Background Headache is a common symptom following mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Post-traumatic headache (PTH), a secondary headache disorder that develops after mTBI, often persists for months or years. To identify potential recovery mechanisms and prognostic biomarkers, the present study investigated whether longitudinal changes in pain-induced brain activation differ between healthy controls (HC) and PTH participants showing headache improvement and those without improvement. Methods Thirty-three participants who met International Classification of Headache Disorders, 3rd edition, criteria for acute PTH within 59 days post-mTBI and 33 HC participants were included with no significant differences in demographics. All participants underwent functional magnetic resonance imaging scans at baseline, four weeks, and 16 weeks post-enrollment using a thermal stimulation paradigm with noxious and non-painful heat stimuli. ‘Painful vs. Non-Painful Heat’ contrasts were generated using SPM12. PTH improvement was assessed at three months post-enrollment via electronic headache diaries. Two-sample t -tests compared the brain activation between HC and PTH at baseline. Linear mixed-effects models examined longitudinal changes for HC, PTH improvement and non-improvement groups across visits. Generalized linear models compared these groups within visits. Results Baseline analysis revealed several regions with significantly higher activation in acute PTH compared to HC, including bilateral postcentral gyrus, right superior temporal gyrus, right middle temporal gyrus, left inferior parietal gyrus, right superior parietal gyrus, left ventral striatum, left olfactory cortex, left gyrus rectus, and left middle occipital gyrus. Over time, the PTH improvement group demonstrated progressive normalization across all identified brain regions, whereas the non-improvement group showed only partial normalization in left ventral striatum, left olfactory cortex, and left gyrus rectus. Sustained elevated activation in specific regions distinguished PTH participants without headache improvement from those with headache improvement, suggesting potential biomarkers for persistent PTH. Conclusions Our findings demonstrate significantly altered pain-induced brain activations in participants with acute PTH compared to HC. Longitudinal analysis revealed distinct recovery trajectories: progressive normalization in the improvement group versus persistent alterations in the non-improvement group. These neuroimaging patterns may serve as biomarkers for identifying individuals at risk for persistent PTH, with implications for early intervention and personalized treatment approaches.
Developing multivariable models for predicting headache improvement in patients with acute post‐traumatic headache attributed to mild traumatic brain injury: A preliminary study
Abstract Objectives/Background Post‐traumatic headache (PTH) is a common symptom after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Although there have been several studies that have used clinical features of PTH to attempt to predict headache recovery, currently no accurate methods exist for predicting individuals’ improvement from acute PTH. This study investigated the utility of clinical questionnaires for predicting (i) headache improvement at 3 and 6 months, and (ii) headache trajectories over the first 3 months. Methods We conducted a clinic‐based observational longitudinal study of patients with acute PTH who completed a battery of clinical questionnaires within 0–59 days post‐mTBI. The battery included headache history, symptom evaluation, cognitive tests, psychological tests, and scales assessing photosensitivity, hyperacusis, insomnia, cutaneous allodynia, and substance use. Each participant completed a web‐based headache diary, which was used to determine headache improvement. Results Thirty‐seven participants with acute PTH (mean age = 42.7, standard deviation [SD] = 12.0; 25 females/12 males) completed questionnaires at an average of 21.7 (SD = 13.1) days post‐mTBI. The classification of headache improvement or non‐improvement at 3 and 6 months achieved cross‐validation area under the curve (AUC) of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55 to 0.89) and 0.84 (95% CI 0.66 to 1.00). Sub‐models trained using only the top five features still achieved 0.72 (95% CI 0.55 to 0.90) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.52 to 1.00) AUC. The top five contributing features were from three questionnaires: Pain Catastrophizing Scale total score and helplessness sub‐domain score; Sports Concussion Assessment Tool Symptom Evaluation total score and number of symptoms; and the State‐Trait Anxiety Inventory score. The functional regression model achieved for modeling headache trajectory over the first 3 months. Conclusion Questionnaires completed following mTBI have good utility for predicting headache improvement at 3 and 6 months in the future as well as the evolving headache trajectory. Reducing the battery to only three questionnaires, which assess post‐concussive symptom load and biopsychosocialecologic factors, was helpful to determine a reasonable prediction accuracy for headache improvement.