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358 citation(s) found for "Fu, Mao".

Differences between Very Highly Sensitized Kidney Transplant Recipients as Identified by Machine Learning Consensus Clustering
Miao, Jing , Jadlowiec, Caroline C. , Mao, Shennen A. , Mao, Michael A. , Vaitla, Pradeep , Leeaphorn, Napat , Kaewput, Wisit , Pattharanitima, Pattharawin , Tangpanithandee, Supawit , Krisanapan, Pajaree , Cooper, Matthew , Cheungpasitporn, Wisit , Miao, Jing , Jadlowiec, Caroline , Mao, Shennen A , Mao, Michael A , Kaewput, Wisit , Pattharanitima, Pattharawin , Tangpanithandee, Supawit , Krisanapan, Pajaree , Cooper, Matthew , Cheungpasitporn, Wisit , Thongprayoon, Charat , Nissaisorakarn, Pitchaphon

Medicina | May 18, 2023 | Volume: 59 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 977

10.3390/medicina59050977 | PMID 37241209 Get It

Background and Objectives: The aim of our study was to categorize very highly sensitized kidney transplant recipients with pre-transplant panel reactive antibody (PRA) ≥ 98% using an unsupervised machine learning approach as clinical outcomes for this population are inferior, despite receiving increased allocation priority. Identifying subgroups with higher risks for inferior outcomes is essential to guide individualized management strategies for these vulnerable recipients. Materials and Methods: To achieve this, we analyzed the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN)/United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database from 2010 to 2019 and performed consensus cluster analysis based on the recipient-, donor-, and transplant-related characteristics in 7458 kidney transplant patients with pre-transplant PRA ≥ 98%. The key characteristics of each cluster were identified by calculating the standardized mean difference. The post-transplant outcomes were compared between the assigned clusters. Results: We identified two distinct clusters and compared the post-transplant outcomes among the assigned clusters of very highly sensitized kidney transplant patients. Cluster 1 patients were younger (median age 45 years), male predominant, and more likely to have previously undergone a kidney transplant, but had less diabetic kidney disease. Cluster 2 recipients were older (median 54 years), female predominant, and more likely to be undergoing a first-time transplant. While patient survival was comparable between the two clusters, cluster 1 had lower death-censored graft survival and higher acute rejection compared to cluster 2. Conclusions: The unsupervised machine learning approach categorized very highly sensitized kidney transplant patients into two clinically distinct clusters with differing post-transplant outcomes. A better understanding of these clinically distinct subgroups may assist the transplant community in developing individualized care strategies and improving the outcomes for very highly sensitized kidney transplant patients.
Questionnaire and structural imaging data accurately predict headache improvement in patients with acute post-traumatic headache attributed to mild traumatic brain injury
Mao, Lingchao, Li, Jing, Nikjou, Devin, Dumkrieger, Gina , Ross, Katherine , Chong, Catherine D. , Mao, Lingchao , Dumkrieger, Gina , Chong, Catherine D , Mao, Lingchao , Schwedt, Todd J. , Berisha, Visar , Wu, Teresa

Cephalalgia | May 9, 2023 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 033310242311727

