Citations

BackgroundPretreatment determination of renal cell carcinoma aggressiveness may help to guide clinical decision‐making.PurposeTo evaluate the efficacy of residual convolutional neural network using routine MRI in differentiating low‐grade (grade I–II) from high‐grade (grade III–IV) in stage I and II renal cell carcinoma.Study TypeRetrospective.PopulationIn all, 376 patients with 430 renal cell carcinoma lesions from 2008–2019 in a multicenter cohort were acquired. The 353 Fuhrman‐graded renal cell carcinomas were divided into a training, validation, and test set with a 7:2:1 split. The 77 WHO/ISUP graded renal cell carcinomas were used as a separate WHO/ISUP test set.Field Strength/Sequence1.5T and 3.0T/T2‐weighted and T1 contrast‐enhanced sequences.AssessmentThe accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the final model were assessed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and precision‐recall curve were plotted to measure the performance of the binary classifier. A confusion matrix was drawn to show the true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative of the model.Statistical TestsMann–Whitney U‐test for continuous data and the chi‐square test or Fisher's exact test for categorical data were used to compare the difference of clinicopathologic characteristics between the low‐ and high‐grade groups. The adjusted Wald method was used to calculate the 95% confidence interval (CI) of accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.ResultsThe final deep‐learning model achieved a test accuracy of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.73–0.96), sensitivity of 0.89 (95% CI: 0.74–0.96), and specificity of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.73–0.96) in the Fuhrman test set and a test accuracy of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.73–0.90), sensitivity of 0.92 (95% CI: 0.84–0.97), and specificity of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68–0.86) in the WHO/ISUP test set.Data ConclusionDeep learning can noninvasively predict the histological grade of stage I and II renal cell carcinoma using conventional MRI in a multiinstitutional dataset with high accuracy.Level of Evidence3Technical Efficacy Stage2

Abstract Germline mutations in several cancer predisposition genes included in hereditary multigene testing panels have been associated with increased breast cancer risk. However, estimates of breast cancer risks for each gene have in large part been derived from studies of high-risk populations enriched for family history of breast and ovarian cancer, young age of breast cancer diagnosis, or founder mutations. The breast cancer risks associated with mutations in many of these genes in the general population remain to be clearly defined. As clinical hereditary cancer genetic testing is already provided to many women at increased risk and may soon be offered to all breast cancer patients, population-based risk estimates associated with predisposition gene mutations will be needed for appropriate clinical management of mutation carriers. The “CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility” (CARRIERS) consortium of 17 cohort-based case-control, population-based case-control, and family studies focused on estimation of population-based breast cancer risks and penetrance analysis for mutations in known and candidate breast cancer predisposition genes. Germline DNA from 39486 breast cancer cases and 35868 matched controls was subjected to dual bar-coded QIAseq multiplex amplification of 1733 target regions in 37 predisposition genes. Products from sets of 768 samples were pooled and sequenced in each lane of a HiSeq 4000 system. Mutations were called by GATK Haplotype Caller and Verdict. High quality sequence data was obtained for 99.3% of target regions. Here we report on results from 34741 population-based breast cancer cases and 32728 matched unaffected controls. The mean age of breast cancer diagnosis for cases was 61.2 years and mean age for controls was 61.1 years. Overall, 20.9% of cases and 14.3% of controls had a family history of breast cancer. Furthermore, 74.3% of cases and 75.8% of controls were non-Hispanic white, whereas 13.3% of cases and 15.3% of controls were African American. Among cases with tumor information available, 81.7% were ER-positive and 7.7% were triple negative breast cancers (TNBC). We assessed mutation frequencies in 24 genes including 12 established breast cancer predisposition genes (ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, CDH1, CHEK2, NF1, PALB2, PTEN, RAD51C, RAD51D, andTP53). The overall mutation frequency was 6.2% in cases and 2.7% in controls. Case-control association analysis after adjusting for study, age, family history of breast cancer, and race/ethnicity showed that BRCA1(OR=7.45; 95%CI:5.24-10.95) and BRCA2(OR=5.31; 95%CI:4.15-6.88) were associated with high risks of breast cancer in the general population. However, PALB2mutations were only associated with moderate risks (OR=3.63; 95%CI:2.57-5.26). ATMmutations conferred attenuated risks (OR=1.83; 95%CI:1.47-2.28) relative to studies of high-risk families or young onset breast cancers. NBNmutations were not associated with increased breast cancer risk. Mutations in BARD1, RAD51C, RAD51Dand XRCC2were specifically significantly associated with moderate risks of ER-negative breast cancer and TNBC, whereas mutations in ATM, CDH1and CHEK2were specifically significantly associated with ER-positive disease. On the basis of these findings age-related absolute breast cancer risks for commonly mutated genes were estimated. Overall, results from the CARRIERS study establish that mutations in predisposition genes are associated with lower risks of breast cancer in the general population than in enriched populations including high-risk families and young onset, bilateral, or multiple primary cases. We anticipate that the results from this study will inform cancer screening and other risk management strategies for women in the general population with mutations in predisposition genes. Citation Format: Fergus J Couch, Chunling Hu, Steven N Hart, Rohan Gnanaolivu, Kun Y Lee, Jie Na, Chi Gao, Nicholas J Boddicker, Bruce Eckloff, Raed Samara, Josh Klebba, Christine B Ambrosone, Hoda Anton-Culver, Paul Auer, Leslie Bernstein, Mia M Gaudet, Christopher Haiman, Esther M John, Susan Neuhausen, Janet E Olson, Tuya Pal, Julie R Palmer, Dale P Sandler, Jack A Taylor, Amy Trentham-Dietz, Celine M Vachon, Clarice Weinberg, Song Yao, Jeffrey N Weitzel, David E Goldgar, Susan M Domchek, Katherine L Nathanson, Peter Kraft, Eric C Polley. Population-based breast cancer risk estimates for predisposition gene mutations: Results from the CARRIERS study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD3-01.

