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Ahmad, Husnain

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2226-1100

Mayo Clinic

Shalamar Medical and Dental College , Lahore ,

Citations 16

SUN-614 Sex-Stratified Mortality and Disability-adjusted Life Years due to Type 1 Diabetes in Adolescents and Young Adults from 1990 to 2021: A Global Burden of Disease Study
Ahmad, Husnain , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Khan, Iqra , Raza, Ahmed , Haider, Rabbia, Khawar, Muneeb , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Khan, Zarak, Qadeer, Abdul, Ullah, Fazal, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1263 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: H. Ahmad: None. S. Fatima: None. M. Kakakhel: None. I. khan: None. A. Raza: None. Z. Khan: None. R. Haider: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. F. Ullah: None. H. Jawad: None. J. Ikram: None. F. Ahmed: None. R.W. Kirchoff: None. Background: Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is an autoimmune condition, characterized by the destruction of pancreatic beta cells, resulting in lifelong dependency on insulin. It is a significant health burden in adolescents and young adults, with long-term complications affecting quality of life and survival. We aim to explore sex-stratified trends in mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to T1DM from 1990 to 2021. Methods: We obtained sex-stratified data for adolescents and young adults (15-39 years) with T1DM from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) from 1990 to 2021. The mortality rates were age-standardized and expressed per 100,000 deaths. Trends were analyzed as annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using Joinpoint Regression. Results: From 1990 to 2021, deaths due to T1DM in adolescent and young adult males increased globally from 7,123 to 9,244 per annum, with age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) decreasing from 0.64 to 0.61 and standardized DALYs rising from 49.56 to 51. In females, deaths rose from 6,160 to 6,892, with ASMRs declining from 0.57 to 0.47 and DALYs declining from 47.12 to 43.11. Despite the apparent rise in deaths, ASMRs exhibited a significant decline in both sexes, with an AAPC of -0.16% (95% CI: -0.20 to -0.12) in males and -0.62% (-0.68 to -0.55) in females, four times that of in males. The DALYs showed a significant decline in females with an AAPC of -0.31% (-0.35 to -0.26) but a significant increase in males with an AAPC of 0.09% (0.04 to 0.12). Males showed the greatest APC increase in ASMRs of 1.34% from 1990 to 1994, while females showed the greatest APC increase of 0.45% from 1990 to 2000, three times less and over twice the period seen in males. This was followed by the greatest APC decline of -1.14% in females from 2001 to 2011, and a non-significant decline of -0.14% till 2021. Males experienced the greatest decline of -1.14% from 2000 to 2013. It then increased significantly from 2013 to 2018 (APC: 0.73%), followed by a significant decline of -0.62% till 2021, almost four times that in females. DALYs showed a similar trend in females with the greatest increase of 0.45% from 1990 to 2000, followed by the greatest decrease of -1.14% till 2011, and then a non-significant decline of -0.14 till 2021. Males showed the greatest increase of 1.24% from 1990 to 1994 and the greatest decrease of 0.63% from 2000 to 2013, followed by a much smaller decline. Conclusion: Although ASMRs declined, the recent decline in ASMRs in females is becoming less pronounced highlighting the importance of ongoing monitoring and improvement strategies. The disparity in DALYs between males and females also demands the need for targeted interventions addressing male-specific challenges to reduce the burden of T1DM. Presentation: Sunday, July 13, 2025
SAT-347 Temporal Trends and Demographic Disparities in Thyroid Cancer Mortality: A Nationwide Analysis Using CDC WONDER
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Hussein, Mirna , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Rizwan, Daniah, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Haider, Rabbia, Batool, Sania, Jawad, Hamna , Saleem, Noor , Ahmad, Husnain , Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W, Fatima, Sumaiyah, Arshad, Faraz , Batool, Sania, Saleem, Noor ul Ain , Kirchoff, Robert W. , Kirchoff, Robert W