10.1177/03331024231172736 | PMID 37157808 Get It

Background Our prior work demonstrated that questionnaires assessing psychosocial symptoms have utility for predicting improvement in patients with acute post-traumatic headache following mild traumatic brain injury. In this cohort study, we aimed to determine whether prediction accuracy can be refined by adding structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) brain measures to the model. Methods Adults with acute post-traumatic headache (enrolled 0–59 days post-mild traumatic brain injury) underwent T1-weighted brain MRI and completed three questionnaires (Sports Concussion Assessment Tool, Pain Catastrophizing Scale, and the Trait Anxiety Inventory Scale). Individuals with post-traumatic headache completed an electronic headache diary allowing for determination of headache improvement at three- and at six-month follow-up. Questionnaire and MRI measures were used to train prediction models of headache improvement and headache trajectory. Results Forty-three patients with post-traumatic headache (mean age = 43.0, SD = 12.4; 27 females/16 males) and 61 healthy controls were enrolled (mean age = 39.1, SD = 12.8; 39 females/22 males). The best model achieved cross-validation Area Under the Curve of 0.801 and 0.805 for predicting headache improvement at three and at six months. The top contributing MRI features for the prediction included curvature and thickness of superior, middle, and inferior temporal, fusiform, inferior parietal, and lateral occipital regions. Patients with post-traumatic headache who did not improve by three months had less thickness and higher curvature measures and notably greater baseline differences in brain structure vs. healthy controls (thickness: p < 0.001, curvature: p = 0.012) than those who had headache improvement. Conclusions A model including clinical questionnaire data and measures of brain structure accurately predicted headache improvement in patients with post-traumatic headache and achieved improvement compared to a model developed using questionnaire data alone.
A Machine Learning Model Including Questionnaire and Structural Imaging Data Predicts Headache Improvement in Patients with Acute Post-traumatic Headache Attributed to Mild Traumatic Brain Injury (P8-12.002)
Li, Jing , Nikjou, Devin, Ross, Katherine , Mao, Lingchao, Chong, Catherine D. , Schwedt, Todd J. , Berisha, Visar , Wu, Teresa , Dumkrieger, Gina

Neurology | April 28, 2023 | Volume: 100 | Issue: 17_supplement_2 | Pages: No page available

10.1212/wnl.0000000000202432 Get It

Characteristics of Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy Associated With Sarcoidosis Without Therapeutic Immune Suppression
Fletcher, Anita, Toledano, Michel , White, Emily , Tan, Chen Sabrina , Mao‐Draayer, Yang , Banks, Samantha A. , Aksamit, Allen J. , Thakur, Kiran T. , Cortese, Irene , Bhattacharyya, Shamik , Bhattacharyya, Shamik , Banks, Samantha , McEntire, Caleb R.S. , Epstein, Samantha E. , Gelfand, Jeffrey M. , Anand, Pria

JAMA Neurology | April 24, 2023 | Volume: 80 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 624

10.1001/jamaneurol.2023.0841 | PMID 37093609 Get It

ImportanceProgressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy can occur in the context of systemic sarcoidosis (S-PML) in the absence of therapeutic immune suppression and can initially be mistaken for neurosarcoidosis or other complications of sarcoidosis. Earlier recognition of S-PML could lead to more effective treatment of the disease.ObjectiveTo describe characteristics of patients with S-PML.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsFor this case series, records from 8 academic medical centers in the United States were reviewed from 2004 to 2022. A systematic review of literature from 1955 to 2022 yielded data for additional patients. Included were patients with S-PML who were not receiving therapeutic immune suppression. The median follow-up time for patients who survived the acute range of illness was 19 months (range, 2-99). Data were analyzed in February 2023.ExposuresSarcoidosis without active therapeutic immune suppression.Main Outcomes and MeasuresClinical, laboratory, and radiographic features of patients with S-PML.ResultsTwenty-one patients with S-PML not receiving therapeutic immune suppression were included in this study, and data for 37 patients were collected from literature review. The median age of the 21 study patients was 56 years (range, 33-72), 4 patients (19%) were female, and 17 (81%) were male. The median age of the literature review patients was 49 years (range, 21-74); 12 of 34 patients (33%) with reported sex were female, and 22 (67%) were male. Nine of 21 study patients (43%) and 18 of 31 literature review patients (58%) had simultaneous presentation of systemic sarcoidosis and PML. Six of 14 study patients (43%) and 11 of 19 literature review patients (58%) had a CD4+ T-cell count greater than 200/μL. In 2 study patients, a systemic flare of sarcoidosis closely preceded S-PML development. Ten of 17 study patients (59%) and 21 of 35 literature review patients (60%) died during the acute phase of illness. No meaningful predictive differences were found between patients who survived S-PML and those who did not.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this case series, patients with sarcoidosis developed PML in the absence of therapeutic immune suppression, and peripheral blood proxies of immune function were often only mildly abnormal. Systemic sarcoidosis flares may rarely herald the onset of S-PML. Clinicians should consider PML in any patient with sarcoidosis and new white matter lesions on brain magnetic resonance imaging.
Long-term Mortality and Reintervention After Repair of Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms Using VQI-matched Medicare Claims
Cirillo-Penn, Nolan C. , Zheng, Xinyan , Mao, Jialin , Scali, Salvatore T. , Goodney, Philip P. , VISION, on behalf of VQI and, Johnston, Lily E , Scali, Salvatore , Goodney, Philip P , D’Oria, Mario , DeMartino, Randall R. , VISION, on behalf of VQI and