Abstract Background The risks of breast cancer in African American (AA) women associated with inherited mutations in breast cancer predisposition genes are not well defined. Thus, whether multigene germline hereditary cancer testing panels are applicable to this population is unknown. We assessed associations between mutations in panel-based genes and breast cancer risk in 5054 AA women with breast cancer and 4993 unaffected AA women drawn from 10 epidemiologic studies. Methods Germline DNA samples were sequenced for mutations in 23 cancer predisposition genes using a QIAseq multiplex amplicon panel. Prevalence of mutations and odds ratios (ORs) for associations with breast cancer risk were estimated with adjustment for study design, age, and family history of breast cancer. Results Pathogenic mutations were identified in 10.3% of women with estrogen receptor (ER)-negative breast cancer, 5.2% of women with ER-positive breast cancer, and 2.3% of unaffected women. Mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were associated with high risks of breast cancer (OR = 47.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.43 to >100; OR = 7.25, 95% CI = 4.07 to 14.12; OR = 8.54, 95% CI = 3.67 to 24.95, respectively). RAD51D mutations were associated with high risk of ER-negative disease (OR = 7.82, 95% CI = 1.61 to 57.42). Moderate risks were observed for CHEK2, ATM, ERCC3, and FANCC mutations with ER-positive cancer, and RECQL mutations with all breast cancer. Conclusions The study identifies genes that predispose to breast cancer in the AA population, demonstrates the validity of current breast cancer testing panels for use in AA women, and provides a basis for increased referral of AA patients for cancer genetic testing.

Abstract The incidence of brain metastasis is increasing as improvements in systemic therapy lead to increased survival. This provides new and challenging clinical decisions for patients who are trying to balance the risk of recurrence or progression with treatment-related side effects, and it requires appropriate management strategies from multidisciplinary teams. Improvements in prognostic assessment and systemic therapy with increasing activity in the brain allow for individualized care to better guide the use of local therapies and/or systemic therapy. Here, we review the current landscape of brain-directed therapy for the treatment of brain metastasis in the context of recent improved systemic treatment options. We also discuss emerging treatment strategies including targeted therapies for patients with actionable mutations, immunotherapy, modern whole-brain radiation therapy, radiosurgery, surgery, and clinical trials.

550 Background: 5187 postmenopausal women were originally randomized to NCIC CTG MA.17 to receive letrozole (LET) or placebo (PLAC) after 5 years of tamoxifen. The hazard ratio (HR) for disease-free survival (DFS) was 0.58 (0.450.76, p=0.00004) after a median follow-up of 30 months (mo). The trial was unblinded in October 2003 after the first interim analysis. Women randomized to PLAC were offered LET at the time of unblinding. The goal of this analysis was to determine whether women switching from PLAC to LET benefit in terms of disease outcome and to evaluate treatment related toxicities. Methods: LET and PLAC-LET have been compared to PLAC, based on the hazard ratio and adjusting for baseline patient and disease variables including, among others, tumor size, nodal status and prior adjuvant chemotherapy. Results: Information about their follow-up treatment after unblinding was available on 2268 women originally assigned to PLAC and who were free of recurrence and alive at the time of unblinding. Among them, 1655 crossed over from PLAC to LET while 613 elected no treatment. With 54 mo f/up the HR for DFS was 0.31 (0.18, 0.55: p<0.0001) favoring patients who crossed over to LET compared to those who stayed on no treatment. The treatment switch was well tolerated with no significant difference in bone fractures or cardiovascular events. An updated analysis of DFS, DDFS and OS by nodal and tumor receptor status, prior chemotherapy, menopausal status at the start of tamoxifen, and duration of prior tamoxifen therapy will be presented at the meeting. Conclusion: Women with hormone dependent breast cancer prescribed LET after a prolonged delay from completing tamoxifen experienced a significant improvement in outcome (DFS, DDFS, OS) and should be considered for this therapy. [Table: see text]

