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Abstract Dementia and mortality rates rise inexorably with age and consequently interact. However, because of the major logistical difficulties in accounting for both outcomes in a defined population, very little work has examined how risk factors and biomarkers for incident dementia are influenced by competing mortality. The objective of this study was to examine long-term associations between amyloid PET, APOE ɛ4, sex, education and cardiovascular/metabolic conditions, and hazard and absolute risk of dementia and mortality in individuals without dementia at enrolment. Participants were enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, a population-based study of cognitive ageing in Olmsted County, MN, USA. All were without dementia and were age 55–92 years at enrolment and were followed longitudinally. Predictor variables were amyloid PET, APOE ɛ4 status, sex, education, cardiovascular/metabolic conditions and age. The main outcomes were incident dementia and mortality. Multivariable, multi-state models were used to estimate mortality and incident dementia rates and absolute risk of dementia and mortality by predictor variable group. Of the 4984 participants in the study, 4336 (87%) were cognitively unimpaired and 648 (13%) had mild cognitive impairment at enrolment. The median age at enrolment was 75 years; 2463 (49%) were women. The median follow-up time was 9.4 years (7.5 years after PET). High versus normal amyloid (hazard ratio 2.11, 95% confidence interval 1.43–2.79), APOE ɛ4 (women: hazard ratio 2.24, 95% confidence interval 1.80–2.77; men: hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.09–1.71), older age and two additional cardiovascular/metabolic conditions (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.22–1.53) were associated with the increased hazard of dementia (all P < 0.001). Among APOE ɛ4 carriers with elevated amyloid, remaining lifetime risk of dementia at age 65 years was greater in women [74% (95% confidence interval 65–84%) high and 58% (95% confidence interval 52–65%) moderate amyloid], than men [62% (95% confidence interval 52–73%) high and 44% (95% confidence interval 35–53%) moderate amyloid]. Overall, the hazard and absolute risk of dementia varied considerably by predictor group. The absolute risk of dementia associated with predictors characteristic of Alzheimer’s disease was greater in women than men while at the same time the combination of APOE ɛ4 non-carrier with normal amyloid was more protective in women than men. This set of findings may be attributed in part to different biological effects and in part to lower mortality rates in women.

Abstract Background: Chemoprevention for biliary tract cancers (BTC), which comprise intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA), extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA), and gallbladder cancer, is controversial. We examined associations between low-dose aspirin, statins, NSAIDs, and metformin with BTC risk. Methods: We used a population-based cohort of 5.7 million persons over age 18 without personal history of cancer (except nonmelanoma skin cancer), receiving at least one commonly prescribed drug between July 1, 2005, and December 31, 2012, from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Registry. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using age-scaled multivariable-adjusted Cox models. Results: 2,160 individuals developed BTC. Low-dose aspirin was not associated with BTC risk [HR, 0.93; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.81–1.07], iCCA (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.93–1.57), eCCA (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.60–1.07), or gallbladder cancer (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.71–1.06). Statins were associated with lower risk of BTC (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.56–0.78), iCCA (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.50–0.95), eCCA (HR 0.54; 95% CI, 0.38–0.76), and gallbladder cancer (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57–0.91). For all BTC subtypes, combined low-dose aspirin and statins were not associated with lower risk than statins alone. NSAIDs were associated with higher risk of BTC and its subtypes. Metformin was not associated with BTC risk (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.82–1.18), iCCA (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.77–1.48), eCCA (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.82–1.61), or gallbladder cancer (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.63–1.11). Conclusions: Statins were associated with a decreased risk of BTC and its subtypes. Low-dose aspirin alone was not associated with a decreased risk, and use of both was not associated with further decrease in risk beyond statins alone. Impact: Statins were most consistently associated with a decreased risk of BTC and its subtypes.