Annals of Surgery | April 14, 2023 | Volume: 278 | Issue: 5 | Pages: e1135-e1141

10.1097/sla.0000000000005876 | PMID 37057613 Get It

Objective: The objective of this study was to compare endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) versus open aortic repair (OAR) on mortality and reintervention after ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) repair in the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI). Background: The optimal treatment modality for rAAA remains debated, with little data on long-term comparisons. Methods: VQI rAAA repairs (2004–2018) were matched with Medicare claims (VQI-VISION). Primary outcomes were in-hospital and long-term mortality. Secondary outcome was reintervention. Inverse probability weighting was used to adjust for treatment selection, and Cox Proportional Hazards models and negative binomial regressions were used for analysis. Landmark analysis was performed among patients surviving hospital discharge. Results: Among 1885 VQI/Medicare rAAA patients, 790 underwent OAR, and 1095 underwent EVAR. Median age was 76 years; 73% were male. Inverse probability weighting produced comparable groups. In-hospital mortality was lower after EVAR versus OAR (21% vs 37%, odds ratio: 0.52, 95% CI, 0.4–0.7). One-year mortality rates were lower for EVAR versus OAR [hazard ratio (HR) 0.74, 95% CI, 0.6–0.9], but not statistically different after 1 year (HR: 0.95, 95% CI, 0.8–1.2). This implies additional benefits to EVAR in the short term. Reintervention rates were higher after EVAR than OAR at 2 and 5 years (rate ratio: 1.79 95% CI, 1.2–2.7 and rate ratio:2.03 95% CI, 1.4–3.0), but not within the first year. Reintervention was associated with higher mortality risk for both OAR (HR: 1.66 95% CI, 1.1–2.5) and EVAR (HR: 2.14 95% CI, 1.6–2.9). Long-term mortality was similar between repair types (HR: 0.99, 95% CI, 0.8–1.2). Conclusions: Within VQI/Medicare patients undergoing rAAA repair, the perioperative mortality rate favors EVAR but equalizes after 1 year. Reinterventions were more common after EVAR and were associated with higher mortality regardless of treatment.
Development of a portable abdominal normothermic regional perfusion (A-NRP) program in the United States
Croome, Kristopher P. , Brown, Thomas E. , Mabrey, Richard L., Sonnenwald, Sherry L., Burns, Justin M. , Mao, Shennen A. , Clendenon, Jacob N. , Nguyen, Justin H. , Perry, Dana K. , Maddox, Rebecca G., Clendenon, Jacob , Taner, Burcin , Croome, Kris P , Mao, Shennen A , Taner, C. Burcin

Liver Transplantation | April 11, 2023 | Volume: 29 | Issue: 12 | Pages: 1282-1291

