Mao, Lingchao

Aim Post-traumatic headache (PTH) attributed to mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) frequently co-occurs with other physical, cognitive, and emotional symptoms. This study assessed associations between PTH improvement and these symptoms in individuals with acute headaches (APTH) and compared symptoms between those who had recently developed persistent PTH (PPTH) to those who had long-standing PPTH. Methods This study included 105 individuals with APTH (mean age = 43.4, SD = 15.8; 70 females, 35 males) and 46 individuals with PPTH (mean age = 38.2, SD = 10.9; 16 females, 30 males) with an average duration of 11.3 years from two prospective longitudinal studies. For those who had APTH, PTH improvement was assessed at three months post-enrollment using an electronic headache diary. Participants completed questionnaires evaluating physical (including headache symptoms, photosensitivity, hyperacusis, insomnia, autonomic symptoms, and disability), emotional (including depression, anxiety, pain catastrophizing, and post-traumatic stress disorder screening), and cognitive symptoms (including memory and attention). The APTH cohort completed questionnaires at baseline, follow-up #1 (three to four months from baseline), and follow-up #2 (six to seven months from baseline). Mixed Effects Models were used to analyze the temporal trend of symptoms among the APTH improved and non-improved groups. Results Among the 105 individuals with APTH, 60 experienced PTH improvement and 45 did not. At baseline, compared to those who had PTH improvement, those who did not have PTH improvement had higher SCAT total scores and physical subscores, greater levels of hyperacusis, pain catastrophizing, anxiety and depression. At follow-up #1 (three to four months), these individuals continued to show more pronounced physical and emotional symptoms and worse cognitive function and insomnia. Most of these group differences persisted at follow-up #2 (six to seven months). Most symptoms showed progressive improvement over three months for individuals who had PTH improvement but not for those without PTH improvement. Furthermore, individuals with long-standing PPTH showed more severe insomnia, pain catastrophizing, and PTSD compared to those who had recently developed PPTH. Conclusion Individuals with APTH who did not experience PTH improvement at three months had more severe physical, cognitive, and emotional symptoms at baseline compared to those who had PTH improvement. While most symptoms normalized in individuals with PTH improvement, symptoms overall persisted at three and at six months for those with PTH persistence. Individuals who had long-standing PPTH had more severe insomnia and more negative cognitive/emotional responses to pain compared to those who had recently developed PPTH.

Learning from multimodal data sets can leverage complementary information and lead to improved performance for prediction tasks. A commonly used strategy to account for feature correlations in high-dimensional data sets is the latent variable approach. Several latent variable methods have been proposed for multimodal data sets; however, these methods either focus on extracting a shared component across all modalities or extracting a shared component and individual components specific to each modality, overlooking correlations within partial subsets of modalities. We propose multimodal fission learning (MMFL), the first supervised latent variable model that adopts a generalizable decomposition into globally joint, partially joint, and individual components from multimodal data sets. A key strength of MMFL is a natural extension to incorporate incomplete multimodal data in either training and test phases by leveraging the learned modality structure. Through simulation studies, we demonstrate that MMFL outperforms a variety of existing multimodal algorithms under both complete modality and incomplete modality settings. We applied MMFL to two real-world case studies: early prediction of Alzheimer’s disease using neuroimaging and genetic data and predicting posttraumatic headache improvement using clinical data collected via questionnaires and brain neuroimaging data. MMFL achieved improved predictive accuracy and enhanced interpretability offering insights for within- and cross-modal relationships of multimodal data sets. History: Rema Padman served as the senior editor for this article. Funding: This research was supported by the National Institutes of Health [Grants 2R42AG053149-02A1, R01AG069453, 30AG072980, R01AG069453, and 1R61NS113315-01], the National Science Foundation [Grant DMS-2053170], and the Department of Defense [Award W81XWH-19-0534]. The grantee organization is the Northern California Institute for Research and Education. In the past, ADNI has also received funding from the National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, and private sector contributions through the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health including generous contributions from the following: AbbVie, Alzheimer’s Association; Alzheimer’s Drug Discovery Foundation; Araclon Biotech; BioClinica, Inc.; Biogen; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; CereSpir, Inc.; Cogstate; Eisai Inc.; Elan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Eli Lilly and Company; EuroImmun; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd and its affiliated company Genentech, Inc.; Fujirebio; GE Healthcare; IXICO Ltd.; Janssen Alzheimer Immunotherapy Research & Development, LLC.; Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Research & Development LLC.; Lumosity; Lundbeck; Merck & Co., Inc.; Meso Scale Diagnostics, LLC.; NeuroRx Research; Neurotrack Technologies; Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Pfizer Inc.; Piramal Imaging; Servier; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company; and Transition Therapeutics. Data Ethics & Reproducibility Note: The code capsule is available at https://github.com/lingchm/MMFL and in the e-Companion to this article (available at https://doi.org/10.1287/ijds.2024.0059 ).