549 Background: MA.17 evaluated letrozole (LET) or placebo (PLAC) after 5 years of tamoxifen (Tam) and showed [median follow-up 30 months (mos)] significant improvement in disease-free survival (DFS) for LET [hazard ratio (HR) 0.57, p = 0.00008]. The trial was unblinded and PLAC patients (pts) were offered LET. An ITT analysis of all outcomes, before and after unblinding, based on the original randomization was performed. Methods: A stratified log-rank test was used to compare DFS, distant (D)DFS, overall survival (OS) and incidence of contra-lateral breast cancer (CBC). The Cox regression model used baseline stratification variables and two prespecified factors, menopausal status at the start of Tam and time on Tam. Subgroup analyses for DFS and OS were performed for the two prespecified subsets. All p-values were two-sided Results: 5187 pts were randomized at baseline and, at unblinding, 1655 of 2268 PLAC pts accepted LET. At median follow-up of 54 mos (range,16–86) 363 recurrences or CBC’s (144 LET and 219 PLAC) occurred; 118 LET and 176 PLAC pts had recurrent disease and 26 LET and 43 PLAC pts had CBC. 4 year DFS was 94.3% (LET) and 91.4% (PLAC) (HR 0.64; 95% CI, 0.52 - 0.79; p = 0.00002). Corresponding 4 year DDFS was 96.2% and 94.9% (HR 0.76; 0.58–0.99; p = 0.041). 4 year OS was 95.0% (LET) and 95.1% (PLAC) (HR 1.00; 0.78–1.28; p = 0.99). LET was equally effective in node +ve and -ve pts (i.e., similar HRs) in DFS. OS was not significantly different for LET and PLAC in any subgroup. The annual rate of CBC was 0.29% LET (0.18–0.40) and 0.47% PLAC (0.34–0.61); HR 0.61 (0.38–0.98) p = 0.037. 255 pts had died as of the data cut-off (128 LET and 127 PLAC). Conclusions: In this ITT analysis, pts originally randomized to LET within 3 months of stopping Tam did better than PLAC pts in DFS, DDFS and CBC, despite 73% of PLAC pts crossing to LET after unblinding. This highlights the strong beneficial effect of extended adjuvant therapy with LET. [Table: see text]

540 Background: Risk of death from other malignancies (OM) and other causes (OC) than breast cancer (BC) increases with age. Effects of baseline factors on type of death were assessed with competing risks analyses. Methods: In NCIC CTG MA.17, 5,187 women free of recurrent breast cancer after 5 years of tamoxifen were randomized to letrozole (L, 2,593 women) or placebo (P, 2,594 women). The primary endpoint was disease free survival (DFS), and secondary, overall survival (OS). Follow-up was to October 9, 2005: median 3.9 years, range <0.1 to 7.0 years. Effects of competing risks were examined for endpoints of BC, OM, and OC for 11 baseline trial factors: treatment, age, menopausal status, duration of prior tamoxifen, adjuvant radiotherapy, bone fracture, osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease, hormone receptor status, nodal status, adjuvant chemotherapy. Lagakos’ hierarchical method (Lagakos, Appl. Statist. 1978; 27:235–241) was used to test for differential effects of baseline factors on type of death (BC, OM, OC). Results: Rate of censoring was 97.8%, with 256 deaths (BC, 102; OM, 50; OC, 100; unknown, 4). Non-breast cancer deaths accounted for 60% of known deaths; 72%, for those ≥70 years; and 48%, for those <70 years. Two baseline factors differentially affected type of death. Women with cardiovascular disease were more likely to die from OC (p=0.02), while those with osteoporosis were more likely to die of OM (p=0.03). Age and nodal status had directionally similar effects. Older women had shorter survival from all 3 causes of death (p=0.01). Lymph node positivity was associated with worse survival (p=0.003). Conclusions: Extended L provides similar proportional benefit in improving DFS for all ages of women (Muss ref abstract SABCS 2006). However, the magnitude of competing non-breast cancer, and non-treatment related, causes of death needs to be considered more frequently, since with early detection and improved therapies, breast cancer patients may increasingly be expected to survive their disease to die from another cause. The novel association between baseline osteoporosis and other malignancies is being explored quantitatively. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

