg.0000000000002244 | PMID 41081713 Get It

Background: Gastric cancer remains one of the leading causes of death globally and a major health concern. This study aims to analyze gastric cancer-related mortality trends over 2 decades. Methods: The CDC WONDER database was used to analyze and stratify de-identified death certificates from 1999 to 2022 across the United States. Trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were assessed using the Joinpoint Regression Program to determine annual percentage changes. Results: Overall, AAMR decreased from 79.26 in 1999 to 44.81 in 2022. Men and older adults had the highest AAMRs. Non-Hispanic (NH) Black or African Americans had the highest AAMR, while NH Whites had the lowest. Geographically, the Northeast had the highest AAMR, and metropolitan areas had higher AAMRs than nonmetropolitan areas. Conclusion: Gastric carcinoma has a poor prognosis, and although the general trend is decreasing across all sociodemographic areas, further research is required for targeted interventions and health policies for high-risk populations.
Geographic, racial and temporal disparities in cancer and respiratory failure mortality in the US: A 24 year retrospective study.
Komel, Aqsa, Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Aisha, Azka, Mughal, Hafiz Muhammad Faizan , Hassan, Shazia , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Haider, Mobeen Z. , Laghari, Aamir, Hassan, Salman, Kirchoff, Robert W. , Khan, Allahdad , Safi, Adnan

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e20520 Get It

e20520 Background: Cancer and respiratory failure (RF) are amongst leading causes of mortality in adults. This study investigates national trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for cancer and RF in the United States from 1999 to 2023, focusing on disparities by gender, race, region, and rural-urban residence to inform public health strategies. Methods: This descriptive study analyzed data from the CDC WONDER database, of adults aged 25 and older. Mortality data were identified using ICD-10 codes C00–C97 (cancer) and J96 (RF). AAMRs per 100,000 population were calculated and stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to estimate annual percent changes (APCs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: From 1999 to 2023, total deaths of 1,263,368 attributed to cancer and RF (682,141 men, 581,227 women). AAMRs declined from 1999 to 2004 (APC = -1.5, 95% CI: -4.0 to -0.4), stabilized from 2004 to 2012 (APC = 0.8, 95% CI: 0.1 to 2.4), and increased from 2012 to 2023 (APC = 3.2, 95% CI: 2.9 to 3.8). Men experienced a greater initial decline (APC = -2.1, 1999–2004) but significant increases thereafter (APC = 3.0, 2012–2023), while women showed a slower decline followed by sharper increases (APC = 3.5, 2013–2023). Non-Hispanic Black populations initially declined (APC = -1.7, 1999–2003) but later increased significantly (APC = 3.0, 2014–2020). Hispanic/Latino populations declined (APC = -1.2, 1999–2009) before rising sharply (APC = 3.1, 2009–2020). American Indian or Alaska Native populations showed consistent increases (APC = 1.7, 1999–2020). Urban areas experienced initial declines (APC = -1.7, 1999–2004), followed by increases (APC = 2.4, 2011–2020). Non-metropolitan areas exhibited steeper increases (APC = 4.6, 2014–2020). Regionally, the West recorded the highest AAMR (24.0), followed by the Northeast (23.6), South (20.9), and Midwest (18.0). Mississippi had the highest state-level AAMR (36.3), while Wisconsin had the lowest (10.0). States in the top 90th percentile included Mississippi, Arkansas, and California, while Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Oregon were among the lowest. Conclusions: Cancer and RF mortality declined initially but have significantly increased in recent years. Disparities persist across gender, racial, and regional groups, underscoring the need for focused public health efforts and equitable resource distribution to address these trends.
National trends in mortality of gastric cancer among older adults (70+) from 1990 to 2021 across 204 nations: A global burden of disease study.
Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Iqra , Jawad, Hamna , Rizwan, Daniah, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16074 Get It