Abstract Background Ozanimod was approved by the FDA to treat patients (pts) with moderately to severely active Ulcerative Colitis (UC) based on the results from the 52-week (wk) phase 3 True North (TN) study. We sought to evaluate long-term efficacy and safety of ozanimod. Methods We examined data from an interim analysis of pts in the TN parent study who entered the ongoing TN open-label extension (OLE). Pts entered the TN OLE from the phase 3 TN study if they were non-responders at the end of induction, lost response during maintenance, or completed maintenance treatment, or from the phase 2 Touchstone OLE if they remained at study closure and received once-daily oral ozanimod 0.92 mg (equivalent to ozanimod HCl 1 mg). Clinical remission, clinical response, endoscopic improvement, and corticosteroid (CS)-free remission were evaluated at Wks 46, 94, and 142 in the TN OLE for all pts who entered the OLE from the TN parent study, and in the subset of pts in clinical response at the OLE entry. The data were analysed in the intent-to-treat population using observed cases (OC), which used the number of pts remaining in the study at the corresponding time point, and non-responder imputation (NRI), which used the number of pts remaining in the study at the corresponding time point and those who withdrew before the time point but would have reached the time point if they had stayed. Treatment-emergent adverse events were evaluated from the pooled phase 2 and phase 3 UC studies. Results A total of 823 pts from TN entered the TN OLE; as of the cut-off date (Sept 30, 2020), 64% completed Wk 46, 34% completed Wk 94, and 14% completed Wk 142 of the OLE. The most common reason for discontinuation was lack of efficacy (21%). Baseline demographics were similar as in the TN study. A total of 261 pts were in clinical response at the time of OLE entry. OC analyses showed that the percentage of pts achieving clinical remission, clinical response, endoscopic improvement, and CS-free remission was maintained over time (Table). Efficacy in the responders was higher compared to the total population and was comparable within the endpoints at Wks 46 and 94. Using the more conservative NRI analysis, the proportion of pts achieving each endpoint was lower than in the OC; however, after 94 wks of OLE treatment, 34% of all pts and 55% of the responders still maintained clinical response. No new safety signals were seen with longer-term ozanimod use in the 1158 pts in the pooled population. Conclusion UC pts from the phase 3 TN study demonstrated maintenance of response with long-term ozanimod treatment. These data reflect approximately 2 years of additional ozanimod treatment, with no new safety signals identified.

PURPOSE CALGB 40603 ( NCT00861705 ), a 2 × 2 randomized phase II trial, demonstrated that adding carboplatin or bevacizumab to weekly paclitaxel (wP) followed by doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide significantly increased the pathologic complete response (pCR) rate in stage II-III triple-negative breast cancer. We now report long-term outcomes (LTOs) and correlative science end points. PATIENTS AND METHODS The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate LTOs in 443 patients who initiated study treatment. Log-rank tests and Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the impact of clinical characteristics, pathologic response, calculated residual cancer burden (RCB) in patients with residual disease (RD), treatment assignment, and dose delivery during wP on LTOs, including event-free survival (EFS). Genomic predictors of treatment response and outcomes were assessed on pretreatment tumor samples by mRNA sequencing. RESULTS Among baseline characteristics, only the clinical stage was associated with LTOs. At a median follow-up of 7.9 years, LTOs were not significantly improved with either carboplatin or bevacizumab, overall or in patients with basal-like subtype cancers by genomic analysis. Patients with pCR (n = 205, 46.3%) had significantly higher 5-year EFS (85.5% v 56.6%, log-rank P < .0001) and overall survival (87.9% v 63.4%, P < .0001) rates compared with patients with RD, even those with RCB class I. Among clinical and genomic features, evidence of immune activation, including tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes and low B-cell receptor evenness, was associated with pCR and improved EFS. CONCLUSION Despite higher pCR rates, neither carboplatin nor bevacizumab appeared to improve LTOs although the study was not powered to assess these secondary end points. pCR was associated with superior LTOs even when compared with minimal RD. Markers of immune activation in pretreatment tumor biopsies were independently associated with higher pCR rates and improved survival.

Objective: We aimed to discern clinico-demographic predictors of large (≥8) tracheostomy tube size placement, and, secondarily, to assess the effect of large tracheostomy tube size and other parameters on odds of decannulation before hospital discharge. Summary of Background Data: Factors determining choice of tracheostomy tube size are not well-characterized in the current literature, despite evidence linking large tracheostomy tube size with posttracheotomy tracheal stenosis. The effect of tracheostomy tube size on timing of decannulation is also unknown, an important consideration given reported associations between endotracheal tube size and probability of failed extubation. Methods: We collected information pertaining to patients who underwent tracheotomy at 1 of 10 U.S. health care institutions between 2010 and 2019. Tracheostomy tube size was dichotomized (≥8 and <8). Multivariable logistic regression models were fit to identify predictors of (1) large tracheostomy tube size, and (2) decannulation before hospital discharge. Results: The study included 5307 patients, including 2797 (52.7%) in the large tracheostomy cohort. Patient height (odds ratio [OR] = 1.060 per inch; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.041–1.070) and obesity (1.37; 95% CI 1.1891.579) were associated with greater odds of large tracheostomy tube; otolaryngology performing the tracheotomy was associated with significantly lower odds of large tracheostomy tube (OR = 0.155; 95% CI 0.131–0.184). Large tracheostomy tube size (OR = 1.036; 95% CI 0.885–1.213) did not affect odds of decannulation. Conclusions: Obesity was linked with increased likelihood of large tracheostomy tube size, independent of patient height. Probability of decannulation before hospital discharge is influenced by multiple patient-centric factors, but not by size of tracheostomy tube.