10.1097/lvt.0000000000000156 | PMID 37040930 Get It

In situ abdominal normothermic regional perfusion (A-NRP) has been used for liver transplantation (LT) with donation after circulatory death (DCD) liver grafts in Europe with excellent results; however, adoption of A-NRP in the United States has been lacking. The current report describes the implementation and results of a portable, self-reliant A-NRP program in the United States. Isolated abdominal in situ perfusion with an extracorporeal circuit was achieved through cannulation in the abdomen or femoral vessels and inflation of a supraceliac aortic balloon and cross-clamp. The Quantum Transport System by Spectrum was used. The decision to use livers for LT was made through an assessment of perfusate lactate (q15min). From May to November 2022, 14 A-NRP donation after circulatory death procurements were performed by our abdominal transplant team (N = 11 LT, N = 20 kidney transplants, and 1 kidney-pancreas transplant). The median A-NRP run time was 68 minutes. None of the LT recipients had post-reperfusion syndrome, nor were there any cases of primary nonfunction. All livers were functioning well at the time of maximal follow-up with zero cases of ischemic cholangiopathy. The current report describes the feasibility of a portable A-NRP program that can be used in the United States. Excellent short-term post-transplant results were achieved with both livers and kidneys procured from A-NRP.
Mechanism of KMT5B haploinsufficiency in neurodevelopment in humans and mice
Sheppard, Sarah E. , Bryant, Laura , Wickramasekara, Rochelle N. , Vaccaro, Courtney, Robertson, Brynn, Hallgren, Jodi , Hulen, Jason, Watson, Cynthia J., Faùndes, Víctor , Duffourd, Yannis , Simon, M. Celeste , Cruz, Xavier de la , Padilla, Natàlia , Flores‐Méndez, Marco , Akizu, Naiara, Smiler, Jacqueline , Silva, Renata Pellegrino da, March, Michael , Diaz‐Rosado, Abdias , Barcelos, Isabella Peixoto de , Choa, Zhao Xiang, Dubourg, Christèle , Journel, Hubert, Démurger, Florence , Mulhern, Maureen , Akman, Cigdem I. , Lippa, Natalie , Baldridge, Dustin , Haeringen, Arie van , Snoeck-Streef, Irina, Chow, Penny , Hing, Anne , Graham, John M. , Faivre, Laurence , Shen, Wei , Mao, Rong , Palumbos, Janice C. , Viskochil, David , Gahl, William A. , Hauser, Natalie , Miller, Rebecca L. , Maffeo, Jessica, Afenjar, Alexandra , Doummar, Diane , Keren, Boris , Macklin‐Mantia, Sarah K. , Meerschaut, Ilse , Zweier, Christiane , Brewer, Carole, Saggar, Anand, Smeland, Marie Falkenberg , Kumar, Ajith , Elmslie, Frances , Deshpande, Charu, Nizon, Mathilde , Ierland, Yvette van , Wilke, Martina , Slegtenhorst, Marjon van, Koudijs, Suzanne M., Chen, Jin Yun, Dredge, David, Pier, Danielle B. , Wortmann, Saskia B. , Kamsteeg, Erik‐Jan , Koch, Johannes , Haynes, Devon , Pollack, Lynda, Titheradge, Hannah , Ranguin, Kara , Denommé‐Pichon, Anne‐Sophie , Weber, Sacha , Fuente, Rubén Pérez de la , Pozo, Jaime Sánchez del, Rosales, José Miguel Lezana , Joset, Pascal , Steindl, Katharina , Mei, Davide , Lespinasse, James, Philippe, Christophe , Dauriat, Benjamin, Raymond, Laure , Cueto‐González, Anna M. , Mignot, Cyril , Grotto, Sarah, Renaldo, Florence , Drivas, Theodore G. , Hennessy, Laura , Parenti, Ilaria , Kaiser, Frank J., Kuechler, Alma, Busk, Øyvind L. , Islam, Lily, Siedlik, Jacob A. , Henderson, Lindsay B. , Juusola, Jane, Person, Richard, Schnur, Rhonda E. , Vitobello, Antonio , Banka, Siddharth , Bhoj, Elizabeth , Stessman, Holly A.F. , Lee, Pearl , Simon, M Celeste , de la Cruz, Xavier , Padilla, Natália , Flores-Mendez, Marco , Akizu, Naiara , Smiler, Jacqueline , Li, Dong , March, Michael , Peixoto de Barcelos, Isabella , Choa, Zhao Xiang , Lim, Chin Yan , Dubourg, Christèle , Mulhern, Maureen , Lippa, Natalie , Andrews, Marisa , Baldridge, Dustin , Constantino, John , Chow, Penny , Faivre, Laurence , Shen, Wei , Palumbos, Janice , Gahl, William , Tifft, Cynthia , Macnamara, Ellen , Keren, Boris , Macklin, Sarah , Meerschaut, Ilse , Callewaert, Bert , Reis, André , Smeland, Marie F , Kumar, Ajith , Elmslie, Frances , Deshpande, Charu , van Ierland, Yvette , Wilke, Martina , Koudijs, Suzanne , Pier, Danielle , Wortmann, Saskia , Kamsteeg, Erik-Jan , Haynes, Devon , Titheradge, Hannah , Ranguin, Kara , Denommé-Pichon, Anne-Sophie , Weber, Sacha , Pérez de la Fuente, Rubén , Lezana Rosales, Jose Miguel , Steindl, Katharina , Rauch, Anita , Mei, Davide , Mari, Francesco , Guerrini, Renzo , Tran Mau-Them, Frederic , Moutton, Sébastien , Cueto-González, Anna M , Drivas, Theodore G , Parenti, Ilaria , Busk, Øyvind L , Siedlik, Jacob A , Vitobello, Antonio , Banka, Siddharth , Bhoj, Elizabeth J , Stessman, Holly A F , Sheppard, Sarah E; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3480-8123, Bryant, Laura; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8483-8940, Wickramasekara, Rochelle N; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3090-9357, Lee, Pearl; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1274-2891, Simon, M Celeste; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9106-447X, Padilla, Natália; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7872-2279, Akizu, Naiara; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9222-6960, Li, Dong; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2265-6727, March, Michael; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9173-6862, Barcelos, Isabella Peixoto; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3843-4520 de, Choa, Zhao Xiang; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1838-7931, Lim, Chin Yan; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1585-002X, Mulhern, Maureen; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8642-4741, Joset, Pascal; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4349-9951, Steindl, Katharina; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4425-3072, Rauch, Anita , al, et