e16074 Background: Gastric cancer is a malignant disease characterized by the uncontrolled growth of cells in the stomach lining. It is a global health concern with regional variation in incidence and prevalence. This study examines the national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: GBD data was analysed to assess the mortality rates of Gastric cancer in individuals aged ≥ 70 years. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021, with p-values determining statistical significance. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence of Gastric cancer increased, peaking in 2021. Japan recorded the highest prevalence (621.7379, UI: 525.93, 675.74), followed by the Republic of Korea and China.In 2021, Bolivia (Plurinational State of) had the highest mortality rate (309.7, CI: 400.9, 240.6), slightly lower than its 1990 rate (445.35, CI: 539.58, 362.14), which was the highest that year. Mongolia (303.15, CI: 378.8, 226.2) and Cabo Verde (265.1, CI: 322.6, 206.8) followed. The lowest mortality rates were observed in Morocco (20.9, CI: 25.9, 15.0), Namibia (20.93, CI: 25.93, 16.4), and Nigeria (23.27, CI: 32.3, 19.2).Countries with the largest EAPC increases included Egypt (0.98, CI: 1.84, -0.22), Honduras (0.31, CI: 0.7, -0.01), and Lesotho (0.16, CI: 0.597, -0.16). The greatest declines were seen in Austria (-0.72, CI: -0.68, -0.74), Czechia (-0.69, CI: -0.64, -0.74), and Hungary (-0.67, CI: -0.607, -0.72). Conclusions: Mortality rates associated with Gastric Cancer among individuals aged 70 and older increased globally from 1990 to 2021, notably in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho, emphasizing the need for improved prevention, management, and research on underlying disparities. Mortality percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Egypt 30.43 60.44 0.98 (1.84, -0.22) Honduras 140.76 184.48 0.31 (0.7, -0.01) Lesotho 77.18 90.26 0.16 (0.59, -0.16) LOWEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Austria 177.25 49.48 -0.72 (-0.68, -0.74) Czechia 168.73 51.51 -0.69 (-0.64, -0.74) Hungary 184.88 60.55 -0.67 (0.607, -0.72)
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Abdul basit, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Khawar, Muneeb , Nisar, Muhammad Shahid , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Jawad, Hamna , Zaied, Mohammad A. , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Khan, Abdul basit, Nisar, Mudasar, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16456 Get It

e16456 Background: Gastric cancer is one of the significant contributors of mortality and morbidity, especially in older patients. Analyzing national trends in the Disability adjust life years (DALY) helps identify the evolving burden of this disease among patients older than 70 years and highlights the regions requiring particular interventions. Methods: Using Global burden of disease data from 2021, national DALY rates per 100,000 people aged 70 and over with gastric cancer were assessed. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPCs) with p value taken as a statistical measure of significance, was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021. Results: The analysis displays considerable contrasts in the trends of gastric cancer burden across nations. From 1990 to 2021, a rising trend in DALY EAPC was seen in Egypt (1.01883; 95% CI: -0.1931- 1.958) followed by Honduras (0.3262; 95% CI: 0.0177- 0.7456) and Lesotho (0.2253; 95% CI:-0.1326- 0.6995). Conversely, Austria (-0.7368; 95% CI: -0.7646 to -0.7087), Republic of Korea (-0.7095; 95% CI: -0.7620 to -0.6442) and Singapore (-0.6923; 95% CI: -0.7286 to -0.6553) reported a prominent decline in DALY EAPCs, reflecting significant progress in reducing burden. The DALY rates in 2021 also varied dramatically among nations. Highest DALY rate was observed in Bolivia (4882.7; 95% CI:3782.9- 6349.7) underscoring highest impact on healthcare system. Conversely, Morocco (329.69; 95% CI: 234.64- 410.12) recorded lowest DALY rate indicating comparatively better disease control or lower incidence. Conclusions: While some nations demonstrate remarkable progress in mitigating the burden of gastric cancer, others still face significant challenges. Highest increase in EAPC in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho whereas significant decline in Austria, Korea, and Singapore indicates areas of target public health efforts. Future research should focus on understanding the causes of these disparities and evaluating the impact of interventions across it. DALY and EPAC. Country 2021 DALY rate EAPC(1990-2021) EAPC, 95% CI Egypt 1272.146 1.018834(highest) -0.193 to 1.959 Honduras 2880.563 0.32617 0.018 to 0.746 Lesotho 1555.79 0.225384 -0.133 to 0.699 Singapore 806.6098 -0.692396 -0.729 to -0.655 Republic of Korea 1961.151 -0.709502 -0.762 to -0.644 Austria 662.5105 -0.736826(lowest) -0.765 to -0.709 Morocco 410.1227(lowest) -0.17817 -0.387 to 0.097 Bolivia 4882.718(highest) -0.32185 -0.473 to -0.103
Gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A Global Burden of Disease analysis (1990-2021).
Iqbal, Rabia , Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Zafar, Maha , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16423 Get It