AbstractBackgroundOptimizing software to measure Flortaucipir (AV‐1451) tau PET SUVR change‐over‐time is crucial for longitudinal observational studies and potential trials of anti‐tau agents. Ideal measurements should have good repeatability (low noise), and should clearly separate clinical cognitive groups.MethodWe compared 456 software methods varying in their use of: two major packages, each with cross‐sectional and longitudinal variants (FreeSurfer and an in‐house pipeline using SPM12, MCALT, and ANTs); three temporal‐lobe target regions (each with/without adjacent WM); seven reference regions; five PVC methods; and two statistics (mean vs. median). We used linear mixed‐effects models to compare methods using scans from 88 Mayo Clinic participants (46 cognitively impaired, 42 impaired, excluding those with symptoms inconsistent with the AD pathology imaged by Flortaucipir), each with three visits with PET and MRI. From these models, we calculated two criteria for each pipeline: relative measurement error (residual from the linear mixed model), and the t‐statistic for testing differences in group‐wise rates of change (which has a Cohen’s d interpretation of effect size for longitudinal data). We plotted both criteria orthogonally, then ranked methods overall according to the average of their ranks on both individual criteria.ResultMethods using the entorhinal cortex target region performed poorly in both criteria (Figure 1). The top 10 methods by the combined criteria (top‐left in Figure 2) all used the Mayo SPM12‐based pipeline with an eroded supratentorial WM (eSWM) or composite (eSWM + pons + cerebellum) reference region. Among them, 9/10 used the longitudinal variant, 8/10 used 2‐compartment PVC, and 7/10 used median. Altogether, our results favored SUVR methods with a longitudinal design (simultaneously calculating all time‐points), a temporal‐lobe meta‐ROI including adjacent WM, a composite reference region, 2‐class voxel‐based (Meltzer) PVC, and median statistics. Methods using GTM‐Tau PVC (Baker et al., Data in Brief, 2017) had the highest group separation but relatively large measurement error, giving them ranks 197 and 199 out of 456 with the joint (average rank) criteria.ConclusionCompared with popular FreeSurfer‐based methods (ranks 176, 258; Figure 2), our top‐ranked approaches approximately halved error in SUVR measurements while maintaining or improving group separation.

Abstract The complex and dynamic system of fluid flow through the perivascular and interstitial spaces of the CNS has new-found implications for neurological diseases. CSF movement throughout the CNS parenchyma is more dynamic than could be explained via passive diffusion mechanisms alone. Indeed, a semistructured glial-lymphatic (glymphatic) system of astrocyte-supported extracellular perivascular channels serves to directionally channel extracellular fluid, clearing metabolites and peptides to optimize neurological function. Clinical studies of the glymphatic network have to date proven challenging, with most data gleaned from rodent models and post-mortem investigations. However, increasing evidence suggests that disordered glymphatic function contributes to the pathophysiology of CNS ageing, neurodegenerative disease and CNS injuries, as well as normal pressure hydrocephalus. Unlocking such pathophysiology could provide important avenues towards novel therapeutics. We here provide a multidisciplinary overview of glymphatics and critically review accumulating evidence regarding its structure, function and hypothesized relevance to neurological disease. We highlight emerging technologies of relevance to the longitudinal evaluation of glymphatic function in health and disease. Finally, we discuss the translational opportunities and challenges of studying glymphatic science.