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.2265 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. M. Hussein: None. S. Fatima: None. F. Arshad: None. D. Rizwan: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. R. Haider: None. S. Batool: None. H. Jawad: None. N.U. saleem: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. R. Kirchoff: None. R. Kirchoff: None. Background: With a global prevalence of 586,000 cases of thyroid cancer, thyroid cancer is the 10th most common malignancy. Despite advancements in early detection and treatment, the incidence of thyroid cancer continues to increase in the United States. This study aims to assess disparities in mortality trends stratified by age, sex, race, geography, urbanization status, and location of death, to guide clinical decision making. Methodology: Mortality data on thyroid cancer were extracted from the CDC-WONDER database, from 1999 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) and crude mortality rates (CMRs) per 100,000 were stratified by age, sex, race, geography, urbanization status, and place of death. Joinpoint regression software was used to determine annual percent change (APC) and average APC. Results: From 1999 to 2020, a total of 46,777 deaths attributed to thyroid cancer occurred in the United States, among individuals aged ≥ 25 years. The overall AAMRs showed a positive trend, increasing from 0.6 per 100,000 (95% CI: 0.5-0.6) in 1999, to 0.7 (95% CI: 0.7 - 0.7) in 2020. 56.63% of those deaths, or 26,493 deaths, occurred in women. When stratified by age group, the 85+ age group had the highest CMR of 9 (95% CI: 8.3-9.7). The racial group with the highest AAMRs were Whites, with an AAMR of 0.7 per 100,000. Mortalities in the South region accounted for 33.5% of total deaths. Moreover, metro areas also had higher mortality rates than non-metro areas. Information regarding place of death was only available for 8242 deaths, with 2763 of them occurring in medical settings. Conclusion: Mortality rates in all population groups increased from 1999 to 2020, with variations in mortality rates noted among them. Risk stratification of high-risk groups, such as older people and women, and targeted interventions are key for addressing disparities in mortality rates. Presentation: Saturday, July 12, 2025
MON-828 Silent Risks and Rising Numbers: Mapping the Mortality Trends of Hypertension-Linked Endocrine Disorders in the U.S. (1999-2020)
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Haider, Rabbia, Cheema, Shamikha , Irshad, Saba , Hussain, Muhammad Ubaid, Ullah, Aman , Khan, Anum Zia, Naveed, Farwa , Jawad, Hamna , Hemida, Mohamed Fawzi , Khawar, Muneeb , Ahmad, Husnain , Ahmed, Faizan , Alcaraz, Renato, Irshad, Sara Muhammad, Hussain, Muhammad Ubaid, Khan, Anum Zia, Naveed, Fatima , Qadeer, Abdul, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1293 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. R. Haider: None. S. Cheema: None. S.M. Irshad: None. M.U. Hussain: None. A. Ullah: None. A.Z. Khan: None. F. Naveed: None. H. Jawad: None. F. Naveed: None. M.F. Hemida: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. R.W. Kirchoff: None. R. Alcaraz: None. Background: Hypertension has been a significant cause of morbidity and mortality for ages. Coupled with endocrine disorders, it poses a greater risk of indisposition to the U.S population. This CDC wonder analysis explores the trends and patterns of these disorders, stratified by states and rural/urban. Methods: To attain this objective, this retrospective study has utilized data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database to assess endocrine disorder-related mortality rates in the pediatric population from 1999 to 2011. Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) and Annual Percent Change (APC) were used to evaluate trends and produce age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 people. Data was stratified by year, sex, race/ethnicity, state-wise and geographical regions. Statistical significance and confidence intervals were used to assess the reliability of the observed trends. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, 2383332 deaths in the United States were attributed to endocrine-related mortality with underlying hypertension. The Overall AAMR initially rose steeply from 10.7 in 1999 to 24.9 in 2001 (APC: 34.3; 95% CI: 9.5 to 56.7), followed by a period of further steady increase in AAMR till 36.5 in 2018 (APC: 1.6; 95% CI: 0.6 to 2.1). This progressive increase in AAMR then sharply spiked from 2018 onwards, reaching 51.7 in 2020 (APC: 18.1*; 95% CI: 9.3 to 23.5). Notable discrepancies were observed in urbanization. Non-metropolitan areas showed a higher AAMR (35.5) than metropolitan (31.5). State-level analysis revealed substantial heterogeneity, including Mississippi as the state of the highest AAMR (58.6). Conclusion: The concerning rise of AAMR in non-metropolitan areas and Mississippi calls for more targeted health-care policies. These findings underscore the need for geographically tailored public health interventions to address disparities in endocrine disorder-related mortality in these groups. Presentation: Monday, July 14, 2025