Science Advances | April 10, 2023 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 10 | Pages: No page available

10.1126/sciadv.ade1463 | PMID 36897941 Get It

Pathogenic variants in KMT5B , a lysine methyltransferase, are associated with global developmental delay, macrocephaly, autism, and congenital anomalies (OMIM # 617788). Given the relatively recent discovery of this disorder, it has not been fully characterized. Deep phenotyping of the largest ( n = 43) patient cohort to date identified that hypotonia and congenital heart defects are prominent features that were previously not associated with this syndrome. Both missense variants and putative loss-of-function variants resulted in slow growth in patient-derived cell lines. KMT5B homozygous knockout mice were smaller in size than their wild-type littermates but did not have significantly smaller brains, suggesting relative macrocephaly, also noted as a prominent clinical feature. RNA sequencing of patient lymphoblasts and Kmt5b haploinsufficient mouse brains identified differentially expressed pathways associated with nervous system development and function including axon guidance signaling. Overall, we identified additional pathogenic variants and clinical features in KMT5B -related neurodevelopmental disorder and provide insights into the molecular mechanisms of the disorder using multiple model systems.
Carborane-Containing Hydroxamate MMP Ligands for the Treatment of Tumors Using Boron Neutron Capture Therapy (BNCT): Efficacy without Tumor Cell Entry
Flieger, Sebastian , Takagaki, Mao, Kondo, Natsuko , Lutz, M. , Gupta, Yash , Ueda, Hiroki , Moran, Graham R. , Kempaiah, Prakasha , Hosmane, Narayan S. , Becker, Daniel P. , Moran, Graham , Kempaiah, Prakasha , Hosmane, Narayan , Becker, Daniel P , Gupta, Yash , Lutz, Marlon R., Sakurai, Yoshinori , Suzuki, Minoru