e16423 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, disproportionately affecting older adults. Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), this study investigates gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates for PC among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC were extracted for both genders from the GBD-2021 study from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) were calculated, along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), to assess the statistical significance of the trends using the p-value. Results: In 1990, DALY rates were 837.25 for men and 711.95 for women, increasing to 950.68 and 768.31, respectively, by 2021. Mortality rates followed a similar pattern: men’s rates rose from 52.05 in 1990 to 61.37 in 2021, while women’s increased from 47.31 to 53.40. Men consistently experienced higher burdens than women. The AAPC analysis revealed that men exhibited a steeper rise in both DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC compared to women over the past three decades. Notably, the gender disparity was more evident in DALYs (+0.1929%) than in mortality rates (+0.1358%), with all AAPC values demonstrating statistical significance (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, additional significant trends were identified. Among males, DALY rates demonstrated the most pronounced increase between 1997 and 2021 (APC: 0.5397, 95% CI: 0.5118, 0.5645), whereas in females, the most significant rise occurred from 1990 to 1993 (APC: 0.6593, 95% CI: 0.3608, 1.1016). Conversely, the slowest increase in DALY rates among females was observed between 1993 and 2003 (APC: 0.0925, 95% CI: -0.2053, 0.1641). For mortality rates, the most notable rise in males was observed between 2007 and 2010 (APC: 1.2314, 95% CI: 1.0292, 1.3195), while females experienced their sharpest escalation from 1990 to 1994 (APC: 0.6891, 95% CI: 0.4322, 1.0720). In contrast, the slowest rate of progression in mortality among females occurred between 1993 and 2002 (APC: 0.1736, 95% CI: 0.0180, 0.2368). Conclusions: Over the past three decades, men have experienced a significantly more pronounced rise in DALYs and mortality rates related to PC compared to women.These findings highlight the urgent need for gender-specific interventions to address the growing burden of PC in aging populations. Trends in DALY and mortality rates per 100,000 by gender (1990-2021). Metrics Gender 1990 2021 APC (1990-2021) Daly Rates per 100,000 Male 837.25 950.68 0.4422 Female 711.9 768.31 0.2493 Mortality Rates per 100,000 Male 52.05 61.37 0.5366 Female 47.31 53.40 0.4008
National trends in mortality of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older across 204 nations: A global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Khan, Abdul basit, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Kamal, Talha, misbah, A.M.EL-mahmoudy Akram Almabrouk, Khawar, Muneeb , Sadiq, Muhammad , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Kamal, Talha, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16420 Get It