MON-827 Hypertension and Hormones: Decoding Mortality Trends Across the U.S. (1999-2020)
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Cheema, Shamikha , Haider, Rabbia, Filal, Maryem, Ullah, Aman, Hussain, Muhammad Ubaid, Sadiq, Muhammad , Binashikhbubkr, Noof K. , Jawad, Hamna , Abdullah, Ahmed, Qadri, Maria , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ahmad, Husnain , Alcaraz, Renato, Ullah, Aman, Hussain, Muhammad Ubaid, Asghar, Tehreem , Arshad, Faraz , Qadri, Maria , Ahmed, Faizan

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1292 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. S. Cheema: None. R. Haider: None. M. Filal: None. A. Ullah: None. M.U. Hussain: None. M.A. Sadiq: None. T. Asghar: None. F. Arshad: None. N.K. Binashikhbubkr: None. H. Jawad: None. A. Abdullah: None. M. Qadri: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. R. Alcaraz: None. Background: Hypertension is a major global health issue, affecting nearly half of U.S. adults. It is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular diseases like stroke, heart attack, and heart failure. Additionally, it is often linked to endocrine disorders, which can result in secondary hypertension. Endocrine disorders contributed to a concerning 2,383,332 deaths in the United States between 1999 and 2020, with many of these individuals having underlying hypertension. Methods: Death certificate data for adults aged 25 and older were obtained from the CDC-WONDER database. Crude mortality rates (CMR) and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 individuals were computed. Temporal trends were analyzed by calculating the annual percent change (APC) and the average annual percent change (AAPC) in the rates using Joinpoint regression analysis. Results: The age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) rose sharply from 10.7 (95% CI:10.6-10.9) in 1999 to 24.9 (95% CI: 9.5 to 56.7) in 2001, then continued to increase steadily to 36.5 (95% CI: 0.6 to 2.1) by 2018. From 2018 onwards, the rate spiked significantly, reaching 51.7 (95% CI: 9.3 to 23.5) in 2020, which coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic. Men had higher overall AAMR i.e. 36.6 as compared to women 28.4 during the span of this study. Stratifying by race, Non-Hispanic Blacks or African Americans had the highest overall age-adjusted mortality rate at 64.4 vs non-Hispanic whites, who had the lowest rate at 27.6. Southern states exhibited the highest mortality rates among the census region followed by the Western, Midwestern, and Northeastern regions. In contrast, the Annual Mortality Rates (AAMRs) displayed similar patterns across all regions. Regarding age, people aged 85 and above had the highest mortality rate among all the age groups while ages 25-34 had the lowest. Conclusion: Endocrine disorders associated with underlying hypertension showed an increasing trend throughout the study period, peaking during the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings account for immediate targeted interventions directed at the most vulnerable demographic and geographical groups Presentation: Monday, July 14, 2025
SUN-608 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease: A Two-Decade Analysis of Mortality Trends and Demographic Disparities
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Cheema, Shamikha , Haider, Rabbia, Saleem, Fahad , Ullah, Aman , Shah, Mandar Kalpesh , Khawar, Muneeb , Jawad, Hamna , Ahmad, Husnain , Ahmed, Faizan , Swathi, N L, Alcaraz, Renato, Qadeer, Abdul, Swathi, N. L.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1257 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. S. Cheema: None. R. Haider: None. F. Saleem: None. A. Ullah: None. M. Shah: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. H. Jawad: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. S. N.l.: None. R. Alcaraz: None. Background: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a global health burden, contributing significantly to mortality and comorbidities, including chronic kidney disease (CKD), which remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality, especially in type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Methods: This retrospective cohort study examined mortality data from the United States from the CDC WONDER database, which gathers data from