Abstract Objectives/Background Post‐traumatic headache (PTH) is a common symptom following mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Currently, there is no identified way to accurately predict if, when, and at what pace a person will have PTH improvement. In our prior studies, we focused on predicting headache improvement at 3 months post‐mTBI. However, that approach may overlook individual differences in how headaches evolve over time. This study aimed to identify individual subgroups based on their headache trajectories and to develop machine‐learning (ML) models for early prediction of headache evolution. Methods Participants with acute PTH completed a daily electronic headache diary over 3 months, recording their headache‐related symptoms. Tensor decomposition was utilized to extract latent factors underlying the time‐varying symptoms. We applied clustering techniques on the latent factors to identify patient subgroups with varying headache improvement trajectory. Next, we developed an ML method to classify each individual into a headache trajectory subgroup as early as possible within the 3‐month interval. Results Seventy‐three individuals with acute PTH (mean age = 44.8 years, SD = 14.0; 50 females/23 males) were enrolled between 0 and 59 days post‐mTBI. Data from 54 individuals were used as the training cohort for model training, and 19 individuals were used as the test cohort for model evaluation. Tensor decomposition extracted two latent factors: one factor representing the overall state of PTH severity and disability and the other representing the improvement state of these symptoms over 3 months. Clustering identified four patient subgroups with distinct headache evolution trajectories: (1) severe symptoms without improvement, (2) severe symptoms with mild improvement, (3) milder symptoms with substantial improvement, and (4) mildest symptoms with mild improvement. The proposed ML model achieved 0.80 cross‐validation accuracy in classifying individuals with PTH into subgroups for the training cohort and 0.84 accuracy for the test cohort. Notably, the model required only the first 2 weeks of headache data to accurately identify the subgroup with the mildest headaches, 3 additional weeks to identify the subgroup with the most severe headaches and no improvement in 3 months, and 2 additional weeks to distinguish the remaining subgroups. Conclusion This study identified subgroups of individuals with acute PTH with distinct headache improvement trajectories. The proposed ML method accurately classified individuals into these subgroups using the minimally necessary early headache data for each person, including detecting the subgroup with the mildest headaches at 2 weeks. This approach could offer an estimated forecast of headache burden over time and could assist clinicians with determining treatment needs and eligibility for PTH clinical trials.

Background Headache is a common symptom following mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Post-traumatic headache (PTH), a secondary headache disorder that develops after mTBI, often persists for months or years. To identify potential recovery mechanisms and prognostic biomarkers, the present study investigated whether longitudinal changes in pain-induced brain activation differ between healthy controls (HC) and PTH participants showing headache improvement and those without improvement. Methods Thirty-three participants who met International Classification of Headache Disorders, 3rd edition, criteria for acute PTH within 59 days post-mTBI and 33 HC participants were included with no significant differences in demographics. All participants underwent functional magnetic resonance imaging scans at baseline, four weeks, and 16 weeks post-enrollment using a thermal stimulation paradigm with noxious and non-painful heat stimuli. ‘Painful vs. Non-Painful Heat’ contrasts were generated using SPM12. PTH improvement was assessed at three months post-enrollment via electronic headache diaries. Two-sample t -tests compared the brain activation between HC and PTH at baseline. Linear mixed-effects models examined longitudinal changes for HC, PTH improvement and non-improvement groups across visits. Generalized linear models compared these groups within visits. Results Baseline analysis revealed several regions with significantly higher activation in acute PTH compared to HC, including bilateral postcentral gyrus, right superior temporal gyrus, right middle temporal gyrus, left inferior parietal gyrus, right superior parietal gyrus, left ventral striatum, left olfactory cortex, left gyrus rectus, and left middle occipital gyrus. Over time, the PTH improvement group demonstrated progressive normalization across all identified brain regions, whereas the non-improvement group showed only partial normalization in left ventral striatum, left olfactory cortex, and left gyrus rectus. Sustained elevated activation in specific regions distinguished PTH participants without headache improvement from those with headache improvement, suggesting potential biomarkers for persistent PTH. Conclusions Our findings demonstrate significantly altered pain-induced brain activations in participants with acute PTH compared to HC. Longitudinal analysis revealed distinct recovery trajectories: progressive normalization in the improvement group versus persistent alterations in the non-improvement group. These neuroimaging patterns may serve as biomarkers for identifying individuals at risk for persistent PTH, with implications for early intervention and personalized treatment approaches.