International Journal of Molecular Sciences | April 10, 2023 | Volume: 24 | Issue: 8 | Pages: 6973

10.3390/ijms24086973 | PMID 37108137 Get It

New carborane-bearing hydroxamate matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) ligands have been synthesized for boron neutron capture therapy (BNCT) with nanomolar potency against MMP-2, -9 and -13. New analogs are based on MMP inhibitor CGS-23023A, and two previously reported MMP ligands 1 (B1) and 2 (B2) were studied in vitro for BNCT activity. The boronated MMP ligands 1 and 2 showed high in vitro tumoricidal effects in an in vitro BNCT assay, exhibiting IC50 values for 1 and 2 of 2.04 × 10−2 mg/mL and 2.67 × 10−2 mg/mL, respectively. The relative killing effect of 1 to L-boronophenylalanine (BPA) is 0.82/0.27 = 3.0, and that of 2 is 0.82/0.32 = 2.6, whereas the relative killing effect of 4 is comparable to boronophenylalanine (BPA). The survival fraction of 1 and 2 in a pre-incubation boron concentration at 0.143 ppm 10B and 0.101 ppm 10B, respectively, were similar, and these results suggest that 1 and 2 are actively accumulated through attachment to the Squamous cell carcinoma (SCC)VII cells. Compounds 1 and 2 very effectively killed glioma U87 delta EGFR cells after BNCT. This study is noteworthy in demonstrating BNCT efficacy through binding to MMP enzymes overexpressed at the surface of the tumor cell without tumor cell penetration.
Distinct Phenotypes of Non-Citizen Kidney Transplant Recipients in the United States by Machine Learning Consensus Clustering
Vaitla, Pradeep , Leeaphorn, Napat , Mao, Michael A. , Qureshi, Fahad , Kaewput, Wisit , Tangpanithandee, Supawit , Pattharanitima, Pattharawin , Acharya, Prakrati , Cheungpasitporn, Wisit , Jadlowiec, Caroline , Mao, Michael A , Qureshi, Fahad , Kaewput, Wisit , Tangpanithandee, Supawit , Krisanapan, Pajaree , Pattharanitima, Pattharawin , Nissaisorakarn, Pitchaphon , Cheungpasitporn, Wisit , Thongprayoon, Charat , Jadlowiec, Caroline C. , Mao, Shennen A. , Qureshi, Fawad , Krisanapan, Pajaree , Nissaisorakarn, Pitchaphon , Cooper, Matthew

Medicines | March 28, 2023 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 25