death certificates. Particularly, deaths from renal problems (ICD-10 codes E10.2-E14.2) linked to diabetes were the emphasis. Sex, age, race/ethnicity, and geographic location were among the important demographic factors that were used to stratify the data for the analysis. Temporal trends were examined using linear regression, while geographic disparities were assessed through chi-square tests and regression analysis. A significance level of p<0.05 was used for all tests. Results: According to the data, the death rate from diabetes increased significantly between 1999 and 2020. Between 1999 and 2020, the number of deaths from diabetes rose from 2,325 to 74,296. From 13.12 per 100,000 in 1999 to 276.92 per 100,000 in 2020, the age-adjusted death rate increased significantly, indicating a fivefold rise in mortality rates over the 21 years. After 2010, the pace of increase became especially steep, with notable yearly increases, especially in the years after 2013. In the Hispanic population alone, the number of deaths from diabetes more than quadrupled between 2013 and 2020, rising from 5,378 in 2013 to 10,395 in 2020. Male mortality rates were consistently greater than female death rates, indicating gender-based inequities as well. By 2020, there were 41,225 male deaths from diabetes (AAMR: 351.07). Notably, the death rate for men was almost 60% greater than that for women in 2020, with rates rising more sharply for men, particularly from 2010 onward. Significant differences in diabetes-related mortality were also observed by geography. Florida, Texas, and California had the largest mortality burdens; in California alone, 73,185 deaths, or 13.8% of all deaths, occurred. Lastly, more deaths were found to occur in medical facilities, especially inpatient settings, as well as at home or in hospice care, indicating a change in the place of death. Conclusions: The study shows a significant rise in diabetes-related mortality in the US over the past two decades, with males experiencing a higher mortality rate. Geographic disparities are also evident, with Southern states and large states like California, Texas, and Florida contributing disproportionately. The shift in death places suggests increased reliance on medical facilities, home care, and hospice care. The study calls for targeted public health interventions to address the growing burden of diabetes-related mortality, particularly in high-risk regions. Presentation: Sunday, July 13, 2025
SAT-231 A Retrospective Analysis of Pediatric Endocrine Disorder Mortality Across Demographic and Geographic Groups in the United States
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Cheema, Shamikha , Haider, Rabbia, Saleem, Fahad , Jawad, Hamna , Khan, Anum Zia, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ullah, Aman , Hemida, Mohamed Fawzi , Ahmad, Husnain , Alcaraz, Renato, Alsaadi, Mustafa Haleem , Khan, Anum Zia, Ahmed, Faizan

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1797 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. S. Cheema: None. R. Haider: None. F. Saleem: None. M.H. Alsaadi: None. H. Jawad: None. A.Z. Khan: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. A. Ullah: None. M.F. Hemida: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. R. Alcaraz: None. Background: Globally, pediatric endocrine anomalies are a significant cause of early mortality. This study examines the discrepancies of paediatric endocrine abnormalities across various demographic and geographic groups in the United States, including gender, census region, race, age groups, and urbanization levels. Our objective was to identify disparities and trends to inform targeted interventions for the vulnerable demographics. Methods: Adhering to STROBES criteria, we extracted the mortality statistics due to endocrine disorders in the paediatric population from 1999-2020 from the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention-Wide Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic research (CDC-WONDER). We calculated Age-Adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 individuals. We calculated the Annual Percentage Change (APC) and Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) to assess trends stratified by age, gender, urbanization, race, census region, and states. Joinpoint regression model was used for analysis. