e16072 Background: Gastric cancer is a leading cause of mortality worldwide, with pronounced variations in outcomes across populations. This study investigates U.S. trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for gastric cancer from 1999 to 2023, examining differences by gender, race, region, and urbanization to uncover critical patterns and inequities. Methods: Data were extracted from the CDC WONDER database using ICD-10 code C16 to identify gastric cancer-related deaths in adults aged 25 and older. AAMRs per 1,000,000 population were calculated and stratified by year, gender, race/ethnicity, geographic region, and urban-rural classification. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to determine annual percentage changes (APC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: From 1999 to 2023, there were 312,300 gastric cancer deaths (185,391 men, 126,909 women). Overall, AAMRs declined consistently, with APCs of -3.4 for the period 1999 to 2007, -2.2 for 2007 to 2018, and -1.2 for 2018 to 2023. Men showed a more pronounced decline, with APCs of -3.6 for 1999 to 2009 and -2.2 for 2009 to 2023, compared to women, who had APCs of -3.1 for 1999 to 2008, -1.9 for 2008 to 2018, and -0.8 for 2018 to 2023. Non-Hispanic Black populations experienced a decline in AAMR with an APC of -3.3 for 1999 to 2020, while Hispanic/Latino and Asian/Pacific Islander populations showed declines with APCs of -2.8 for 1999 to 2011 and -3.8 for 1999 to 2020, respectively. Metropolitan areas saw AAMR reductions with APCs of -3.3 for 1999 to 2008 and -2.2 for 2008 to 2020, while non-metropolitan areas had larger initial declines with an APC of -3.6 for 1999 to 2006 but slower decreases with an APC of -2.0 for 2006 to 2020. Geographically, the Northeast had the highest AAMR (62.9), followed by the West (61.7), South (57.4), and Midwest (50.9). Hawaii recorded the highest state-level AAMR (96.5), while Wyoming had the lowest (36.6). States in the top 90th percentile included Alaska, California, and New York, whereas Utah, Idaho, and Iowa were among the lowest. Conclusions: Gastric cancer mortality in the U.S. has declined over the past two decades, but the pace of reduction has slowed in recent years. Significant disparities persist across gender, racial, and geographic groups, underscoring the need for targeted interventions to address these inequities and improve outcomes in vulnerable populations.
Comparison of intensity-modulated radiotherapy and 3D conformal radiotherapy in the treatment of esophageal carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
e16001 Background: Esophageal carcinoma ranks among the top 10 malignancies in the world, contributing to high morbidity and mortality. With radiotherapy being one of the most administered treatment options, different variations of administration have evolved. Two such variations include intensity-modulated radiotherapy and 3D conformational radiotherapy. These modalities have been investigated for their efficacy and rate of adverse events. However, conclusions from the trials conducted have been variable. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aim to collate these findings to assess the exposure of cancerous cells and rates of adverse events following IMRT or 3D-CRT. Methods: A comprehensive literature search was conducted across three databases for all articles published from inception till September 2024. All primary studies evaluating the comparative efficacy of IMRT vs 3D-CRT were included. Outcomes assessed include dose volume histograms (DVHs) at heart and lung, Dmax at the spinal cord, and irradiation toxicity. Data analysis was conducted in RevMan 5.4 using a random-effects model. Results: A total of twenty records were included in the study, with a sample size of 3090 patients. Radiation dosage, estimated as DVHs, was equal across both regimens at heart (MD: 2.67; 95%CI: –0.15 to 5.48; P = 0.06), except at 40 Gy of radiation, where a lower DVH was noted among patients being administered IMRT (MD: 6.64; 95%CI: 0.25 to 13.03; P = 0.04). At the lung, a higher DVH was noted, especially for doses of 20 Gy or above, on using IMRT. Similarly, a lower dosage in the spinal cord was noted in the IMRT group (MD: 2.87; 95%CI: 1.04 to 4.70; P = .002). Consequently, a lower risk of esophagitis was noted among the IMRT group (OR: 1.54; 95%CI: 1.14 to 2.07; p = 0.009]). While considering patient outcomes, the odds of survival were higher in the IMRT group at 3 years post-treatment (OR: 0.53; 95%CI: 0.31 to 0.92; P = 0.02). Conclusions: IMRT was superior to 3D-CRT in terms of volume of tissue irradiated and lower spinal toxicity. A higher chance of survival was noted in the IMRT group. Further trials are needed to strengthen these findings. Outcome Mean Difference (MD) 95% confidence interval (CI) P value Mean dosage at lung 1.14 0.6, 1.68 <0.0001 Mean dosage at heart 2.67 -0.15, 5.48 0.06 Radiation esophagitis Odds ratio, OR: 1.38 1.09, 1.76 0.009 Radiation pneumonitis OR:1.37 0.62, 3.01 0.43 3-year OS OR: 0.69 0.56, 0.84 0.0003 5-year OS OR: 0.53 0.31, 0.92 0.02 Maximum dosage at spinal cord 2.87 1.04, 4.7 0.0002
Gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A Global Burden of Disease analysis (1990-2021).
