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Ahmed, Faizan

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3113-5410

Mayo Clinic

Duke University Hospital

Citations 5

SUN-612 Gender-Specific Prevalence and Incidence Trends in Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus: A Global Burden of Disease Analysis in Adolescents and Young Adults (Aged 15-39) from 1990 to 2021
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Ahmad, Husnain , Ibrahim, Arwa , Haider, Rabbia, Jawad, Hamna , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ahmed, Faizan , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Rahman, Waqas, Ikram, Jibran , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1261 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. S. Fatima: None. H. Ahmad: None. A. Ibrahim: None. W. Rahman: None. R. Haider: None. H. Jawad: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. F. Ahmed: None. J. Ikram: None. R. Kirchoff: None. Background: Across the world, type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is a major health problem for teenagers and young people. This study aims to examine the incidence and prevalence of T1DM by gender in the 15-39 age range between 1990 and 2021. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) to evaluate incidence and prevalence rates of T1DM in each gender from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and The Annual Average Percentage Change (AAPC) was used to assess trends, with p-values determining the statistical significance. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence of T1DM was found to be increased steadily for both genders, with the highest rates recorded in 2021: 247.32 per 100,000 for females and 246.47 per 100,000 for males. Incidence rates in 2021 showed a contrasting pattern, with males exhibiting higher rates (7.18 per 100,000) compared to females (5.98 per 100,000). AAPC analysis showed that males exhibit a faster rise in both prevalence and incidence compared to females over the study period. The difference in AAPC between males and females is more pronounced for prevalence (+0.3748%) compared to incidence (+0.1956%), with all AAPC values being statistically significant (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, other significant trends were revealed. Male incidence experienced the greatest increase during 2015-2021, with an APC of +1.9033% (p < 0.000001), whereas female incidence increased most between 2011 and 2014 (APC = +1.3050%; p < 0.000001). In contrast, the most significant decline in incidence was observed in females during 1990-1992, with an APC of +0.1665% (p = 0.006799), which was the lowest increase in the dataset. For prevalence, males exhibited the highest increase during 2015-2021, with an APC of +1.3938% (p < 0.000001), whereas females had their peak increase during 2006-2009, with an APC of +0.8957% (p < 0.000001). The slowest increase in prevalence for females occurred during 2014-2019, with an APC of +0.4591% (p < 0.000001). Conclusion: The prevalence and incidence of T1DM among people aged 15-39 increased significantly between 1990 and 2021, with a greater increase in males. This highlights the need for gender-specific strategies in T1DM prevention and management, and research into the factors driving these disparities. Presentation: Sunday, July 13, 2025
SUN-614 Sex-Stratified Mortality and Disability-adjusted Life Years due to Type 1 Diabetes in Adolescents and Young Adults from 1990 to 2021: A Global Burden of Disease Study
Ahmad, Husnain , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Khan, Iqra , Raza, Ahmed , Haider, Rabbia, Khawar, Muneeb , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Fatima, Sumaiyah, Khan, Zarak, Qadeer, Abdul, Ullah, Fazal, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1263 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: H. Ahmad: None. S. Fatima: None. M. Kakakhel: None. I. khan: None. A. Raza: None. Z. Khan: None. R. Haider: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. F. Ullah: None. H. Jawad: None. J. Ikram: None. F. Ahmed: None. R.W. Kirchoff: None. Background: Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is an autoimmune condition, characterized by the destruction of pancreatic beta cells, resulting in lifelong dependency on insulin. It is a significant health burden in adolescents and young adults, with long-term complications affecting quality of life and survival. We aim to explore sex-stratified trends in mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to T1DM from 1990 to 2021. Methods: We obtained sex-stratified data for adolescents and young adults (15-39 years) with T1DM from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) from 1990 to 2021. The mortality rates were age-standardized and expressed per 100,000 deaths. Trends were analyzed as annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using Joinpoint Regression. Results: From 1990 to 2021, deaths due to T1DM in adolescent and young adult males increased globally from 7,123 to 9,244 per annum, with age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) decreasing from 0.64 to 0.61 and standardized DALYs rising from 49.56 to 51. In females, deaths rose from 6,160 to 6,892, with ASMRs declining from 0.57 to 0.47 and DALYs declining from 47.12 to 43.11. Despite the apparent rise in deaths, ASMRs exhibited a significant decline in both sexes, with an AAPC of -0.16% (95% CI: -0.20 to -0.12) in males and -0.62% (-0.68 to -0.55) in females, four times that of in males. The DALYs showed a significant decline in females with an AAPC of -0.31% (-0.35 to -0.26) but a significant increase in males with an AAPC of 0.09% (0.04 to 0.12). Males showed the greatest APC increase in ASMRs of 1.34% from 1990 to 1994, while females showed the greatest APC increase of 0.45% from 1990 to 2000, three times less and over twice the period seen in males. This was followed by the greatest APC decline of -1.14% in females from 2001 to 2011, and a non-significant decline of -0.14% till 2021. Males experienced the greatest decline of -1.14% from 2000 to 2013. It then increased significantly from 2013 to 2018 (APC: 0.73%), followed by a significant decline of -0.62% till 2021, almost four times that in females. DALYs showed a similar trend in females with the greatest increase of 0.45% from 1990 to 2000, followed by the greatest decrease of -1.14% till 2011, and then a non-significant decline of -0.14 till 2021. Males showed the greatest increase of 1.24% from 1990 to 1994 and the greatest decrease of 0.63% from 2000 to 2013, followed by a much smaller decline. Conclusion: Although ASMRs declined, the recent decline in ASMRs in females is becoming less pronounced highlighting the importance of ongoing monitoring and improvement strategies. The disparity in DALYs between males and females also demands the need for targeted interventions addressing male-specific challenges to reduce the burden of T1DM. Presentation: Sunday, July 13, 2025
MON-828 Silent Risks and Rising Numbers: Mapping the Mortality Trends of Hypertension-Linked Endocrine Disorders in the U.S. (1999-2020)
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Haider, Rabbia, Cheema, Shamikha , Irshad, Saba , Hussain, Muhammad Ubaid, Ullah, Aman , Khan, Anum Zia, Naveed, Farwa , Jawad, Hamna , Hemida, Mohamed Fawzi , Khawar, Muneeb , Ahmad, Husnain , Ahmed, Faizan , Alcaraz, Renato, Irshad, Sara Muhammad, Hussain, Muhammad Ubaid, Khan, Anum Zia, Naveed, Fatima , Qadeer, Abdul, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1293 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. R. Haider: None. S. Cheema: None. S.M. Irshad: None. M.U. Hussain: None. A. Ullah: None. A.Z. Khan: None. F. Naveed: None. H. Jawad: None. F. Naveed: None. M.F. Hemida: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. R.W. Kirchoff: None. R. Alcaraz: None. Background: Hypertension has been a significant cause of morbidity and mortality for ages. Coupled with endocrine disorders, it poses a greater risk of indisposition to the U.S population. This CDC wonder analysis explores the trends and patterns of these disorders, stratified by states and rural/urban. Methods: To attain this objective, this retrospective study has utilized data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database to assess endocrine disorder-related mortality rates in the pediatric population from 1999 to 2011. Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) and Annual Percent Change (APC) were used to evaluate trends and produce age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 people. Data was stratified by year, sex, race/ethnicity, state-wise and geographical regions. Statistical significance and confidence intervals were used to assess the reliability of the observed trends. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, 2383332 deaths in the United States were attributed to endocrine-related mortality with underlying hypertension. The Overall AAMR initially rose steeply from 10.7 in 1999 to 24.9 in 2001 (APC: 34.3; 95% CI: 9.5 to 56.7), followed by a period of further steady increase in AAMR till 36.5 in 2018 (APC: 1.6; 95% CI: 0.6 to 2.1). This progressive increase in AAMR then sharply spiked from 2018 onwards, reaching 51.7 in 2020 (APC: 18.1*; 95% CI: 9.3 to 23.5). Notable discrepancies were observed in urbanization. Non-metropolitan areas showed a higher AAMR (35.5) than metropolitan (31.5). State-level analysis revealed substantial heterogeneity, including Mississippi as the state of the highest AAMR (58.6). Conclusion: The concerning rise of AAMR in non-metropolitan areas and Mississippi calls for more targeted health-care policies. These findings underscore the need for geographically tailored public health interventions to address disparities in endocrine disorder-related mortality in these groups. Presentation: Monday, July 14, 2025
Regional disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates in gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Komel, Aqsa, Ahmad, Husnain , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khawar, Muneeb , Qadeer, Abdul , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16076 Get It