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, 5161 deaths among children less than 1 year to 14 years of age in the United States were related to endocrine-related disorders. Most occurred due to thyroid disorders, diabetes mellitus, and other miscellaneous disorders related to glucose regulation and pancreatic internal secretion. The overall AAPC for endocrine-related mortality in the pediatric population increased from 1.4866 in 2008 to 2.4982 in 2020, with an AAPC of 0.1346 (95% CI: -3.1216 to -3.5003, p > 0.000001). The male population had higher AAPCs than the female population (women: -0.9938; men: 0.7223). There were notable racial differences: The Hispanic or Latino population had the highest AAPC (0.15), followed by the Black population (-0.195) and then the White population with the lowest AAPC (-0.166). According to the age group stratification, the age group with the highest AAPC was the 5-14 age group (2.03) and the lowest the less than 1 year age group, with AAPC (-2.007). There was a significant decrease in deaths in the less than 1 year age group from 1999 to 2020 (p value < 0.05) with APC (-2.0) (95% CI: -3.0191 to -0.9861) and for the 5-14 age group from 2010 to 2020 with APC (10.8861) (95% CI: 3.4843 to 18.8). Depending on the urban-rural categorization, metro areas had a higher AAPC (0.1508) compared to the non-metro areas with an AAPC (-0.4467). Conclusion: The overall decline in endocrine-related deaths in the pediatric population from 1999 to 2020 hails an improvement in efforts made to manage these disorders. However, the recent uptick in the Hispanic-Latino population emphasizes the necessity for targeted efforts to tackle these disparities and improve the health outcomes of affected communities as well as in children 1-4 years of age, depicting the increased vulnerability and need for added care in this age group. Presentation: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Regional disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates in gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Komel, Aqsa, Ahmad, Husnain , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khawar, Muneeb , Qadeer, Abdul , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16076 Get It

e16076 Background: Gastric cancer is the fourth leading cause of global cancer deaths. Despite declining incidence and mortality, it remains a significant contributor to the global disease burden. This study analyzes regional gastric cancer DALYs and mortality trends from 1990-2021 using the GBD database. Methods: The regional DALYs and mortality rates per 100,000 individuals aged 70+ from GBD 2021 were analyzed, with trends from 1990 to 2021 evaluated using AAPC, and statistical significance assessed by p-values. Results: In 2021, the greatest Age-standardized DALYs rates were recorded in Andean Latin America, with 3068.04 per 100,000; the lowest was found in High-income North America with 386.08 per 100,000. The most significant increase of DALYs rate from 1990 to 2021 was in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, (AAPC = -0.3068%; 95% CI: -0.3852 to -0.2234; p < 0.000001), while in Western Europe, the largest decline was noted (AAPC = -2.9999%; 95% CI: -3.0164 to -2.9841; p < 0.000001). Andean Latin America was the region with the highest Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) in 2021, at 207.58 per 100,000 while High-income North America had the lowest at 27.18 per 100,000. In Western Sub-Saharan Africa, the ASMRs were rising with an AAPC of -0.2601% (95% CI: -0.2872 to -0.2368; p < 0.000001), while Western Europe had the highest decline with an AAPC of -2.7658% (95% CI: -2.7895 to -2.7471; p < 0.000001). Conclusions: The global burden of diseases from 1990 to 2021 is regional in nature. In 2021, DALYs and mortality were predominantly high in Andean Latin America and East Asia and notably low in High-income North America. DALYs have risen across Southern Sub-Saharan Africa over three decades, and mortality increased over Western Sub-Saharan Africa, while both declined sharply in Western Europe. These trends underscore the importance of regionalized health solutions. DALY per 100,000. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 4469.23 3068.04 -1.14 East Asia 5507.72 2958.98 -1.99 High Income Asia Pacific 4849.23 2130.43 -2.71 LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 High Income North America 758.59 386.09 -2.22 Australasia 1116.91 567.32 -2.16 South Asia 794.81 680.50 -0.46 HIGHEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 293.65 207.58 -1.04 East Asia 324.60 188.92 -1.72 High Income Asia Pacific 316.44 161.94 -2.22 LOWEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 High Income North America 51.24 27.19 -2.02 Australasia 74.36 41.81 -1.85 South Asia 47.50 41.95 -0.39
National trends in mortality of gastric cancer among older adults (70+) from 1990 to 2021 across 204 nations: A global burden of disease study.
Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Iqra , Jawad, Hamna , Rizwan, Daniah, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16074 Get It

e16074 Background: Gastric cancer is a malignant disease characterized by the uncontrolled growth of cells in the stomach lining. It is a global health concern with regional variation in incidence and prevalence. This study examines the national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: GBD data was analysed to assess the mortality rates of Gastric cancer in individuals aged ≥ 70 years. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021, with p-values determining statistical significance. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence of Gastric cancer increased, peaking in 2021. Japan recorded the highest prevalence (621.7379, UI: 525.93, 675.74), followed by the Republic of Korea and China.In 2021, Bolivia (Plurinational State of) had the highest mortality rate (309.7, CI: 400.9, 240.6), slightly lower than its 1990 rate (445.35, CI: 539.58, 362.14), which was the highest that year. Mongolia (303.15, CI: 378.8, 226.2) and Cabo Verde (265.1, CI: 322.6, 206.8) followed. The lowest mortality rates were observed in Morocco (20.9, CI: 25.9, 15.0), Namibia (20.93, CI: 25.93, 16.4), and Nigeria (23.27, CI: 32.3, 19.2).Countries with the largest EAPC increases included Egypt (0.98, CI: 1.84, -0.22), Honduras (0.31, CI: 0.7, -0.01), and Lesotho (0.16, CI: 0.597, -0.16). The greatest declines were seen in Austria (-0.72, CI: -0.68, -0.74), Czechia (-0.69, CI: -0.64, -0.74), and Hungary (-0.67, CI: -0.607, -0.72). Conclusions: Mortality rates associated with Gastric Cancer among individuals aged 70 and older increased globally from 1990 to 2021, notably in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho, emphasizing the need for improved prevention, management, and research on underlying disparities. Mortality percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Egypt 30.43 60.44 0.98 (1.84, -0.22) Honduras 140.76 184.48 0.31 (0.7, -0.01) Lesotho 77.18 90.26 0.16 (0.59, -0.16) LOWEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Austria 177.25 49.48 -0.72 (-0.68, -0.74) Czechia 168.73 51.51 -0.69 (-0.64, -0.74) Hungary 184.88 60.55 -0.67 (0.607, -0.72)
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Abdul basit, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Khawar, Muneeb , Nisar, Muhammad Shahid , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Jawad, Hamna , Zaied, Mohammad A. , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Khan, Abdul basit, Nisar, Mudasar, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16456 Get It

e16456 Background: Gastric cancer is one of the significant contributors of mortality and morbidity, especially in older patients. Analyzing national trends in the Disability adjust life years (DALY) helps identify the evolving burden of this disease among patients older than 70 years and highlights the regions requiring particular interventions. Methods: Using Global burden of disease data from 2021, national DALY rates per 100,000 people aged 70 and over with gastric cancer were assessed. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPCs) with p value taken as a statistical measure of significance, was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021. Results: The analysis displays considerable contrasts in the trends of gastric cancer burden across nations. From 1990 to 2021, a rising trend in DALY EAPC was seen in Egypt (1.01883; 95% CI: -0.1931- 1.958) followed by Honduras (0.3262; 95% CI: 0.0177- 0.7456) and Lesotho (0.2253; 95% CI:-0.1326- 0.6995). Conversely, Austria (-0.7368; 95% CI: -0.7646 to -0.7087), Republic of Korea (-0.7095; 95% CI: -0.7620 to -0.6442) and Singapore (-0.6923; 95% CI: -0.7286 to -0.6553) reported a prominent decline in DALY EAPCs, reflecting significant progress in reducing burden. The DALY rates in 2021 also varied dramatically among nations. Highest DALY rate was observed in Bolivia (4882.7; 