10.3390/medicines10040025 | PMID 37103780 Get It

Background: Better understanding of the different phenotypes/subgroups of non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients may help the transplant community to identify strategies that improve outcomes among non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients. This study aimed to cluster non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients using an unsupervised machine learning approach; Methods: We conducted a consensus cluster analysis based on recipient-, donor-, and transplant- related characteristics in non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients in the United States from 2010 to 2019 in the OPTN/UNOS database using recipient, donor, and transplant-related characteristics. Each cluster’s key characteristics were identified using the standardized mean difference. Post-transplant outcomes were compared among the clusters; Results: Consensus cluster analysis was performed in 11,300 non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients and identified two distinct clusters best representing clinical characteristics. Cluster 1 patients were notable for young age, preemptive kidney transplant or dialysis duration of less than 1 year, working income, private insurance, non-hypertensive donors, and Hispanic living donors with a low number of HLA mismatch. In contrast, cluster 2 patients were characterized by non-ECD deceased donors with KDPI <85%. Consequently, cluster 1 patients had reduced cold ischemia time, lower proportion of machine-perfused kidneys, and lower incidence of delayed graft function after kidney transplant. Cluster 2 had higher 5-year death-censored graft failure (5.2% vs. 9.8%; p < 0.001), patient death (3.4% vs. 11.4%; p < 0.001), but similar one-year acute rejection (4.7% vs. 4.9%; p = 0.63), compared to cluster 1; Conclusions: Machine learning clustering approach successfully identified two clusters among non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients with distinct phenotypes that were associated with different outcomes, including allograft loss and patient survival. These findings underscore the need for individualized care for non-U.S. citizen kidney transplant recipients.
Change in Albuminuria and GFR Slope as Joint Surrogate End Points for Kidney Failure: Implications for Phase 2 Clinical Trials in CKD
Heerspink, Hiddo J.L. , Inker, Lesley A. , Collier, Willem , Haaland, Benjamin , Luo, Jiyu , Appel, Gerald B., Estacio, Raymond O. , Fervenza, Fernando C. , Floege, Jürgen , Imai, Enyu , Jafar, Tazeen H. , Lewis, Julia B. , Li, Philip Kam‐Tao , Maes, Bart , Praga, Manuel , CT, on behalf of CKD-EPI, Floege, Jürgen , Luo, Jiyu , Fervenza, Fernando, Li, Philip Kam-Tao , Torres, Vicente E , Greene, Tom , Fervenza, Fernando C , Tighiouart, Hocine , Chan, Tak Mao , Locatelli, Francesco , Perna, Annalisa , Perrone, Ronald D. , Schena, Francesco Paolo , Wanner, Christoph , Xie, Di, Greene, Tom , CT, on behalf of CKD-EPI

Journal of the American Society of Nephrology | March 15, 2023 | Volume: 34 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 955-968

10.1681/asn.0000000000000117 | PMID 36918388 Get It

Significance Statement Changes in albuminuria and GFR slope are individually used as surrogate end points in clinical trials of CKD progression, and studies have demonstrated that each is associated with treatment effects on clinical end points. In this study, the authors sought to develop a conceptual framework that combines both surrogate end points to better predict treatment effects on clinical end points in Phase 2 trials. The results demonstrate that information from the combined treatment effects on albuminuria and GFR slope improves the prediction of treatment effects on the clinical end point for Phase 2 trials with sample sizes between 100 and 200 patients and duration of follow-up ranging from 1 to 2 years. These findings may help inform design of clinical trials for interventions aimed at slowing CKD progression. Background Changes in log urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and GFR slope are individually used as surrogate end points in clinical trials of CKD progression. Whether combining these surrogate end points might strengthen inferences about clinical benefit is unknown. Methods Using Bayesian meta-regressions across 41 randomized trials of CKD progression, we characterized the combined relationship between the treatment effects on the clinical end point (sustained doubling of serum creatinine, GFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , or kidney failure) and treatment effects on UACR change and chronic GFR slope after 3 months. We applied the results to the design of Phase 2 trials on the basis of UACR change and chronic GFR slope in combination. Results Treatment effects on the clinical end point were strongly associated with the combination of treatment effects on UACR change and chronic slope. The posterior median meta-regression coefficients for treatment effects were −0.41 (95% Bayesian Credible Interval, −0.64 to −0.17) per 1 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year for the treatment effect on GFR slope and −0.06 (95% Bayesian Credible Interval, −0.90 to 0.77) for the treatment effect on UACR change. The predicted probability of clinical benefit when considering both surrogates was determined primarily by estimated treatment effects on UACR when sample size was small (approximately 60 patients per treatment arm) and follow-up brief (approximately 1 year), with the importance of GFR slope increasing for larger sample sizes and longer follow-up. Conclusions In Phase 2 trials of CKD with sample sizes of 100–200 patients per arm and follow-up between 1 and 2 years, combining information from treatment effects on UACR change and GFR slope improved the prediction of treatment effects on clinical end points.