e16076 Background: Gastric cancer is the fourth leading cause of global cancer deaths. Despite declining incidence and mortality, it remains a significant contributor to the global disease burden. This study analyzes regional gastric cancer DALYs and mortality trends from 1990-2021 using the GBD database. Methods: The regional DALYs and mortality rates per 100,000 individuals aged 70+ from GBD 2021 were analyzed, with trends from 1990 to 2021 evaluated using AAPC, and statistical significance assessed by p-values. Results: In 2021, the greatest Age-standardized DALYs rates were recorded in Andean Latin America, with 3068.04 per 100,000; the lowest was found in High-income North America with 386.08 per 100,000. The most significant increase of DALYs rate from 1990 to 2021 was in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, (AAPC = -0.3068%; 95% CI: -0.3852 to -0.2234; p < 0.000001), while in Western Europe, the largest decline was noted (AAPC = -2.9999%; 95% CI: -3.0164 to -2.9841; p < 0.000001). Andean Latin America was the region with the highest Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) in 2021, at 207.58 per 100,000 while High-income North America had the lowest at 27.18 per 100,000. In Western Sub-Saharan Africa, the ASMRs were rising with an AAPC of -0.2601% (95% CI: -0.2872 to -0.2368; p < 0.000001), while Western Europe had the highest decline with an AAPC of -2.7658% (95% CI: -2.7895 to -2.7471; p < 0.000001). Conclusions: The global burden of diseases from 1990 to 2021 is regional in nature. In 2021, DALYs and mortality were predominantly high in Andean Latin America and East Asia and notably low in High-income North America. DALYs have risen across Southern Sub-Saharan Africa over three decades, and mortality increased over Western Sub-Saharan Africa, while both declined sharply in Western Europe. These trends underscore the importance of regionalized health solutions. DALY per 100,000. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 4469.23 3068.04 -1.14 East Asia 5507.72 2958.98 -1.99 High Income Asia Pacific 4849.23 2130.43 -2.71 LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 High Income North America 758.59 386.09 -2.22 Australasia 1116.91 567.32 -2.16 South Asia 794.81 680.50 -0.46 HIGHEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 293.65 207.58 -1.04 East Asia 324.60 188.92 -1.72 High Income Asia Pacific 316.44 161.94 -2.22 LOWEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 High Income North America 51.24 27.19 -2.02 Australasia 74.36 41.81 -1.85 South Asia 47.50 41.95 -0.39
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 and older across 204 countries (1990-2021): A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Saba , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Jajja, Salman Ayub, Ahmad, Husnain , Khan, Iqra , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e22572 Get It