e16420 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) typically follows an indolent course and is often diagnosed at an advanced stage, contributing to its high mortality rate, particularly among older adults. Its aggressive nature makes it a significant global health burden, causing substantial mortality across nations. This analysis investigates national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study. Methods: We utilized data from the GBD-Study 2021 to report the number of cases and age-standardized rates (per 100,000 population) of PC. To assess mortality trends from 1990 to 2021, we calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) along with corresponding 95%confidence intervals (CI), providing a robust evaluation of temporal patterns. Results: Over the past three decades, deaths attributable to PC have shown a significant increase globally. In 1990, the United States of America (USA) reported the highest number of PC-related deaths, followed by China and Japan. By 2021, however, China surpassed the USA, becoming the leading contributor to PC mortality, with Japan maintaining its position as the third highest.In 2021, the United Arab Emirates reported the highest mortality rate (148.15), which was more than double its 1990 rate (70.71). The Principality of Monaco (140.87) and Uruguay (129.39) held the second and third highest mortality rates, respectively. The lowest mortality rates were recorded in Mozambique (8.18), Malawi (8.98), and Sao Tome and Principe (9.01).Countries with the largest increases in the EAPC included Turkmenistan (EAPC: 15.16, 95% CI: 10.92, 21.02), Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 13.60, 95% CI: 8.56, 19.48), and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.80, 95% CI: 3.11, 7.26). In contrast, the greatest declines were observed in the Republic of San Marino (EAPC: -0.32, 95% CI: -0.52, -0.07), Guam (EAPC: -0.27, 95% CI: -0.41, -0.13), and Greenland (EAPC: -0.24, 95% CI: -0.44, 0.007). Conclusions: Globally, mortality rates associated with PC among individuals aged 70 and older increased from 1990 to 2021, with particularly notable rises in Turkmenistan, Republic of Cabo Verde, and Mongolia. These findings underscore the critical need for enhanced prevention strategies, improved management, and research to address underlying disparities. Mortality percent change. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) Highest mortality percent change Turkmenistan 1.19 19.34 15.16 (10.92, 21.02) Republic of Cabo Verde 6.47 94.55 13.60 (8.56, 19.48) Mongolia 10.21 59.24 4.80 (3.11, 7.26) Lowest mortality percent change Republic of San Marino 89.48 60.47 -0.32 (-0.52, -0.07) Guam 32.46 23.51 -0.27 (-0.41, -0.13) Greenland 169.52 127.96 -0.24 (-0.44, 0.007)
Regional trends in incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer among older adults (70+): A 30-year global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Jawad, Hamna , Idrees, Usama , Khan, Iqra , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ikram, Jibran, KHAN, A. A. , Rashid, Muhammad, Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16419 Get It

e16419 Background: Pancreatic cancer remains one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide. While high-income regions have long faced higher rates, recent trends show that lower-income regions are also beginning to see an increase. This study explores how pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence have changed over the past 30 years among adults aged 70 and older assessing regional differences. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) spanning three decades (1990–2021) to assess pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence rates among adults aged 70+. Data focused on different regions worldwide, grouping them by income levels using the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and annual changes in incidence and prevalence rates were calculated. Results: In 2021, High-income Asia Pacific had the highest incidence rate at 119.52 per 100,000, whereas Low SDI regions had the lowest at 12.01 per 100,000. High-income regions accounted for the majority of cases, with over 140,000 reported, compared to fewer than 3,000 in the lowest-income areas. Andean Latin America experienced significant APC fluctuations, with a sharp rise from 2015 to 2019 followed by a decline, while High-income North America saw a recent decrease in incidence. Overall, most regions exhibit a steady increase in pancreatic cancer prevalence, with higher AAPCs in Sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, and parts of Asia, while high-income regions show more moderate increases. Trend analysis reveals significant trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence among individuals aged 70+. Western Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) at 2.3248%, indicating the most substantial increase in prevalence from 1990 to 2021, followed by North Africa and the Middle East at 1.9906%. Low-middle SDI regions also show a steady rise with an AAPC of 1.718%, while high-income regions like High-income Asia Pacific report a notable AAPC of 1.595%. Conclusions: Our findings show a concerning rise in pancreatic cancer among older adults, with the most dramatic increases in regions like Western Sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa. To tackle this growing challenge, we need focused efforts on prevention, early detection, and accessible care, especially in lower-resource settings. Incidence percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) Highest incidence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 7.62 15.38 2.31 North Africa and Middle East 20.97 37.23 1.91 Lowest incidence percent change Caribbean 41.51 41.36 -0.016 Southern Latin America 74.05 73.89 0.006 Highest prevalence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 4.54 9.21 2.32 North Africa and Middle East 12.49 22.77 1.99 Lowest prevalence rate percent change Caribbean 25.02 25.38 0.02 Southern Latin America 44.78 45.45 0.06