e16423 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, disproportionately affecting older adults. Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), this study investigates gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates for PC among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC were extracted for both genders from the GBD-2021 study from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) were calculated, along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), to assess the statistical significance of the trends using the p-value. Results: In 1990, DALY rates were 837.25 for men and 711.95 for women, increasing to 950.68 and 768.31, respectively, by 2021. Mortality rates followed a similar pattern: men’s rates rose from 52.05 in 1990 to 61.37 in 2021, while women’s increased from 47.31 to 53.40. Men consistently experienced higher burdens than women. The AAPC analysis revealed that men exhibited a steeper rise in both DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC compared to women over the past three decades. Notably, the gender disparity was more evident in DALYs (+0.1929%) than in mortality rates (+0.1358%), with all AAPC values demonstrating statistical significance (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, additional significant trends were identified. Among males, DALY rates demonstrated the most pronounced increase between 1997 and 2021 (APC: 0.5397, 95% CI: 0.5118, 0.5645), whereas in females, the most significant rise occurred from 1990 to 1993 (APC: 0.6593, 95% CI: 0.3608, 1.1016). Conversely, the slowest increase in DALY rates among females was observed between 1993 and 2003 (APC: 0.0925, 95% CI: -0.2053, 0.1641). For mortality rates, the most notable rise in males was observed between 2007 and 2010 (APC: 1.2314, 95% CI: 1.0292, 1.3195), while females experienced their sharpest escalation from 1990 to 1994 (APC: 0.6891, 95% CI: 0.4322, 1.0720). In contrast, the slowest rate of progression in mortality among females occurred between 1993 and 2002 (APC: 0.1736, 95% CI: 0.0180, 0.2368). Conclusions: Over the past three decades, men have experienced a significantly more pronounced rise in DALYs and mortality rates related to PC compared to women.These findings highlight the urgent need for gender-specific interventions to address the growing burden of PC in aging populations. Trends in DALY and mortality rates per 100,000 by gender (1990-2021). Metrics Gender 1990 2021 APC (1990-2021) Daly Rates per 100,000 Male 837.25 950.68 0.4422 Female 711.9 768.31 0.2493 Mortality Rates per 100,000 Male 52.05 61.37 0.5366 Female 47.31 53.40 0.4008
Global trends in prevalence and incidence of pancreatic cancer among adults aged 70 and older: A comprehensive analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study (1990–2021).
e22570 Background: Aging into the seventh decade of life marks a pivotal shift in cancer susceptibility, with pancreatic cancer (PC) emerging as one of the most relentless threats to global health. This study utilizes three decades of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data to unravel unprecedented insights into the prevalence and incidence of PC among adults aged 70 and older. Methods: We analyzed data from the GBD study to assess the temporal trends in the incidence and prevalence of PC from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC), along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), were utilized to assess the overall trends, with statistical significance evaluated using p-values. Results: Over the past three decades, the global burden of PC has surged significantly. In 1990, the global incidence of PC stood at 45.12 per 100,000, escalating to 54.47 per 100,000 by 2021. Likewise, global prevalence increased from 30.33 per 100,000 in 1990 to 40.60 per 100,000 in 2021, with incidence rates consistently exceeding prevalence, suggesting an accelerating number of new cases of PC worldwide. The AAPC analysis revealed a significant upward trajectory in both global incidence (AAPC: 0.6085, 95% CI: 0.5801, 0.6273 p < 0.000001) and prevalence (AAPC: 0.9467, 95% CI: 0.9188, 0.9659 p < 0.000001) of PC. Following the APC analysis, several notable trends emerged. The global incidence of PC experienced its most substantial increase between 2003 and 2010 (APC: 1.0806, 95% CI: 0.9817, 1.3206 p < 0.000001), while the slowest growth in incidence occurred from 1990 to 2003 (APC: 95% CI: 0.9817, 1.3206 p = 0.000400). Conversely, the global prevalence of pancreatic cancer saw its most pronounced rise between 1998 and 2001 (APC: 2.0389, 95% CI: 1.2005, 2.1962 p < 0.000001), with the slowest increase occurring from 1994 to 1998 (APC: 0.4632, 95% CI: 0.2544, 1.9767 p = 0.001200). Conclusions: The persistent rise in both incidence and prevalence of PC over the past three decades underscores a critical global health challenge, with a marked acceleration in recent years. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted interventions and a deeper understanding of the factors driving this expanding burden, particularly as the incidence consistently outpaces prevalence. Metric Overall 1990 2021 AAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) INCIDENCE RATES PER 100,000 Global Incidence 45.12 54.47 0.61 (0.58, 0.63) PREVALENCE RATES PER 100,000 Global Prevalence 30.33 40.60 0.95 (0.92, 0.97)