e22572 Background: Pancreatic cancer is a highly lethal malignancy that disproportionately impacts older populations, contributing significantly to global disease burden. Disability-adjusted life years (DALY) serve as a comprehensive metric to quantify the combined impact of mortality and morbidity. This analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study-2021 (GBD-2021) aims to characterize trends in DALY rates attributable to pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 years and older across 204 nations. Methods: Data on DALY associated with pancreatic cancer for individuals aged 70+ were extracted for 204 nations from the GBD-2021 study for the years 1990 and 2021. Estimated annual percent change (EAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated from 1990 to 2021. Results: The DALY rates were accessed among individuals aged 75 and older diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. In 1990, Greenland exhibited the highest DALY rate globally (2825.65), but by 2021, this position was surpassed by the United Arab Emirates (2775.52), with Greenland declining to the second-highest rate (2082.43). On the other hand, Turkmenistan had the lowest DALY rates in 1990, but by 2021, Mozambique had taken this position, with Turkmenistan ranking 170th. Despite the observed DALY rates from 1990 to 2021, Turkmenistan experienced the highest change (EAPC: 15.23, 95% CI: 10.88–21.18), followed by the Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 12.88, 95% CI: 8.14–18.75) and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.53, 95% CI: 2.90–6.88). A decrease in DALY was observed in over 24 nations, with the Republic of San Marino recording the largest decline (EAPC: -0.37, 95% CI: -0.55, -0.12), followed by Bermuda (EAPC: -0.26, 95% CI: -0.43, 0.03) and Greenland (EAPC: -0.26, 95% CI: -0.45, -0.009). Conclusions: From 1990 to 2021, DALY rates related to pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 and older rose worldwide, particularly in Turkmenistan, the Republic of Cabo Verde, and Mongolia. There is a pressing need for global adoption of screening programs to enable early detection and treatment of these cases. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PERCENT CHANGE Turkmenistan 19.66 319.09 15.22 (10.88–21.18) Republic of Cabo Verde 98.12 1361.76 12.88 (8.14–18.75) Mongolia 172.14 952.05 4.53 (2.90–6.88) LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PERCENT CHANGE Republic of San Marino 1323.96 834.01 -0.37 (-0.55, -0.12) Bermuda 1696.97 1249.11 -0.26 (-0.43, 0.03) Greenland 2825.66 2082.43 -0.26 (-0.45, -0.009)