OBJECTIVEFactors associated with syrinx size in pediatric patients undergoing posterior fossa decompression (PFD) or PFD with duraplasty (PFDD) for Chiari malformation type I (CM-I) with syringomyelia (SM; CM-I+SM) are not well established.METHODSUsing the Park-Reeves Syringomyelia Research Consortium registry, the authors analyzed variables associated with syrinx radiological outcomes in patients (< 20 years old at the time of surgery) with CM-I+SM undergoing PFD or PFDD. Syrinx resolution was defined as an anteroposterior (AP) diameter of ≤ 2 mm or ≤ 3 mm or a reduction in AP diameter of ≥ 50%. Syrinx regression or progression was defined using 1) change in syrinx AP diameter (≥ 1 mm), or 2) change in syrinx length (craniocaudal, ≥ 1 vertebral level). Syrinx stability was defined as a < 1-mm change in syrinx AP diameter and no change in syrinx length.RESULTSThe authors identified 380 patients with CM-I+SM who underwent PFD or PFDD. Cox proportional hazards modeling revealed younger age at surgery and PFDD as being independently associated with syrinx resolution, defined as a ≤ 2-mm or ≤ 3-mm AP diameter or ≥ 50% reduction in AP diameter. Radiological syrinx resolution was associated with improvement in headache (p < 0.005) and neck pain (p < 0.011) after PFD or PFDD. Next, PFDD (p = 0.005), scoliosis (p = 0.007), and syrinx location across multiple spinal segments (p = 0.001) were associated with syrinx diameter regression, whereas increased preoperative frontal-occipital horn ratio (FOHR; p = 0.007) and syrinx location spanning multiple spinal segments (p = 0.04) were associated with syrinx length regression. Scoliosis (HR 0.38 [95% CI 0.16–0.91], p = 0.03) and smaller syrinx diameter (5.82 ± 3.38 vs 7.86 ± 3.05 mm; HR 0.60 [95% CI 0.34–1.03], p = 0.002) were associated with syrinx diameter stability, whereas shorter preoperative syrinx length (5.75 ± 4.01 vs 9.65 ± 4.31 levels; HR 0.21 [95% CI 0.12–0.38], p = 0.0001) and smaller pB-C2 distance (6.86 ± 1.27 vs 7.18 ± 1.38 mm; HR 1.44 [95% CI 1.02–2.05], p = 0.04) were associated with syrinx length stability. Finally, younger age at surgery (8.19 ± 5.02 vs 10.29 ± 4.25 years; HR 1.89 [95% CI 1.31–3.04], p = 0.01) was associated with syrinx diameter progression, whereas increased postoperative syrinx diameter (6.73 ± 3.64 vs 3.97 ± 3.07 mm; HR 3.10 [95% CI 1.67–5.76], p = 0.003), was associated with syrinx length progression. PFD versus PFDD was not associated with syrinx progression or reoperation rate.CONCLUSIONSThese data suggest that PFDD and age are independently associated with radiological syrinx improvement, although forthcoming results from the PFDD versus PFD randomized controlled trial (NCT02669836, clinicaltrials.gov) will best answer this question.

Background/Objectives: Arthritis is a known manifestation of hereditary hemochromatosis. However, whether patients with hereditary hemochromatosis have an increased risk of having joint replacement surgery compared to the general population is still unknown. This meta-analysis was conducted to better characterize this risk. Methods: A comprehensive literature review was conducted utilizing the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases through September 2019 to identify all cohort studies that compared prevalence or incidence of joint replacement surgery (hip, ankle, or knee) between patients with hereditary hemochromatosis and individuals without hereditary hemochromatosis. Effect estimates from each study were extracted and combined together using the random-effect, generic inverse variance method of DerSimonian and Laird. Results: A total of five studies with 1 293 407 participants fulfilled the eligibility criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. Overall, the risk of having joint replacement surgery was significantly increased in patients with hereditary hemochromatosis compared to individuals without hereditary hemochromatosis with the pooled relative risk (RR) of 3.32 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.60–6.86; I 2 88%]. Analysis by joint found a significantly increased risk of having hip and ankle replacement surgery among patients with hereditary hemochromatosis compared with the pooled RR of 2.62 (95% CI, 2.09–3.30; I 2 47%) and 8.94 (95% CI, 3.85–20.78; I 2 14%), respectively. The risk of having knee replacement surgery was also increased but was not statistically significant (pooled RR 1.57, 95% CI, 0.83–2.98; I 2 66%). Conclusions: A significantly increased risk of needed joint replacement surgery among patients with hereditary hemochromatosis compared to patients without hereditary hemochromatosis was demonstrated in this study. Further studies are required to determine whether this association is causal.