Background Our prior work demonstrated that questionnaires assessing psychosocial symptoms have utility for predicting improvement in patients with acute post-traumatic headache following mild traumatic brain injury. In this cohort study, we aimed to determine whether prediction accuracy can be refined by adding structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) brain measures to the model. Methods Adults with acute post-traumatic headache (enrolled 0–59 days post-mild traumatic brain injury) underwent T1-weighted brain MRI and completed three questionnaires (Sports Concussion Assessment Tool, Pain Catastrophizing Scale, and the Trait Anxiety Inventory Scale). Individuals with post-traumatic headache completed an electronic headache diary allowing for determination of headache improvement at three- and at six-month follow-up. Questionnaire and MRI measures were used to train prediction models of headache improvement and headache trajectory. Results Forty-three patients with post-traumatic headache (mean age = 43.0, SD = 12.4; 27 females/16 males) and 61 healthy controls were enrolled (mean age = 39.1, SD = 12.8; 39 females/22 males). The best model achieved cross-validation Area Under the Curve of 0.801 and 0.805 for predicting headache improvement at three and at six months. The top contributing MRI features for the prediction included curvature and thickness of superior, middle, and inferior temporal, fusiform, inferior parietal, and lateral occipital regions. Patients with post-traumatic headache who did not improve by three months had less thickness and higher curvature measures and notably greater baseline differences in brain structure vs. healthy controls (thickness: p < 0.001, curvature: p = 0.012) than those who had headache improvement. Conclusions A model including clinical questionnaire data and measures of brain structure accurately predicted headache improvement in patients with post-traumatic headache and achieved improvement compared to a model developed using questionnaire data alone.

Abstract Objectives/Background Post‐traumatic headache (PTH) is a common symptom after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Although there have been several studies that have used clinical features of PTH to attempt to predict headache recovery, currently no accurate methods exist for predicting individuals’ improvement from acute PTH. This study investigated the utility of clinical questionnaires for predicting (i) headache improvement at 3 and 6 months, and (ii) headache trajectories over the first 3 months. Methods We conducted a clinic‐based observational longitudinal study of patients with acute PTH who completed a battery of clinical questionnaires within 0–59 days post‐mTBI. The battery included headache history, symptom evaluation, cognitive tests, psychological tests, and scales assessing photosensitivity, hyperacusis, insomnia, cutaneous allodynia, and substance use. Each participant completed a web‐based headache diary, which was used to determine headache improvement. Results Thirty‐seven participants with acute PTH (mean age = 42.7, standard deviation [SD] = 12.0; 25 females/12 males) completed questionnaires at an average of 21.7 (SD = 13.1) days post‐mTBI. The classification of headache improvement or non‐improvement at 3 and 6 months achieved cross‐validation area under the curve (AUC) of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55 to 0.89) and 0.84 (95% CI 0.66 to 1.00). Sub‐models trained using only the top five features still achieved 0.72 (95% CI 0.55 to 0.90) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.52 to 1.00) AUC. The top five contributing features were from three questionnaires: Pain Catastrophizing Scale total score and helplessness sub‐domain score; Sports Concussion Assessment Tool Symptom Evaluation total score and number of symptoms; and the State‐Trait Anxiety Inventory score. The functional regression model achieved for modeling headache trajectory over the first 3 months. Conclusion Questionnaires completed following mTBI have good utility for predicting headache improvement at 3 and 6 months in the future as well as the evolving headache trajectory. Reducing the battery to only three questionnaires, which assess post‐concussive symptom load and biopsychosocialecologic factors, was helpful to determine a reasonable prediction accuracy for headache improvement.