AbstractBackgroundThe World Trade Center (WTC) general responder cohort (GRC) was exposed to environmental toxins possibly associated with increased risk of developing autoimmune conditions.ObjectivesTwo study designs were used to assess incidence and risks of autoimmune conditions in the GRC.MethodsThree clinically trained professionals established the status of possible GRC cases of autoimmune disorders adhering to diagnostic criteria, supplemented, as needed, by specialists’ review of consenting responders’ medical records. Nested case‐control analyses using conditional logistic regression estimated the risk associated with high WTC exposure (being in the 9/11/2001 dust cloud or ≥median days' response worked) compared with low WTC exposure (all other GRC members'). Four controls were matched to each case on age at case diagnosis (±2 years), sex, race/ethnicity, and year of program enrollment. Sex‐specific and sensitivity analyses were performed. GRC age‐ and sex‐adjusted standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were compared with the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP). Complete REP inpatient and outpatient medical records were reviewed by specialists. Conditions meeting standardized criteria on ≥2 visits were classified as REP confirmed cases.ResultsSix hundred and twenty‐eight responders were diagnosed with autoimmune conditions between 2002 and 2017. In the nested case‐control analyses, high WTC exposure was not associated with autoimmune domains and conditions (rheumatologic domain odds ratio [OR] = 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.77, 1.37; rheumatoid arthritis OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 0.70, 1.77). GRC members had lower SIR than REP. Women's risks were generally greater than men's.ConclusionsThe study found no statistically significant increased risk of autoimmune conditions with WTC exposures.

Abstract Background: There is suggestive evidence that inflammation is related to ovarian cancer survival. However, more research is needed to identify inflammation-related factors that are associated with ovarian cancer survival and to determine their combined effects. Methods: This analysis used pooled data on 8,147 women with invasive epithelial ovarian cancer from the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium. The prediagnosis inflammation-related exposures of interest included alcohol use; aspirin use; other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use; body mass index; environmental tobacco smoke exposure; history of pelvic inflammatory disease, polycystic ovarian syndrome, and endometriosis; menopausal hormone therapy use; physical inactivity; smoking status; and talc use. Using Cox proportional hazards models, the relationship between each exposure and survival was assessed in 50% of the data. A weighted inflammation-related risk score (IRRS) was developed, and its association with survival was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models in the remaining 50% of the data. Results: There was a statistically significant trend of increasing risk of death per quartile of the IRRS [HR = 1.09; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03–1.14]. Women in the upper quartile of the IRRS had a 31% higher death rate compared with the lowest quartile (95% CI, 1.11–1.54). Conclusions: A higher prediagnosis IRRS was associated with an increased mortality risk after an ovarian cancer diagnosis. Further investigation is warranted to evaluate whether postdiagnosis exposures are also associated with survival. Impact: Given that pre- and postdiagnosis exposures are often correlated and many are modifiable, our study results can ultimately motivate the development of behavioral recommendations to enhance survival among patients with ovarian cancer.

Abstract Introduction/Objective The first human case of SARS-CoV-2 infection was reported in December of 2019. By late February 2020 evidence of community transmission in the United States was documented and soon it developed into a global pandemic. On March 11, 2020, the Mayo Clinic Arizona’s Microbiology Laboratory introduced a PCR test for diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Even as testing demands exponentially increased, the hospital relied on timely results to assist in directing patient care. In order to provide timely results in the face of continuously emerging supply chain threats, we needed to increase our capacity for SARS-CoV-2 PCR testing by reducing technologist time and reagent waste, without impacting turnaround time or other quality metrics such as repeat rate. Methods/Case Report Technologist time was measured in hands-on time per specimen. Reagent use was defined by the volume of lysis buffer (the primary rate limiting reagent due to supply chain constraints) used per sample. Turnaround time was measured from receipt in lab until result verification and the rerun rate is the percent of specimens with an internal control (IC) failure, an indicator of specimen or process quality. Unnecessary steps were determined using a process map, spaghetti diagram and waste walk. Improvements included simplifying steps, changes to protocols and lab design. Impacts of the improvements were measured for 5 months post-implementation. Results (if a Case Study enter NA) Process improvements reduced technologist time per sample by 30.8 seconds and decreased critical reagent needs by 23.6%. Improvements led to $104,000 in just reagent savings over 5 months. Turnaround time and rerun rates were not negatively impacted. Conclusion By creating the leanest possible workflow, we were able to meet the demands for accurate and timely SARS-CoV-2 results. In future workflows, we will continue to implement lean processes and ensure the most efficient use of limited resources.