95% CI:3782.9- 6349.7) underscoring highest impact on healthcare system. Conversely, Morocco (329.69; 95% CI: 234.64- 410.12) recorded lowest DALY rate indicating comparatively better disease control or lower incidence. Conclusions: While some nations demonstrate remarkable progress in mitigating the burden of gastric cancer, others still face significant challenges. Highest increase in EAPC in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho whereas significant decline in Austria, Korea, and Singapore indicates areas of target public health efforts. Future research should focus on understanding the causes of these disparities and evaluating the impact of interventions across it. DALY and EPAC. Country 2021 DALY rate EAPC(1990-2021) EAPC, 95% CI Egypt 1272.146 1.018834(highest) -0.193 to 1.959 Honduras 2880.563 0.32617 0.018 to 0.746 Lesotho 1555.79 0.225384 -0.133 to 0.699 Singapore 806.6098 -0.692396 -0.729 to -0.655 Republic of Korea 1961.151 -0.709502 -0.762 to -0.644 Austria 662.5105 -0.736826(lowest) -0.765 to -0.709 Morocco 410.1227(lowest) -0.17817 -0.387 to 0.097 Bolivia 4882.718(highest) -0.32185 -0.473 to -0.103
Gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A Global Burden of Disease analysis (1990-2021).
Iqbal, Rabia , Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Zafar, Maha , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16423 Get It

e16423 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, disproportionately affecting older adults. Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), this study investigates gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates for PC among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC were extracted for both genders from the GBD-2021 study from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) were calculated, along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), to assess the statistical significance of the trends using the p-value. Results: In 1990, DALY rates were 837.25 for men and 711.95 for women, increasing to 950.68 and 768.31, respectively, by 2021. Mortality rates followed a similar pattern: men’s rates rose from 52.05 in 1990 to 61.37 in 2021, while women’s increased from 47.31 to 53.40. Men consistently experienced higher burdens than women. The AAPC analysis revealed that men exhibited a steeper rise in both DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC compared to women over the past three decades. Notably, the gender disparity was more evident in DALYs (+0.1929%) than in mortality rates (+0.1358%), with all AAPC values demonstrating statistical significance (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, additional significant trends were identified. Among males, DALY rates demonstrated the most pronounced increase between 1997 and 2021 (APC: 0.5397, 95% CI: 0.5118, 0.5645), whereas in females, the most significant rise occurred from 1990 to 1993 (APC: 0.6593, 95% CI: 0.3608, 1.1016). Conversely, the slowest increase in DALY rates among females was observed between 1993 and 2003 (APC: 0.0925, 95% CI: -0.2053, 0.1641). For mortality rates, the most notable rise in males was observed between 2007 and 2010 (APC: 1.2314, 95% CI: 1.0292, 1.3195), while females experienced their sharpest escalation from 1990 to 1994 (APC: 0.6891, 95% CI: 0.4322, 1.0720). In contrast, the slowest rate of progression in mortality among females occurred between 1993 and 2002 (APC: 0.1736, 95% CI: 0.0180, 0.2368). Conclusions: Over the past three decades, men have experienced a significantly more pronounced rise in DALYs and mortality rates related to PC compared to women.These findings highlight the urgent need for gender-specific interventions to address the growing burden of PC in aging populations. Trends in DALY and mortality rates per 100,000 by gender (1990-2021). Metrics Gender 1990 2021 APC (1990-2021) Daly Rates per 100,000 Male 837.25 950.68 0.4422 Female 711.9 768.31 0.2493 Mortality Rates per 100,000 Male 52.05 61.37 0.5366 Female 47.31 53.40 0.4008